Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

MediaAlpha, Inc.

MAXNYSE
Wall Street Score · overall investment74/100
$14.04USD+$2.33 (+19.84%)
Company website www.mediaalpha.com
Headquarters700 South Flower Street, Los Angeles, CA, 90017, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Communication Services · Internet Content & Information
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 5, 2026

MAX · Price history

Price at last available close

$14.16

+$4.78 (+50.96%) 1M

2026-10-29

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Company & revenue

About MediaAlpha, Inc.

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

MediaAlpha, Inc. (MAX) runs a dedicated platform in the United States designed to enhance customer acquisition within the insurance sector. It specializes in streamlining the process of attracting new clients across various insurance segments, including property and casualty, health, and life coverage. The company was established in 2014, is based in Los Angeles, California, and functions as a subsidiary of White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd.

How they make money

MediaAlpha operates a programmatic customer acquisition platform that connects consumers with insurance carriers. The company generates revenue primarily through transaction-based fees when consumers engage with or select insurance products from carriers on its marketplace, effectively acting as an intermediary that optimizes advertising spend for insurance providers.

Products & services

A programmatic advertising technology platform that facilitates customer acquisition for property & casualty, health, and life insurance carriers through brand, comparison, and metasearch websites.

Brands & revenue mix

No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.

Product / operating segments

Property And Casualty InsuranceUSD 1.00B90.1%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

Health InsuranceUSD 85.70M7.7%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

Life InsuranceUSD 21.70M1.9%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

OtherUSD 3.17M0.3%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

  • Property & Casualty insurance carriersSource
  • Health insurance carriersSource
  • Life insurance carriersSource

Customer concentration

The company discloses that it relies on a limited number of insurance carriers for a significant portion of its revenue, which creates concentration risk as of the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Supply-side partners — Various publishers and websites that provide the traffic and consumer leads which MediaAlpha monetizes; specific supplier companies are unnamed.Source

Strengths

  • Leading programmatic customer acquisition infrastructure for insurance carriersSource
  • Strong momentum in P&C insurance verticalSource

Risks

  • Concentration of revenue from a limited number of insurance carrier customersSource
  • Dependence on supply-side partners for traffic and lead generationSource

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

74

Strong

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

68

Fair

Financial Strength

71

Business Quality / Moat

53

Management

100

Growth Quality

63

Risk / Durability

40

Cheap for a Reason · Review the Risks

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

80

Attractive

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

78/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 78/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is strong across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. Review Company Quality separately to assess the business without its share price.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as relatively attractive.

The model outlook is currently positive.

What we like
  • •Strong overall Wall Street Score
  • •Asset quality scores strongly
  • •Valuation scores attractively
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •Material dilution — approximately 25.9% share-count growth
  • •M&A headline · Aug 24, 2026

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for MAX

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can MAX maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •Is MAX's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Is MAX's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
  • •Is MAX's valuation discount tied to a temporary concern or to a longer-term business risk?
⚠ 2 warningsView warning details
Material dilution — approximately 25.9% share-count growthM&A headline · Aug 24, 2026
Business analysis: 17 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

74

0–100 · Strong

Opportunity Score

80

0–100 · Excellent

Market Cap

$744.0M

P/E Ratio

5.5

EPS

$1.75

52-Week High

$14.70

52-Week Low

$7.09

Beta

1.16

Intrinsic Value

$67.38

Analyst Target

$15.00

Shares Outstanding

66.8M

Total Revenue

$1.22B

Total Debt

$176.7M

Dividend

No current dividend

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$-0.07

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
90/ 100
+14 pts / 5d

Strong upward momentum

5D +14.1% · 20D +46.3% · RSI 80 · Price vs 20D avg +27.5%
Volatility
84/ 100
+28 pts / 5d

High movement

20D realized vol 91.1% · 60D 66.3% · Acceleration 1.37x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for MAX

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Material dilution — approximately 25.9% share-count growth

Diluted shares outstanding grew ~25.9% year-over-year. Substantial dilution reduces per-share value and can signal financing stress. Wall Street Score is capped.

Dividend history reported

Dividend payments are recorded. Review the dates and regular/special classification below; past payments do not guarantee future dividends.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

M&A headline · Aug 24, 2026

Real and RE/MAX Holdings Announce Completion of Business Combination — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.

