Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

Five Point Holdings, LLC

FPHNYSE
Wall Street Score · overall investment61/100
$4.20USD+$0.11 (+2.57%)
Company website www.fivepoint.com
Headquarters2000 FivePoint, Irvine, CA, 92618, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Real Estate · Real Estate - Development
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 1, 2026

FPH · Price history

Price at last available close

$4.20

−$0.48 (-10.26%) 1M

2026-10-29

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Company & revenue

About Five Point Holdings, LLC

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

Five Point Holdings, LLC, primarily operating through its subsidiary, Five Point Operating Company, LP, specializes in the ownership and development of large-scale, multi-purpose communities across Orange, Los Angeles, and San Francisco Counties in California. The company segments its operations into four distinct areas: Valencia, San Francisco, Great Park, and Commercial. Its business activities include selling land parcels for both residential and commercial construction to homebuilders, commercial developers, and other buyers.

How they make money

Five Point Holdings, LLC operates as an owner and developer of large-scale, mixed-use planned communities in California. The company generates revenue primarily through the sale of residential and commercial land parcels to homebuilders and commercial developers, while also providing management services and capital solutions for land development projects.

Products & services

Development of mixed-use planned communities, including residential land sales, commercial land development, and property management services.

Brands & revenue mix

No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.

Product / operating segments

Management ServiceUSD 65.30M59.4%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

LandUSD 42.45M38.6%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

Operating PropertiesUSD 405,0000.4%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

Customer concentration

The company's revenue is highly concentrated among a small number of homebuilders and commercial developers, with Lennar Corporation representing a significant portion of historical land purchase activity as of the fiscal period ending 2025-12-31.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Construction and Land Development Contractors — The company relies on various third-party contractors for land development, infrastructure construction, and site preparation services; specific supplier names are unnamed.Source

Business relationships & partnerships

  • Lennar Corporation — Lennar is a significant equity owner and strategic partner involved in the company's development ventures and capital structure.Source

Strengths

  • Ownership of large-scale, entitled land assets in high-demand California markets.Source

Risks

  • Significant dependence on the California real estate market and economic conditions.Source
  • Concentration of revenue among a limited number of homebuilder customers.Source

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

61

Fair

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

39

Poor

Financial Strength

41

Business Quality / Moat

18

Management

54

Growth Quality

41

Risk / Durability

55

Cheap for a Reason · Review the Risks

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

82

Attractive

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

71/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 71/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is mixed across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. Review the category scores to identify what is helping or hurting the result.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as relatively attractive.

The model outlook is currently positive.

What we like
  • •Valuation scores attractively
What to watch
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak
  • •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for FPH

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can FPH maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •Is FPH's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Does FPH's balance between cash and debt leave enough flexibility if business conditions weaken?
  • •Is FPH's valuation discount tied to a temporary concern or to a longer-term business risk?
  • •What does the current share basis reconciled warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of FPH's score?
Business analysis: 17 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

61

0–100 · Fair

Opportunity Score

82

0–100 · Excellent

Market Cap

$301.5M

P/E Ratio

6.2

EPS

$0.75

52-Week High

$6.47

52-Week Low

$4.55

Beta

1.33

Intrinsic Value

$28.83

Shares Outstanding

71.1M

Total Revenue

$116.9M

Total Debt

$444.0M

Dividend

No current dividend

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$33.83

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
22/ 100
-18 pts / 5d

Strong downward momentum

5D -6.7% · 20D -8.3% · RSI 41 · Price vs 20D avg -3.7%
Volatility
51/ 100
+7 pts / 5d

Normal movement

20D realized vol 47.6% · 60D 31.4% · Acceleration 1.52x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on FPH.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Ownership of large-scale, entitled land assets in high-demand California markets.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Real Estate - Development industry.
  • −Significant dependence on the California real estate market and economic conditions.
  • −Concentration of revenue among a limited number of homebuilder customers.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Fair61/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Fair

61

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

30

Debt Cost—
Debt Reduction YoY13.5%
Debt / Equity0.61x

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

43

Revenue YoY6.2%
Revenue CAGR-27.9%
Net Margin45.3%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

63

Asset Growth YoY5.3%
Liquidation/Share$33.83
Net Assets/MCap8.34x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

35

Earnings Yield15.9%
Buyback Yield0.3%
Debt Cost—

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

54

ROIC-0.7%
ROE6.2%
ROA1.6%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

18

EPS Growth3.1%
FCF/Share Growth-10.2%
Rev/Share Growth-8.4%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

