Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

Capital One Financial Corporation

COFNYSE
Wall Street Score · overall investment62/100
$204.88USD+$1.44 (+0.71%)
Company website www.capitalone.com
Headquarters1680 Capital One Drive, McLean, VA, 22102, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Financial Services · Financial - Credit Services
Price from Oct 29, 2026Financials updated Oct 20, 2026

COF · Price history

Price at last available close

$204.88

+$8.42 (+4.29%) 1M

2026-10-28

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Company & revenue

About Capital One Financial Corporation

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 5, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

Capital One Financial Corporation, identified by its ticker COF, operates as a prominent financial services holding company. It oversees essential subsidiaries such as Capital One Bank (USA), National Association, and Capital One, National Association, which collectively offer a broad spectrum of financial products and services throughout the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. The company structures its extensive operations into three core divisions: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking.

How they make money

Capital One Financial Corporation is a diversified financial services holding company that provides a broad range of financial products and services to consumers, small businesses, and commercial clients. The company generates revenue primarily through net interest income earned on loans and credit products, as well as non-interest income from service fees, interchange fees, and other financial services.

Products & services

Credit cards, consumer and commercial banking, auto loans, and digital financial services.

Brands & revenue mix

Capital One

The primary brand under which the company offers its credit card, banking, and lending products.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.

Product / operating segments

No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

Customer concentration

The company does not disclose any single customer that accounts for a significant portion of its total revenue as of the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Technology and Cloud Service Providers — The company relies on various third-party technology and cloud infrastructure providers to support its digital banking operations and data processing needs; specific supplier names are not disclosed.Source

Competitors

  • JPMorgan Chase & Co. — A global financial services firm providing credit cards, consumer banking, and commercial banking services.Source
  • Citigroup Inc. — A diversified financial services company offering credit cards and banking services to consumers and businesses.Source
  • American Express Company — A global financial services company primarily focused on credit card and payment services.Source

Strengths

  • Strong digital banking platform and technology infrastructureSource
  • Well-established brand presence in the credit card marketSource

Risks

  • Economic conditions and credit riskSource
  • Regulatory and compliance requirementsSource
  • Cybersecurity and data privacy threatsSource

Financial risk observations and what to check

These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-06-30.

Diluted weighted-average shares increased 22.8% year over year.

Compare per-share results with total earnings and inspect the equity footnote. A change in weighted-average shares does not by itself establish the cause, the number of shares issued today, or the economic effect of a split.

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

62

Fair

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

57

Fair

Financial Strength

30

Business Quality / Moat

72

Management

69

Growth Quality

70

Risk / Durability

54

Cheap for a Reason · Review the Risks

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

73

Fair

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

70/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 70/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is mixed across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. Review the category scores to identify what is helping or hurting the result.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as relatively attractive.

The model outlook is currently positive.

What we like
  • •Asset quality scores strongly
  • •Valuation scores attractively
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •Debt service risk
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak
  • •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for COF

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can COF maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •Is COF's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Does COF's balance between cash and debt leave enough flexibility if business conditions weaken?
  • •Is COF's valuation discount tied to a temporary concern or to a longer-term business risk?
  • •What does the current fundamental change risk warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of COF's score?
Debt service risk
Business analysis: 23 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

62

0–100 · Fair

Opportunity Score

73

0–100 · Strong

Market Cap

$125.69B

P/E Ratio

12.4

EPS

$16.16

52-Week High

$259.64

52-Week Low

$174.24

Beta

1.04

Intrinsic Value

$622.16

Analyst Target

$250.00

Shares Outstanding

541.3M

Total Revenue

$78.61B

Total Debt

$45.37B

Dividend Yield (TTM)

1.56%

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$210.22

Estimated net asset value per share

Dividend / Share (TTM)

$3.20

Trailing 12 months by ex-date; not a forecast

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
54/ 100
-11 pts / 5d

Neutral / mixed momentum

5D -0.9% · 20D +6.1% · RSI 58 · Price vs 20D avg +2.6%
Volatility
13/ 100
-2 pts / 5d

Low movement

20D realized vol 19.5% · 60D 22.2% · Acceleration 0.88x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for COF

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Dividend history reported

Dividend payments are recorded. Review the dates and regular/special classification below; past payments do not guarantee future dividends.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

Debt service risk

Interest coverage is low (~0.1x). Earnings may be strained to cover interest expense.

