Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

Turning Point Brands, Inc.

TPBNYSE
Wall Street Score · overall investment57/100
$68.59USD+$1.49 (+2.21%)
Company website www.turningpointbrands.com/home/default.aspx
Headquarters5201 Interchange Way, Louisville, KY, 40229, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Consumer Defensive · Tobacco
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 1, 2026

TPB · Price history

Price at last available close

$68.70

+$8.63 (+14.36%) 1M

2026-10-29

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Company & revenue

About Turning Point Brands, Inc.

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

Turning Point Brands, Inc., along with its affiliated companies, is engaged in the creation, promotion, and distribution of a diverse array of branded consumer products. Its operations are structured into three distinct divisions: Zig-Zag Products, Stoker's Products, and NewGen Products. The Zig-Zag Products division focuses on the marketing and distribution of rolling papers, cigarette tubes, pre-rolled cigars, 'make-your-own' cigar wraps, and related accessories, all sold under the well-known Zig-Zag brand.

How they make money

Turning Point Brands operates as a manufacturer, marketer, and distributor of branded consumer products. The company generates revenue primarily through the sale of tobacco products, alternative smoking accessories, and consumables with active ingredients to adult consumers, leveraging a portfolio of iconic brands and a distribution network that reaches retail outlets.

Products & services

The company offers a range of products including rolling papers, MYO cigar wraps, moist snuff, loose leaf chewing tobacco, and modern oral nicotine products.

Brands & revenue mix

Zig-Zag

Iconic brand driving leadership in rolling papers and MYO cigar wrap markets.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Stoker's

Iconic brand for staple tobacco products.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.

Product / operating segments

No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

Customer concentration

The company reported that no single customer accounted for more than 10% of net sales for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Management Science Associates, Inc. — Provides industry data and analytics regarding consumer unit annualized volumes for the OTP industry.Source

Strengths

  • Iconic brand portfolio including Zig-Zag and Stoker'sSource

Risks

  • Regulatory environment and evolving consumer perceptionSource

Financial risk observations and what to check

These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-06-30.

Quarterly EPS fell 77.2% versus the same quarter last year.

Review net income and weighted-average shares together. Per-share earnings can change because of operating performance, nonrecurring items or the share denominator.

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

57

Fair

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

76

Strong

Financial Strength

66

Business Quality / Moat

81

Management

100

Growth Quality

62

Risk / Durability

64

Great Company · Attractive Price

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

62

Fully Valued

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

64/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 64/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is mixed across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. Review the category scores to identify what is helping or hurting the result.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as moderate rather than unusually attractive.

The model outlook is currently moderate.

What we like
  • •Valuation scores attractively
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for TPB

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can TPB maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •Is TPB's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Does TPB's balance between cash and debt leave enough flexibility if business conditions weaken?
  • •Is TPB's valuation discount tied to a temporary concern or to a longer-term business risk?
  • •What does the current fundamental change risk warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of TPB's score?
Business analysis: 17 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

57

0–100 · Fair

Opportunity Score

62

0–100 · Fair

Market Cap

$1.38B

P/E Ratio

23.7

EPS

$2.38

52-Week High

$146.90

52-Week Low

$54.69

Beta

0.94

Intrinsic Value

$81.94

Analyst Target

$115.50

Shares Outstanding

18.7M

Total Revenue

$507.2M

Total Debt

$310.7M

Dividend

No current dividend

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$24.24

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
70/ 100
-1 pts / 5d

Building upward momentum

5D +2.7% · 20D +24.2% · RSI 74 · Price vs 20D avg +12.1%
Volatility
34/ 100
-6 pts / 5d

Low movement

20D realized vol 41.1% · 60D 44.5% · Acceleration 0.92x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for TPB

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on TPB.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Iconic brand portfolio including Zig-Zag and Stoker's.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Tobacco industry.
  • −Regulatory environment and evolving consumer perception.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Fair57/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Fair

