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Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.
Who they are
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation is an energy company engaged in the full lifecycle of hydrocarbon resource management: acquisition, development, exploration, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) within the United States. Its operational focus is primarily situated in South Texas, specifically within Karnes County and the Giddings Field, where its assets primarily tap into the rich Eagle Ford Shale and Austin Chalk geological formations. According to its December 31, 2021, filing, the company's holdings comprised a substantial leasehold of 471,263 net acres.
How they make money
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation operates as an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquid reserves. The company utilizes a capital-efficient business model that prioritizes disciplined capital allocation and free cash flow generation from its primary assets in South Texas, specifically the Karnes County area and the Giddings Field.
Products & services
The company produces and sells crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs).
Brands & revenue mix
No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.
Product / operating segments
No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.
Geographic revenue
No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.
The company does not disclose specific customer concentration figures in its 2025 annual report, noting that it sells its production to various purchasers in the ordinary course of business.
Suppliers, materials & equipment
Oilfield services and equipment providers — The company relies on various third-party providers for drilling, completion, and production services, though specific supplier names are not disclosed in the annual report.Source
Strengths
High-quality, concentrated asset base in South TexasSource
Disciplined capital allocation and free cash flow focusSource
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
45
Weak
PoorElite
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
68
Fair
Financial Strength
83
Business Quality / Moat
28
Management
100
Growth Quality
52
Risk / Durability
88
Weak Company · Expensive Stock
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Opportunity
Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?
53
Avoid
Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.
View score details →
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
59/100
Building Historical Record
Model Score 59/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.
Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.
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WSS View
The quick read
The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.
At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as moderate rather than unusually attractive.
The model outlook is currently moderate.
What we like
•Balance-sheet / debt profile scores strongly
•Insider activity signal is favorable
•Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
•M&A headline · Oct 5, 2026
•M&A headline · Oct 1, 2026
•M&A headline · Sep 10, 2026
•Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
•Revenue fundamentals are weak
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for MGY
Research inputs 100% complete
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
•Can MGY maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
•Is MGY's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
•Does MGY's balance between cash and debt leave enough flexibility if business conditions weaken?
•What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify MGY's current valuation?
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
Volatility = How violently is it moving?
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for MGY
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.
Dividend history reported
The provider reports a dividend yield. Confirm the latest declaration before treating it as a current payment.
Historical repurchase activity
Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.
M&A headline · Oct 5, 2026
Magnolia Oil & Gas Strengthens Outlook After WildFire Acquisition — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.
Magnolia Oil & Gas Provides Interim Financial and Operations Update After Closing the Acquisition of WildFire Energy — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.
Magnolia Oil & Gas Completes Acquisition of WildFire Energy — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.
+Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
+High-quality, concentrated asset base in South Texas.
+Disciplined capital allocation and free cash flow focus.
+Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.
Potential downside factors
−Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry.
−Volatility in oil and natural gas prices.
−Operational risks including cybersecurity threats and equipment failure.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
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Scores
Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak45/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)
Debt
Strong
78
Debt Cost5.2%
Debt Reduction YoY-2.3%
Debt / Equity0.22x
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Revenue
Poor
37
Revenue YoY12.8%
Revenue CAGR3.4%
Net Margin28.8%
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Asset
Poor
35
Asset Growth YoY2.9%
Liquidation/Share$11.57
Net Assets/MCap0.48x
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Capital
Strong
70
Earnings Yield7.4%
Buyback Yield4.5%
Debt Cost5.2%
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Management
Elite
100
ROIC15.8%
ROE19.8%
ROA13.6%
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Moat
Poor
28
EPS Growth-12.4%
FCF/Share Growth3.0%
Rev/Share Growth2.6%
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Valuation
Poor
26
Intrinsic Value$19.55
Value Reference$11.73
MOS-37.3%
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Buffett
Fair
54
Revenue37
Moat28
Valuation26
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MOS
Poor
0
MOS %-37.3%
Value Reference$11.73
Deep Discount Reference$7.82
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Financial
Poor
34
Interest Coverage20.3x
ROIC15.8%
FCF Yield7.1%
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Master
Weak
47
Financial34
Valuation26
Debt78
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Resilience
Strong
81
Survival Years2.7 yrs
Current Ratio1.54x
FCF Margin31.2%
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Score Changes
3 historical score records available
Previous Score
46
Oct 1, 2026
Change
-0.3
points
Current Score
45
Oct 5, 2026
Category Changes
Revenue-0.3
Debt0
Assets-0.5
Capital-3.0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett-0.2
MGY decreased 0.3 points because Capital declined by 3 points.
Negative Contributors
− Capital declined by 3 points
Projected Score
Projected Score
55
Projected Change
+9.4 points
Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 9.4 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.
Income StatementBalance SheetCash Flow
AnnualQuarterlyTTM + Annual
All rows
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
Line Item
TTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Revenue
$1.48B
$1.31B
$1.32B
$1.23B
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Cost of Revenue
$627.6M
$699.2M
$635.2M
$524.6M
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Gross Profit
$852.3M
$612.7M
$680.7M
$702.4M
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Research & Development
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
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SG&A Expenses
$109.8M
$97.0M
$88.7M
$77.1M
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Operating Expenses
$289.4M
$173.5M
$168.7M
$167.9M
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EBITDA
$1.02B
$883.6M
$922.0M
$874.6M
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Operating Income
$562.8M
$439.2M
$512.0M
$534.5M
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Interest Expense
$23.5M
$21.6M
$14.4M
$33K
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Income Before Tax
$537.8M
$417.4M
$493.1M
$549.8M
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Income Tax Expense
$105.6M
$80.1M
$95.8M
$107.2M
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Net Income
$425.8M
$325.3M
$366.0M
$388.3M
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Basic EPS
$2.30
$1.75
$1.94
$2.04
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Basic Shares
185M
186M
186M
188M
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Diluted Shares
185M
186M
186M
188M
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Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.
Financial Changes Since Prior Period
What Improved
Margins expanded
Cash position grew
Debt reduced
Potential Score Impact
Positive indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth, cash levels, debt levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.
Stored Earnings Analysis
Revenue increased 50.1%. EPS increased 136.6%. Cash increased 17.5%. Total debt declined 4.4%. Net income margin improved by 13.5 percentage points.
Earnings-Call Transcript
Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.
These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.
Dividend HistoryShare
Dividend History
A dividend is reported, but detailed payment history is temporarily unavailable or awaiting refresh.
Predictions & Historical PerformanceShare
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
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5 Years
$———.——
Premium
10 Years
$———.——
Premium
Conservative Projection Rate
——%
Premium
Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.
Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.