Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

Dollar Tree, Inc.

DLTRNASDAQ
Wall Street Score · overall investment55/100
$132.03USD+$4.85 (+3.81%)
Company website www.dollartree.com
Headquarters500 Volvo Parkway, Chesapeake, VA, 23320, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 1, 2026

DLTR · Price history

Price at last available close

$132.03

+$18.01 (+15.80%) 1M

2026-10-29

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Company & revenue

About Dollar Tree, Inc.

Primary reporting period: 2026-01-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) operates as a leading discount retailer, managing its extensive operations through two principal divisions: Dollar Tree and Family Dollar. The Dollar Tree segment distinguishes itself by offering all its merchandise at a consistent price of $1. 25.

How they make money

Dollar Tree operates a chain of retail discount stores that sell a variety of merchandise at fixed price points. The company generates revenue primarily through the sale of household goods, seasonal items, party supplies, and food products, relying on high-volume inventory turnover and efficient supply chain management to maintain profitability.

Products & services

The company offers a wide range of merchandise including household essentials, seasonal decor, party supplies, snacks, food, and personal care items, primarily through its Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada retail banners.

Brands & revenue mix

Dollar Tree

The primary retail banner operating in the United States.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Dollar Tree Canada

The retail banner operating in Canada.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.

Product / operating segments

Dollar TreeUSD 19.40B99.9%

Period ended 2026-01-31Source

Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

  • Individual retail consumersSource

Customer concentration

The company does not have significant customer concentration as its business model relies on a broad base of individual retail consumers.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Global Merchandise Suppliers — The company sources merchandise from a wide variety of domestic and international suppliers; specific supplier names are not disclosed.Source

Business relationships & partnerships

  • Instacart — A commercial partnership enabling customers to shop online for same-day delivery from Dollar Tree stores.Source
  • Uber — A nationwide partnership integrating the Uber Eats platform to provide on-demand delivery of store merchandise.Source

Competitors

  • Dollar General Corporation — A major competitor in the discount retail store industry.Source
  • Five Below, Inc. — A competitor operating in the value-based retail segment.Source

Strengths

  • Extensive physical store footprint across North AmericaSource
  • Strong brand recognition in the discount retail sectorSource

Risks

  • Dependence on international supply chains and global trade conditionsSource
  • Intense competition in the retail industrySource

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

55

Fair

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

61

Fair

Financial Strength

74

Business Quality / Moat

45

Management

90

Growth Quality

25

Risk / Durability

55

Cheap for a Reason · Review the Risks

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

76

Fair

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

70/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 70/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is mixed across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. Review the category scores to identify what is helping or hurting the result.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as relatively attractive.

The model outlook is currently positive.

What we like
  • •Balance-sheet / debt profile scores strongly
  • •Valuation scores attractively
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak
  • •Asset quality is a weaker factor

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for DLTR

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can DLTR maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •Is DLTR's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Is DLTR's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
  • •Is DLTR's valuation discount tied to a temporary concern or to a longer-term business risk?
Business analysis: 17 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

55

0–100 · Fair

Opportunity Score

76

0–100 · Strong

Market Cap

$24.77B

P/E Ratio

13.9

EPS

$8.20

52-Week High

$142.40

52-Week Low

$84.71

Beta

0.66

Intrinsic Value

$200.83

Analyst Target

$136.50

Shares Outstanding

206.3M

Total Revenue

$20.07B

Total Debt

$7.67B

Dividend

No current dividend

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$16.60

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
74/ 100
-4 pts / 5d

Building upward momentum

5D +0.8% · 20D +15.4% · RSI 69 · Price vs 20D avg +8.4%
Volatility
31/ 100
+9 pts / 5d

Low movement

20D realized vol 36.1% · 60D 35.5% · Acceleration 1.02x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for DLTR

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on DLTR.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Extensive physical store footprint across North America.
  • +Strong brand recognition in the discount retail sector.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Discount Stores industry.
  • −Dependence on international supply chains and global trade conditions.
  • −Intense competition in the retail industry.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Fair55/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Fair

55

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

82

Debt Cost1.2%
Debt Reduction YoY9.9%
Debt / Equity1.88x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

29

Revenue YoY3.4%
Revenue CAGR7.6%
Net Margin8.0%

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Poor

24

Asset Growth YoY-27.8%
Liquidation/Share$16.60
Net Assets/MCap0.29x

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

80

Earnings Yield7.4%
Buyback Yield3.5%
Debt Cost1.2%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

