Mattel, Inc.
MAT · Price history
Price at last available close
$15.43
+$2.09 (+15.67%) 1M
2026-10-27
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Company & revenue
About Mattel, Inc.
Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.
Who they are
Mattel, Inc. functions as a worldwide children's entertainment corporation, primarily engaged in the design and production of a diverse range of toys and consumer goods. The company's operations are segmented into North America, International, and the American Girl brand. Its extensive product offerings include dolls and accessories, alongside related content, gaming, and lifestyle merchandise for children, marketed under popular labels such as Barbie, Monster High, American Girl, Polly Pocket, Spirit, and Enchantimals; the American Girl brand specifically also provides dolls complemented by books.
How they make money
Mattel designs, manufactures, and markets a broad portfolio of toys and consumer products. It generates revenue primarily by selling these products to retailers, wholesalers, and directly to consumers through e-commerce channels and company-operated retail outlets.
Products & services
Mattel produces dolls, vehicles, action figures, games, and building sets, including brands like Barbie, Hot Wheels, Fisher-Price, and American Girl.
Brands & revenue mix
Core infant and preschool brand.
Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source
Premium doll and publication brand.
Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source
Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.
Product / operating segments
No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.
Geographic revenue
No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.
Customer types
Customer concentration
Mattel reports a concentration of sales to certain large customers, which varies by region or nation, and notes that difficulties experienced by these customers could negatively impact the company.
Suppliers, materials & equipment
- Independent contractors — Used for the production of non-core products to manage manufacturing costs and delivery flexibility.Source
Strengths
- Global brand portfolioSource
Sources
Financial risk observations and what to check
These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-06-30.
Quarterly EPS turned negative at -0.06 versus 0.16 a year earlier.
Separate recurring operating losses from noncash or one-time charges, and check cash flow rather than interpreting negative EPS as a cash-outflow amount.
Quarterly net income turned from a profit to a loss versus the same quarter last year.
Identify the causes in the interim report and distinguish operating cash use from accounting charges. Prior profitability is not a guarantee of recovery.
Wall Street Score
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
44
Weak
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
62
Fair
Financial Strength
71
Business Quality / Moat
52
Management
80
Growth Quality
32
Risk / Durability
72
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Opportunity
Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?
21
Avoid
Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.
View score details →
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
29/100
Building Historical Record
Model Score 29/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.
Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.
Click for full breakdown →
WSS View
The quick read
The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.
At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.
The model outlook is currently cautious.
- •Balance-sheet / debt profile scores strongly
- •Recent buyback activity is present
- •M&A headline · Oct 2, 2026
- •M&A headline · Oct 1, 2026
- •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
- •Revenue fundamentals are weak
- •Asset quality is a weaker factor
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for MAT
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
- •Can MAT maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
- •Is MAT's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
- •Is MAT's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
- •What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify MAT's current valuation?
- •What does the current fundamental change risk warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of MAT's score?
Essential Investment Snapshot
Wall Street Score
44
Opportunity Score
21
Market Cap
$4.41B
P/E Ratio
11.2
EPS
$1.35
52-Week High
$22.48
52-Week Low
$12.40
Beta
0.73
Intrinsic Value
$11.48
Analyst Target
$15.00
Shares Outstanding
318.2M
Total Revenue
$5.49B
Total Debt
$2.75B
Dividend
No current dividend
Liquidation Value / Share
$6.28
Momentum & Volatility Signals
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
Neutral / mixed momentum
Elevated movement
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for MAT
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.Historical repurchase activity
Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.
M&A headline · Oct 2, 2026
Mattel shares jump after reports of takeover interest from Authentic Brands Group — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.
CNBC TelevisionM&A headline · Oct 1, 2026
Mattel shares rise after reports of takeover interest from Authentic Brands Group — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.
CNBCM&A headline · Oct 1, 2026
Mattel attracts takeover interest from Authentic Brands Group, WSJ reports — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.
ReutersM&A headline · Oct 1, 2026
Barbie-Maker Mattel Draws Takeover Interest from Authentic Brands Group — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.
WSJCommunity Sentiment
0 active · 0 total callsNo personal call yet on MAT.
Potential upside factors
- +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
- +Global brand portfolio.
- +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.
Potential downside factors
- −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Leisure industry.
