Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

Alaska Air Group, Inc.

ALKNYSE
Wall Street Score · overall investment31/100
$35.58USD$-0.34 (-0.93%)
Company website www.alaskaair.com
Headquarters19300 International Boulevard, Seattle, WA, 98188, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Industrials · Airlines, Airports & Air Services
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 23, 2026

ALK · Price history

Price at last available close

$35.58

−$4.35 (-10.89%) 1M

2026-10-28

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Company & revenue

About Alaska Air Group, Inc.

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

Alaska Air Group, Inc. operates via its subsidiaries, providing comprehensive air transportation solutions for both passengers and freight. Its business is organized into three principal segments: Mainline, Regional, and Horizon. The airline extends its services to approximately 120 destinations throughout North America.

How they make money

Alaska Air Group generates revenue primarily through the scheduled air transportation of passengers and cargo. The company operates a network of airlines, including Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, and Horizon Air, utilizing a fleet of aircraft to provide connectivity across North America, Latin America, Asia, and the Pacific, while also leveraging loyalty programs and aviation services.

Products & services

Scheduled passenger and cargo air transportation, regional flight operations via capacity purchase agreements, and aviation support services.

Brands & revenue mix

Alaska Airlines

Primary airline brand for the company.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Hawaiian Airlines

Distinct brand providing guest experience to and from the Hawaiian Islands.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Horizon Air

Regional airline subsidiary.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.

Product / operating segments

No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.

Geographic revenue

Alaska MainlineUSD 9.09B63.8%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

Hawaiian Airlines SegmentUSD 3.28B23.1%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

Alaska RegionalUSD 1.85B13.0%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.

Customer types

Customer concentration

No quantified customer-concentration disclosure is available in the current saved research.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • The Boeing Company — Supplier of commercial aircraft, including 737 and 787 models.Source
  • SkyWest — Third-party carrier providing regional passenger service under capacity purchase agreements.Source

Business relationships & partnerships

  • oneworld alliance — A global airline alliance providing guests access to an extensive network of international destinations and shared benefits.Source

Competitors

  • Major U.S. Airlines — The company competes in a highly competitive industry against other major global U.S. carriers.Source

Strengths

  • Prioritization of safety as a core valueSource
  • Extensive network connectivity through oneworld allianceSource

Risks

  • Operational risks inherent in the airline industrySource
  • Highly competitive and challenging market environmentSource

Financial risk observations and what to check

These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-09-30.

Quarterly EPS turned negative at -1.32 versus 0.62 a year earlier.

Separate recurring operating losses from noncash or one-time charges, and check cash flow rather than interpreting negative EPS as a cash-outflow amount.

Quarterly net income turned from a profit to a loss versus the same quarter last year.

Identify the causes in the interim report and distinguish operating cash use from accounting charges. Prior profitability is not a guarantee of recovery.

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

31

Poor

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

36

Poor

Financial Strength

36

Business Quality / Moat

51

Management

7

Growth Quality

42

Risk / Durability

52

Weak Company · Expensive Stock

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

28

Avoid

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

42/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 42/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.

The model outlook is currently cautious.

What we like
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •Elevated debt risk
  • •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak
  • •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for ALK

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can ALK maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •How long can ALK fund negative free cash flow using its current cash position before it may need more debt or new shares?
  • •Is ALK's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
  • •What specifically needs to improve for ALK to reach sustainable profitability?
  • •What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify ALK's current valuation?
Elevated debt risk
Business analysis: 16 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

31

0–100 · Poor

Opportunity Score

28

0–100 · Poor

Market Cap

$3.97B

P/E Ratio

-10.0

EPS

$-3.53

52-Week High

$60.63

52-Week Low

$32.33

Beta

1.33

Analyst Target

$51.00

Shares Outstanding

117.4M

Total Revenue

$15.30B

Total Debt

$7.30B

Dividend

No current dividend

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$30.08

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
31/ 100
+21 pts / 5d

Weakening momentum

5D +6.1% · 20D -8.1% · RSI 35 · Price vs 20D avg -3.6%
Volatility
37/ 100
+8 pts / 5d

Normal movement

20D realized vol 42.1% · 60D 39.1% · Acceleration 1.08x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for ALK

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Dividend history reported

Dividend payments are recorded. Review the dates and regular/special classification below; past payments do not guarantee future dividends.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

Elevated debt risk

Interest coverage is below 2x • Free cash flow is negative • Cash covers less than 20% of total debt

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on ALK.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Prioritization of safety as a core value.
  • +Extensive network connectivity through oneworld alliance.

