AMTD IDEA Group
AMTD · Price history
Price at last available close
$20.84
−$22.49 (-51.90%) 1M
2026-10-29
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Company & revenue
About AMTD IDEA Group
Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 13, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.
Who they are
AMTD IDEA Group functions as an investment holding company, primarily engaged in investment banking operations across various global regions, including Hong Kong, Mainland China, and the United States. The company structures its diverse business activities into three main divisions: Investment Banking, Asset Management, and Strategic Investment. Within its Investment Banking segment, AMTD IDEA Group provides a comprehensive range of services.
How they make money
AMTD IDEA Group operates as a diversified institution and digital solutions conglomerate that generates revenue through investment banking services, strategic investments, and hospitality operations. The company acts as a super-connector, facilitating capital market transactions, advisory services, and digital solutions for clients while managing a portfolio of assets and hospitality properties.
Products & services
Investment banking, capital markets advisory, strategic investment management, and hotel operations and hospitality services.
Brands & revenue mix
No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.
Product / operating segments
No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.
Geographic revenue
No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.
Customer concentration
No quantified customer-concentration disclosure is available in the current saved research.
Suppliers, materials & equipment
No supplier relationships were confirmed in the sources reviewed. This does not mean the company has no suppliers.
Strengths
Sources
Financial risk observations and what to check
These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2025-12-31.
Quarterly EPS turned negative at -6.70 versus 277.20 a year earlier.
Separate recurring operating losses from noncash or one-time charges, and check cash flow rather than interpreting negative EPS as a cash-outflow amount.
Quarterly net income turned from a profit to a loss versus the same quarter last year.
Identify the causes in the interim report and distinguish operating cash use from accounting charges. Prior profitability is not a guarantee of recovery.
Diluted weighted-average shares increased 57.5% year over year.
Compare per-share results with total earnings and inspect the equity footnote. A change in weighted-average shares does not by itself establish the cause, the number of shares issued today, or the economic effect of a split.
Total debt increased 202.9% versus the same quarter last year.
Compare the added borrowing with available cash, cash generation and maturities. A percentage increase from a small starting balance can look large without measuring the full debt burden.
Wall Street Score
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
55
Fair
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
44
Weak
Financial Strength
43
Business Quality / Moat
8
Management
51
Growth Quality
89
Risk / Durability
49
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Opportunity
Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?
69
Fully Valued
Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.
View score details →
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
58/100
Building Historical Record
Model Score 58/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.
Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.
Click for full breakdown →
WSS View
The quick read
The overall Wall Street Score is mixed across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. Review the category scores to identify what is helping or hurting the result.
At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as moderate rather than unusually attractive.
The model outlook is currently moderate.
- •Revenue fundamentals score strongly
- •Asset quality scores strongly
- •Valuation scores attractively
- •M&A headline · Oct 5, 2026
- •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for AMTD
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
- •Can AMTD maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
- •Is AMTD's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
- •Is AMTD's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
- •Is AMTD's valuation discount tied to a temporary concern or to a longer-term business risk?
- •What does the current fundamental change risk warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of AMTD's score?
Essential Investment Snapshot
Wall Street Score
55
Opportunity Score
69
Market Cap
$4.5M
P/E Ratio
0.1
EPS
$511.70
52-Week High
$99.00
52-Week Low
$21.00
Beta
0.58
Intrinsic Value
$4349.45
Shares Outstanding
251K
Total Revenue
$111.3M
Total Debt
$292.4M
Dividend
No current dividend
Liquidation Value / Share
$7642.78
Momentum & Volatility Signals
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
Strong downward momentum
Extreme movement
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for AMTD
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.Dividend history reported
Dividend payments are recorded. Review the dates and regular/special classification below; past payments do not guarantee future dividends.
M&A headline · Oct 5, 2026
AMTD's TGE in Negotiations to Acquire a second New York Hotel — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.
PRNewsWireCommunity Sentiment
0 active · 0 total callsNo personal call yet on AMTD.
Potential upside factors
- +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
- +Dual-listing on NYSE and SGX.
- +Diversified business model across finance and hospitality.
- +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.
Potential downside factors
- −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Investment - Banking & Investment Services industry.
- −Dependence on dividends from subsidiaries.
- −Regulatory and legal restrictions on capital transfers.
- −Diluted weighted-average shares increased 57.5% year over year.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
Create a free account to make a call.
Scores
Click any score for full breakdownWas this stock page easy to understand?