57

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

64

Debt Cost8.2%
Debt Reduction YoY-18.3%
Debt / Equity0.87x

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Poor

37

Revenue YoY9.5%
Revenue CAGR19.4%
Net Margin8.8%

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Fair

68

Asset Growth YoY54.8%
Liquidation/Share$24.24
Net Assets/MCap0.50x

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Poor

23

Earnings Yield4.1%
Buyback Yield0.8%
Debt Cost8.2%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

ROIC16.5%
ROE10.4%
ROA5.2%

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Strong

81

EPS Growth31.4%
FCF/Share Growth5.7%
Rev/Share Growth12.3%

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Strong

71

Intrinsic Value$81.94
Value Reference$49.16
MOS18.1%

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Fair

68

Revenue37
Moat81
Valuation71

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Strong

78

MOS %18.1%
Value Reference$49.16
Deep Discount Reference$32.78

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

34

Interest Coverage3.8x
ROIC16.5%
FCF Yield4.0%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

54

Financial34
Valuation71
Debt64

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Fair

63

Survival Years1.4 yrs
Current Ratio5.56x
FCF Margin9.5%

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Score Changes

2 historical score records available

Previous Score

55

Jul 24, 2026

Change

+1.7

points

Current Score

57

Oct 1, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue+6.0
Debt0
Assets+5.4
Capital+2.0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation+7.6
Buffett+2.8

TPB increased 1.7 points because Revenue improved by 6 points, Asset improved by 5.4 points, Capital improved by 2 points.

Positive Contributors

  • + Revenue improved by 6 points
  • + Asset improved by 5.4 points
  • + Capital improved by 2 points
  • + Valuation improved by 7.6 points
  • + Buffett improved by 2.8 points

Projected Score

Projected Score

56

Projected Change

-1.4 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 1.4 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Undervalued

Current Price

$68.59

Model Intrinsic Value

$81.94

Difference

−$13.35

-16.3% vs IV

Margin of Safety

16.3%

UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Value Reference: $49.16
Deep Discount Reference: $32.78

Financial Charts

Revenue

201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025$0$150M$300M$450M$600M

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201520172019202120232025$0$20M$40M$60M$80M

Total Debt

201520172019202120232025$0$150M$300M$450M$600M

Total Assets

201520172019202120232025$0$200M$400M$600M$800M

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$507.2M$463.1M$360.7M$325.1M····························
Cost of Revenue$207.2M$198.7M$159.1M$142.1M····························
Gross Profit$300.1M$264.3M$201.6M$182.9M····························
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$1.3M$600K····························
SG&A Expenses$188.3M$169.0M$113.5M$102.2M····························
Operating Expenses$224.7M$169.0M$114.8M$102.8M····························
EBITDA$99.7M$115.9M$94.1M$88.6M····························
Operating Income$75.4M$95.3M$86.7M$80.2M····························
Interest Expense$24.5M$25.4M$14.0M$14.6M····························
Income Before Tax$69.2M$83.1M$65.0M$62.1M····························
Income Tax Expense$9.6M$15.0M$16.9M$24.0M····························
Net Income$44.6M$58.2M$39.8M$38.5M····························
Basic EPS$2.38$3.18$2.24$2.34····························
Basic Shares19.89M18.31M17.73M17.58M····························
Diluted Shares20.16M18.73M19.36M20.47M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Nov 4, 2026
Estimated EPS: $0.33Estimated revenue: $146.7M
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$143.0M

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$0.18

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

+2.0%

Cash Change

+144.1%

Margin Change

-9.9 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Cash position grew

What Weakened

  • Margins contracted
  • Debt increased

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, cash levels. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, debt levels, net income margin. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 22.6%. EPS declined 77.2%. Cash increased 144.1%. Total debt increased 2.0%. Net income margin declined by 9.9 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

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Earnings data: 121 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

Smart Money

Number of Gurus

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Loading data...

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

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Historical Trends

2 historical records
Jul 24, 2655
Oct 1, 2657

2 historical score records available.

Historical Score Chart

2 of 2 records shown

Wall Street Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Debt Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Asset Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Capital Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Management Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Moat Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26$80.00$88.00$96.00$104.00$112.00

Value Reference

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26$48.00$54.00$60.00$66.00$72.00

Margin of Safety %

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.3%

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News

Rumor Mill · TPB

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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