Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

National CineMedia, Inc.

NCMINASDAQ
Wall Street Score · overall investment29/100
$1.75USD$-0.09 (-4.89%)
Company website www.ncm.com
Headquarters6300 South Syracuse Way, Centennial, CO, 80111, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Communication Services · Advertising Agencies
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 29, 2026

NCMI · Price history

Price at last available close

$1.75

−$0.55 (-23.91%) 1M

2026-10-28

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Company & revenue

About National CineMedia, Inc.

Primary reporting period: 2026-01-01 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

National CineMedia, Inc., through its subsidiary, National CineMedia, LLC, operates cinema advertising network in North America. The company engages in the sale of advertising to national, regional, and local businesses in Noovie, a cinema advertising and entertainment show seen on movie screens; and sells advertising on its Lobby Entertainment Network, a series of strategically placed screens located in movie theater lobbies, as well as other forms of advertising and promotions in theatre lobbies. It also sells digital advertising, including through NCM Boost, a data, insights and analytics platform that utilizes data; NCM Boost, a audience accelerator digital product; NCM Boomerang, retargeting solution designed to amplify post-theatre engagement; NCM Bullseye, an AI-generated creative to deliver dynamic and hyper-localized messaging; and NCM Blueprint, a real-time renovation permit data to identify homeowners who are actively engaged in remodelling projects.

How they make money

National CineMedia generates revenue primarily by selling advertising inventory to national, regional, and local businesses. This advertising is displayed through its cinema advertising and entertainment shows, specifically the Noovie and CineLife programs, which are presented on movie screens across a network of affiliated theater circuits in the United States.

Products & services

Cinema advertising platform including the Noovie and CineLife shows, digital and digital-out-of-home (DOOH) marketing programs, and in-theater lobby entertainment network advertising.

Brands & revenue mix

Noovie

Primary cinema advertising and entertainment show.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

CineLife

Cinema advertising and entertainment show presented in Spotlight Cinema Network.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.

Product / operating segments

National Advertising RevenueUSD 194.50M80.0%

Period ended 2026-01-01Source

Local Advertising RevenueUSD 34.60M14.2%

Period ended 2026-01-01Source

Founding Member Advertising Revenue From Beverage Concessionaire AgreementsUSD 14.10M5.8%

Period ended 2026-01-01Source

Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

Customer concentration

The company relies on a network of 41 leading national and regional theater circuits to provide the screens necessary for its advertising platform, with agreements extending through 2033.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Theater Circuits — Various national and regional theater circuits that provide screen access for advertising; specific supplier companies are unnamed beyond the major ESA parties.Source

Business relationships & partnerships

  • AMC Theatres — Exhibitor Services Agreement (ESA) partner providing theater screens for the Noovie advertising network.Source
  • Cinemark — Exhibitor Services Agreement (ESA) partner providing theater screens for the Noovie advertising network.Source
  • Regal Cinemas — Exhibitor Services Agreement (ESA) partner providing theater screens for the Noovie advertising network.Source

Strengths

  • Largest cinema advertising platform in the U.S.Source
  • Extensive network of over 17,000 screens in 184 Designated Market AreasSource

Risks

  • Dependence on Exhibitor Services Agreements with theater circuitsSource
  • Expiration of network affiliate agreementsSource

Financial risk observations and what to check

These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-07-02.

Total debt increased 62.2% versus the same quarter last year.

Compare the added borrowing with available cash, cash generation and maturities. A percentage increase from a small starting balance can look large without measuring the full debt burden.

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

29

Poor

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

31

Poor

Financial Strength

45

Business Quality / Moat

17

Management

40

Growth Quality

30

Risk / Durability

10

Weak Company · Expensive Stock

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

31

Avoid

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

42/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 42/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.

The model outlook is currently cautious.

What we like
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •Debt service risk
  • •M&A headline · Sep 21, 2026
  • •M&A headline · Aug 11, 2026
  • •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for NCMI

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can NCMI maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •Is NCMI's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •How is NCMI likely to use its cash advantage: reinvestment, acquisitions, debt reduction, dividends or buybacks?
  • •What specifically needs to improve for NCMI to reach sustainable profitability?
  • •What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify NCMI's current valuation?
⚠ 4 warningsView warning details
Debt service riskM&A headline · Sep 21, 2026M&A headline · Aug 11, 2026M&A headline · Aug 11, 2026
Business analysis: 16 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

29

0–100 · Poor

Opportunity Score

31

0–100 · Poor

Market Cap

$164.6M

P/E Ratio

-18.8

EPS

$-0.09

52-Week High

$4.56

52-Week Low

$1.73

Beta

1.39

Analyst Target

$4.63

Shares Outstanding

94.2M

Total Revenue

$249.0M

Total Debt

$21.9M

Dividend Yield (TTM)

5.14%

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$3.55

Estimated net asset value per share

Dividend / Share (TTM)

$0.09

Trailing 12 months by ex-date; not a forecast

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
0/ 100
-10 pts / 5d

Strong downward momentum

5D -11.6% · 20D -21.9% · RSI 20 · Price vs 20D avg -15.3%
Volatility
43/ 100
-1 pts / 5d

Normal movement

20D realized vol 48.5% · 60D 125.6% · Acceleration 0.39x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for NCMI

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Dividend history reported

Dividend payments are recorded. Review the dates and regular/special classification below; past payments do not guarantee future dividends.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

Debt service risk

Interest coverage is low (~-23.2x). Earnings may be strained to cover interest expense.

