Expand Energy Corporation
EXE · Price history
Price at last available close
$90.37
+$6.19 (+7.35%) 1M
2026-10-29
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Company & revenue
About Expand Energy Corporation
Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.
Who they are
Expand Energy Corporation functions as an independent entity primarily focused on the discovery and extraction of energy resources throughout the United States. Its core operations involve the acquisition, exploration, and subsequent development of properties to produce crude oil, natural gas, and associated liquid hydrocarbons from subterranean geological formations. The company maintains significant interests in key natural gas production areas, specifically within Pennsylvania's northern Appalachian Basin (Marcellus Shale) and northwestern Louisiana (Haynesville/Bossier Shales).
How they make money
Expand Energy is an independent energy company that generates revenue primarily through the exploration, development, and production of natural gas, oil, and natural gas liquids (NGL). The company also operates marketing services to manage commodity price structuring, transportation, and storage, and utilizes vertical integration by operating its own drilling rigs and providing oilfield services to support its production activities.
Products & services
Natural gas, oil, and natural gas liquids (NGL) production, along with associated marketing, gathering, hauling, storage, processing, and transportation services.
Brands & revenue mix
No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.
Product / operating segments
No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.
Geographic revenue
No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.
Customer types
Customer concentration
The company discloses that it sells its production to a variety of purchasers and does not rely on any single customer for a material portion of its total revenue as of the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.
Suppliers, materials & equipment
- Oilfield service providers — Various third-party contractors and vendors providing drilling, completion, and production services; specific supplier names are unnamed.Source
Strengths
Sources
Wall Street Score
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
55
Fair
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
56
Fair
Financial Strength
61
Business Quality / Moat
22
Management
95
Growth Quality
54
Risk / Durability
55
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Opportunity
Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?
59
Avoid
Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.
View score details →
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
59/100
Building Historical Record
Model Score 59/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.
Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.
Click for full breakdown →
WSS View
The quick read
The overall Wall Street Score is mixed across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. Review the category scores to identify what is helping or hurting the result.
At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as moderate rather than unusually attractive.
The model outlook is currently moderate.
- •Asset quality scores strongly
- •Valuation scores attractively
- •Insider activity signal is favorable
- •Recent buyback activity is present
- •Material dilution — approximately 53.1% share-count growth
- •M&A headline · Aug 17, 2026
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for EXE
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
- •Can EXE maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
- •Is EXE's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
- •Is EXE's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
- •Is EXE's valuation discount tied to a temporary concern or to a longer-term business risk?
Essential Investment Snapshot
Wall Street Score
55
Opportunity Score
59
Market Cap
$20.92B
P/E Ratio
7.2
EPS
$11.68
52-Week High
$126.62
52-Week Low
$83.25
Beta
0.32
Intrinsic Value
$113.15
Analyst Target
$121.00
Shares Outstanding
240.4M
Total Revenue
$13.37B
Total Debt
$3.73B
Dividend Yield (TTM)
2.55%
Liquidation Value / Share
$80.75
Dividend / Share (TTM)
$2.30
Momentum & Volatility Signals
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
Neutral / mixed momentum
Low movement
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for EXE
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.Material dilution — approximately 53.1% share-count growth
Diluted shares outstanding grew ~53.1% year-over-year. Substantial dilution reduces per-share value and can signal financing stress. Wall Street Score is capped.
Dividend history reported
Dividend payments are recorded. Review the dates and regular/special classification below; past payments do not guarantee future dividends.
Historical repurchase activity
Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.
M&A headline · Aug 17, 2026
Focus Partners Advisor Solutions LLC Acquires Shares of 13,898 Expand Energy Corporation $EXE — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.
Defense WorldCommunity Sentiment
0 active · 0 total callsNo personal call yet on EXE.
Potential upside factors
- +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
- +Large-scale independent natural gas production capacity.
- +Vertical integration of drilling and oilfield services.
- +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.
Potential downside factors
- −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production industry.
- −Volatility in global demand and commodity prices for natural gas and oil.
- −Limitations on financial flexibility due to indebtedness and restrictive covenants.
