Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.
VIST · Price history
Price at last available close
$71.53
+$4.62 (+6.90%) 1M
2026-10-27
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Company & revenue
About Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.
Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.
Who they are
Headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico, Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C. V.
How they make money
Vista Energy generates revenue primarily through the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas. The company sells its hydrocarbon production to various customers, including refineries and industrial users, with pricing largely influenced by international benchmarks such as Brent for oil and local market conditions for natural gas.
Products & services
Exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas, including the capture, treatment, transport, and distribution of hydrocarbons and their derivatives.
Brands & revenue mix
No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.
Product / operating segments
Period ended 2025-12-31Source
Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.
Geographic revenue
Period ended 2025-12-31Source
Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.
Customer concentration
No quantified customer-concentration disclosure is available in the current saved research.
Suppliers, materials & equipment
- Oilfield service providers — Various third-party contractors providing drilling, completion, and maintenance services for oil and gas operations.Source
Strengths
- Significant shale oil and gas assets in the Vaca Muerta formationSource
Financial risk observations and what to check
These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-06-30.
Total debt increased 40.4% versus the same quarter last year.
Compare the added borrowing with available cash, cash generation and maturities. A percentage increase from a small starting balance can look large without measuring the full debt burden.
Wall Street Score
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
62
Fair
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
74
Strong
Financial Strength
41
Business Quality / Moat
88
Management
90
Growth Quality
100
Risk / Durability
67
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Opportunity
Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?
77
Fair
Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.
View score details →
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
77/100
Building Historical Record
Model Score 77/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.
Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.
Click for full breakdown →
WSS View
The quick read
The overall Wall Street Score is mixed across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. Review the category scores to identify what is helping or hurting the result.
At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as relatively attractive.
The model outlook is currently positive.
- •Asset quality scores strongly
- •Valuation scores attractively
- •Recent buyback activity is present
- •Elevated debt risk
- •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for VIST
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
- •Can VIST maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
- •How long can VIST fund negative free cash flow using its current cash position before it may need more debt or new shares?
- •Is VIST's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
- •Is VIST's valuation discount tied to a temporary concern or to a longer-term business risk?
- •What does the current fundamental change risk warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of VIST's score?
Essential Investment Snapshot
Wall Street Score
62
Opportunity Score
77
Market Cap
$7.46B
P/E Ratio
8.9
EPS
$7.93
52-Week High
$81.44
52-Week Low
$43.71
Beta
-0.46
Intrinsic Value
$305.31
Analyst Target
$91.00
Shares Outstanding
107.2M
Total Revenue
$3.53B
Total Debt
$3.75B
Dividend
No current dividend
Liquidation Value / Share
$32.88
Momentum & Volatility Signals
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
Neutral / mixed momentum
Low movement
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for VIST
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.Historical repurchase activity
Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.
Elevated debt risk
Total debt is at least one year of revenue • Free cash flow is negative • Cash covers less than 20% of total debt
Community Sentiment
0 active · 0 total callsNo personal call yet on VIST.
Potential upside factors
- +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
- +Significant shale oil and gas assets in the Vaca Muerta formation.
Potential downside factors
- −Debt risk (elevated): Total debt is at least one year of revenue.
- −Free cash flow is negative.
- −Cash covers less than 20% of total debt.
- −Volatility in international crude oil and natural gas prices.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
Create a free account to make a call.
Scores
Click any score for full breakdownWas this stock page easy to understand?
One click helps us improve the research experience. This is not tied to an investment decision.
Score Changes
4 historical score records availablePrevious Score
62
Oct 1, 2026
Change
Unchanged
Current Score
62
Oct 26, 2026
Category Changes
VIST score was unchanged.
Negative Contributors
- − Asset declined by 2.1 points
- − Capital declined by 5 points
Projected Score
Projected Score
64
Projected Change
+2.0 points
Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 2.0 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.
Price vs. Value
Review model assumptionsThis model estimate is more than three times the share price.
This is a formula-based estimate, not a verified fair value or price target. Check the earnings and growth assumptions.
Stored EPS: $7.93 · Growth assumption: 15.0% · Earnings multiplier: 38.5×.
Current Price
$71.53
Model Intrinsic Value
$305.31
Difference
−$233.78
-76.6% vs IV
Margin of Safety
76.6%
Financial Charts
Revenue
Additional Metrics
Operating Cash Flow
Total Debt
Total Assets
Net Margin %
Large reported revenue change: +50.2%
Revenue changed sharply from 2024 to 2025. This can reflect a real business change, acquisition, divestiture, discontinued operations, restatement, or reporting-basis change. Compare the underlying filing before treating it as normal growth or decline.
TTM may combine quarters from before and after the event, so its trend can also be distorted.
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
| Line Item | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.53B | $2.47B | $1.65B | $1.17B | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Cost of Revenue | $1.67B | $1.30B | $392.1M | $577.5M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Gross Profit | $1.86B | $1.18B | $1.26B | $591.2M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Research & Development | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| SG&A Expenses | $419.2M | $305.7M | $203.0M | $112.1M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Operating Expenses | $770.3M | $346.6M | $630.3M | -$40.2M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| EBITDA | $2.39B | $1.97B | $1.10B | $848.4M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Operating Income | $1.09B | $828.4M | $625.4M | $631.5M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Interest Expense | $272.7M | $229.7M | $67.2M | $26.6M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Income Before Tax | $1.17B | $1.00B | $590.8M | $545.4M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Income Tax Expense | $330.7M | $285.6M | $113.3M | $148.4M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Net Income | $841.7M | $719.1M | $477.5M | $397.0M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Basic EPS | $7.99 | $7.02 | $4.98 | $4.24 | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Basic Shares | 109M | 102M | 95.91M | 93.68M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Diluted Shares | 114M | 107M | 103M | 99.23M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
Earnings Summary
Revenue
$1.23B
Estimate unavailable.
Revenue Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
EPS
$2.90
Estimate unavailable.
EPS Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
Debt Change
+40.4%
Cash Change
+62.4%
Margin Change
-11.6 pp
Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.
Financial Changes Since Prior Period
What Improved
- Cash position grew
What Weakened
- Margins contracted
- Debt increased
Potential Score Impact
Positive indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth, cash levels. Pressure indicators included debt levels, net income margin. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.
Stored Earnings Analysis
Revenue increased 102.3%. EPS increased 34.3%. Cash increased 62.4%. Total debt increased 40.4%. Net income margin declined by 11.6 percentage points.
Earnings-Call Transcript
Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.
These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.
Insider Activity
Guru / Smart Money
Guru Score
47
Smart Money
47
Number of Gurus
2
Total Guru Value
Avg Portfolio Weight
Largest Holder
Largest Holder %
New Positions
Increased Positions
Reduced Positions
Exited Positions
Net Guru Sentiment
Short Interest
Dividend History
Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
$———.——
5 Years
$———.——
10 Years
$———.——
Conservative Projection Rate
——%
Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.
Start 7-Day Free TrialHistorical Outperformance Record
Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.
Start 7-Day Free TrialHistorical Trends
4 historical recordsHistorical Score Chart
3 of 4 records shownWall Street Score
Debt Score
Revenue Score
Asset Score
Capital Score
Management Score
Moat Score
Valuation Score
Buffett Score
Intrinsic Value
Value Reference
Margin of Safety %
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Vista Energy: The Cash Engine Is On
Vista Energy's 2026 Outlook: Shale Expansion Drives 70% Adjusted EBITDA Margins
Rumor Mill · VIST
Corporate developments & opportunities
No reviewed developments match this filter.
Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.
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