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Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.
Who they are
NRG Energy, Inc., together with its affiliated entities, operates as a comprehensive power utility spanning the United States. Its operations are divided into three main geographical divisions: Texas, East, and West. The company plays a crucial role in generating, distributing, and selling electricity and various related services, serving approximately six million customers across residential, commercial, industrial, and wholesale sectors.
How they make money
NRG Energy operates as an integrated power company that generates electricity and provides energy and smart-home solutions to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company earns revenue by selling electricity and natural gas through retail channels and wholesale markets, while also managing customer relationships through billing, payment processing, and service delivery.
Products & services
Electricity, natural gas, and smart-home technology solutions, including energy management and related home services.
Brands & revenue mix
NRG
Core corporate brand for energy services.
Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source
Reliant
Retail energy brand.
Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source
Direct Energy
Retail energy brand.
Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source
Green Mountain Energy
Renewable energy retail brand.
Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source
Vivint
Smart home technology brand.
Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source
Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.
Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.
Geographic revenue
No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.
No quantified customer-concentration disclosure is available in the current saved research.
Suppliers, materials & equipment
Natural gas and electricity wholesale markets — The company relies on wholesale energy markets to procure power and fuel for its retail operations.Source
These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-06-30.
Total debt increased 111.1% versus the same quarter last year.
Compare the added borrowing with available cash, cash generation and maturities. A percentage increase from a small starting balance can look large without measuring the full debt burden.
Wall Street Score
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
31
Poor
PoorElite
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
43
Weak
Financial Strength
28
Business Quality / Moat
58
Management
39
Growth Quality
57
Risk / Durability
42
Weak Company · Expensive Stock
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Opportunity
Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?
23
Avoid
Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.
View score details →
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
37/100
Building Historical Record
Model Score 37/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.
Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.
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WSS View
The quick read
The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.
At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.
The model outlook is currently cautious.
What we like
•Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
•Distress / listing headline · Aug 18, 2026
•Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
•Revenue fundamentals are weak
•Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for NRG
Research inputs 100% complete
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
•Can NRG maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
•Is NRG's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
•Is NRG's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
•What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify NRG's current valuation?
•What does the current fundamental change risk warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of NRG's score?
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
Volatility = How violently is it moving?
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for NRG
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.
Dividend history reported
Dividend payments are recorded. Review the dates and regular/special classification below; past payments do not guarantee future dividends.
Historical repurchase activity
Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.
Distress / listing headline · Aug 18, 2026
NRG Energy named as potential bidder for West Virginia coal plant in bankruptcy — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.
+Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
+Integrated retail and generation platform.
+Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.
Potential downside factors
−Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Independent Power Producers industry.
−Regulatory and legal compliance risks.
−Market price volatility for energy commodities.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
Create a free account to make a call.
Scores
Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak31/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)
Debt
Poor
23
Debt Cost4.6%
Debt Reduction YoY-52.5%
Debt / Equity9.97x
Tap for breakdown →
Revenue
Poor
30
Revenue YoY8.0%
Revenue CAGR3.2%
Net Margin2.6%
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Asset
Fair
60
Asset Growth YoY21.3%
Liquidation/Share$24.40
Net Assets/MCap0.73x
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Capital
Weak
46
Earnings Yield3.7%
Buyback Yield4.5%
Debt Cost4.6%
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Management
Poor
39
ROIC5.3%
ROE17.5%
ROA2.1%
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Moat
Fair
58
EPS Growth2.8%
FCF/Share Growth-3.9%
Rev/Share Growth19.1%
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Valuation
Poor
16
Intrinsic Value$32.30
Value Reference$19.38
MOS-200.2%
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Buffett
Poor
37
Revenue30
Moat58
Valuation16
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MOS
Poor
0
MOS %-200.2%
Value Reference$19.38
Deep Discount Reference$12.92
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Financial
Poor
34
Interest Coverage2.4x
ROIC5.3%
FCF Yield3.4%
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Master
Poor
30
Financial34
Valuation16
Debt23
Tap for breakdown →
Resilience
Poor
35
Survival Years1.5 yrs
Current Ratio1.64x
FCF Margin2.5%
Tap for breakdown →
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Score Changes
3 historical score records available
Previous Score
33
Oct 1, 2026
Change
-2.0
points
Current Score
31
Oct 8, 2026
Category Changes
Revenue-12.6
Debt0
Assets-3.0
Capital-5.0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett-3.0
NRG decreased 2 points because Revenue declined by 12.6 points, Asset declined by 3 points, Capital declined by 5 points.
Negative Contributors
− Revenue declined by 12.6 points
− Asset declined by 3 points
− Capital declined by 5 points
− Buffett declined by 3 points
Projected Score
Projected Score
31
Projected Change
0.0 points
Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest little change. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.
Income StatementBalance SheetCash Flow
AnnualQuarterlyTTM + Annual
All rows
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
Line Item
TTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Revenue
$33.17B
$30.71B
$28.13B
$28.82B
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Cost of Revenue
$26.73B
$24.00B
$22.10B
$26.53B
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····
····
····
····
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Gross Profit
$6.44B
$6.71B
$6.03B
$2.30B
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····
····
····
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Research & Development
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
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SG&A Expenses
$4.72B
$4.84B
$2.35B
$1.84B
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····
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Operating Expenses
$4.53B
$4.86B
$3.61B
$1.91B
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····
····
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EBITDA
$3.15B
$3.29B
$3.17B
$1.79B
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Operating Income
$1.91B
$1.85B
$2.42B
$384.0M
····
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····
····
····
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Interest Expense
$491.0M
$772.0M
$651.0M
$667.0M
····
····
····
····
····
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Income Before Tax
$992.0M
$1.08B
$1.45B
-$213.0M
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····
····
····
····
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Income Tax Expense
$143.0M
$214.0M
$323.0M
-$11.0M
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Net Income
$849.0M
$864.0M
$1.13B
-$202.0M
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Basic EPS
$3.80
$4.09
$5.14
$-1.12
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Basic Shares
211M
195M
206M
228M
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····
····
····
····
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Diluted Shares
212M
199M
212M
228M
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····
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Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.
Financial Changes Since Prior Period
What Improved
Margins expanded
What Weakened
Cash position declined
Debt increased
Potential Score Impact
Positive indicators included revenue growth, net income margin. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, cash levels, debt levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.
Stored Earnings Analysis
Revenue increased 11.0%. EPS declined 472.6%. Cash declined 10.0%. Total debt increased 111.1%. Net income margin improved by 8.3 percentage points.
Earnings-Call Transcript
Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.
These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.
Dividend HistoryShare
Dividend History
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Predictions & Historical PerformanceShare
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
$———.——
Premium
5 Years
$———.——
Premium
10 Years
$———.——
Premium
Conservative Projection Rate
——%
Premium
Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.
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