Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

Affirm Holdings, Inc.

AFRMNASDAQ
Wall Street Score · overall investment62/100
$72.68USD+$3.19 (+4.59%)
Company website www.affirm.com
Headquarters221 Main Street, San Francisco, CA, 94105, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Financial Services · Financial - Credit Services
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 1, 2026

AFRM · Price history

Price at last available close

$72.68

+$5.47 (+8.14%) 1M

2026-10-27

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Company & revenue

About Affirm Holdings, Inc.

Primary reporting period: 2026-06-30 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

Affirm Holdings, Inc. provides a digital and mobile-first commerce platform that operates across the United States and Canada. This platform offers consumers a point-of-sale financing solution, delivers various tools for merchants, and includes a dedicated mobile application for users. Leveraging its payment network and partnerships with originating banks, the company enables customers to spread the cost of their purchases over time, with payment terms ranging from a single month up to forty-eight months.

How they make money

Affirm offers buy-now-pay-later installment financing and related payment services to consumers and merchants. Its fiscal 2026 Form 10-K describes revenue from merchant network fees, interest income and other payment and servicing activities. Merchant partnerships drive transaction volume, while credit performance, funding arrangements and underwriting determine whether growth converts into sustainable profitability.

Brands & revenue mix

AffirmUSD 783.00M100.0%

Primary brand for point-of-sale lending and payment network services.

Stored revenue share; calculation basis not supplied. Period: 2026-06-30.Source

Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.

Product / operating segments

No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

Customer categories were not separately identified in the reviewed source set.

Customer concentration

The company discloses that a large percentage of its revenue and GMV is concentrated with a small number of merchant partners and commerce platforms as of the fiscal year ended June 30, 2026.

Business relationships & partnerships

  • Amazon.com Services LLC — Strategic partnership involving the integration of Affirm's payment options on Amazon's platform.Source

Strengths

  • Merchant and consumer payment network — Research interpretation: checkout integrations and repeat consumer usage can increase transaction opportunities; network scale alone does not establish credit profitability.Source

Risks

  • Credit losses and funding costs — Research interpretation: borrower defaults, interest rates, funding access and merchant concentration can affect unit economics and cash flow.Source

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

62

Fair

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

61

Fair

Financial Strength

39

Business Quality / Moat

100

Management

69

Growth Quality

56

Risk / Durability

25

Cheap for a Reason · Review the Risks

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

82

Attractive

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

79/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 79/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is mixed across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. Review the category scores to identify what is helping or hurting the result.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as relatively attractive.

The model outlook is currently positive.

What we like
  • •Valuation scores attractively
What to watch
  • •Debt service risk
  • •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for AFRM

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can AFRM maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •Is AFRM's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Is AFRM's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
  • •Is AFRM's valuation discount tied to a temporary concern or to a longer-term business risk?
Debt service risk
Business analysis: 16 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

62

0–100 · Fair

Opportunity Score

82

0–100 · Excellent

Market Cap

$21.69B

P/E Ratio

12.1

EPS

$5.71

52-Week High

$100.00

52-Week Low

$39.35

Beta

3.61

Intrinsic Value

$219.83

Analyst Target

$97.00

Shares Outstanding

348.8M

Total Revenue

$4.18B

Total Debt

$9.82B

Dividend

No current dividend

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$15.72

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
49/ 100
-1 pts / 5d

Neutral / mixed momentum

5D -1.6% · 20D +4.9% · RSI 46 · Price vs 20D avg -1.5%
Volatility
52/ 100
-8 pts / 5d

Normal movement

20D realized vol 59.3% · 60D 54.6% · Acceleration 1.09x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for AFRM

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Debt service risk

Interest coverage is low (~1.9x). Earnings may be strained to cover interest expense.