Potential downside factors

  • −Debt risk (elevated): Interest coverage is below 2x.
  • −Free cash flow is negative.
  • −Cash covers less than 20% of total debt.
  • −Operational risks inherent in the airline industry.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak31/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Poor

31

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

41

Debt Cost3.5%
Debt Reduction YoY-7.8%
Debt / Equity1.67x

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

41

Revenue YoY7.5%
Revenue CAGR16.9%
Net Margin-2.6%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

68

Asset Growth YoY3.0%
Liquidation/Share$30.08
Net Assets/MCap3.48x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

33

Earnings Yield-10.0%
Buyback Yield6.5%
Debt Cost3.5%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

7

ROIC2.1%
ROE-11.2%
ROA-1.9%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

51

EPS Growth-21.8%
FCF/Share Growth—
Rev/Share Growth20.6%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

Intrinsic Value—
Value Reference—
MOS—

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

38

Revenue41
Moat51
Valuation0

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

MOS %—
Value Reference—
Deep Discount Reference—

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

48

Interest Coverage1.2x
ROIC2.1%
FCF Yield-8.6%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

39

Financial48
Valuation0
Debt41

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

43

Survival Years6.3 yrs
Current Ratio0.50x
FCF Margin-2.4%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

6 historical score records available

Previous Score

31

Oct 1, 2026

Change

+0.4

points

Current Score

31

Oct 23, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue+3.8
Debt0
Assets0
Capital0
Management+0.2
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett+0.8

ALK increased 0.4 points because Revenue improved by 3.8 points.

Positive Contributors

  • + Revenue improved by 3.8 points

Projected Score

Projected Score

25

Projected Change

-6.4 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 6.4 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Valuation unavailable

Current Price

$35.58

Model Intrinsic Value

—

Difference

—

Margin of Safety

—

Value Reference: —
Deep Discount Reference: —

Intrinsic value is not currently available for this stock, so valuation can't be calculated.

Financial Charts

Revenue

201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025$0$4.0B$8.0B$12.0B$16.0B

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201520172019202120232025-$600M$0$600M$1.2B$1.8B

Total Debt

201520172019202120232025$0$2.0B$4.0B$6.0B$8.0B

Total Assets

201520172019202120232025$0$5.5B$11.0B$16.5B$22.0B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$15.30B$14.24B$11.73B$10.43B····························
Cost of Revenue$4.14B$5.74B$8.87B$7.96B····························
Gross Profit$11.16B$8.49B$2.86B$2.46B····························
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
SG&A Expenses$427.0M$407.0M$349.0M$303.0M····························
Operating Expenses$11.45B$8.19B$2.29B$2.07B····························
EBITDA$582.0M$1.29B$1.47B$1.27B····························
Operating Income-$290.0M$303.0M$570.0M$394.0M····························
Interest Expense-$9.0M$243.0M$142.0M$121.0M····························
Income Before Tax-$483.0M$146.0M$545.0M$323.0M····························
Income Tax Expense-$88.0M$46.0M$150.0M$88.0M····························
Net Income-$395.0M$100.0M$395.0M$235.0M····························
Basic EPS$-3.53$0.85$3.13$1.84····························
Basic Shares112M116M126M127M····························
Diluted Shares112M117M128M129M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Jan 28, 2027
Estimated EPS: -$1.89Estimated revenue: $4.11B
Sep 30, 2026Q3FY2026

Revenue

$4.31B

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

-$1.32

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

+12.8%

Cash Change

+3.6%

Margin Change

-5.4 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Cash position grew

What Weakened

  • Margins contracted
  • Debt increased

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, cash levels. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, debt levels, net income margin. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 14.4%. EPS declined 312.9%. Cash increased 3.6%. Total debt increased 12.8%. Net income margin declined by 5.4 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 29 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

7

Smart Money

7

Number of Gurus

1

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Log in to view dividend history.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

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Historical Trends

6 historical records
Jul 19, 26Aug 11, 26Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 23, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 6 records shown
3 historical score records are shown. Start your seven-day free trial to unlock 3 more records and the complete score history.Start Free Trial

Wall Street Score

Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 23, 260255075100

Debt Score

Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 23, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 23, 260255075100

Asset Score

Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 23, 260255075100

Capital Score

Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 23, 260255075100

Management Score

Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 23, 260255075100

Moat Score

Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 23, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 23, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 23, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

No data

Value Reference

No data

Margin of Safety %

No data

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News

Rumor Mill · ALK

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

Related Stock Research

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