Intrinsic Value$28.83
Value Reference$17.30
MOS85.8%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

46

Revenue43
Moat18
Valuation100

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

MOS %85.8%
Value Reference$17.30
Deep Discount Reference$11.53

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

42

Interest Coverage—
ROIC-0.7%
FCF Yield31.6%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

68

Financial42
Valuation100
Debt30

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

88

Survival Years9.2 yrs
Current Ratio82.24x
FCF Margin95.4%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

6 historical score records available

Previous Score

61

Sep 24, 2026

Change

Unchanged

Current Score

61

Oct 1, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue+0.1
Debt0
Assets0
Capital0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett0

FPH score was unchanged.

Projected Score

Projected Score

66

Projected Change

+5.8 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 5.8 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Review model assumptions

This model estimate is more than three times the share price.

This is a formula-based estimate, not a verified fair value or price target. Check the earnings and growth assumptions.

Stored EPS: $0.75 · Growth assumption: 0.0% · Earnings multiplier: 8.5×.

Current Price

$4.20

Model Intrinsic Value

$28.83

Difference

−$24.63

-85.4% vs IV

Margin of Safety

85.4%

Value Reference: $17.30
Deep Discount Reference: $11.53

Financial Charts

Revenue

201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025$0$60M$120M$180M$240M

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201520172019202120232025-$400M-$200M$0$200M$400M

Total Debt

201520172019202120232025$0$200M$400M$600M$800M

Total Assets

201520172019202120232025$0$850M$1.7B$2.5B$3.4B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Large reported revenue change: -53.8%

Revenue changed sharply from 2024 to 2025. This can reflect a real business change, acquisition, divestiture, discontinued operations, restatement, or reporting-basis change. Compare the underlying filing before treating it as normal growth or decline.

TTM may combine quarters from before and after the event, so its trend can also be distorted.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$116.9M$110.0M$237.9M$211.7M····························
Cost of Revenue$74.3M$65.5M$119.1M$134.0M····························
Gross Profit$42.6M$44.5M$118.8M$77.7M····························
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
SG&A Expenses-$16.1M$0.00$51.3M$51.6M····························
Operating Expenses$48.8M$51.9M$51.3M$51.6M····························
EBITDA$102.4M$221.2M$224.5M$129.2M····························
Operating Income-$6.2M-$7.4M$67.5M$26.2M····························
Interest Expense$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
Income Before Tax$162.7M$212.5M$205.1M$109.3M····························
Income Tax Expense$23.3M$28.9M$27.5M-$4.4M····························
Net Income$53.0M$71.0M$68.3M$55.4M····························
Basic EPS$0.75$1.01$0.98$1.53····························
Basic Shares71.83M69.98M69.25M72.43M····························
Diluted Shares149M149M147M145M····························
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:A future estimated earnings date is not currently available.
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$13.9M

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$0.07

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

-26.1%

Cash Change

-23.7%

Margin Change

+33.7 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Margins expanded
  • Debt reduced

What Weakened

  • Cash position declined

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth, debt levels, net income margin. Pressure indicators included cash levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 86.0%. EPS increased 226.5%. Cash declined 23.7%. Total debt declined 26.1%. Net income margin improved by 33.7 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Earnings data: 122 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

Smart Money

Number of Gurus

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

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Historical Trends

6 historical records
Jul 23, 26Aug 13, 26Sep 4, 26Sep 8, 26Sep 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 6 records shown
3 historical score records are shown. Start your seven-day free trial to unlock 3 more records and the complete score history.Start Free Trial

Wall Street Score

Sep 8, 26Sep 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Debt Score

Sep 8, 26Sep 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Sep 8, 26Sep 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Asset Score

Sep 8, 26Sep 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Capital Score

Sep 8, 26Sep 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Management Score

Sep 8, 26Sep 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Moat Score

Sep 8, 26Sep 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Sep 8, 26Sep 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Sep 8, 26Sep 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Sep 8, 26Sep 24, 26Oct 1, 26$26.00$27.00$28.00$29.00$30.00

Value Reference

Sep 8, 26Sep 24, 26Oct 1, 26$15.00$16.00$17.00$18.00$19.00

Margin of Safety %

Sep 8, 26Sep 24, 26Oct 1, 260.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%0.8%

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News

Rumor Mill · FPH

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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