Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

CTO Realty Growth, Inc.

CTONYSE
Wall Street Score · overall investment45/100
$19.03USD$-0.42 (-2.16%)
Company website www.ctoreit.com
Headquarters369 N. New York Avenue, Winter Park, FL, 32789, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Real Estate · REIT - Diversified
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 1, 2026

CTO · Price history

Price at last available close

$19.03

−$1.62 (-7.85%) 1M

2026-10-28

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Company & revenue

About CTO Realty Growth, Inc.

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

CTO Realty Growth, Inc., a publicly traded real estate enterprise headquartered in Florida, manages a diverse portfolio of income-generating properties. These assets span various markets throughout the United States, collectively encompassing around 2. 4 million square feet.

How they make money

CTO Realty Growth, Inc. operates as a self-managed equity REIT that generates revenue primarily through rental income from a portfolio of high-quality retail and mixed-use properties. Additionally, the company earns fee-based management income through its external management of Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE) and generates returns from commercial real estate loans and investments.

Products & services

Ownership and operation of shopping centers and mixed-use commercial real estate properties, alongside external management services for net lease REITs and investment in real estate-related debt.

Brands & revenue mix

No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.

Product / operating segments

No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

Customer concentration

No quantified customer-concentration disclosure is available in the current saved research.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Third-party property management companies — The company utilizes various third-party property management companies to assist in the operation of its commercial real estate portfolio.Source

Business relationships & partnerships

  • Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. (PINE) — CTO Realty Growth serves as the external manager for Alpine Income Property Trust, Inc. and maintains a meaningful ownership interest in the company.Source

Strengths

  • Portfolio of high-quality retail and mixed-use properties in high-growth marketsSource

Risks

  • Concentration of properties in specific geographic marketsSource
  • Dependence on third-party property managers for certain assetsSource

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

45

Weak

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

34

Poor

Financial Strength

43

Business Quality / Moat

20

Management

36

Growth Quality

45

Risk / Durability

23

Cheap for a Reason · Review the Risks

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

71

Fair

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

62/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 62/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as relatively attractive.

The model outlook is currently moderate.

What we like
  • •Valuation scores attractively
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •Material dilution — approximately 27.1% share-count growth
  • •Elevated debt risk
  • •M&A headline · Sep 14, 2026
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak
  • •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for CTO

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can CTO maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •Is CTO's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Is CTO's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
  • •Is CTO's valuation discount tied to a temporary concern or to a longer-term business risk?
⚠ 3 warningsView warning details
Material dilution — approximately 27.1% share-count growthElevated debt riskM&A headline · Sep 14, 2026
Business analysis: 16 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

45

0–100 · Weak

Opportunity Score

71

0–100 · Strong

Market Cap

$713.3M

P/E Ratio

14.4

EPS

$1.42

52-Week High

$22.71

52-Week Low

$15.07

Beta

0.63

Intrinsic Value

$54.78

Analyst Target

$25.00

Shares Outstanding

32.3M

Total Revenue

$161.1M

Total Debt

$690.3M

Dividend Yield (TTM)

7.99%

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$20.50

Estimated net asset value per share

Dividend / Share (TTM)

$1.52

Trailing 12 months by ex-date; not a forecast

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
28/ 100
-5 pts / 5d

Strong downward momentum

5D -2.8% · 20D -7.1% · RSI 32 · Price vs 20D avg -5.9%
Volatility
31/ 100
+6 pts / 5d

Low movement

20D realized vol 26.1% · 60D 18.4% · Acceleration 1.42x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for CTO

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Material dilution — approximately 27.1% share-count growth

Diluted shares outstanding grew ~27.1% year-over-year. Substantial dilution reduces per-share value and can signal financing stress. Wall Street Score is capped.

Dividend history reported

Dividend payments are recorded. Review the dates and regular/special classification below; past payments do not guarantee future dividends.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

Elevated debt risk

Total debt is at least one year of revenue • Interest coverage is below 2x • Cash covers less than 20% of total debt

M&A headline · Sep 14, 2026

CTO Realty Growth Expands Into Kansas City Market With Acquisition of Zona Rosa for $63.3 Million — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.