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on AFRM.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Research interpretation: checkout integrations and repeat consumer usage can increase transaction opportunities.
  • +network scale alone does not establish credit profitability.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Financial - Credit Services industry.
  • −Research interpretation: borrower defaults, interest rates, funding access and merchant concentration can affect unit economics and cash flow.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Fair62/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Fair

62

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

20

Debt Cost4.6%
Debt Reduction YoY-25.1%
Debt / Equity1.79x

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Fair

55

Revenue YoY6.0%
Revenue CAGR30.4%
Net Margin46.1%

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Fair

68

Asset Growth YoY41.6%
Liquidation/Share$15.72
Net Assets/MCap0.26x

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Fair

51

Earnings Yield8.3%
Buyback Yield0.3%
Debt Cost4.6%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

69

ROIC6.8%
ROE35.2%
ROA12.2%

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Elite

100

EPS Growth3500.0%
FCF/Share Growth61.3%
Rev/Share Growth29.3%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

97

Intrinsic Value$219.83
Value Reference$131.90
MOS66.4%

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Fair

61

Revenue55
Moat100
Valuation97

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

MOS %66.4%
Value Reference$131.90
Deep Discount Reference$87.93

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

23

Interest Coverage1.9x
ROIC6.8%
FCF Yield4.3%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

54

Financial23
Valuation97
Debt20

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

60

Survival Years1.7 yrs
Current Ratio12.73x
FCF Margin25.1%

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Score Changes

5 historical score records available

Previous Score

62

Sep 8, 2026

Change

+0.8

points

Current Score

62

Oct 1, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue+0.4
Debt0
Assets+0.3
Capital+2.0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett+0.1

AFRM increased 0.8 points because Capital improved by 2 points.

Positive Contributors

  • + Capital improved by 2 points

Projected Score

Projected Score

70

Projected Change

+7.2 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 7.2 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Review model assumptions

This model estimate is more than three times the share price.

This is a formula-based estimate, not a verified fair value or price target. Check the earnings and growth assumptions.

Stored EPS: $5.71 · Growth assumption: 15.0% · Earnings multiplier: 38.5×.

Current Price

$72.68

Model Intrinsic Value

$219.83

Difference

−$147.15

-66.9% vs IV

Margin of Safety

66.9%

Value Reference: $131.90
Deep Discount Reference: $87.93

Financial Charts

Revenue

20192020202120222023202420252026$0$1.0B$2.0B$3.0B$4.0B

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

20192020202120222023202420252026-$450M$0$450M$900M$1.4B

Total Debt

20192020202120222023202420252026$0$2.5B$5.0B$7.5B$10.0B

Total Assets

20192020202120222023202420252026$0$4.0B$8.0B$12.0B$16.0B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM20262025202420232022202120202019
Revenue$4.18B$3.95B$3.22B$2.32B····················
Cost of Revenue$1.33B$1.22B$1.05B$845.1M····················
Gross Profit$2.85B$2.73B$2.18B$1.48B····················
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····················
SG&A Expenses$920.8M$920.8M$979.9M$1.10B····················
Operating Expenses$2.20B$1.86B$2.26B$2.09B····················
EBITDA$1.25B$1.25B$712.0M-$2.2M····················
Operating Income$648.8M$870.9M-$87.3M-$615.8M····················
Interest Expense$454.1M$453.6M$425.5M$344.3M····················
Income Before Tax$492.7M$492.7M$61.5M-$515.5M····················
Income Tax Expense-$1.44B-$1.44B$9.3M$2.2M····················
Net Income$1.93B$1.93B$52.2M-$517.8M····················
Basic EPS$5.71$5.76$0.16$-1.67····················
Basic Shares339M335M323M310M····················
Diluted Shares350M349M341M310M····················
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Nov 5, 2026
Estimated EPS: $0.34Estimated revenue: $1.21B
Jun 30, 2026Q4FY2026

Revenue

$1.09B

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$4.62

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

+25.1%

Cash Change

+79.6%

Margin Change

+140.5 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Margins expanded
  • Cash position grew

What Weakened

  • Debt increased

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth, cash levels, net income margin. Pressure indicators included debt levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 24.3%. EPS increased 2210.0%. Cash increased 79.6%. Total debt increased 25.1%. Net income margin improved by 140.5 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 120 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

40

Smart Money

40

Number of Gurus

1

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

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Historical Trends

5 historical records
Jul 19, 26Aug 11, 26Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 5 records shown
3 historical score records are shown. Start your seven-day free trial to unlock 2 more records and the complete score history.Start Free Trial

Wall Street Score

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Debt Score

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Asset Score

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Capital Score

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Management Score

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Moat Score

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 26$217.00$218.00$219.00$220.00$221.00

Value Reference

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 26$129.00$130.00$131.00$132.00$133.00

Margin of Safety %

Sep 1, 26Sep 8, 26Oct 1, 260.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%

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News

Rumor Mill · AFRM

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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