- −Seasonality of demand.
- −Customer concentration.
- −Currency fluctuations.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
Create a free account to make a call.
Scores
Click any score for full breakdownWas this stock page easy to understand?
One click helps us improve the research experience. This is not tied to an investment decision.
Score Changes
3 historical score records availablePrevious Score
46
Oct 1, 2026
Change
-1.8
points
Current Score
44
Oct 5, 2026
Category Changes
MAT decreased 1.8 points because Revenue declined by 4.3 points, Asset declined by 5 points, Capital declined by 8 points.
Negative Contributors
- − Revenue declined by 4.3 points
- − Asset declined by 5 points
- − Capital declined by 8 points
- − Valuation declined by 2.9 points
Projected Score
Projected Score
35
Projected Change
-9.0 points
Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 9.0 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.
Price vs. Value
OvervaluedCurrent Price
$15.43
Model Intrinsic Value
$11.48
Difference
+$3.95
+34.5% vs IV
Margin of Safety
-34.5%
Financial Charts
Revenue
Additional Metrics
Operating Cash Flow
Total Debt
Total Assets
Net Margin %
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
| Line Item | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.49B | $5.35B | $5.38B | $5.44B | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Cost of Revenue | $2.89B | $2.73B | $2.65B | $2.86B | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Gross Profit | $2.60B | $2.61B | $2.73B | $2.58B | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Research & Development | $114.5M | $0.00 | $194.1M | $0.00 | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| SG&A Expenses | $2.08B | $1.99B | $2.04B | $2.02B | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Operating Expenses | $2.14B | $1.99B | $2.04B | $2.02B | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| EBITDA | $749.8M | $774.1M | $987.2M | $818.4M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Operating Income | $466.6M | $620.0M | $694.3M | $561.7M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Interest Expense | $123.0M | $118.7M | $118.8M | $123.8M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Income Before Tax | $499.2M | $487.4M | $647.4M | $483.8M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Income Tax Expense | $71.9M | $89.8M | $105.6M | $269.5M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Net Income | $427.4M | $397.6M | $541.8M | $214.4M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Basic EPS | $1.35 | $1.25 | $1.59 | $0.61 | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Basic Shares | 289M | 318M | 340M | 354M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Diluted Shares | 289M | 318M | 343M | 357M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
Earnings Summary
Revenue
$1.13B
Estimate unavailable.
Revenue Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
EPS
-$0.06
Estimate unavailable.
EPS Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
Debt Change
+2.4%
Cash Change
-39.8%
Margin Change
-6.9 pp
Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.
Financial Changes Since Prior Period
What Weakened
- Margins contracted
- Cash position declined
- Debt increased
Potential Score Impact
Positive indicators included revenue growth. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, cash levels, debt levels, net income margin. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.
Stored Earnings Analysis
Revenue increased 10.5%. EPS declined 137.5%. Cash declined 39.8%. Total debt increased 2.4%. Net income margin declined by 6.9 percentage points.
Earnings-Call Transcript
Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.
These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.
Insider Activity
Guru / Smart Money
Guru Score
30
Smart Money
30
Number of Gurus
2
Total Guru Value
Avg Portfolio Weight
Largest Holder
Largest Holder %
New Positions
Increased Positions
Reduced Positions
Exited Positions
Net Guru Sentiment
Short Interest
Dividend History
Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
$———.——
5 Years
$———.——
10 Years
$———.——
Conservative Projection Rate
——%
Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.
Start 7-Day Free TrialHistorical Outperformance Record
Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.
Start 7-Day Free TrialHistorical Trends
3 historical recordsHistorical Score Chart
3 of 3 records shownWall Street Score
Debt Score
Revenue Score
Asset Score
Capital Score
Management Score
Moat Score
Valuation Score
Buffett Score
Intrinsic Value
Value Reference
Margin of Safety %
Related Companies
LeisureNews
Mattel Names Peter Griffith Chief Financial Officer, Replacing Paul Ruh
Mattel Appoints Peter Griffith as Chief Financial Officer and Board Director
Mattel (MAT) to Report Q3 Results: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth
Mattel major shareholder Ariel Investments urges board to consider sale
Rumor Mill · MAT
Corporate developments & opportunities
No reviewed developments match this filter.
Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.
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