90

ROIC12.0%
ROE47.1%
ROA11.5%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

45

EPS Growth4.7%
FCF/Share Growth15.6%
Rev/Share Growth5.4%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

97

Intrinsic Value$200.83
Value Reference$120.50
MOS36.7%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

60

Revenue29
Moat45
Valuation97

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

MOS %36.7%
Value Reference$120.50
Deep Discount Reference$80.33

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

20

Interest Coverage18.7x
ROIC12.0%
FCF Yield6.4%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

48

Financial20
Valuation97
Debt82

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

45

Survival Years0.3 yrs
Current Ratio1.07x
FCF Margin7.2%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

6 historical score records available

Previous Score

55

Sep 21, 2026

Change

Unchanged

Current Score

55

Oct 1, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue+0.1
Debt0
Assets0
Capital0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett0

DLTR score was unchanged.

Projected Score

Projected Score

65

Projected Change

+9.8 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 9.8 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Undervalued

Current Price

$132.03

Model Intrinsic Value

$200.83

Difference

−$68.80

-34.3% vs IV

Margin of Safety

34.3%

UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Value Reference: $120.50
Deep Discount Reference: $80.33

Financial Charts

Revenue

201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026$0$7.0B$14.0B$21.0B$28.0B

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201620182020202220242026$0$750M$1.5B$2.3B$3.0B

Total Debt

201620182020202220242026$0$3.0B$6.0B$9.0B$12.0B

Total Assets

201620182020202220242026$0$6.0B$12.0B$18.0B$24.0B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2026202520242023202220212020201920182017
Revenue$20.07B$19.41B$17.58B$16.78B····························
Cost of Revenue$12.29B$12.35B$11.28B$10.76B····························
Gross Profit$7.77B$7.07B$6.29B$6.02B····························
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
SG&A Expenses$5.66B$5.47B$4.83B$4.25B····························
Operating Expenses$5.62B$5.47B$4.83B$4.25B····························
EBITDA$2.88B$2.36B$2.02B$2.17B····························
Operating Income$2.15B$1.60B$1.46B$1.77B····························
Interest Expense$74.1M$85.5M$107.5M$112.5M····························
Income Before Tax$2.15B$1.63B$1.38B$1.66B····························
Income Tax Expense$528.5M$404.2M$341.1M$396.1M····························
Net Income$1.61B$1.28B-$3.03B-$998.4M····························
Basic EPS$8.20$6.22$-14.05$-4.55····························
Basic Shares191M206M216M220M····························
Diluted Shares191M206M216M220M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Dec 2, 2026
Estimated EPS: $0.95Estimated revenue: $5.04B
Aug 1, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$4.89B

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$2.70

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

+4.5%

Cash Change

+58.8%

Margin Change

+6.4 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Margins expanded
  • Cash position grew

What Weakened

  • Debt increased

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth, cash levels, net income margin. Pressure indicators included debt levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 7.0%. EPS increased 196.7%. Cash increased 58.8%. Total debt increased 4.5%. Net income margin improved by 6.4 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 90 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

61

Smart Money

61

Number of Gurus

4

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Loading data...

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

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Historical Trends

6 historical records
Jul 23, 26Aug 12, 26Sep 3, 26Sep 6, 26Sep 21, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 6 records shown
3 historical score records are shown. Start your seven-day free trial to unlock 3 more records and the complete score history.Start Free Trial

Wall Street Score

Sep 6, 26Sep 21, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Debt Score

Sep 6, 26Sep 21, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Sep 6, 26Sep 21, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Asset Score

Sep 6, 26Sep 21, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Capital Score

Sep 6, 26Sep 21, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Management Score

Sep 6, 26Sep 21, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Moat Score

Sep 6, 26Sep 21, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Sep 6, 26Sep 21, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Sep 6, 26Sep 21, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Sep 6, 26Sep 21, 26Oct 1, 26$198.00$199.00$200.00$201.00$202.00

Value Reference

Sep 6, 26Sep 21, 26Oct 1, 26$118.00$119.00$120.00$121.00$122.00

Margin of Safety %

Sep 6, 26Sep 21, 26Oct 1, 260.3%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.5%

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News

Rumor Mill · DLTR

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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