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on COF.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Strong digital banking platform and technology infrastructure.
  • +Well-established brand presence in the credit card market.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Financial - Credit Services industry.
  • −Economic conditions and credit risk.
  • −Regulatory and compliance requirements.
  • −Cybersecurity and data privacy threats.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Fair62/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Fair

62

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

20

Debt Cost31.0%
Debt Reduction YoY-12.0%
Debt / Equity0.45x

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

49

Revenue YoY13.5%
Revenue CAGR18.3%
Net Margin13.4%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

95

Asset Growth YoY36.5%
Liquidation/Share$210.22
Net Assets/MCap5.13x

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

48

Earnings Yield8.6%
Buyback Yield2.2%
Debt Cost31.0%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

69

ROIC2.0%
ROE9.2%
ROA1.6%

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Strong

72

EPS Growth-25.9%
FCF/Share Growth10.1%
Rev/Share Growth6.9%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

97

Intrinsic Value$622.16
Value Reference$373.30
MOS67.6%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

60

Revenue49
Moat72
Valuation97

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

MOS %67.6%
Value Reference$373.30
Deep Discount Reference$248.86

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

37

Interest Coverage0.1x
ROIC2.0%
FCF Yield21.3%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

62

Financial37
Valuation97
Debt20

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

54

Survival Years2.5 yrs
Current Ratio0.15x
FCF Margin37.7%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

7 historical score records available

Previous Score

62

Oct 1, 2026

Change

Unchanged

Current Score

62

Oct 20, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue-0.5
Debt0
Assets0
Capital-1.0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett-0.1

COF score was unchanged.

Projected Score

Projected Score

64

Projected Change

+2.0 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 2.0 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Review model assumptions

This model estimate is more than three times the share price.

This is a formula-based estimate, not a verified fair value or price target. Check the earnings and growth assumptions.

Stored EPS: $16.16 · Growth assumption: 15.0% · Earnings multiplier: 38.5×.

Current Price

$204.88

Model Intrinsic Value

$622.16

Difference

−$417.28

-67.1% vs IV

Margin of Safety

67.1%

Value Reference: $373.30
Deep Discount Reference: $248.86

Financial Charts

Revenue

201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025$0$20.0B$40.0B$60.0B$80.0B

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201520172019202120232025$0$7.0B$14.0B$21.0B$28.0B

Total Debt

201520172019202120232025$0$20.0B$40.0B$60.0B$80.0B

Total Assets

201520172019202120232025$0$200.0B$400.0B$600.0B$800.0B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$78.61B$69.25B$53.94B$49.48B····························
Cost of Revenue$26.58B$36.47B$26.54B$23.12B····························
Gross Profit$52.04B$32.78B$27.40B$26.36B····························
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
SG&A Expenses$23.98B$18.36B$13.96B$13.31B····························
Operating Expenses$35.51B$30.50B$21.49B$20.32B····························
EBITDA$23.06B$7.54B$9.15B$9.27B····························
Operating Income$16.52B$2.28B$5.91B$6.04B····························
Interest Expense$16.68B$15.82B$14.83B$12.70B····························
Income Before Tax$13.00B$2.28B$5.91B$6.04B····························
Income Tax Expense$2.85B$193.0M$1.16B$1.16B····························
Net Income$10.52B$2.45B$4.75B$4.89B····························
Basic EPS$16.16$4.03$11.61$11.98····························
Basic Shares621M541M383M382M····························
Diluted Shares621M541M384M383M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:A future estimated earnings date is not currently available.
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$19.86B

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$4.73

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

-13.9%

Cash Change

-7.4%

Margin Change

+41.3 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Margins expanded
  • Debt reduced

What Weakened

  • Cash position declined

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, debt levels, net income margin. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, cash levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 21.0%. EPS declined 155.1%. Cash declined 7.4%. Total debt declined 13.9%. Net income margin improved by 41.3 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 120 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

52

Smart Money

52

Number of Gurus

14

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Loading data...

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Log in to view dividend history.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

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Historical Trends

7 historical records
Jul 23, 26Aug 12, 26Sep 3, 26Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 20, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 7 records shown
3 historical score records are shown. Start your seven-day free trial to unlock 4 more records and the complete score history.Start Free Trial

Wall Street Score

Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 20, 260255075100

Debt Score

Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 20, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 20, 260255075100

Asset Score

Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 20, 260255075100

Capital Score

Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 20, 260255075100

Management Score

Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 20, 260255075100

Moat Score

Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 20, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 20, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 20, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 20, 26$620.00$621.00$622.00$623.00$624.00

Value Reference

Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 20, 26$371.00$372.00$373.00$374.00$375.00

Margin of Safety %

Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 20, 260.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%

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News

Rumor Mill · COF

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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