Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

Valvoline Inc.

VVVNYSE
Wall Street Score · overall investment29/100
$31.77USD$-0.10 (-0.31%)
Company website www.valvoline.com
Headquarters100 Valvoline Way, Lexington, KY, 40509, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Dealerships
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 26, 2026

VVV · Price history

Price at last available close

$31.77

+$3.29 (+11.55%) 1M

2026-10-28

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Company & revenue

About Valvoline Inc.

Primary reporting period: 2025-09-30 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

Valvoline Inc. is a prominent provider, involved in the manufacturing, distribution, and commercialization of a comprehensive range of engine and vehicle care products and related services. Its operations are structured into two distinct divisions: Retail Services and Global Products. Valvoline's extensive product portfolio encompasses various types of lubricants designed for passenger vehicles, light-duty trucks, and heavy-duty machinery.

How they make money

Valvoline operates and franchises a network of quick-lube service centers that provide preventive automotive maintenance. The company generates revenue through direct service fees at company-operated stores, as well as through royalties, product sales, and other fees collected from its network of franchise partners.

Products & services

Preventive automotive maintenance services including oil changes, tire rotations, battery replacements, and other light maintenance services.

Brands & revenue mix

Valvoline Instant Oil Change

Primary retail brand for quick-lube service centers in the United States.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Valvoline Great Canadian Oil Change

Retail brand for quick-lube service centers in Canada.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Oil Changers

Retail brand for quick-lube service centers.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.

Product / operating segments

Oil ChangesUSD 1.25B72.9%

Period ended 2025-09-30Source

Non-oil ChangesUSD 368.40M21.5%

Period ended 2025-09-30Source

FranchiseUSD 94.60M5.5%

Period ended 2025-09-30Source

Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.

Geographic revenue

Quick LubesUSD 1.66B96.9%

Period ended 2025-09-30Source

InternationalUSD 53.20M3.1%

Period ended 2025-09-30Source

Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.

Customer types

Customer concentration

No quantified customer-concentration disclosure is available in the current saved research.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Automotive parts and lubricant suppliers — The company relies on various third-party suppliers for automotive parts, lubricants, and other supplies necessary for service center operations.Source

Strengths

  • 19 consecutive years of system-wide same-store sales growthSource
  • Scaled network of over 2,100 service centersSource

Risks

  • Dependence on franchisee performance and complianceSource
  • Risks associated with network expansion and acquisitionsSource

Financial risk observations and what to check

These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-06-30.

Total debt increased 42.2% versus the same quarter last year.

Compare the added borrowing with available cash, cash generation and maturities. A percentage increase from a small starting balance can look large without measuring the full debt burden.

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

29

Poor

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

55

Fair

Financial Strength

62

Business Quality / Moat

43

Management

52

Growth Quality

60

Risk / Durability

59

Weak Company · Expensive Stock

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

37

Avoid

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

46/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 46/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.

The model outlook is currently cautious.

What we like
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •Repurchase headline · Sep 29, 2026
  • •M&A headline · Aug 25, 2026
  • •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak
  • •Asset quality is a weaker factor

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for VVV

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can VVV maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •Is VVV's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Is VVV's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
  • •What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify VVV's current valuation?
  • •What does the current fundamental change risk warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of VVV's score?
⚠ 2 warningsView warning details
Repurchase headline · Sep 29, 2026M&A headline · Aug 25, 2026
Business analysis: 16 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

29

0–100 · Poor

Opportunity Score

37

0–100 · Weak

Market Cap

$4.05B

P/E Ratio

43.1

EPS

$0.74

52-Week High

$41.08

52-Week Low

$26.21

Beta

1.04

Intrinsic Value

$23.21

Analyst Target

$44.00

Shares Outstanding

128.6M

Total Revenue

$1.96B

Total Debt

$1.98B

Dividend

No current dividend

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$3.24

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
57/ 100
+2 pts / 5d

Neutral / mixed momentum

5D +2.1% · 20D +5.4% · RSI 57 · Price vs 20D avg +2.3%
Volatility
20/ 100
-1 pts / 5d

Low movement

20D realized vol 29.3% · 60D 37.7% · Acceleration 0.78x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for VVV

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

Repurchase headline · Sep 29, 2026

Valvoline Inc. Announces Increase in Share Repurchase Authorization — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.

Business Wire

M&A headline · Aug 25, 2026

BlackRock Inc. Acquires Shares of 12,692,233 Valvoline $VVV — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.

