Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

LGI Homes, Inc.

LGIHNASDAQ
Wall Street Score · overall investment28/100
$42.77USD+$0.63 (+1.50%)
Company website www.lgihomes.com
Headquarters1450 Lake Robbins Drive, The Woodlands, TX, 77380, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 1, 2026

LGIH · Price history

Price at last available close

$42.77

−$6.25 (-12.75%) 1M

2026-10-27

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Company & revenue

About LGI Homes, Inc.

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

LGI Homes, Inc. engages in the design, construction, and sale of new homes in the United States. It markets and sells attached and detached entry-level homes and active adult offerings under the LGI Homes brand; and luxury homes under the Terrata Homes brand. The company also engages in the wholesale business, which includes building and selling homes to large institutions interested in acquiring single-family rental properties through bulk sales agreements.

How they make money

LGI Homes generates revenue primarily through the design, construction, and sale of new single-family homes across various U.S. markets. The company operates a business model focused on entry-level and move-up spec homes, while also engaging in wholesale sales of single-family rental homes to institutional investors and providing related mortgage and insurance services.

Products & services

The company offers entry-level attached and detached homes, active adult housing, and luxury homes. It also provides land development services and facilitates mortgage and insurance services for its homebuyers.

Brands & revenue mix

LGI Homes

Primary brand for entry-level and move-up homes.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Terrata Homes

Brand for luxury and move-up series homes.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.

Product / operating segments

RetailUSD 1.48B86.5%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

WholesaleUSD 230.33M13.5%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

Customer concentration

The company engages in wholesale home sales to institutional investors, which accounted for 15.7% of total home closings in 2025.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Construction materials and labor providers — The company relies on various third-party suppliers for raw materials and subcontractors for labor; specific supplier names are not disclosed.Source

Competitors

  • Public and private homebuilders — The company competes with a wide range of national, regional, and local homebuilders in the residential construction industry.Source

Strengths

  • Established presence in the entry-level home marketSource
  • Diversified product offerings across multiple price pointsSource

Risks

  • Fluctuations in economic conditions and interest ratesSource
  • Availability and cost of land, labor, and materialsSource

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

28

Poor

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

39

Poor

Financial Strength

43

Business Quality / Moat

37

Management

20

Growth Quality

29

Risk / Durability

82

Weak Company · Expensive Stock

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

19

Avoid

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

29/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 29/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.

The model outlook is currently cautious.

What we like
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak
  • •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for LGIH

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can LGIH maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •How long can LGIH fund negative free cash flow using its current cash position before it may need more debt or new shares?
  • •Is LGIH's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
  • •What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify LGIH's current valuation?
Business analysis: 15 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

28

0–100 · Poor

Opportunity Score

19

0–100 · Poor

Market Cap

$994.3M

P/E Ratio

16.7

EPS

$2.86

52-Week High

$66.25

52-Week Low

$33.55

Beta

1.84

Intrinsic Value

$24.34

Analyst Target

$85.00

Shares Outstanding

23.3M

Total Revenue

$1.71B

Total Debt

$1.59B

Dividend

No current dividend

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$91.71

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
27/ 100
+13 pts / 5d

Strong downward momentum

5D -0.8% · 20D -10.7% · RSI 45 · Price vs 20D avg -3.0%
Volatility
52/ 100
+6 pts / 5d

Normal movement

20D realized vol 58.9% · 60D 54.8% · Acceleration 1.07x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for LGIH

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on LGIH.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Established presence in the entry-level home market.
  • +Diversified product offerings across multiple price points.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Residential Construction industry.
  • −Fluctuations in economic conditions and interest rates.
  • −Availability and cost of land, labor, and materials.
  • −Negative free cash flow may increase the need for outside financing and dilution.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak28/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Poor

28

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

47

Debt Cost—
Debt Reduction YoY-8.7%
Debt / Equity0.79x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

23

Revenue YoY0.1%
Revenue CAGR-15.0%
Net Margin3.9%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