GlobeNewsWire

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on CTO.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Portfolio of high-quality retail and mixed-use properties in high-growth markets.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Debt risk (elevated): Total debt is at least one year of revenue.
  • −Interest coverage is below 2x.
  • −Cash covers less than 20% of total debt.
  • −Concentration of properties in specific geographic markets.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak45/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Weak

45

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

30

Debt Cost4.4%
Debt Reduction YoY-18.7%
Debt / Equity1.09x

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

43

Revenue YoY7.7%
Revenue CAGR17.1%
Net Margin32.7%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

61

Asset Growth YoY7.0%
Liquidation/Share$20.50
Net Assets/MCap0.93x

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

43

Earnings Yield6.9%
Buyback Yield0.6%
Debt Cost4.4%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

36

ROIC2.4%
ROE7.9%
ROA3.8%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

20

EPS Growth-37.2%
FCF/Share Growth-5.4%
Rev/Share Growth0.7%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

97

Intrinsic Value$54.78
Value Reference$32.87
MOS65.9%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

43

Revenue43
Moat20
Valuation97

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

MOS %65.9%
Value Reference$32.87
Deep Discount Reference$21.91

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

12

Interest Coverage1.2x
ROIC2.4%
FCF Yield8.4%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

40

Financial12
Valuation97
Debt30

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

48

Survival Years-1.9 yrs
Current Ratio6.50x
FCF Margin43.2%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

6 historical score records available

Previous Score

45

Sep 17, 2026

Change

+0.3

points

Current Score

45

Oct 1, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue+0.1
Debt0
Assets+0.3
Capital0
Management0
Moat+0.8
Valuation0
Buffett+0.2

CTO increased 0.3 points because overall fundamentals improved.

Projected Score

Projected Score

42

Projected Change

-3.0 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 3.0 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Undervalued

Current Price

$19.03

Model Intrinsic Value

$54.78

Difference

−$35.75

-65.3% vs IV

Margin of Safety

65.3%

UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Value Reference: $32.87
Deep Discount Reference: $21.91

Financial Charts

Revenue

201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025$0$40M$80M$120M$160M

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201520172019202120232025$0$20M$40M$60M$80M

Total Debt

201520172019202120232025$0$200M$400M$600M$800M

Total Assets

201520172019202120232025$0$350M$700M$1.1B$1.4B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$161.1M$149.5M$124.5M$109.1M····························
Cost of Revenue$160.2M$158.0M$33.2M$30.2M····························
Gross Profit$922K-$8.4M$91.3M$78.9M····························
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
SG&A Expenses$19.1M$18.5M$16.3M$14.2M····························
Operating Expenses-$60.2M-$41.5M$73.7M$52.4M····························
EBITDA$152.0M$97.5M$75.0M$71.7M····························
Operating Income$61.1M$33.1M$17.6M$26.5M····························
Interest Expense$29.0M$26.9M$22.5M$22.4M····························
Income Before Tax$53.9M$10.5M-$2.3M$6.1M····························
Income Tax Expense$1.3M$446K-$339K$604K····························
Net Income$52.7M$10.1M-$2.0M$5.5M····························
Basic EPS$1.42$0.08$-0.35$0.03····························
Basic Shares33.76M32.27M25.36M22.53M····························
Diluted Shares33.79M32.29M25.40M22.53M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:A future estimated earnings date is not currently available.
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$43.8M

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$0.38

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

+14.0%

Cash Change

-5.8%

Margin Change

+96.7 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Margins expanded

What Weakened

  • Cash position declined
  • Debt increased

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, net income margin. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, cash levels, debt levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 16.5%. EPS declined 149.4%. Cash declined 5.8%. Total debt increased 14.0%. Net income margin improved by 96.7 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 121 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

Smart Money

Number of Gurus

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Loading data...

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Log in to view dividend history.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

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Historical Trends

6 historical records
Jul 23, 26Aug 12, 26Sep 3, 26Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 6 records shown
3 historical score records are shown. Start your seven-day free trial to unlock 3 more records and the complete score history.Start Free Trial

Wall Street Score

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Debt Score

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Asset Score

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Capital Score

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Management Score

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Moat Score

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 26$52.00$53.00$54.00$55.00$56.00

Value Reference

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 26$30.00$31.00$32.00$33.00$34.00

Margin of Safety %

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%

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News

Rumor Mill · CTO

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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