Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

Copa Holdings, S.A.

CPANYSE
Wall Street Score · overall investment60/100
$129.90USD$-2.28 (-1.72%)
Company website copa.gcs-web.com
HeadquartersCosta del Este, Panama City, PN, 0816-06819, PA
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Industrials · Airlines, Airports & Air Services
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 1, 2026

CPA · Price history

Price at last available close

$129.90

−$3.15 (-2.37%) 1M

2026-10-28

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Company & revenue

About Copa Holdings, S.A.

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

Copa Holdings, S.A., through its subsidiaries, provides airline passenger, and cargo and mail transportation services in North America, South America, Central America, and the Caribbean. As of December 31, 2025, it operated through a fleet of 125 aircraft. The company was founded in 1947 and is based in Panama City, Panama.

How they make money

Copa Holdings, S.A. operates as a Latin American provider of passenger and cargo services through its subsidiaries, Copa Airlines and Wingo. The company generates revenue primarily through the sale of air transportation services, including passenger tickets and cargo transport, leveraging a hub-and-spoke network centered in Panama to connect destinations across North, Central, and South America and the Caribbean.

Products & services

The company provides scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo, operating a fleet of Boeing aircraft to serve various international destinations.

Brands & revenue mix

Copa Airlines

Full-service airline brand.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Wingo

Low-cost airline brand.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.

Product / operating segments

No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.

Geographic revenue

North AmericaUSD 1.52B42.1%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

South AmericaUSD 1.28B35.4%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

Central AmericaUSD 696.03M19.2%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

CarribeanUSD 50.15M1.4%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.

Customer types

  • Individual passengersSource
  • Cargo and freight customersSource

Customer concentration

The company does not report significant customer concentration as its revenue is derived from a large volume of individual passengers and cargo clients.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • The Boeing Company — Supplier of aircraft, specifically the Boeing 737 fleet.Source

Business relationships & partnerships

  • Star Alliance — Copa Airlines is a member of the Star Alliance, a global airline network that allows for codeshare agreements and integrated frequent flyer programs.Source

Competitors

  • Avianca — Competes in the Latin American passenger airline market.Source
  • LATAM Airlines — Competes in the Latin American passenger airline market.Source

Strengths

  • Hub-and-spoke network efficiency at Tocumen International AirportSource
  • Operational excellence and on-time performanceSource

Risks

  • Dependence on Boeing aircraft and potential safety-related operational disruptionsSource
  • Fluctuations in fuel prices and availabilitySource

Financial risk observations and what to check

These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-06-30.

Quarterly EPS fell 53.7% versus the same quarter last year.

Review net income and weighted-average shares together. Per-share earnings can change because of operating performance, nonrecurring items or the share denominator.

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

60

Fair

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

69

Fair

Financial Strength

54

Business Quality / Moat

83

Management

75

Growth Quality

56

Risk / Durability

83

Cheap for a Reason · Review the Risks

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

73

Fair

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

70/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 70/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is mixed across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. Review the category scores to identify what is helping or hurting the result.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as relatively attractive.

The model outlook is currently moderate.

What we like
  • •Asset quality scores strongly
  • •Valuation scores attractively
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak
  • •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for CPA

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can CPA maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •Is CPA's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Does CPA's balance between cash and debt leave enough flexibility if business conditions weaken?
  • •Is CPA's valuation discount tied to a temporary concern or to a longer-term business risk?
  • •What does the current fundamental change risk warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of CPA's score?
Business analysis: 16 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

60

0–100 · Fair

Opportunity Score

73

0–100 · Strong

Market Cap

$5.34B

P/E Ratio

8.7

EPS

$15.22

52-Week High

$160.47

52-Week Low

$107.44

Beta

0.97

Intrinsic Value

$338.12

Analyst Target

$185.00

Shares Outstanding

41.3M

Total Revenue

$3.99B

Total Debt

$495.5M

Dividend Yield (TTM)

5.19%

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$69.64

Estimated net asset value per share

Dividend / Share (TTM)

$6.74

Trailing 12 months by ex-date; not a forecast

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
39/ 100
-23 pts / 5d

Weakening momentum

5D -4.6% · 20D -1.5% · RSI 41 · Price vs 20D avg -2.8%
Volatility
18/ 100
-2 pts / 5d

Low movement

20D realized vol 26.3% · 60D 31.1% · Acceleration 0.85x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for CPA