- −Risks associated with acquisitions and integration of operations.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
Create a free account to make a call.
Scores
Click any score for full breakdownWas this stock page easy to understand?
One click helps us improve the research experience. This is not tied to an investment decision.
Score Changes
6 historical score records availablePrevious Score
53
Sep 24, 2026
Change
+1.2
points
Current Score
55
Oct 1, 2026
Category Changes
EXE increased 1.2 points because Valuation improved by 4.6 points.
Positive Contributors
- + Valuation improved by 4.6 points
Projected Score
Projected Score
45
Projected Change
-9.6 points
Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 9.6 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.
Price vs. Value
UndervaluedCurrent Price
$90.34
Model Intrinsic Value
$113.15
Difference
−$22.80
-20.2% vs IV
Margin of Safety
20.2%
Financial Charts
Revenue
Additional Metrics
Operating Cash Flow
Total Debt
Total Assets
Net Margin %
Large reported revenue change: +176.0%
Revenue changed sharply from 2024 to 2025. This can reflect a real business change, acquisition, divestiture, discontinued operations, restatement, or reporting-basis change. Compare the underlying filing before treating it as normal growth or decline.
TTM may combine quarters from before and after the event, so its trend can also be distorted.
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
| Line Item | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $13.12B | $11.65B | $4.22B | $7.78B | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Cost of Revenue | $5.22B | $6.23B | $3.08B | $2.74B | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Gross Profit | $7.90B | $5.42B | $1.14B | $5.04B | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Research & Development | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| SG&A Expenses | $3.17B | $3.34B | $1.50B | $2.63B | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Operating Expenses | $4.67B | $3.38B | $1.94B | $1.90B | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| EBITDA | $6.63B | $5.50B | $1.02B | $4.76B | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Operating Income | $3.23B | $2.04B | -$803.0M | $3.14B | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Interest Expense | $218.0M | $235.0M | $123.0M | $104.0M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Income Before Tax | $3.53B | $2.28B | -$841.0M | $3.12B | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Income Tax Expense | $753.0M | $463.0M | -$127.0M | $698.0M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Net Income | $2.78B | $1.82B | -$714.0M | $2.42B | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Basic EPS | $11.68 | $7.67 | $-4.55 | $18.21 | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Basic Shares | 238M | 237M | 157M | 133M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Diluted Shares | 238M | 240M | 157M | 143M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
Earnings Summary
Revenue
$2.96B
Estimate unavailable.
Revenue Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
EPS
$2.19
Estimate unavailable.
EPS Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
Debt Change
-28.2%
Cash Change
-5.2%
Margin Change
-8.6 pp
Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.
Financial Changes Since Prior Period
What Improved
- Debt reduced
What Weakened
- Margins contracted
- Cash position declined
Potential Score Impact
Positive indicators included debt levels. Pressure indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth, cash levels, net income margin. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.
Stored Earnings Analysis
Revenue declined 19.7%. EPS declined 45.5%. Cash declined 5.2%. Total debt declined 28.2%. Net income margin declined by 8.6 percentage points.
Earnings-Call Transcript
Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.
These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.
Insider Activity
Guru / Smart Money
Guru Score
71
Smart Money
71
Number of Gurus
5
Total Guru Value
Avg Portfolio Weight
Largest Holder
Largest Holder %
New Positions
Increased Positions
Reduced Positions
Exited Positions
Net Guru Sentiment
Short Interest
Dividend History
Log in to view dividend history.
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
$———.——
5 Years
$———.——
10 Years
$———.——
Conservative Projection Rate
——%
Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.
Start 7-Day Free TrialHistorical Outperformance Record
Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.
Start 7-Day Free TrialHistorical Trends
6 historical recordsHistorical Score Chart
3 of 6 records shownWall Street Score
Debt Score
Revenue Score
Asset Score
Capital Score
Management Score
Moat Score
Valuation Score
Buffett Score
Intrinsic Value
Value Reference
Margin of Safety %
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Rumor Mill · EXE
Corporate developments & opportunities
No reviewed developments match this filter.
Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.
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