One click helps us improve the research experience. This is not tied to an investment decision.
Score Changes
7 historical score records availablePrevious Score
55
Oct 1, 2026
Change
Unchanged
Current Score
55
Oct 23, 2026
Category Changes
AMTD score was unchanged.
Positive Contributors
- + Revenue improved by 20 points
Negative Contributors
- − Debt declined by 9.7 points
Projected Score
Projected Score
49
Projected Change
-6.0 points
Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 6.0 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.
Price vs. Value
Review model assumptionsThis model estimate is more than three times the share price.
This is a formula-based estimate, not a verified fair value or price target. Check the earnings and growth assumptions.
Stored EPS: $511.70 · Growth assumption: 0.0% · Earnings multiplier: 8.5×.
Current Price
$20.36
Model Intrinsic Value
$4349.45
Difference
−$4329.09
-99.5% vs IV
Margin of Safety
99.5%
Financial Charts
Revenue
Additional Metrics
Operating Cash Flow
Total Debt
Total Assets
Net Margin %
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
| Line Item | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $111.3M | $57.2M | $54.1M | $171.8M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Cost of Revenue | $78.8M | $32.3M | $29.6M | $25.7M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Gross Profit | $31.5M | $24.9M | $24.4M | $122.7M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Research & Development | $106K | $0.00 | $106K | $0.00 | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| SG&A Expenses | $19.1M | $10.5M | $13.4M | $13.7M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Operating Expenses | -$22.5M | -$20.9M | -$1.6M | $69.1M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| EBITDA | $135.6M | $91.5M | $75.5M | $168.5M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Operating Income | $72.4M | $45.9M | $26.0M | $76.9M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Interest Expense | $26.2M | $12.7M | $13.4M | $8.2M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Income Before Tax | $124.0M | $68.8M | $55.2M | $157.7M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Income Tax Expense | $3.2M | $1.6M | $1.6M | $4.3M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Net Income | $92.4M | $43.6M | $51.0M | $143.0M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Basic EPS | $511.70 | $172.80 | $252.00 | $799.20 | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Basic Shares | 264K | 251K | 186K | 168K | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Diluted Shares | 264K | 251K | 186K | 168K | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
Earnings Summary
Revenue
$24.4M
Estimate unavailable.
Revenue Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
EPS
-$6.70
Estimate unavailable.
EPS Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
Debt Change
+3.1%
Cash Change
-18.8%
Margin Change
-41.6 pp
Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.
Financial Changes Since Prior Period
What Weakened
- Margins contracted
- Cash position declined
- Debt increased
Potential Score Impact
Positive indicators included revenue growth. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, cash levels, debt levels, net income margin. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.
Stored Earnings Analysis
Revenue was essentially unchanged. EPS declined 120.7%. Cash declined 18.8%. Total debt increased 3.1%. Net income margin declined by 41.6 percentage points.
Earnings-Call Transcript
Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.
These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.
Insider Activity
Guru / Smart Money
Guru Score
Smart Money
Number of Gurus
Total Guru Value
Avg Portfolio Weight
Largest Holder
Largest Holder %
New Positions
Increased Positions
Reduced Positions
Exited Positions
Net Guru Sentiment
Short Interest
Dividend History
Log in to view dividend history.
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
$———.——
5 Years
$———.——
10 Years
$———.——
Conservative Projection Rate
——%
Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.
Start 7-Day Free TrialHistorical Outperformance Record
Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.
Start 7-Day Free TrialHistorical Trends
7 historical recordsHistorical Score Chart
3 of 7 records shownWall Street Score
Debt Score
Revenue Score
Asset Score
Capital Score
Management Score
Moat Score
Valuation Score
Buffett Score
Intrinsic Value
Value Reference
Margin of Safety %
Related Companies
Investment - Banking & Investment ServicesNews
AMTD Digital's Total Assets Expand to US$1.2 Billion with Net Assets at US$630.6 Million, Maintaining Robust Profitability of US$42.4 Million
AMTD IDEA's Total Assets Exceeded US$2.6 Billion as of 2026 Half Year and Sets Forth Clear Growth Path in Global Hospitality
AMTD IDEA's half year results announcement timing of its major subsidiary AMTD Digital
Success of AMTD IDEA's IP extended business with confirmed next locations in New York, London and Melbourne
Rumor Mill · AMTD
Corporate developments & opportunities
No reviewed developments match this filter.
Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.
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