M&A headline · Sep 21, 2026

National CineMedia, Inc. Completes Acquisition of Captivate — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.

Business Wire

M&A headline · Aug 11, 2026

National CineMedia To Acquire Captivate For $275M, Expands From Movie Theater Ads To Offices, Apartment Buildings — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.

Deadline

M&A headline · Aug 11, 2026

National CineMedia, Inc. to Acquire Captivate for $275 Million, Creating the Leading Premium Video and Digital Out-of-Home Advertising Platform — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.

Business Wire

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on NCMI.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Largest cinema advertising platform in the U.S.
  • +Extensive network of over 17,000 screens in 184 Designated Market Areas.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Advertising Agencies industry.
  • −Dependence on Exhibitor Services Agreements with theater circuits.
  • −Expiration of network affiliate agreements.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak29/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Poor

29

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

63

Debt Cost2.7%
Debt Reduction YoY7.0%
Debt / Equity0.05x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

35

Revenue YoY2.4%
Revenue CAGR21.3%
Net Margin-3.1%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

55

Asset Growth YoY0.0%
Liquidation/Share$3.55
Net Assets/MCap2.58x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

33

Earnings Yield-4.6%
Buyback Yield5.5%
Debt Cost2.7%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

40

ROIC-4.4%
ROE-2.3%
ROA-1.7%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

17

EPS Growth—
FCF/Share Growth-66.5%
Rev/Share Growth-28.6%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

Intrinsic Value—
Value Reference—
MOS—

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

40

Revenue35
Moat17
Valuation0

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

MOS %—
Value Reference—
Deep Discount Reference—

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

25

Interest Coverage-23.2x
ROIC-4.4%
FCF Yield1.7%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

25

Financial25
Valuation0
Debt63

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

40

Survival Years0.9 yrs
Current Ratio2.42x
FCF Margin1.2%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

4 historical score records available

Previous Score

28

Oct 8, 2026

Change

+0.6

points

Current Score

29

Oct 29, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue+3.1
Debt0
Assets0
Capital+4.0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett+0.6

NCMI increased 0.6 points because Revenue improved by 3.1 points, Capital improved by 4 points.

Positive Contributors

  • + Revenue improved by 3.1 points
  • + Capital improved by 4 points

Projected Score

Projected Score

27

Projected Change

-1.4 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 1.4 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Valuation unavailable

Current Price

$1.75

Model Intrinsic Value

—

Difference

—

Margin of Safety

—

Value Reference: —
Deep Discount Reference: —

Intrinsic value is not currently available for this stock, so valuation can't be calculated.

Financial Charts

Revenue

20142015201520162016201720172018201820192019202020212022202320242026$0$150M$300M$450M$600M

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201420152016201720182019202120232026-$160M-$80M$0$80M$160M

Total Debt

201420152016201720182019202120232026$0$300M$600M$900M$1.2B

Total Assets

201420152016201720182019202120232026$0$400M$800M$1.2B$1.6B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2026202420232022202120202019201920182018
Revenue$249.0M$243.2M$240.8M$165.2M····························
Cost of Revenue$114.5M$169.4M$168.0M$80.1M····························
Gross Profit$134.5M$73.8M$72.8M$85.1M····························
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$3.3M$0.00····························
SG&A Expenses$76.2M$87.7M$92.3M$86.9M····························
Operating Expenses$152.2M$87.7M$92.3M$112.4M····························
EBITDA$30.0M$27.9M$22.0M$750.1M····························
Operating Income-$17.7M-$13.9M-$19.5M-$27.3M····························
Interest Expense$500K$600K$1.7M$27.9M····························
Income Before Tax-$7.6M-$10.6M-$22.1M$696.7M····························
Income Tax Expense$0.00$0.00$200K$0.00····························
Net Income-$7.6M-$10.6M-$22.3M$705.2M····························
Basic EPS$-0.09$-0.11$-0.23$14.73····························
Basic Shares93.70M94.18M95.87M47.88M····························
Diluted Shares93.70M94.18M95.87M48.57M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:A future estimated earnings date is not currently available.
Jul 2, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$58.4M

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

-$0.11

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

+62.2%

Cash Change

+6.9%

Margin Change

+3.7 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Margins expanded
  • Cash position grew

What Weakened

  • Debt increased

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, cash levels, net income margin. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, debt levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 12.7%. EPS was essentially unchanged. Cash increased 6.9%. Total debt increased 62.2%. Net income margin improved by 3.7 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 119 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

Smart Money

Number of Gurus

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Log in to view dividend history.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

Start 7-Day Free Trial

Historical Trends

4 historical records
Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 26Oct 29, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 4 records shown
3 historical score records are shown. Start your seven-day free trial to unlock 1 more record and the complete score history.Start Free Trial

Wall Street Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 26Oct 29, 260255075100

Debt Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 26Oct 29, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 26Oct 29, 260255075100

Asset Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 26Oct 29, 260255075100

Capital Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 26Oct 29, 260255075100

Management Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 26Oct 29, 260255075100

Moat Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 26Oct 29, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 26Oct 29, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 26Oct 29, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

No data

Value Reference

No data

Margin of Safety %

No data

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News

Rumor Mill · NCMI

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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