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Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

Pagaya Technologies Ltd.

PGYNASDAQ
Wall Street Score · overall investment62/100
$17.98USD+$0.54 (+3.10%)
Company website www.pagaya.com
Headquarters335 Madison Ave, New York, NY, 10017, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 1, 2026
Price Chart$-4.91 (-21.45%)
2026-09-042026-09-092026-09-112026-09-152026-09-172026-09-212026-09-232026-09-252026-09-292026-10-02$16.00$18.00$20.00$22.00$24.00

Company & revenue

About Pagaya Technologies Ltd.

Financial breakdown: year ended 2025-12-31

Who they are

Pagaya Technologies Ltd. is a financial technology enterprise operating across Israel, the United States, and the Cayman Islands. The company specializes in developing and implementing its proprietary artificial intelligence systems and associated software platforms. These advanced solutions are designed to assist its diverse range of partners – including rapidly growing fintech companies, traditional financial institutions, auto finance providers, and brokers – in originating various loans and other financial assets.

Brands & revenue mix

Decline Monetization

Flagship product allowing partners to approve loan applications they would otherwise decline.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Dual Look

Product allowing real-time assessment of applications concurrently with partners.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

First Look

Product that routes designated loan application segments to the network for evaluation.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.

Customer concentrationPREMIUM

As of the first quarter of 2025, Pagaya's lending partner base is moderately concentrated, with the top five partners accounting for approximately 61% of total network volume.

Business relationships & partnershipsPREMIUM

  • Castlelake — A $1 billion consumer loan agreement focused on AI-driven financial innovations.Source

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

62

Fair

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

61

Fair

Financial Strength

38

Business Quality / Moat

84

Management

95

Growth Quality

50

Risk / Durability

19

Cheap for a Reason · Review the Risks

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

79

Fair

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

78/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 78/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from WallStreetScore (company quality).

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

WSS currently rates the company as mixed to moderately strong.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as relatively attractive.

The model outlook is currently positive.

What we like
  • •Valuation scores attractively
What to watch
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak
  • •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for PGY

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can PGY maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •Is PGY's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Is PGY's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
  • •Is PGY's valuation discount tied to a temporary concern or to a longer-term business risk?
  • •What does the current fundamental change risk warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of PGY's score?
Business analysis: 5 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

62

0–100 · Fair

Opportunity Score

79

0–100 · Strong

Market Cap

$1.50B

P/E Ratio

11.4

EPS

$1.50

52-Week High

$32.04

52-Week Low

$10.40

Beta

5.37

Intrinsic Value

$57.75

Analyst Target

$27.00

Shares Outstanding

83.1M

Total Revenue

$1.33B

Total Debt

$907.3M

Dividend

No current dividend

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$7.81

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
24/ 100
+10 pts / 5d

Strong downward momentum

5D +2.0% · 20D -21.5% · RSI 27 · Price vs 20D avg -9.2%
Volatility
54/ 100
-6 pts / 5d

Normal movement

20D realized vol 63.5% · 60D 66.9% · Acceleration 0.95x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on PGY.

What the Bulls Say

  • +Material partnership/catalyst: A $1 billion consumer loan agreement focused on AI-driven financial innovations.
  • +Product opportunity: Pagaya Technologies Ltd. is a financial technology enterprise operating across Israel, the United States, and the Cayman Islands. The company specializes in developing and implementing its proprietary artificial intelligence systems and associated software platforms. These advanced solutions are designed to assist its diverse range of partners – including rapidly growing fintech companies, traditional financial institutions, auto finance providers, and brokers – in originating various loans and.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

What the Bears Say

  • −Diluted weighted-average shares increased 22.1% year over year.

Bull and bear cases summarize disclosed catalysts, growth opportunities and risks; they are not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Fair62/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Fair

62

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

20

Debt Cost10.7%
Debt Reduction YoY-26.1%
Debt / Equity1.79x

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

47

Revenue YoY5.1%
Revenue CAGR27.8%
Net Margin9.6%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

59

Asset Growth YoY19.7%
Liquidation/Share$7.81
Net Assets/MCap0.55x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

33

Earnings Yield8.9%
Buyback Yield0.0%
Debt Cost10.7%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

95

ROIC17.9%
ROE21.3%
ROA7.5%

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

84

EPS Growth26.1%
FCF/Share Growth2.1%
Rev/Share Growth13.6%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

97

Intrinsic Value$57.75
Value Reference$34.65
MOS0.7%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

60

Revenue47
Moat84
Valuation97

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

MOS %0.7%
Value Reference$34.65
Deep Discount Reference$23.10

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

38

Interest Coverage2.4x
ROIC17.9%
FCF Yield15.8%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

67

Financial38
Valuation97
Debt20

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

74

Survival Years4.5 yrs
Current Ratio11.06x
FCF Margin0.2%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

2 historical score records available

Previous Score

55

Jul 24, 2026

Change

+7.4

points

Current Score

62

Oct 1, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue+4.4
Debt+1.8
Assets+0.5
Capital+3.0
Management+5.0
Moat+25.9
Valuation+18.3
Buffett+7.8

PGY increased 7.4 points because Revenue improved by 4.4 points, Capital improved by 3 points, Management improved by 5 points.

Positive Contributors

  • + Revenue improved by 4.4 points
  • + Capital improved by 3 points
  • + Management improved by 5 points
  • + Moat improved by 25.9 points
  • + Valuation improved by 18.3 points
  • + Buffett improved by 7.8 points

Projected Score

Projected Score

70

Projected Change

+8.2%

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 8.2 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Undervalued

Current Price

$17.98

Intrinsic Value

$57.75

Difference

−$39.77

-68.9% vs IV

Margin of Safety

68.9%

UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Value Reference: $34.65
Deep Discount Reference: $23.10

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News

Zacks Investment Research2d ago

Pagaya Trades at a Discount: Is the Stock Worth Investing In?

Defense World3d ago

Cango (NYSE:CANG) vs. Pagaya Technologies (NASDAQ:PGY) Financial Comparison

Business Wire3d ago

KBRA Assigns Preliminary Ratings to Research-Driven Pagaya Motor Asset Trust 2026-5 and Research-Driven Pagaya Motor Trust 2026-5

Seeking Alpha3d ago

Pagaya: The 5x P/E Is The Wrong Reason To Own This Stock

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