Business Wire

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on MAX.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Leading programmatic customer acquisition infrastructure for insurance carriers.
  • +Strong momentum in P&C insurance vertical.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Internet Content & Information industry.
  • −Concentration of revenue from a limited number of insurance carrier customers.
  • −Dependence on supply-side partners for traffic and lead generation.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Strong74/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Strong

74

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

70

Debt Cost7.2%
Debt Reduction YoY4.5%
Debt / Equity37.31x

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Fair

68

Revenue YoY10.0%
Revenue CAGR69.4%
Net Margin7.9%

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

71

Asset Growth YoY46.3%
Liquidation/Share-$0.07
Net Assets/MCap0.36x

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

86

Earnings Yield19.1%
Buyback Yield2.9%
Debt Cost7.2%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

ROIC43.1%
ROE342.2%
ROA27.0%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

53

EPS Growth22.9%
FCF/Share Growth5.8%
Rev/Share Growth6.2%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

Intrinsic Value$67.38
Value Reference$40.42
MOS82.6%

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

75

Revenue68
Moat53
Valuation100

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

MOS %82.6%
Value Reference$40.42
Deep Discount Reference$26.95

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

36

Interest Coverage7.0x
ROIC43.1%
FCF Yield12.8%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

63

Financial36
Valuation100
Debt70

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

45

Survival Years0.9 yrs
Current Ratio1.18x
FCF Margin5.9%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

3 historical score records available

Previous Score

74

Oct 1, 2026

Change

Unchanged

Current Score

74

Oct 5, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue0
Debt0
Assets0
Capital0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett0

MAX score was unchanged.

Projected Score

Projected Score

75

Projected Change

+0.8 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 0.8 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Review model assumptions

This model estimate is more than three times the share price.

This is a formula-based estimate, not a verified fair value or price target. Check the earnings and growth assumptions.

Stored EPS: $1.75 · Growth assumption: 15.0% · Earnings multiplier: 38.5×.

Current Price

$14.04

Model Intrinsic Value

$67.38

Difference

−$53.33

-79.2% vs IV

Margin of Safety

79.2%

Value Reference: $40.42
Deep Discount Reference: $26.95

Financial Charts

Revenue

20182019202020212022202320242025$0$300M$600M$900M$1.2B

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

20182019202020212022202320242025$0$20M$40M$60M$80M

Total Debt

20182019202020212022202320242025$0$50M$100M$150M$200M

Total Assets

20182019202020212022202320242025$0$100M$200M$300M$400M

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM20252024202320222021202020192018
Revenue$1.22B$1.11B$864.7M$388.1M····················
Cost of Revenue$1.04B$946.1M$721.1M$321.4M····················
Gross Profit$180.1M$164.6M$143.6M$66.7M····················
Research & Development$22.7M$21.4M$19.8M$18.5M····················
SG&A Expenses$73.1M$110.6M$70.0M$83.9M····················
Operating Expenses$39.6M$86.3M$100.8M$106.6M····················
EBITDA$977K-$96.6M$60.5M-$28.4M····················
Operating Income$140.5M$78.2M$42.7M-$39.9M····················
Interest Expense$10.6M$11.2M$14.4M$15.3M····················
Income Before Tax-$10.8M-$111.1M$23.5M-$57.0M····················
Income Tax Expense-$118.3M-$137.8M$1.4M-$463K····················
Net Income$97.2M$25.6M$16.6M-$40.4M····················
Basic EPS$1.75$0.46$0.31$-0.89····················
Basic Shares54.79M56.24M53.04M45.42M····················
Diluted Shares63.12M66.79M53.04M45.57M····················
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Nov 4, 2026
Estimated EPS: $0.25Estimated revenue: $347.5M
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$316.9M

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$0.65

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

+11.8%

Cash Change

-72.2%

Margin Change

+19.9 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Margins expanded

What Weakened

  • Cash position declined
  • Debt increased

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, net income margin. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, cash levels, debt levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 25.9%. EPS declined 297.0%. Cash declined 72.2%. Total debt increased 11.8%. Net income margin improved by 19.9 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 121 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

Smart Money

Number of Gurus

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Log in to view dividend history.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

Start 7-Day Free Trial

Historical Trends

3 historical records
Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 5, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 3 records shown

Wall Street Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 5, 260255075100

Debt Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 5, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 5, 260255075100

Asset Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 5, 260255075100

Capital Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 5, 260255075100

Management Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 5, 260255075100

Moat Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 5, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 5, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 5, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 5, 26$15.00$30.00$45.00$60.00$75.00

Value Reference

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 5, 26$9.00$18.00$27.00$36.00$45.00

Margin of Safety %

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 5, 260.2%0.4%0.6%0.8%1.0%

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News

Rumor Mill · MAX

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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