Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

The St. Joe Company

JOENYSE
Wall Street Score · overall investment43/100
$68.13USD+$0.08 (+0.12%)
Company website www.joe.com
Headquarters130 Richard Jackson Boulevard, Panama City Beach, FL, 32407, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Real Estate · Real Estate - Development
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 28, 2026

JOE · Price history

Price at last available close

$68.13

+$2.12 (+3.21%) 1M

2026-10-28

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Company & revenue

About The St. Joe Company

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

The St. Joe Company, along with its affiliated entities, functions as a real estate development, asset management, and operational enterprise, primarily located in Northwest Florida. Its business activities are organized into three primary divisions: Residential, Hospitality, and Commercial.

How they make money

The St. Joe Company is a diversified real estate development, asset management, and operating company. It generates revenue primarily through the development and sale of residential real estate, the operation of hospitality assets, and the leasing of commercial properties, all concentrated in Northwest Florida.

Products & services

Residential real estate development, hospitality services (hotels, clubs, and restaurants), and commercial property leasing.

Brands & revenue mix

No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.

Product / operating segments

No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

Customer concentration

No quantified customer-concentration disclosure is available in the current saved research.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

No supplier relationships were confirmed in the sources reviewed. This does not mean the company has no suppliers.

Competitors

  • Residential and commercial real estate developers — Various companies operating in the Northwest Florida real estate market.Source
  • Hospitality operators — Highly competitive companies participating in the hospitality business.Source

Strengths

  • Long-term, owner-oriented capital and managementSource

Risks

  • Intense competition in residential, commercial, and hospitality segmentsSource

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

43

Weak

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

72

Strong

Financial Strength

59

Business Quality / Moat

94

Management

93

Growth Quality

37

Risk / Durability

65

Great Company · Expensive Stock

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

57

Avoid

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

59/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 59/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as moderate rather than unusually attractive.

The model outlook is currently moderate.

What we like
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •Debt service risk
  • •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak
  • •Asset quality is a weaker factor

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for JOE

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can JOE maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •Is JOE's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Is JOE's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
Debt service risk
Business analysis: 16 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

43

0–100 · Weak

Opportunity Score

57

0–100 · Fair

Market Cap

$3.88B

P/E Ratio

31.8

EPS

$2.14

52-Week High

$73.54

52-Week Low

$48.82

Beta

1.28

Intrinsic Value

$82.39

Shares Outstanding

57.6M

Total Revenue

$547.8M

Total Debt

$551.5M

Dividend Yield (TTM)

0.94%

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$13.41

Estimated net asset value per share

Dividend / Share (TTM)

$0.64

Trailing 12 months by ex-date; not a forecast

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
59/ 100
-7 pts / 5d

Neutral / mixed momentum

5D -0.4% · 20D +3.6% · RSI 63 · Price vs 20D avg +1.8%
Volatility
15/ 100
+4 pts / 5d

Low movement

20D realized vol 21.6% · 60D 23.5% · Acceleration 0.92x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for JOE

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Dividend history reported

Dividend payments are recorded. Review the dates and regular/special classification below; past payments do not guarantee future dividends.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

Debt service risk

Interest coverage is low (~1.9x). Earnings may be strained to cover interest expense.

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on JOE.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Long-term, owner-oriented capital and management.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Real Estate - Development industry.
  • −Intense competition in residential, commercial, and hospitality segments.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak43/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Weak

43

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

50

Debt Cost13.5%
Debt Reduction YoY15.2%
Debt / Equity0.75x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

32

Revenue YoY6.7%
Revenue CAGR14.8%
Net Margin22.5%

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Poor

23

Asset Growth YoY-1.3%
Liquidation/Share$13.41
Net Assets/MCap0.25x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

16

Earnings Yield3.2%
Buyback Yield0.4%
Debt Cost13.5%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

93

ROIC9.1%
ROE16.1%
ROA8.2%

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Elite

94

EPS Growth29.5%
FCF/Share Growth100.0%
Rev/Share Growth26.3%

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Weak

41

Intrinsic Value$82.39
Value Reference$49.43
MOS17.4%

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Fair

55

Revenue32
Moat94
Valuation41

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Weak

44

MOS %17.4%
Value Reference$49.43
Deep Discount Reference$32.96

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

23

Interest Coverage1.9x
ROIC9.1%
FCF Yield4.8%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

37

Financial23
Valuation41
Debt50

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

48

Survival Years0.7 yrs
Current Ratio2.17x
FCF Margin36.4%

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Score Changes

3 historical score records available

Previous Score

44

Oct 1, 2026

Change

-0.9

points

Current Score

43

Oct 28, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue-0.1
Debt0
Assets-0.3
Capital0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation-4.3
Buffett-0.4

JOE decreased 0.9 points because Valuation declined by 4.3 points.

Negative Contributors

  • − Valuation declined by 4.3 points

Projected Score

Projected Score

50

Projected Change

+7.7 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 7.7 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Undervalued

Current Price

$68.13

Model Intrinsic Value

$82.39

Difference

−$14.26

-17.3% vs IV

Margin of Safety

17.3%

UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Value Reference: $49.43
Deep Discount Reference: $32.96

Financial Charts

Revenue

201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025$0$200M$400M$600M$800M

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201520172019202120232025$0$85M$170M$255M$340M

Total Debt

201520172019202120232025$0$200M$400M$600M$800M

Total Assets

201520172019202120232025$0$400M$800M$1.2B$1.6B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$547.8M$513.3M$402.7M$389.3M····························
Cost of Revenue$99.9M$35.8M$235.5M$236.0M····························
Gross Profit$448.0M$477.5M$167.2M$153.3M····························
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
SG&A Expenses$15.6M$6.6M$25.3M$23.8M····························
Operating Expenses$282.6M$331.3M$71.6M$62.6M····························
EBITDA$241.0M$279.6M$178.3M$169.5M····························
Operating Income$165.3M$146.3M$95.6M$90.7M····························
Interest Expense$28.9M$77.1M$33.6M$30.6M····························
Income Before Tax$165.8M$155.1M$98.3M$100.1M····························
Income Tax Expense$13.9M$39.2M$26.0M$26.0M····························
Net Income$123.0M$115.6M$74.2M$77.7M····························
Basic EPS$2.14$2.00$1.27$1.33····························
Basic Shares57.16M57.64M58.33M58.31M····························
Diluted Shares57.17M57.64M58.35M58.32M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:A future estimated earnings date is not currently available.
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$158.8M

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$0.71

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

-9.6%

Cash Change

+33.1%

Margin Change

+2.6 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Margins expanded
  • Cash position grew
  • Debt reduced

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth, cash levels, debt levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 23.0%. EPS increased 39.2%. Cash increased 33.1%. Total debt declined 9.6%. Net income margin improved by 2.6 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 121 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

8

Smart Money

8

Number of Gurus

1

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Log in to view dividend history.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

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Historical Trends

3 historical records
Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 28, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 3 records shown

Wall Street Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 28, 260255075100

Debt Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 28, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 28, 260255075100

Asset Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 28, 260255075100

Capital Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 28, 260255075100

Management Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 28, 260255075100

Moat Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 28, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 28, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 28, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 28, 26$76.00$78.00$80.00$82.00$84.00

Value Reference

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 28, 26$45.90$46.80$47.70$48.60$49.50

Margin of Safety %

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 28, 260.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.2%

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News

Rumor Mill · JOE

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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