Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

YPF Sociedad Anónima

YPFNYSE
Wall Street Score · overall investment54/100
$50.04USD+$0.14 (+0.28%)
Company website www.ypf.com
HeadquartersMacacha GUeemes 515, Buenos Aires, BA, C1106BKK, AR
Financial statement currencyARS · converted to USD at 0.000659
Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 1, 2026

YPF · Price history

Price at last available close

$50.04

−$6.02 (-10.74%) 1M

2026-10-09

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Company & revenue

About YPF Sociedad Anónima

Financial breakdown: year ended 2025-12-31

Who they are

YPF Sociedad Anónima stands as an Argentine energy corporation, actively involved in both the upstream and downstream segments of the oil and gas industry within the country. The company's upstream division is dedicated to the exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). Its downstream operations encompass the refining, marketing, transportation, and distribution of a wide array of products, including crude oil, petroleum products, petroleum derivatives, petrochemicals, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), and biofuels.

Brands & revenue mix

YPFUSD 18,448100.0%

The primary brand under which the company conducts its integrated energy operations, including fuel retail, lubricants, and petrochemicals.

Reported revenue share.

Metrogas

A subsidiary brand focused on natural gas distribution.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.

AESA

A subsidiary brand focused on construction and engineering services.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.

Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.

Customer concentration

YPF does not disclose specific major customers in its annual filings, as its business model involves a broad network of retail service stations and diverse industrial/commercial clients across Argentina.

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

54

Fair

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

55

Fair

Financial Strength

34

Business Quality / Moat

100

Management

37

Growth Quality

64

Risk / Durability

25

Cheap for a Reason · Review the Risks

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

64

Fully Valued

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

66/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 66/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is mixed across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. Review the category scores to identify what is helping or hurting the result.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as moderate rather than unusually attractive.

The model outlook is currently moderate.

What we like
  • •Asset quality scores strongly
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •Elevated debt risk
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak
  • •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for YPF

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can YPF maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •How long can YPF fund negative free cash flow using its current cash position before it may need more debt or new shares?
  • •Is YPF's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
Elevated debt risk
Business analysis: 13 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

54

0–100 · Fair

Opportunity Score

64

0–100 · Fair

Market Cap

$19.62B

P/E Ratio

27.8

EPS

$1.77

52-Week High

$57.87

52-Week Low

$23.02

Beta

-0.07

Intrinsic Value

$68.24

Analyst Target

$55.00

Shares Outstanding

392.0M

Total Debt

$10.67B

Dividend

No current dividend

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$32.13

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
37/ 100
+4 pts / 5d

Weakening momentum

5D +0.7% · 20D -9.9% · RSI 34 · Price vs 20D avg -4.4%
Volatility
27/ 100
+1 pts / 5d

Low movement

20D realized vol 33.1% · 60D 34.3% · Acceleration 0.97x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for YPF

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

Elevated debt risk

Interest coverage is below 2x • Free cash flow is negative • Cash covers less than 20% of total debt

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on YPF.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.

Potential downside factors

  • −Debt risk (elevated): Interest coverage is below 2x.
  • −Free cash flow is negative.
  • −Cash covers less than 20% of total debt.
  • −Negative free cash flow may increase the need for outside financing and dilution.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Fair54/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Fair

54

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

31

Debt Cost8.4%
Debt Reduction YoY-62.2%
Debt / Equity1.03x

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

46

Revenue YoY10.6%
Revenue CAGR1.2%
Net Margin3.5%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

93

Asset Growth YoY41.1%
Liquidation/Share$32.13
Net Assets/MCap1.10x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

15

Earnings Yield3.5%
Buyback Yield0.0%
Debt Cost8.4%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

37

ROIC5.0%
ROE5.6%
ROA2.1%

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Elite

100

EPS Growth—
FCF/Share Growth—
Rev/Share Growth1.7%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

65

Intrinsic Value$68.24
Value Reference$40.94
MOS0.3%

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Fair

58

Revenue46
Moat100
Valuation65

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Strong

70

MOS %0.3%
Value Reference$40.94
Deep Discount Reference$27.30

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Fair

60

Interest Coverage1.7x
ROIC5.0%
FCF Yield-0.6%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

66

Financial60
Valuation65
Debt31

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

55

Survival Years10.1 yrs
Current Ratio0.87x
FCF Margin-0.0%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

Score changes will appear once more historical records are available.

Price vs. Value

Undervalued

Current Price

$50.04

Model Intrinsic Value

$68.24

Difference

−$18.20

-26.7% vs IV

Margin of Safety

26.7%

UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Value Reference: $40.94
Deep Discount Reference: $27.30

Financial Charts

Revenue

201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025$0$4.5B$9.0B$13.5B$18.0B

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201520172019202120232025$0$1.5B$3.0B$4.5B$6.0B

Total Debt

201520172019202120232025$0$3.0B$6.0B$9.0B$12.0B

Total Assets

201520172019202120232025$0$7.5B$15.0B$22.5B$30.0B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$19.34B$17.48B$11.79B$3.61B····························
Cost of Revenue$12.48B$12.76B$8.53B$2.98B····························
Gross Profit$6.88B$4.72B$3.26B$638.9M····························
Research & Development$10K$21K$26.9M$12.1M····························
SG&A Expenses$2.70B$1.52B$1.08B$700.8M····························
Operating Expenses$3.41B$3.16B$2.50B$1.61B····························
EBITDA$6.95B$4.83B$2.57B$711.8M····························
Operating Income$3.74B$1.56B$1.23B-$968.2M····························
Interest Expense$675.1M$893.1M$532.4M$603.7M····························
Income Before Tax$2.98B$870.2M$615.9M-$579.5M····························
Income Tax Expense$2.27B$1.63B-$957.7M$430.6M····························
Net Income$684.1M-$789.8M$1.37B-$1.03B····························
Basic EPS$1.77$-2.02$3.49$-1.58····························
Basic Shares387M392M392M392M····························
Diluted Shares387M392M392M392M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Oct 29, 2026
Estimated EPS: $1.81Estimated revenue: $5.75B

Earnings analysis is not currently available.

Earnings data: — · No activity

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

48

Smart Money

48

Number of Gurus

3

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Loading data...

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium unlocks the full historical outperformance record: completed predictions, results chart, win rate, and calibration statistics.

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Historical Trends

Historical trend will appear once more records are available.

Historical Score Chart

Historical score data will appear once more records are available.

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