65

Asset Growth YoY4.5%
Liquidation/Share$91.71
Net Assets/MCap2.10x

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

47

Earnings Yield6.0%
Buyback Yield3.4%
Debt Cost—

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

20

ROIC1.6%
ROE3.1%
ROA1.7%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

37

EPS Growth-26.8%
FCF/Share Growth—
Rev/Share Growth-4.5%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

22

Intrinsic Value$24.34
Value Reference$14.60
MOS-77.1%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

37

Revenue23
Moat37
Valuation22

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

MOS %-77.1%
Value Reference$14.60
Deep Discount Reference$9.74

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

4

Interest Coverage—
ROIC1.6%
FCF Yield-12.7%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

19

Financial4
Valuation22
Debt47

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

45

Survival Years0.4 yrs
Current Ratio223.39x
FCF Margin-8.3%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

2 historical score records available

Previous Score

27

Jul 24, 2026

Change

+1.2

points

Current Score

28

Oct 1, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue+3.6
Debt0
Assets0
Capital+7.0
Management-0.9
Moat0
Valuation+3.3
Buffett+0.9

LGIH increased 1.2 points because Revenue improved by 3.6 points, Capital improved by 7 points, Valuation improved by 3.3 points.

Positive Contributors

  • + Revenue improved by 3.6 points
  • + Capital improved by 7 points
  • + Valuation improved by 3.3 points

Projected Score

Projected Score

26

Projected Change

-2.2 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 2.2 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Overvalued

Current Price

$42.77

Model Intrinsic Value

$24.34

Difference

+$18.43

+75.7% vs IV

Margin of Safety

-75.7%

UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Value Reference: $14.60
Deep Discount Reference: $9.74

Financial Charts

Revenue

201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025$0$800M$1.6B$2.4B$3.2B

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201520172019202120232025-$400M-$200M$0$200M$400M

Total Debt

201520172019202120232025$0$450M$900M$1.4B$1.8B

Total Assets

201520172019202120232025$0$1.0B$2.0B$3.0B$4.0B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$1.71B$1.71B$2.20B$2.36B····························
Cost of Revenue$1.38B$1.35B$1.67B$1.82B····························
Gross Profit$330.9M$353.5M$533.3M$542.2M····························
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
SG&A Expenses$262.0M$273.8M$321.1M$308.9M····························
Operating Expenses$262.5M$273.8M$321.1M$308.9M····························
EBITDA$95.3M$102.8M$262.0M$264.2M····························
Operating Income$68.4M$79.8M$212.1M$233.3M····························
Interest Expense$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
Income Before Tax$91.6M$98.5M$258.9M$261.8M····························
Income Tax Expense$25.5M$25.9M$62.8M$62.5M····························
Net Income$66.2M$72.6M$196.1M$199.2M····························
Basic EPS$2.86$3.13$8.33$8.48····························
Basic Shares23.19M23.19M23.53M23.51M····························
Diluted Shares23.25M23.25M23.61M23.65M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Nov 3, 2026
Estimated EPS: $0.86Estimated revenue: $468.1M
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$516.0M

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$1.16

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

-10.2%

Cash Change

+2.6%

Margin Change

-1.3 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Cash position grew
  • Debt reduced

What Weakened

  • Margins contracted

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, cash levels, debt levels. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, net income margin. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 6.7%. EPS declined 14.7%. Cash increased 2.6%. Total debt declined 10.2%. Net income margin declined by 1.3 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 120 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

Smart Money

Number of Gurus

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Loading data...

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

Start 7-Day Free Trial

Historical Trends

2 historical records
Jul 24, 2627
Oct 1, 2628

2 historical score records available.

Historical Score Chart

2 of 2 records shown

Wall Street Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Debt Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Asset Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Capital Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Management Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Moat Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26$24.05$24.70$25.35$26.00$26.65

Value Reference

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26$14.40$14.80$15.20$15.60$16.00

Margin of Safety %

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26-1.0%-1.0%-1.0%-1.0%-1.0%

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News

Rumor Mill · LGIH

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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