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Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

Velocity Financial, Inc.

VELNYSE
Wall Street Score · overall investment58/100
$14.59USD$-0.02 (-0.14%)
Company website www.velfinance.com
Headquarters2945 Townsgate Road, Westlake Village, CA, 91361, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Financial Services · Financial - Mortgages
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 1, 2026
Price Chart$-3.81 (-20.71%)
2026-09-042026-09-092026-09-112026-09-152026-09-172026-09-212026-09-232026-09-252026-09-292026-10-02$14.30$15.40$16.50$17.60$18.70

Company & revenue

About Velocity Financial, Inc.

Who they are

Operating across the United States, Velocity Financial, Inc. functions as a specialized real estate finance firm. Its core business involves generating and overseeing investment loans, which are typically secured by 1-4 unit residential rental properties and smaller commercial real estate assets. The company delivers its financial offerings to clients via an extensive network of independent mortgage brokers.

Detailed revenue, brand and relationship research has not yet been completed for VEL.

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

58

Fair

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

42

Weak

Financial Strength

27

Business Quality / Moat

57

Management

35

Growth Quality

42

Risk / Durability

59

Cheap for a Reason · Review the Risks

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

66

Fully Valued

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

64/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 64/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from WallStreetScore (company quality).

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

WSS currently rates the company as mixed to moderately strong.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as moderate rather than unusually attractive.

The model outlook is currently moderate.

What we like
  • •Asset quality scores strongly
  • •Valuation scores attractively
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •Elevated debt risk
  • •M&A headline · Aug 27, 2026
  • •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for VEL

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •What is driving VEL's revenue decline, and does the latest company filing suggest the weakness is temporary or structural?
  • •Is VEL's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Is VEL's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
  • •Is VEL's valuation discount tied to a temporary concern or to a longer-term business risk?
⚠ 2 warningsView warning details
Elevated debt riskM&A headline · Aug 27, 2026
Business analysis: 38 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

58

0–100 · Fair

Opportunity Score

66

0–100 · Fair

Market Cap

$572.7M

P/E Ratio

5.2

EPS

$2.78

52-Week High

$21.40

52-Week Low

$14.30

Beta

0.70

Intrinsic Value

$107.03

Analyst Target

$22.00

Shares Outstanding

38.2M

Total Revenue

$701.3M

Total Debt

$7.05B

Dividend

No current dividend

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$18.99

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
10/ 100
-6 pts / 5d

Strong downward momentum

5D -5.0% · 20D -20.7% · RSI 8 · Price vs 20D avg -10.9%
Volatility
18/ 100
-2 pts / 5d

Low movement

20D realized vol 22.2% · 60D 22.6% · Acceleration 0.98x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for VEL

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

Elevated debt risk

Total debt is at least one year of revenue • Interest coverage is below 2x • Cash covers less than 20% of total debt

M&A headline · Aug 27, 2026

Velocity Enters into Agreements to Acquire Toorak's Operating Platform and Manage Toorak's $3 Billion Business-Purpose Loan Portfolio — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.

Business Wire

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on VEL.

What the Bulls Say

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Product opportunity: Operating across the United States, Velocity Financial, Inc. functions as a specialized real estate finance firm. Its core business involves generating and overseeing investment loans, which are typically secured by 1-4 unit residential rental properties and smaller commercial real estate assets. The company delivers its financial offerings to clients via an extensive network of independent mortgage brokers. Velocity Financial, Inc. was established in 2004 and is headquartered in Westlake Villag.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

What the Bears Say

  • −Debt risk (elevated): Total debt is at least one year of revenue.
  • −Interest coverage is below 2x.
  • −Cash covers less than 20% of total debt.

Bull and bear cases summarize disclosed catalysts, growth opportunities and risks; they are not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Fair58/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Fair

58

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

11

Debt Cost5.6%
Debt Reduction YoY-34.5%
Debt / Equity9.72x

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

54

Revenue YoY-1.8%
Revenue CAGR1.3%
Net Margin15.4%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

Asset Growth YoY33.5%
Liquidation/Share$18.99
Net Assets/MCap1.62x

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

69

Earnings Yield19.2%
Buyback Yield0.4%
Debt Cost5.6%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

35

ROIC4.9%
ROE14.9%
ROA1.4%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

57

EPS Growth30.9%
FCF/Share Growth-38.5%
Rev/Share Growth24.6%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

Intrinsic Value$107.03
Value Reference$64.22
MOS0.9%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

52

Revenue54
Moat57
Valuation100

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

MOS %0.9%
Value Reference$64.22
Deep Discount Reference$42.81

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

5

Interest Coverage1.4x
ROIC4.9%
FCF Yield3.2%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

44

Financial5
Valuation100
Debt11

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

24

Survival Years0.6 yrs
Current Ratio0.63x
FCF Margin0.0%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

2 historical score records available

Previous Score

56

Jul 24, 2026

Change

+2.0

points

Current Score

58

Oct 1, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue+2.1
Debt0
Assets+3.6
Capital0
Management-0.5
Moat0
Valuation+15.0
Buffett+2.4

VEL increased 2 points because Revenue improved by 2.1 points, Asset improved by 3.6 points, Valuation improved by 15 points.

Positive Contributors

  • + Revenue improved by 2.1 points
  • + Asset improved by 3.6 points
  • + Valuation improved by 15 points
  • + Buffett improved by 2.4 points

Projected Score

Projected Score

55

Projected Change

-2.8%

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 2.8 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Undervalued

Current Price

$14.59

Intrinsic Value

$107.03

Difference

−$92.44

-86.4% vs IV

Margin of Safety

86.4%

UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Value Reference: $64.22
Deep Discount Reference: $42.81

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News

Seeking Alpha36d ago

Velocity Financial, Inc. (VEL) M&A Call Prepared Remarks Transcript

Business Wire36d ago

Velocity Enters into Agreements to Acquire Toorak's Operating Platform and Manage Toorak's $3 Billion Business-Purpose Loan Portfolio

Seeking Alpha58d ago

Velocity Financial, Inc. (VEL) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Business Wire58d ago

Velocity Financial, Inc. Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results

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