Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

Carlsmed, Inc.

CARLNASDAQ
Wall Street Score · overall investment34/100
$15.44USD+$0.02 (+0.13%)
Company website www.carlsmed.com
Headquarters1800 Aston Avenue, Carlsbad, CA, 92008, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Healthcare · Medical - Healthcare Information Services
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 1, 2026

CARL · Price history

Price at last available close

$15.44

+$1.26 (+8.88%) 1M

2026-10-28

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Company & revenue

About Carlsmed, Inc.

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

Carlsmed, Inc., a commercial-stage medical technology company, designs, manufactures, and markets AI-enabled personalized spine surgery solutions. The company develops aprevo, a comprehensive technology platform for spine fusion surgery procedures. Its aprevo platform includes proprietary surgical planning software, using outcomes-based algorithms that are aided with artificial intelligence, and resulting custom-built, anatomically designed vertebral interbody implants.

How they make money

Carlsmed, Inc. is a commercial-stage medical technology company that generates revenue primarily through the sale of its proprietary surgical devices and enabling technology. The company utilizes a personalized, data-driven approach to provide surgeons with patient-specific implants and instrumentation for complex spinal procedures, charging for the delivery of these customized surgical solutions.

Products & services

The company provides the aprevo® platform, which includes patient-specific, 3D-printed spinal implants and instrumentation designed for lumbar and cervical fusion surgeries.

Brands & revenue mix

aprevo®

The company's primary platform for patient-specific spinal implants.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.

Product / operating segments

No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

  • Hospitals and Ambulatory Surgery CentersSource
  • Orthopedic and NeurosurgeonsSource

Customer concentration

No quantified customer-concentration disclosure is available in the current saved research.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Contract Manufacturing — The company utilizes third-party contract manufacturers for the production of its 3D-printed implants and surgical instruments.Source

Competitors

  • Medtronic — A global medical technology company that competes in the spinal implant and surgical instrumentation market.Source
  • Stryker Corporation — A medical technology company providing orthopedic and spinal surgical products.Source
  • Globus Medical — A developer of spinal implants and enabling technologies for surgical procedures.Source

Strengths

  • Proprietary 3D-printing technology for patient-specific implantsSource
  • Strong year-over-year revenue growthSource

Risks

  • Dependence on third-party manufacturersSource
  • Regulatory risks associated with medical device approval and complianceSource

Financial risk observations and what to check

These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-06-30.

Diluted weighted-average shares increased 492.4% year over year.

Compare per-share results with total earnings and inspect the equity footnote. A change in weighted-average shares does not by itself establish the cause, the number of shares issued today, or the economic effect of a split.

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

34

Poor

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

54

Fair

Financial Strength

32

Business Quality / Moat

100

Management

40

Growth Quality

74

Risk / Durability

0

Weak Company · Expensive Stock

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

37

Avoid

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

53/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 53/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.

The model outlook is currently moderate.

What we like

No strong positive signal is being highlighted from the currently available summary data.

What to watch
  • •Debt service risk
  • •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak
  • •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for CARL

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can CARL maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •How long can CARL fund negative free cash flow using its current cash position before it may need more debt or new shares?
  • •How is CARL likely to use its cash advantage: reinvestment, acquisitions, debt reduction, dividends or buybacks?
  • •What specifically needs to improve for CARL to reach sustainable profitability?
  • •What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify CARL's current valuation?
Debt service risk
Business analysis: 16 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

34

0–100 · Poor

Opportunity Score

37

0–100 · Weak

Market Cap

$421.5M

P/E Ratio

-10.3

EPS

$-1.36

52-Week High

$17.23

52-Week Low

$8.50

Beta

1.94

Analyst Target

$18.50

Shares Outstanding

14.2M

Total Revenue

$63.3M

Total Debt

$21.9M

Dividend

No current dividend

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$5.92

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
74/ 100
+22 pts / 5d

Building upward momentum

5D +7.9% · 20D +9.7% · RSI 65 · Price vs 20D avg +7.1%
Volatility
44/ 100
-4 pts / 5d

Normal movement

20D realized vol 49.4% · 60D 45.6% · Acceleration 1.08x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for CARL

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Debt service risk

Interest coverage is low (~-21.4x). Earnings may be strained to cover interest expense.

