Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

XPEL, Inc.

XPELNASDAQ
Wall Street Score · overall investment55/100
$43.87USD+$0.96 (+2.24%)
Company website www.xpel.com
Headquarters711 Broadway, San Antonio, TX, 78215, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Parts
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 1, 2026

XPEL · Price history

Price at last available close

$43.87

−$0.31 (-0.70%) 1M

2026-10-28

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Company & revenue

About XPEL, Inc.

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

XPEL, Inc. is a company that develops, manufactures, distributes, and installs a comprehensive range of aftermarket products primarily aimed at protecting and enhancing automotive vehicles, with select offerings for architectural applications. Their core product portfolio features advanced protective films for vehicle paint and surfaces, headlight protection solutions, and a variety of window films for both cars and buildings. Additionally, XPEL provides proprietary software to support its operations.

How they make money

XPEL generates revenue primarily by selling protective films, coatings, and related installation products to a global network of independent installers and new car dealerships. The company also provides value-added services, including access to its proprietary Design Access Program (DAP) software for pattern cutting, installation training, and marketing support, which helps drive recurring demand for its film products.

Products & services

Protective films and coatings, including automotive paint protection film, surface protection film, automotive and commercial/architectural window films, and ceramic coatings.

Brands & revenue mix

XPEL

Primary brand for protective films and coatings.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

XPEL PRIME

Brand used for automotive window and tint films.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.

Product / operating segments

No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

  • Independent aftermarket installersSource
  • New car dealershipsSource

Customer concentration

The company does not disclose any single customer accounting for 10% or more of its consolidated revenue for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Film manufacturers — The company relies on third-party manufacturers to produce its protective films and coatings based on proprietary specifications.Source

Competitors

  • 3M Company — Competes in the automotive paint protection film and window film markets.Source
  • Eastman Chemical Company — Competes in the protective film and window film industry through its LLumar and SunTek brands.Source

Strengths

  • Proprietary Design Access Program (DAP) softwareSource
  • Global distribution network and installation training infrastructureSource

Risks

  • Reliance on third-party manufacturers for product supplySource
  • Exposure to fluctuations in the automotive industry and consumer spendingSource

Financial risk observations and what to check

These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-06-30.

Total debt increased 192.0% versus the same quarter last year.

Compare the added borrowing with available cash, cash generation and maturities. A percentage increase from a small starting balance can look large without measuring the full debt burden.

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

55

Fair

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

88

Strong

Financial Strength

83

Business Quality / Moat

99

Management

100

Growth Quality

57

Risk / Durability

98

Great Company · Attractive Price

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

71

Fair

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

70/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 70/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is mixed across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. Review the category scores to identify what is helping or hurting the result.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as relatively attractive.

The model outlook is currently positive.

What we like
  • •Balance-sheet / debt profile scores strongly
  • •Asset quality scores strongly
  • •Valuation scores attractively
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for XPEL

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can XPEL maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •Is XPEL's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Does XPEL's balance between cash and debt leave enough flexibility if business conditions weaken?
  • •Is XPEL's valuation discount tied to a temporary concern or to a longer-term business risk?
  • •What does the current fundamental change risk warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of XPEL's score?
Business analysis: 16 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

55

0–100 · Fair

Opportunity Score

71

0–100 · Strong

Market Cap

$1.21B

P/E Ratio

22.6

EPS

$1.98

52-Week High

$55.91

52-Week Low

$31.88

Beta

1.14

Intrinsic Value

$71.07

Analyst Target

$65.00

Shares Outstanding

27.7M

Total Revenue

$508.1M

Total Debt

$63.5M

Dividend

No current dividend

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$11.51

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
43/ 100
+3 pts / 5d

Weakening momentum

5D +0.6% · 20D -0.7% · RSI 45 · Price vs 20D avg -0.8%
Volatility
19/ 100
+1 pts / 5d

Low movement

20D realized vol 29.0% · 60D 38.4% · Acceleration 0.76x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for XPEL

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on XPEL.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Proprietary Design Access Program (DAP) software.
  • +Global distribution network and installation training infrastructure.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Auto - Parts industry.
  • −Reliance on third-party manufacturers for product supply.
  • −Exposure to fluctuations in the automotive industry and consumer spending.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Fair55/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Fair

