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Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.
Who they are
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (GCE) furnishes a broad spectrum of educational support services to higher education institutions throughout the United States. Its comprehensive suite of offerings encompasses technology solutions, such as learning management systems, internal administrative platforms, and critical infrastructure and technical support. GCE also provides academic services, which include curriculum and program design, faculty development and training, class scheduling, and the establishment of skills and simulation laboratory sites.
How they make money
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. operates as an education services company that provides technology, marketing, enrollment, counseling, and financial aid processing services to university partners. The company generates revenue primarily through service fee arrangements, typically calculated as a percentage of the university partner's tuition and academic-related fees.
Products & services
The company provides a comprehensive suite of support services to higher education institutions, including technological infrastructure, student recruitment, financial aid administration, and academic program development.
Brands & revenue mix
No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.
Product / operating segments
No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.
Geographic revenue
No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.
Grand Canyon University is the company's most significant university partner, accounting for a substantial portion of total service revenue as of the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.
Suppliers, materials & equipment
Technology and Cloud Service Providers — The company relies on various third-party technology and cloud infrastructure providers to support its digital service platforms.Source
Strengths
Scalable technological and operational infrastructureSource
Risks
Concentration of revenue from a single university partnerSource
Regulatory environment governing higher education and student financial aidSource
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
48
Weak
PoorElite
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
68
Fair
Financial Strength
52
Business Quality / Moat
73
Management
100
Growth Quality
30
Risk / Durability
95
Weak Company · Expensive Stock
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Opportunity
Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?
57
Avoid
Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.
View score details →
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
60/100
Building Historical Record
Model Score 60/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.
Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.
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WSS View
The quick read
The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.
At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as moderate rather than unusually attractive.
The model outlook is currently moderate.
What we like
•Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
•Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
•Revenue fundamentals are weak
•Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention
•Asset quality is a weaker factor
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for LOPE
Research inputs 100% complete
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
•Can LOPE maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
•Is LOPE's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
•How is LOPE likely to use its cash advantage: reinvestment, acquisitions, debt reduction, dividends or buybacks?
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
Volatility = How violently is it moving?
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for LOPE
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.
Historical repurchase activity
Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.
Community Sentiment
0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)
No personal call yet on LOPE.
Potential upside factors
+Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
+Scalable technological and operational infrastructure.
+Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.
Potential downside factors
−Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Education & Training Services industry.
−Concentration of revenue from a single university partner.
−Regulatory environment governing higher education and student financial aid.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
Create a free account to make a call.
Scores
Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak48/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)
Debt
Poor
31
Debt Cost—
Debt Reduction YoY-84.4%
Debt / Equity0.27x
Tap for breakdown →
Revenue
Poor
25
Revenue YoY3.3%
Revenue CAGR7.3%
Net Margin19.6%
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Asset
Poor
24
Asset Growth YoY-2.6%
Liquidation/Share$23.89
Net Assets/MCap0.20x
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Capital
Fair
57
Earnings Yield5.6%
Buyback Yield7.4%
Debt Cost—
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Management
Elite
100
ROIC38.9%
ROE33.5%
ROA24.4%
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Moat
Strong
73
EPS Growth7.0%
FCF/Share Growth10.5%
Rev/Share Growth12.4%
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Valuation
Weak
49
Intrinsic Value$181.70
Value Reference$109.02
MOS11.7%
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Buffett
Weak
47
Revenue25
Moat73
Valuation49
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MOS
Poor
39
MOS %11.7%
Value Reference$109.02
Deep Discount Reference$72.68
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Financial
Weak
46
Interest Coverage—
ROIC38.9%
FCF Yield6.0%
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Master
Weak
46
Financial46
Valuation49
Debt31
Tap for breakdown →
Resilience
Strong
84
Survival Years1.5 yrs
Current Ratio3.65x
FCF Margin21.6%
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Score Changes
2 historical score records available
Previous Score
48
Jul 24, 2026
Change
-0.2
points
Current Score
48
Oct 1, 2026
Category Changes
Revenue+1.0
Debt0
Assets-0.9
Capital-1.0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation+3.7
Buffett+0.4
LOPE decreased 0.2 points because some fundamentals weakened.
Positive Contributors
+ Valuation improved by 3.7 points
Projected Score
Projected Score
49
Projected Change
+0.8 points
Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 0.8 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.
Income StatementBalance SheetCash Flow
AnnualQuarterlyTTM + Annual
All rows
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
Line Item
TTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Revenue
$1.14B
$1.11B
$1.03B
$960.9M
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Cost of Revenue
$533.7M
$517.7M
$488.6M
$457.2M
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····
····
····
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Gross Profit
$608.4M
$588.4M
$544.4M
$503.7M
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····
····
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Research & Development
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
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SG&A Expenses
$282.9M
$276.6M
$258.7M
$246.0M
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Operating Expenses
$291.3M
$285.0M
$269.0M
$254.5M
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EBITDA
$328.7M
$319.8M
$327.9M
$291.7M
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Operating Income
$317.1M
$303.3M
$275.4M
$249.3M
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Interest Expense
$0.00
$0.00
$4K
$33K
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Income Before Tax
$292.8M
$279.9M
$291.3M
$259.7M
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Income Tax Expense
$68.6M
$63.7M
$65.1M
$54.7M
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Net Income
$224.2M
$216.2M
$226.2M
$205.0M
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Basic EPS
$8.32
$7.76
$7.77
$6.83
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Basic Shares
26.16M
27.86M
29.10M
29.99M
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Diluted Shares
26.22M
28.02M
29.27M
30.15M
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Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.
Financial Changes Since Prior Period
What Improved
Margins expanded
Debt reduced
What Weakened
Cash position declined
Potential Score Impact
Positive indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth, debt levels, net income margin. Pressure indicators included cash levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.
Stored Earnings Analysis
Revenue increased 6.7%. EPS increased 18.2%. Cash declined 11.0%. Total debt declined 3.4%. Net income margin improved by 0.6 percentage points.
Earnings-Call Transcript
Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.
These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.
Dividend HistoryShare
Dividend History
Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.
Predictions & Historical PerformanceShare
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
$———.——
Premium
5 Years
$———.——
Premium
10 Years
$———.——
Premium
Conservative Projection Rate
——%
Premium
Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.
Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.