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on CARL.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Proprietary 3D-printing technology for patient-specific implants.
  • +Strong year-over-year revenue growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Medical - Healthcare Information Services industry.
  • −Dependence on third-party manufacturers.
  • −Regulatory risks associated with medical device approval and compliance.
  • −Diluted weighted-average shares increased 492.4% year over year.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak34/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Poor

34

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

49

Debt Cost8.2%
Debt Reduction YoY-1.4%
Debt / Equity0.18x

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

40

Revenue YoY25.3%
Revenue CAGR91.5%
Net Margin-57.4%

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Fair

68

Asset Growth YoY151.1%
Liquidation/Share$5.92
Net Assets/MCap0.25x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

Earnings Yield-9.5%
Buyback Yield0.0%
Debt Cost8.2%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

40

ROIC-51.0%
ROE-43.1%
ROA-30.7%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

EPS Growth—
FCF/Share Growth—
Rev/Share Growth116.5%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

Intrinsic Value—
Value Reference—
MOS—

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

51

Revenue40
Moat100
Valuation0

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

MOS %—
Value Reference—
Deep Discount Reference—

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

25

Interest Coverage-21.4x
ROIC-51.0%
FCF Yield-7.7%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

36

Financial25
Valuation0
Debt49

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

30

Survival Years3.7 yrs
Current Ratio8.87x
FCF Margin-58.6%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

5 historical score records available

Previous Score

34

Sep 9, 2026

Change

+0.1

points

Current Score

34

Oct 1, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue+0.1
Debt0
Assets+0.6
Capital0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett+0.1

CARL increased 0.1 points because overall fundamentals improved.

Projected Score

Projected Score

32

Projected Change

-2.0 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 2.0 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Valuation unavailable

Current Price

$15.44

Model Intrinsic Value

—

Difference

—

Margin of Safety

—

Value Reference: —
Deep Discount Reference: —

Intrinsic value is not currently available for this stock, so valuation can't be calculated.

Financial Charts

Revenue

202320242025$0$15M$30M$45M$60M

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

202320242025-$32M-$28M-$24M-$20M-$16M

Total Debt

202320242025$0$5M$9M$14M$18M

Total Assets

202320242025$0$35M$70M$105M$140M

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Large reported revenue change: +85.9%

Revenue changed sharply from 2024 to 2025. This can reflect a real business change, acquisition, divestiture, discontinued operations, restatement, or reporting-basis change. Compare the underlying filing before treating it as normal growth or decline.

TTM may combine quarters from before and after the event, so its trend can also be distorted.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM202520242023
Revenue$63.3M$50.5M$27.2M$13.8M
Cost of Revenue$14.8M$12.5M$7.1M$3.9M
Gross Profit$48.5M$38.0M$20.0M$9.9M
Research & Development$20.9M$17.0M$14.3M$7.4M
SG&A Expenses$66.2M$51.6M$29.9M$21.1M
Operating Expenses$87.2M$68.6M$44.2M$28.5M
EBITDA-$24.2M-$27.9M-$22.8M-$18.1M
Operating Income-$38.7M-$30.6M-$24.1M-$18.6M
Interest Expense$1.3M$1.4M$1.3M$641K
Income Before Tax-$25.8M-$29.6M-$24.3M-$18.9M
Income Tax Expense$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00
Net Income-$36.3M-$29.6M-$24.3M-$18.9M
Basic EPS$-1.03$-2.12$-1.50$-4.25
Basic Shares27.19M14.22M16.56M4.45M
Diluted Shares27.19M14.22M16.56M4.45M

Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Nov 5, 2026
Estimated EPS: -$0.42Estimated revenue: $19.2M
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$18.9M

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

-$0.39

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

+23.8%

Cash Change

+38.2%

Margin Change

+0.5 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Margins expanded
  • Cash position grew

What Weakened

  • Debt increased

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, cash levels, net income margin. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, debt levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 56.7%. EPS declined 73.5%. Cash increased 38.2%. Total debt increased 23.8%. Net income margin improved by 0.5 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

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Earnings data: 120 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

Smart Money

Number of Gurus

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Loading data...

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

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Historical Trends

5 historical records
Jul 23, 26Aug 12, 26Sep 2, 26Sep 9, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 5 records shown
3 historical score records are shown. Start your seven-day free trial to unlock 2 more records and the complete score history.Start Free Trial

Wall Street Score

Sep 2, 26Sep 9, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Debt Score

Sep 2, 26Sep 9, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Sep 2, 26Sep 9, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Asset Score

Sep 2, 26Sep 9, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Capital Score

Sep 2, 26Sep 9, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Management Score

Sep 2, 26Sep 9, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Moat Score

Sep 2, 26Sep 9, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Sep 2, 26Sep 9, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Sep 2, 26Sep 9, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

No data

Value Reference

No data

Margin of Safety %

No data

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News

Rumor Mill · CARL

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

Related Stock Research

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Highest Wall Street Score stocksBest growth stocksBest healthcare stocksHow Wall Street Score worksHow to analyze a stockUnderstanding financial healthIntrinsic value guide

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