Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

NRG Energy, Inc.

NRGNYSE
Wall Street Score · overall investment31/100
$96.97USD+$1.70 (+1.78%)
Company website www.nrg.com
Headquarters1301 McKinney Street, Houston, TX, 77010, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Utilities · Independent Power Producers
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 8, 2026

NRG · Price history

Price at last available close

$96.97

−$0.03 (-0.03%) 1M

2026-10-28

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Company & revenue

About NRG Energy, Inc.

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

NRG Energy, Inc., together with its affiliated entities, operates as a comprehensive power utility spanning the United States. Its operations are divided into three main geographical divisions: Texas, East, and West. The company plays a crucial role in generating, distributing, and selling electricity and various related services, serving approximately six million customers across residential, commercial, industrial, and wholesale sectors.

How they make money

NRG Energy operates as an integrated power company that generates electricity and provides energy and smart-home solutions to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company earns revenue by selling electricity and natural gas through retail channels and wholesale markets, while also managing customer relationships through billing, payment processing, and service delivery.

Products & services

Electricity, natural gas, and smart-home technology solutions, including energy management and related home services.

Brands & revenue mix

NRG

Core corporate brand for energy services.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Reliant

Retail energy brand.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Direct Energy

Retail energy brand.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Green Mountain Energy

Renewable energy retail brand.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Vivint

Smart home technology brand.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.

Product / operating segments

East SegmentUSD 14.26B46.4%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

Texas SegmentUSD 11.14B36.3%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

West, Services and Other SegmentUSD 3.20B10.4%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

Vivint Smart Home SegmentUSD 2.14B7.0%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

  • Residential customersSource
  • Commercial and industrial customersSource
  • Wholesale counterpartiesSource

Customer concentration

No quantified customer-concentration disclosure is available in the current saved research.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Natural gas and electricity wholesale markets — The company relies on wholesale energy markets to procure power and fuel for its retail operations.Source

Strengths

  • Integrated retail and generation platformSource

Risks

  • Regulatory and legal compliance risksSource
  • Market price volatility for energy commoditiesSource

Financial risk observations and what to check

These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-06-30.

Total debt increased 111.1% versus the same quarter last year.

Compare the added borrowing with available cash, cash generation and maturities. A percentage increase from a small starting balance can look large without measuring the full debt burden.

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

31

Poor

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

43

Weak

Financial Strength

28

Business Quality / Moat

58

Management

39

Growth Quality

57

Risk / Durability

42

Weak Company · Expensive Stock

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

23

Avoid

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

37/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 37/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.

The model outlook is currently cautious.

What we like
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •Distress / listing headline · Aug 18, 2026
  • •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak
  • •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for NRG

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can NRG maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •Is NRG's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Is NRG's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
  • •What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify NRG's current valuation?
  • •What does the current fundamental change risk warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of NRG's score?
Distress / listing headline · Aug 18, 2026
Business analysis: 16 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

31

0–100 · Poor

Opportunity Score

23

0–100 · Poor

Market Cap

$20.38B

P/E Ratio

28.2

EPS

$3.80

52-Week High

$189.96

52-Week Low

$93.36

Beta

1.16

Intrinsic Value

$32.30

Analyst Target

$209.50

Shares Outstanding

199.0M

Total Revenue

$33.17B

Total Debt

$23.47B

Dividend Yield (TTM)

1.92%

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$24.40

Estimated net asset value per share

Dividend / Share (TTM)

$1.86

Trailing 12 months by ex-date; not a forecast

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
33/ 100
-5 pts / 5d

Weakening momentum

5D -2.8% · 20D +1.4% · RSI 36 · Price vs 20D avg -3.3%
Volatility
47/ 100
+7 pts / 5d

Normal movement

20D realized vol 51.0% · 60D 45.0% · Acceleration 1.14x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for NRG

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Dividend history reported

Dividend payments are recorded. Review the dates and regular/special classification below; past payments do not guarantee future dividends.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

Distress / listing headline · Aug 18, 2026

NRG Energy named as potential bidder for West Virginia coal plant in bankruptcy — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.

