Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.

OLLINASDAQ
Wall Street Score · overall investment60/100
$86.24USD+$1.52 (+1.79%)
Company website www.ollies.com
Headquarters6295 Allentown Boulevard, Harrisburg, PA, 17112, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 12, 2026

OLLI · Price history

Price at last available close

$86.24

−$0.54 (-0.62%) 1M

2026-10-28

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Company & revenue

About Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.

Primary reporting period: 2026-01-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a leading discount retailer, offering a wide variety of brand-name goods. The company's diverse inventory includes home essentials such as housewares, bed and bath products, and floor coverings, as well as food items, health and beauty aids, books, stationery, toys, and electronics. Additionally, they stock hardware, confectionery, apparel, sporting goods, pet supplies, and lawn and garden items.

How they make money

Ollie's operates as an off-price retailer that acquires closeout merchandise and excess inventory from suppliers and manufacturers globally. The company utilizes a flexible buying model to offer these brand-name products at significant discounts in a treasure-hunt shopping environment, maintaining a low-cost structure to maximize value for customers.

Products & services

The company sells a wide variety of brand-name household products, including home goods, food, clothing, and other consumer merchandise, often sourced as closeouts or excess inventory.

Brands & revenue mix

Ollie's Bargain Outlet

The primary retail brand under which the company operates its stores.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.

Product / operating segments

No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

  • Value-conscious consumers aged 25 or olderSource

Customer concentration

No quantified customer-concentration disclosure is available in the current saved research.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Unnamed suppliers and manufacturers — The company sources closeout merchandise and excess inventory from a wide range of global suppliers and manufacturers.Source

Strengths

  • Flexible buying model for closeout merchandiseSource
  • Low-cost operating structureSource

Risks

  • Ethical, legal, cybersecurity, and data privacy risksSource

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

60

Fair

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

74

Strong

Financial Strength

51

Business Quality / Moat

88

Management

100

Growth Quality

48

Risk / Durability

93

Great Company · Attractive Price

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

73

Fair

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

70/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 70/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is mixed across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. Review the category scores to identify what is helping or hurting the result.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as relatively attractive.

The model outlook is currently moderate.

What we like
  • •Valuation scores attractively
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak
  • •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for OLLI

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can OLLI maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •Is OLLI's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Is OLLI's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
  • •Is OLLI's valuation discount tied to a temporary concern or to a longer-term business risk?
Business analysis: 16 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

60

0–100 · Fair

Opportunity Score

73

0–100 · Strong

Market Cap

$5.12B

P/E Ratio

19.5

EPS

$4.50

52-Week High

$133.28

52-Week Low

$60.29

Beta

0.50

Intrinsic Value

$156.92

Analyst Target

$98.00

Shares Outstanding

61.8M

Total Revenue

$2.79B

Total Debt

$725.6M

Dividend

No current dividend

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$30.69

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
51/ 100
-24 pts / 5d

Neutral / mixed momentum

5D -6.1% · 20D +0.7% · RSI 49 · Price vs 20D avg -3.1%
Volatility
31/ 100
+10 pts / 5d

Low movement

20D realized vol 39.2% · 60D 43.2% · Acceleration 0.91x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for OLLI

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on OLLI.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Flexible buying model for closeout merchandise.
  • +Low-cost operating structure.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Discount Stores industry.
  • −Ethical, legal, cybersecurity, and data privacy risks.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Fair60/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Fair

60

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

48

Debt Cost0.1%
Debt Reduction YoY-21.4%
Debt / Equity0.36x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

30

Revenue YoY5.4%
Revenue CAGR12.2%
Net Margin9.8%

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Fair

52

Asset Growth YoY15.4%
Liquidation/Share$30.69
Net Assets/MCap0.43x

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

50

Earnings Yield5.2%
Buyback Yield1.0%
Debt Cost0.1%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

ROIC9.8%
ROE14.4%
ROA9.0%

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

88

EPS Growth16.8%
FCF/Share Growth32.1%
Rev/Share Growth12.9%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

93

Intrinsic Value$156.92
Value Reference$94.15
MOS45.0%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

63

Revenue30
Moat88
Valuation93

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

MOS %45.0%
Value Reference$94.15
Deep Discount Reference$62.77

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

35

Interest Coverage706.7x
ROIC9.8%
FCF Yield3.7%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

52

Financial35
Valuation93
Debt48

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

66

Survival Years0.6 yrs
Current Ratio2.41x
FCF Margin7.3%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

3 historical score records available

Previous Score

60

Oct 1, 2026

Change

-0.1

points

Current Score

60

Oct 12, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue-0.1
Debt0
Assets-0.2
Capital0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett0

OLLI decreased 0.1 points because some fundamentals weakened.

Projected Score

Projected Score

63

Projected Change

+3.7 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 3.7 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Undervalued

Current Price

$86.24

Model Intrinsic Value

$156.92

Difference

−$70.68

-45.0% vs IV

Margin of Safety

45.0%

UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Value Reference: $94.15
Deep Discount Reference: $62.77

Financial Charts

Revenue

201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026$0$700M$1.4B$2.1B$2.8B

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201620182020202220242026$0$95M$190M$285M$380M

Total Debt

201620182020202220242026$0$200M$400M$600M$800M

Total Assets

201620182020202220242026$0$750M$1.5B$2.3B$3.0B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2026202520242023202220212020201920182017
Revenue$2.79B$2.65B$2.27B$2.10B····························
Cost of Revenue$1.67B$1.62B$1.36B$1.27B····························
Gross Profit$1.12B$1.03B$914.5M$832.4M····························
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
SG&A Expenses$754.6M$709.0M$612.4M$562.7M····························
Operating Expenses$776.4M$709.0M$664.9M$604.6M····························
EBITDA$422.6M$378.2M$293.5M$277.4M····························
Operating Income$363.8M$322.9M$249.5M$227.8M····························
Interest Expense$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
Income Before Tax$363.0M$316.4M$265.8M$242.5M····························
Income Tax Expense$89.5M$75.8M$66.1M$61.0M····························
Net Income$273.6M$240.6M$199.8M$181.4M····························
Basic EPS$4.50$3.92$3.26$2.94····························
Basic Shares60.10M61.32M61.34M61.74M····························
Diluted Shares60.24M61.77M61.77M62.07M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Dec 8, 2026
Estimated EPS: $0.76Estimated revenue: $675.0M
Aug 1, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$741.3M

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$1.42

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

+9.0%

Cash Change

-47.8%

Margin Change

+2.5 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Margins expanded

What Weakened

  • Cash position declined
  • Debt increased

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth, net income margin. Pressure indicators included cash levels, debt levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 9.1%. EPS increased 43.4%. Cash declined 47.8%. Total debt increased 9.0%. Net income margin improved by 2.5 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 89 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

40

Smart Money

40

Number of Gurus

1

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

Start 7-Day Free Trial

Historical Trends

3 historical records
Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 12, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 3 records shown

Wall Street Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 12, 260255075100

Debt Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 12, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 12, 260255075100

Asset Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 12, 260255075100

Capital Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 12, 260255075100

Management Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 12, 260255075100

Moat Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 12, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 12, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 12, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 12, 26$133.00$140.00$147.00$154.00$161.00

Value Reference

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 12, 26$80.00$84.00$88.00$92.00$96.00

Margin of Safety %

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 12, 260.4%0.5%0.5%0.5%0.5%

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News

Rumor Mill · OLLI

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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