Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.
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YPF Sociedad Anónima stands as an Argentine energy corporation, actively involved in both the upstream and downstream segments of the oil and gas industry within the country. The company's upstream division is dedicated to the exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). Its downstream operations encompass the refining, marketing, transportation, and distribution of a wide array of products, including crude oil, petroleum products, petroleum derivatives, petrochemicals, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), and biofuels.
Brands & revenue mix
YPFUSD 18,448100.0%
The primary brand under which the company conducts its integrated energy operations, including fuel retail, lubricants, and petrochemicals.
Reported revenue share.
Metrogas
A subsidiary brand focused on natural gas distribution.
Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.
AESA
A subsidiary brand focused on construction and engineering services.
Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.
Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.
Customer concentration
YPF does not disclose specific major customers in its annual filings, as its business model involves a broad network of retail service stations and diverse industrial/commercial clients across Argentina.
Wall Street Score
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
54
Fair
PoorElite
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
55
Fair
Financial Strength
34
Business Quality / Moat
100
Management
37
Growth Quality
64
Risk / Durability
25
Cheap for a Reason · Review the Risks
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Opportunity
Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?
64
Fully Valued
Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.
View score details →
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
66/100
Building Historical Record
Model Score 66/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.
Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.
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WSS View
The quick read
The overall Wall Street Score is mixed across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. Review the category scores to identify what is helping or hurting the result.
At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as moderate rather than unusually attractive.
The model outlook is currently moderate.
What we like
•Asset quality scores strongly
•Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
•Elevated debt risk
•Revenue fundamentals are weak
•Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for YPF
Research inputs 100% complete
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
•Can YPF maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
•How long can YPF fund negative free cash flow using its current cash position before it may need more debt or new shares?
•Is YPF's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
Volatility = How violently is it moving?
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for YPF
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.
Historical repurchase activity
Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.
Elevated debt risk
Interest coverage is below 2x • Free cash flow is negative • Cash covers less than 20% of total debt
Community Sentiment
0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)
No personal call yet on YPF.
Potential upside factors
+Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
Potential downside factors
−Debt risk (elevated): Interest coverage is below 2x.
−Free cash flow is negative.
−Cash covers less than 20% of total debt.
−Negative free cash flow may increase the need for outside financing and dilution.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
Create a free account to make a call.
Scores
Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Fair54/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)
Debt
Poor
31
Debt Cost8.4%
Debt Reduction YoY-62.2%
Debt / Equity1.03x
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Revenue
Weak
46
Revenue YoY10.6%
Revenue CAGR1.2%
Net Margin3.5%
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Asset
Elite
93
Asset Growth YoY41.1%
Liquidation/Share$32.13
Net Assets/MCap1.10x
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Capital
Poor
15
Earnings Yield3.5%
Buyback Yield0.0%
Debt Cost8.4%
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Management
Poor
37
ROIC5.0%
ROE5.6%
ROA2.1%
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Moat
Elite
100
EPS Growth—
FCF/Share Growth—
Rev/Share Growth1.7%
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Valuation
Fair
65
Intrinsic Value$68.24
Value Reference$40.94
MOS0.3%
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Buffett
Fair
58
Revenue46
Moat100
Valuation65
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MOS
Strong
70
MOS %0.3%
Value Reference$40.94
Deep Discount Reference$27.30
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Financial
Fair
60
Interest Coverage1.7x
ROIC5.0%
FCF Yield-0.6%
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Master
Fair
66
Financial60
Valuation65
Debt31
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Resilience
Fair
55
Survival Years10.1 yrs
Current Ratio0.87x
FCF Margin-0.0%
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Score Changes
Score changes will appear once more historical records are available.
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.
Income StatementBalance SheetCash Flow
AnnualQuarterlyTTM + Annual
All rows
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
Line Item
TTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Revenue
$19.34B
$17.48B
$11.79B
$3.61B
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Cost of Revenue
$12.48B
$12.76B
$8.53B
$2.98B
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Gross Profit
$6.88B
$4.72B
$3.26B
$638.9M
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Research & Development
$10K
$21K
$26.9M
$12.1M
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SG&A Expenses
$2.70B
$1.52B
$1.08B
$700.8M
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Operating Expenses
$3.41B
$3.16B
$2.50B
$1.61B
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EBITDA
$6.95B
$4.83B
$2.57B
$711.8M
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Operating Income
$3.74B
$1.56B
$1.23B
-$968.2M
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Interest Expense
$675.1M
$893.1M
$532.4M
$603.7M
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Income Before Tax
$2.98B
$870.2M
$615.9M
-$579.5M
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Income Tax Expense
$2.27B
$1.63B
-$957.7M
$430.6M
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Net Income
$684.1M
-$789.8M
$1.37B
-$1.03B
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Basic EPS
$1.77
$-2.02
$3.49
$-1.58
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Basic Shares
387M
392M
392M
392M
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Diluted Shares
387M
392M
392M
392M
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Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.
Dividend HistoryShare
Dividend History
Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.
Predictions & Historical PerformanceShare
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
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Premium
5 Years
$———.——
Premium
10 Years
$———.——
Premium
Conservative Projection Rate
——%
Premium
Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.