55

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

90

Debt Cost0.4%
Debt Reduction YoY-8.4%
Debt / Equity0.08x

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Poor

27

Revenue YoY6.7%
Revenue CAGR9.6%
Net Margin10.8%

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Strong

70

Asset Growth YoY37.0%
Liquidation/Share$11.51
Net Assets/MCap0.33x

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Poor

36

Earnings Yield4.4%
Buyback Yield0.1%
Debt Cost0.4%

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Elite

100

ROIC15.3%
ROE17.9%
ROA11.6%

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Elite

99

EPS Growth22.5%
FCF/Share Growth80.0%
Rev/Share Growth20.2%

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Strong

81

Intrinsic Value$71.07
Value Reference$42.64
MOS38.9%

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Strong

77

Revenue27
Moat99
Valuation81

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Elite

92

MOS %38.9%
Value Reference$42.64
Deep Discount Reference$28.43

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Poor

35

Interest Coverage754.8x
ROIC15.3%
FCF Yield5.1%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

52

Financial35
Valuation81
Debt90

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

79

Survival Years0.6 yrs
Current Ratio3.25x
FCF Margin13.2%

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Score Changes

2 historical score records available

Previous Score

63

Jul 24, 2026

Change

-8.4

points

Current Score

55

Oct 1, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue+3.4
Debt0
Assets0
Capital-2.0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation+10.9
Buffett+1.8

XPEL decreased 8.4 points because Capital declined by 2 points.

Positive Contributors

  • + Revenue improved by 3.4 points
  • + Valuation improved by 10.9 points

Negative Contributors

  • − Capital declined by 2 points

Projected Score

Projected Score

52

Projected Change

-3.0 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 3.0 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Undervalued

Current Price

$43.87

Model Intrinsic Value

$71.07

Difference

−$27.20

-38.3% vs IV

Margin of Safety

38.3%

UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Value Reference: $42.64
Deep Discount Reference: $28.43

Financial Charts

Revenue

201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025$0$150M$300M$450M$600M

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201520172019202120232025$0$20M$40M$60M$80M

Total Debt

201520172019202120232025$0$15M$30M$45M$60M

Total Assets

201520172019202120232025$0$100M$200M$300M$400M

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$508.1M$476.2M$420.4M$396.3M····························
Cost of Revenue$290.1M$275.2M$243.0M$233.9M····························
Gross Profit$218.0M$201.0M$177.4M$162.4M····························
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
SG&A Expenses$149.5M$138.4M$118.2M$95.4M····························
Operating Expenses$149.5M$138.4M$118.2M$95.4M····························
EBITDA$83.3M$77.4M$69.5M$76.9M····························
Operating Income$68.5M$62.6M$59.1M$67.0M····························
Interest Expense$268K$83K$996K$1.2M····························
Income Before Tax$69.1M$64.1M$56.8M$66.0M····························
Income Tax Expense$13.5M$12.5M$11.3M$13.2M····························
Net Income$54.7M$51.2M$45.5M$52.8M····························
Basic EPS$1.98$1.85$1.65$1.91····························
Basic Shares27.56M27.66M27.64M27.62M····························
Diluted Shares27.64M27.68M27.64M27.63M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Nov 4, 2026
Estimated EPS: $0.55Estimated revenue: $138.7M
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$143.1M

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$0.65

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

+192.0%

Cash Change

-18.0%

Margin Change

-0.5 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Weakened

  • Margins contracted
  • Cash position declined
  • Debt increased

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth. Pressure indicators included cash levels, debt levels, net income margin. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 14.7%. EPS increased 10.2%. Cash declined 18.0%. Total debt increased 192.0%. Net income margin declined by 0.5 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 121 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

Smart Money

Number of Gurus

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

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Historical Trends

2 historical records
Jul 24, 2663
Oct 1, 2655

2 historical score records available.

Historical Score Chart

2 of 2 records shown

Wall Street Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Debt Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Asset Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Capital Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Management Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Moat Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26$66.00$68.00$70.00$72.00$74.00

Value Reference

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26$39.75$40.50$41.25$42.00$42.75

Margin of Safety %

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 260.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%

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News

Rumor Mill · XPEL

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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