Reuters

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on NRG.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Integrated retail and generation platform.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Independent Power Producers industry.
  • −Regulatory and legal compliance risks.
  • −Market price volatility for energy commodities.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak31/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Poor

31

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

23

Debt Cost4.6%
Debt Reduction YoY-52.5%
Debt / Equity9.97x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

30

Revenue YoY8.0%
Revenue CAGR3.2%
Net Margin2.6%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

60

Asset Growth YoY21.3%
Liquidation/Share$24.40
Net Assets/MCap0.73x

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

46

Earnings Yield3.7%
Buyback Yield4.5%
Debt Cost4.6%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

39

ROIC5.3%
ROE17.5%
ROA2.1%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

58

EPS Growth2.8%
FCF/Share Growth-3.9%
Rev/Share Growth19.1%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

16

Intrinsic Value$32.30
Value Reference$19.38
MOS-200.2%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

37

Revenue30
Moat58
Valuation16

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

MOS %-200.2%
Value Reference$19.38
Deep Discount Reference$12.92

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

34

Interest Coverage2.4x
ROIC5.3%
FCF Yield3.4%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

30

Financial34
Valuation16
Debt23

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

35

Survival Years1.5 yrs
Current Ratio1.64x
FCF Margin2.5%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

3 historical score records available

Previous Score

33

Oct 1, 2026

Change

-2.0

points

Current Score

31

Oct 8, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue-12.6
Debt0
Assets-3.0
Capital-5.0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett-3.0

NRG decreased 2 points because Revenue declined by 12.6 points, Asset declined by 3 points, Capital declined by 5 points.

Negative Contributors

  • − Revenue declined by 12.6 points
  • − Asset declined by 3 points
  • − Capital declined by 5 points
  • − Buffett declined by 3 points

Projected Score

Projected Score

31

Projected Change

0.0 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest little change. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Overvalued

Current Price

$96.97

Model Intrinsic Value

$32.30

Difference

+$64.67

+200.2% vs IV

Margin of Safety

-200.2%

UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Value Reference: $19.38
Deep Discount Reference: $12.92

Financial Charts

Revenue

201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025$0$8.0B$16.0B$24.0B$32.0B

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201520172019202120232025-$800M$0$800M$1.6B$2.4B

Total Debt

201520172019202120232025$0$5.5B$11.0B$16.5B$22.0B

Total Assets

201520172019202120232025$0$15.0B$30.0B$45.0B$60.0B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$33.17B$30.71B$28.13B$28.82B····························
Cost of Revenue$26.73B$24.00B$22.10B$26.53B····························
Gross Profit$6.44B$6.71B$6.03B$2.30B····························
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
SG&A Expenses$4.72B$4.84B$2.35B$1.84B····························
Operating Expenses$4.53B$4.86B$3.61B$1.91B····························
EBITDA$3.15B$3.29B$3.17B$1.79B····························
Operating Income$1.91B$1.85B$2.42B$384.0M····························
Interest Expense$491.0M$772.0M$651.0M$667.0M····························
Income Before Tax$992.0M$1.08B$1.45B-$213.0M····························
Income Tax Expense$143.0M$214.0M$323.0M-$11.0M····························
Net Income$849.0M$864.0M$1.13B-$202.0M····························
Basic EPS$3.80$4.09$5.14$-1.12····························
Basic Shares211M195M206M228M····························
Diluted Shares212M199M212M228M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
Upgrade to Premium

Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Nov 5, 2026
Estimated EPS: $3.16Estimated revenue: $9.33B
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$7.48B

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$2.31

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

+111.1%

Cash Change

-10.0%

Margin Change

+8.3 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Margins expanded

What Weakened

  • Cash position declined
  • Debt increased

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, net income margin. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, cash levels, debt levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 11.0%. EPS declined 472.6%. Cash declined 10.0%. Total debt increased 111.1%. Net income margin improved by 8.3 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 120 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

Smart Money

Number of Gurus

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Loading data...

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Log in to view dividend history.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

Start 7-Day Free Trial

Historical Trends

3 historical records
Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 3 records shown

Wall Street Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Debt Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Asset Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Capital Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Management Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Moat Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 26$32.20$32.90$33.60$34.30$35.00

Value Reference

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 26$19.35$19.80$20.25$20.70$21.15

Margin of Safety %

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 26-3.0%-2.0%-1.0%0.0%1.0%

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News

Rumor Mill · NRG

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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Highest Wall Street Score stocksBest growth stocksHow Wall Street Score worksHow to analyze a stockUnderstanding financial healthIntrinsic value guide

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