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Dividend history reported

Dividend payments are recorded. Review the dates and regular/special classification below; past payments do not guarantee future dividends.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on CPA.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Hub-and-spoke network efficiency at Tocumen International Airport.
  • +Operational excellence and on-time performance.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Airlines, Airports & Air Services industry.
  • −Dependence on Boeing aircraft and potential safety-related operational disruptions.
  • −Fluctuations in fuel prices and availability.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Fair60/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Fair

60

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

37

Debt Cost3.8%
Debt Reduction YoY-28.1%
Debt / Equity0.92x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

37

Revenue YoY10.2%
Revenue CAGR2.3%
Net Margin15.7%

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

73

Asset Growth YoY14.6%
Liquidation/Share$69.64
Net Assets/MCap1.22x

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

77

Earnings Yield11.5%
Buyback Yield1.7%
Debt Cost3.8%

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

75

ROIC22.9%
ROE21.8%
ROA8.8%

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

83

EPS Growth23.3%
FCF/Share Growth13.7%
Rev/Share Growth12.9%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

Intrinsic Value$338.12
Value Reference$202.87
MOS60.9%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

61

Revenue37
Moat83
Valuation100

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

MOS %60.9%
Value Reference$202.87
Deep Discount Reference$135.25

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

32

Interest Coverage8.3x
ROIC22.9%
FCF Yield5.7%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

64

Financial32
Valuation100
Debt37

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

65

Survival Years3.2 yrs
Current Ratio1.23x
FCF Margin8.5%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

6 historical score records available

Previous Score

63

Sep 17, 2026

Change

-3.0

points

Current Score

60

Oct 1, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue-0.5
Debt0
Assets-0.6
Capital-1.0
Management0
Moat+0.2
Valuation0
Buffett-0.2

CPA decreased 3 points because some fundamentals weakened.

Projected Score

Projected Score

55

Projected Change

-5.2 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 5.2 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Undervalued

Current Price

$129.90

Model Intrinsic Value

$338.12

Difference

−$208.22

-61.6% vs IV

Margin of Safety

61.6%

UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Value Reference: $202.87
Deep Discount Reference: $135.25

Financial Charts

Revenue

201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025$0$950M$1.9B$2.9B$3.8B

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201520172019202120232025$0$300M$600M$900M$1.2B

Total Debt

201520172019202120232025$0$650M$1.3B$1.9B$2.6B

Total Assets

201520172019202120232025$0$2.0B$4.0B$6.0B$8.0B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$3.99B$3.62B$3.45B$3.46B····························
Cost of Revenue$2.77B$2.33B$2.22B$2.18B····························
Gross Profit$1.22B$1.29B$1.23B$1.27B····························
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
SG&A Expenses$220.8M$208.3M$208.0M$227.2M····························
Operating Expenses$440.0M$467.5M$474.6M$467.7M····························
EBITDA$1.21B$1.24B$1.12B$1.08B····························
Operating Income$778.8M$819.0M$753.0M$807.2M····························
Interest Expense$105.9M$98.4M$84.5M$158.2M····························
Income Before Tax$719.0M$775.6M$705.8M$611.1M····························
Income Tax Expense$92.4M$104.0M$97.7M$97.0M····························
Net Income$626.6M$671.6M$608.1M$514.1M····························
Basic EPS$15.22$16.28$14.55$12.78····························
Basic Shares40.91M41.26M41.80M40.20M····························
Diluted Shares40.91M41.26M41.80M40.20M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Nov 18, 2026
Estimated EPS: $4.13Estimated revenue: $1.17B
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$1.06B

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$1.67

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

-75.8%

Cash Change

+13.0%

Margin Change

-11.2 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Cash position grew
  • Debt reduced

What Weakened

  • Margins contracted

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, cash levels, debt levels. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, net income margin. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 25.7%. EPS declined 53.7%. Cash increased 13.0%. Total debt declined 75.8%. Net income margin declined by 11.2 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 121 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

Smart Money

Number of Gurus

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Loading data...

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Log in to view dividend history.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

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Historical Trends

6 historical records
Jul 23, 26Aug 12, 26Sep 3, 26Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 6 records shown
3 historical score records are shown. Start your seven-day free trial to unlock 3 more records and the complete score history.Start Free Trial

Wall Street Score

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Debt Score

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Asset Score

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Capital Score

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Management Score

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Moat Score

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 26$336.00$337.00$338.00$339.00$340.00

Value Reference

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 26$200.00$201.00$202.00$203.00$204.00

Margin of Safety %

Sep 5, 26Sep 17, 26Oct 1, 260.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%0.6%

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News

Rumor Mill · CPA

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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