Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

Grand Canyon Education, Inc.

LOPENASDAQ
Wall Street Score · overall investment48/100
$157.31USD$-3.40 (-2.12%)
Company website www.gce.com
Headquarters2600 West Camelback Road, Phoenix, AZ, 85017, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 1, 2026

LOPE · Price history

Price at last available close

$157.31

+$10.91 (+7.45%) 1M

2026-10-27

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Company & revenue

About Grand Canyon Education, Inc.

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (GCE) furnishes a broad spectrum of educational support services to higher education institutions throughout the United States. Its comprehensive suite of offerings encompasses technology solutions, such as learning management systems, internal administrative platforms, and critical infrastructure and technical support. GCE also provides academic services, which include curriculum and program design, faculty development and training, class scheduling, and the establishment of skills and simulation laboratory sites.

How they make money

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. operates as an education services company that provides technology, marketing, enrollment, counseling, and financial aid processing services to university partners. The company generates revenue primarily through service fee arrangements, typically calculated as a percentage of the university partner's tuition and academic-related fees.

Products & services

The company provides a comprehensive suite of support services to higher education institutions, including technological infrastructure, student recruitment, financial aid administration, and academic program development.

Brands & revenue mix

No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.

Product / operating segments

No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

  • Non-profit colleges and universitiesSource

Disclosed major customers

Customer concentration

Grand Canyon University is the company's most significant university partner, accounting for a substantial portion of total service revenue as of the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Technology and Cloud Service Providers — The company relies on various third-party technology and cloud infrastructure providers to support its digital service platforms.Source

Strengths

  • Scalable technological and operational infrastructureSource

Risks

  • Concentration of revenue from a single university partnerSource
  • Regulatory environment governing higher education and student financial aidSource

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

48

Weak

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

68

Fair

Financial Strength

52

Business Quality / Moat

73

Management

100

Growth Quality

30

Risk / Durability

95

Weak Company · Expensive Stock

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

57

Avoid

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

60/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 60/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as moderate rather than unusually attractive.

The model outlook is currently moderate.

What we like
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak
  • •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention
  • •Asset quality is a weaker factor

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for LOPE

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can LOPE maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •Is LOPE's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •How is LOPE likely to use its cash advantage: reinvestment, acquisitions, debt reduction, dividends or buybacks?
Business analysis: 15 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

48

0–100 · Weak

Opportunity Score

57

0–100 · Fair

Market Cap

$4.10B

P/E Ratio

18.5

EPS

$8.32

52-Week High

$223.04

52-Week Low

$134.27

Beta

0.58

Intrinsic Value

$181.70

Analyst Target

$185.00

Shares Outstanding

28.0M

Total Revenue

$1.14B

Total Debt

$104.2M

Dividend

No current dividend

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$23.89

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
57/ 100
-12 pts / 5d

Neutral / mixed momentum

5D -1.9% · 20D +6.6% · RSI 53 · Price vs 20D avg -1.0%
Volatility
19/ 100
+7 pts / 5d

Low movement

20D realized vol 23.8% · 60D 23.8% · Acceleration 1.00x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for LOPE

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on LOPE.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Scalable technological and operational infrastructure.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Education & Training Services industry.
  • −Concentration of revenue from a single university partner.
  • −Regulatory environment governing higher education and student financial aid.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak48/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Weak

48

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

31

Debt Cost—
Debt Reduction YoY-84.4%
Debt / Equity0.27x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

25

Revenue YoY3.3%
Revenue CAGR7.3%
Net Margin19.6%

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Poor

24

Asset Growth YoY-2.6%
Liquidation/Share$23.89
Net Assets/MCap0.20x

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

57

Earnings Yield5.6%
Buyback Yield7.4%
Debt Cost—

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

ROIC38.9%
ROE33.5%
ROA24.4%

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

73

EPS Growth7.0%
FCF/Share Growth10.5%
Rev/Share Growth12.4%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

49

Intrinsic Value$181.70
Value Reference$109.02
MOS11.7%

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Weak

47

Revenue25
Moat73
Valuation49

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

39

MOS %11.7%
Value Reference$109.02
Deep Discount Reference$72.68

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

46

Interest Coverage—
ROIC38.9%
FCF Yield6.0%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

46

Financial46
Valuation49
Debt31

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

84

Survival Years1.5 yrs
Current Ratio3.65x
FCF Margin21.6%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

2 historical score records available

Previous Score

48

Jul 24, 2026

Change

-0.2

points

Current Score

48

Oct 1, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue+1.0
Debt0
Assets-0.9
Capital-1.0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation+3.7
Buffett+0.4

LOPE decreased 0.2 points because some fundamentals weakened.

Positive Contributors

  • + Valuation improved by 3.7 points

Projected Score

Projected Score

49

Projected Change

+0.8 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 0.8 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Undervalued

Current Price

$157.31

Model Intrinsic Value

$181.70

Difference

−$24.39

-13.4% vs IV

Margin of Safety

13.4%

UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Value Reference: $109.02
Deep Discount Reference: $72.68

Financial Charts

Revenue

201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025$0$300M$600M$900M$1.2B

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201520172019202120232025$0$80M$160M$240M$320M

Total Debt

201520172019202120232025$0$55M$110M$165M$220M

Total Assets

201520172019202120232025$0$500M$1.0B$1.5B$2.0B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$1.14B$1.11B$1.03B$960.9M····························
Cost of Revenue$533.7M$517.7M$488.6M$457.2M····························
Gross Profit$608.4M$588.4M$544.4M$503.7M····························
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
SG&A Expenses$282.9M$276.6M$258.7M$246.0M····························
Operating Expenses$291.3M$285.0M$269.0M$254.5M····························
EBITDA$328.7M$319.8M$327.9M$291.7M····························
Operating Income$317.1M$303.3M$275.4M$249.3M····························
Interest Expense$0.00$0.00$4K$33K····························
Income Before Tax$292.8M$279.9M$291.3M$259.7M····························
Income Tax Expense$68.6M$63.7M$65.1M$54.7M····························
Net Income$224.2M$216.2M$226.2M$205.0M····························
Basic EPS$8.32$7.76$7.77$6.83····························
Basic Shares26.16M27.86M29.10M29.99M····························
Diluted Shares26.22M28.02M29.27M30.15M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Nov 4, 2026
Estimated EPS: $1.76Estimated revenue: $270.1M
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$264.0M

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$1.75

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

-3.4%

Cash Change

-11.0%

Margin Change

+0.6 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Margins expanded
  • Debt reduced

What Weakened

  • Cash position declined

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth, debt levels, net income margin. Pressure indicators included cash levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 6.7%. EPS increased 18.2%. Cash declined 11.0%. Total debt declined 3.4%. Net income margin improved by 0.6 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 120 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

Smart Money

Number of Gurus

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

Start 7-Day Free Trial

Historical Trends

2 historical records
Jul 24, 2648
Oct 1, 2648

2 historical score records available.

Historical Score Chart

2 of 2 records shown

Wall Street Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Debt Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Asset Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Capital Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Management Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Moat Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26$168.00$172.00$176.00$180.00$184.00

Value Reference

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26$99.00$102.00$105.00$108.00$111.00

Margin of Safety %

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%

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News

Rumor Mill · LOPE

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

Related Stock Research

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