Vistra Corp.
VST · Price history
Price at last available close
$142.72
+$1.89 (+1.34%) 1M
2026-10-28
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Company & revenue
About Vistra Corp.
Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.
Who they are
Vistra Corp., along with its various holdings, functions as a unified entity primarily engaged in retail electricity supply and power generation. The company organizes its operations across six distinct segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, Sunset, and Asset Closure. It directly provides electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial clients throughout 20 U.
How they make money
Vistra is an integrated retail electricity and power generation company. It generates electricity through a diverse fleet of natural gas, nuclear, coal, and renewable assets and sells power and related services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers through its retail business.
Products & services
Electricity generation, retail electricity sales, and energy storage solutions.
Brands & revenue mix
Retail electricity brand primarily in Texas.
Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source
Retail electricity brand.
Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source
Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.
Product / operating segments
No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.
Geographic revenue
No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.
Customer concentration
No quantified customer-concentration disclosure is available in the current saved research.
Suppliers, materials & equipment
- Fuel suppliers — Various suppliers of natural gas, coal, and nuclear fuel for power generation.Source
Competitors
Strengths
Sources
Wall Street Score
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
31
Poor
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
42
Weak
Financial Strength
31
Business Quality / Moat
47
Management
53
Growth Quality
49
Risk / Durability
34
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Opportunity
Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?
41
Avoid
Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.
View score details →
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
46/100
Building Historical Record
Model Score 46/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.
Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.
Click for full breakdown →
WSS View
The quick read
The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.
At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.
The model outlook is currently cautious.
- •Recent buyback activity is present
- •Elevated debt risk
- •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
- •Revenue fundamentals are weak
- •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention
- •Asset quality is a weaker factor
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for VST
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
- •Can VST maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
- •Is VST's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
- •Is VST's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
- •What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify VST's current valuation?
Essential Investment Snapshot
Wall Street Score
31
Opportunity Score
41
Market Cap
$47.90B
P/E Ratio
23.6
EPS
$6.00
52-Week High
$203.66
52-Week Low
$132.66
Beta
1.38
Intrinsic Value
$158.01
Analyst Target
$204.00
Shares Outstanding
345.7M
Total Revenue
$19.21B
Total Debt
$19.89B
Dividend Yield (TTM)
0.64%
Liquidation Value / Share
$15.89
Dividend / Share (TTM)
$0.91
Momentum & Volatility Signals
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
Weakening momentum
High movement
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for VST
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.Dividend history reported
Dividend payments are recorded. Review the dates and regular/special classification below; past payments do not guarantee future dividends.
Historical repurchase activity
Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.
Elevated debt risk
Total debt is at least one year of revenue • Interest coverage is below 2x • Cash covers less than 20% of total debt
Community Sentiment
0 active · 0 total callsNo personal call yet on VST.
Potential upside factors
- +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
- +Integrated business model combining generation and retail.
- +Diverse generation fleet including nuclear and renewables.
- +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.
Potential downside factors
- −Debt risk (elevated): Total debt is at least one year of revenue.
- −Interest coverage is below 2x.
- −Cash covers less than 20% of total debt.
- −Commodity price volatility.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
Create a free account to make a call.
Scores
Click any score for full breakdownWas this stock page easy to understand?
One click helps us improve the research experience. This is not tied to an investment decision.
Score Changes
3 historical score records availablePrevious Score
24
Oct 1, 2026
Change
+6.7
points
Current Score
31
Oct 26, 2026
Category Changes
VST increased 6.7 points because Revenue improved by 12.1 points, Management improved by 3.8 points, Moat improved by 3.2 points.
Positive Contributors
- + Revenue improved by 12.1 points
- + Management improved by 3.8 points
- + Moat improved by 3.2 points
- + Valuation improved by 18.5 points
- + Buffett improved by 5.4 points
Projected Score
Projected Score
25
Projected Change
-5.6 points
Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 5.6 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.
Price vs. Value
Near Fair ValueCurrent Price
$142.72
Model Intrinsic Value
$158.01
Difference
−$15.29
-9.7% vs IV
Margin of Safety
9.7%
Financial Charts
Revenue
Additional Metrics
Operating Cash Flow
Total Debt
Total Assets
Net Margin %
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
| Line Item | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $19.21B | $17.74B | $17.22B | $14.78B | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Cost of Revenue | $11.91B | $11.90B | $9.70B | $9.26B | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Gross Profit | $7.30B | $5.83B | $7.53B | $5.52B | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Research & Development | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| SG&A Expenses | $1.72B | $1.71B | $1.60B | $1.31B | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Operating Expenses | $3.73B | $3.93B | $3.44B | $2.81B | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| EBITDA | $6.57B | $5.25B | $7.00B | $4.57B | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Operating Income | $3.57B | $1.91B | $4.08B | $2.71B | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Interest Expense | $1.15B | $1.18B | $900.0M | $749.0M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Income Before Tax | $2.80B | $1.12B | $3.47B | $2.00B | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Income Tax Expense | $584.0M | $179.0M | $655.0M | $508.0M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Net Income | $2.22B | $944.0M | $2.66B | $1.49B | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Basic EPS | $6.00 | $2.22 | $7.16 | $3.63 | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Basic Shares | 337M | 339M | 345M | 370M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Diluted Shares | 339M | 346M | 353M | 375M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
Earnings Summary
Revenue
$4.02B
Estimate unavailable.
Revenue Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
EPS
$0.76
Estimate unavailable.
EPS Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
Debt Change
+10.3%
Cash Change
-5.0%
Margin Change
-0.1 pp
Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.
Financial Changes Since Prior Period
What Weakened
- Margins contracted
- Cash position declined
- Debt increased
Potential Score Impact
Pressure indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth, cash levels, debt levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.
Stored Earnings Analysis
Revenue declined 5.5%. EPS declined 8.4%. Cash declined 5.0%. Total debt increased 10.3%. Net income margin declined by 0.1 percentage points.
Earnings-Call Transcript
Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.
These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.
Insider Activity
Guru / Smart Money
Guru Score
41
Smart Money
41
Number of Gurus
4
Total Guru Value
Avg Portfolio Weight
Largest Holder
Largest Holder %
New Positions
Increased Positions
Reduced Positions
Exited Positions
Net Guru Sentiment
Short Interest
Dividend History
Log in to view dividend history.
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
$———.——
5 Years
$———.——
10 Years
$———.——
Conservative Projection Rate
——%
Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.
Start 7-Day Free TrialHistorical Outperformance Record
Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.
Start 7-Day Free TrialHistorical Trends
3 historical recordsHistorical Score Chart
3 of 3 records shownWall Street Score
Debt Score
Revenue Score
Asset Score
Capital Score
Management Score
Moat Score
Valuation Score
Buffett Score
Intrinsic Value
Value Reference
Margin of Safety %
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Rumor Mill · VST
Corporate developments & opportunities
No reviewed developments match this filter.
Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.
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