Defense World

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on VVV.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +19 consecutive years of system-wide same-store sales growth.
  • +Scaled network of over 2,100 service centers.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Auto - Dealerships industry.
  • −Dependence on franchisee performance and compliance.
  • −Risks associated with network expansion and acquisitions.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak29/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Poor

29

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

66

Debt Cost4.4%
Debt Reduction YoY-2.6%
Debt / Equity4.93x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

31

Revenue YoY14.8%
Revenue CAGR8.8%
Net Margin5.2%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

35

Asset Growth YoY9.5%
Liquidation/Share$3.24
Net Assets/MCap0.37x

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

44

Earnings Yield2.5%
Buyback Yield12.1%
Debt Cost4.4%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

52

ROIC12.4%
ROE24.4%
ROA2.9%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

43

EPS Growth0.9%
FCF/Share Growth-18.8%
Rev/Share Growth13.1%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

4

Intrinsic Value$23.21
Value Reference$13.92
MOS-37.5%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

43

Revenue31
Moat43
Valuation4

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

MOS %-37.5%
Value Reference$13.92
Deep Discount Reference$9.28

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

15

Interest Coverage5.3x
ROIC12.4%
FCF Yield0.9%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

21

Financial15
Valuation4
Debt66

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

29

Survival Years0.3 yrs
Current Ratio0.70x
FCF Margin2.2%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

3 historical score records available

Previous Score

30

Oct 1, 2026

Change

-0.1

points

Current Score

29

Oct 26, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue-0.3
Debt0
Assets-0.5
Capital0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett-0.2

VVV decreased 0.1 points because some fundamentals weakened.

Projected Score

Projected Score

34

Projected Change

+5.0 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 5.0 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Overvalued

Current Price

$31.77

Model Intrinsic Value

$23.21

Difference

+$8.56

+36.9% vs IV

Margin of Safety

-36.9%

UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Value Reference: $13.92
Deep Discount Reference: $9.28

Financial Charts

Revenue

20152016201720182019202020212022202320242025$0$600M$1.2B$1.8B$2.4B

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201520172019202120232025-$150M$0$150M$300M$450M

Total Debt

201520172019202120232025$0$600M$1.2B$1.8B$2.4B

Total Assets

201520172019202120232025$0$900M$1.8B$2.7B$3.6B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$1.96B$1.71B$1.62B$1.44B····························
Cost of Revenue$1.21B$1.05B$1.00B$899.0M····························
Gross Profit$751.9M$658.5M$618.8M$544.5M····························
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
SG&A Expenses$281.9M$349.9M$316.8M$236.9M····························
Operating Expenses$401.2M$268.6M$251.6M$297.3M····························
EBITDA$461.1M$510.7M$472.4M$368.8M····························
Operating Income$350.7M$389.9M$367.2M$247.2M····························
Interest Expense$60.4M$74.0M$71.9M$38.3M····························
Income Before Tax$176.3M$292.3M$283.6M$236.5M····························
Income Tax Expense$72.6M$77.5M$69.1M$37.1M····························
Net Income$101.5M$210.7M$211.5M$1.42B····························
Basic EPS$0.74$1.65$1.63$8.79····························
Basic Shares128M128M130M162M····························
Diluted Shares128M129M131M163M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
Upgrade to Premium

Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Nov 18, 2026
Estimated EPS: $0.42Estimated revenue: $568.6M
Jun 30, 2026Q3FY2026

Revenue

$544.6M

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$0.51

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

+42.2%

Cash Change

+23.3%

Margin Change

-1.0 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Cash position grew

What Weakened

  • Margins contracted
  • Debt increased

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth, cash levels. Pressure indicators included debt levels, net income margin. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 24.1%. EPS increased 15.9%. Cash increased 23.3%. Total debt increased 42.2%. Net income margin declined by 1.0 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 120 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

Smart Money

Number of Gurus

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Loading data...

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

Start 7-Day Free Trial

Historical Trends

3 historical records
Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 26, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 3 records shown

Wall Street Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 26, 260255075100

Debt Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 26, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 26, 260255075100

Asset Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 26, 260255075100

Capital Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 26, 260255075100

Management Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 26, 260255075100

Moat Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 26, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 26, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 26, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 26, 26$18.00$27.00$36.00$45.00$54.00

Value Reference

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 26, 26$12.00$18.00$24.00$30.00$36.00

Margin of Safety %

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 26, 26-0.4%-0.2%0.0%0.2%0.4%

Related Companies

Auto - Dealerships

SDA

SunCar Technology Group Inc.

68Fair
$0.31View

ABG

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.

62Fair
$172.13View

LAD

Lithia Motors, Inc.

60Fair
$286.52View

GPI

Group 1 Automotive, Inc.

60Fair
$243.23View

CVNA

Carvana Co.

57Fair
$57.81View

AN

AutoNation, Inc.

51Fair
$161.89View

News

Rumor Mill · VVV

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

Related Stock Research

Continue researching this company with related Wall Street Score rankings and investing guides.

Highest Wall Street Score stocksBest growth stocksHow Wall Street Score worksHow to analyze a stockUnderstanding financial healthIntrinsic value guide

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