Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

Valero Energy Corporation

VLONYSE
Wall Street Score · overall investment47/100
$381.36USD$-5.99 (-1.55%)
Company website www.valero.com
HeadquartersOne Valero Way, San Antonio, TX, 78249, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 26, 2026

VLO · Price history

Price at last available close

$383.88

−$5.69 (-1.46%) 1M

2026-10-28

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Company & revenue

About Valero Energy Corporation

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 7, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

Valero Energy Corporation functions as a global producer and marketer of transportation fuels and petrochemicals, with operations spanning the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, and other international territories. The company organizes its business across three primary divisions: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. Its Refining segment generates a wide array of products, including various types of gasoline (conventional, premium, reformulated, and California Air Resources Board-compliant), diverse diesel fuels (low-sulfur, ultra-low-sulfur, and CARB diesel), jet fuels, blendstocks, asphalts, petrochemicals, and lubricants.

How they make money

Valero Energy Corporation operates as an international manufacturer and marketer of transportation fuels and petrochemical products. The company generates revenue primarily by refining crude oil and other feedstocks into gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, while also producing ethanol and renewable diesel through its integrated refining, renewable diesel, and ethanol business segments.

Products & services

Petroleum-based transportation fuels (gasoline, diesel, jet fuel), ethanol, renewable diesel, sustainable aviation fuel, and various petrochemical co-products including dry distillers grains and corn oil.

Brands & revenue mix

No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.

Product / operating segments

No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

Customer concentration

The company does not disclose specific customer concentration in its 2025 annual report, noting that its products are sold through various wholesale and retail channels.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Crude oil and feedstock suppliers — The company sources crude oil and other feedstocks from various global suppliers; specific supplier names are not disclosed.Source

Competitors

  • Marathon Petroleum Corporation — A major independent petroleum refining and marketing company in the United States.Source
  • Phillips 66 — A diversified energy manufacturing and logistics company competing in refining and midstream sectors.Source

Strengths

  • Highly complex and integrated refining systemSource
  • Geographic diversity of refining assetsSource

Risks

  • Volatility in commodity prices and refining marginsSource
  • Regulatory and environmental compliance costsSource

Financial risk observations and what to check

These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-09-30.

Total debt increased 234.8% versus the same quarter last year.

Compare the added borrowing with available cash, cash generation and maturities. A percentage increase from a small starting balance can look large without measuring the full debt burden.

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

47

Weak

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

66

Fair

Financial Strength

73

Business Quality / Moat

40

Management

91

Growth Quality

59

Risk / Durability

73

Weak Company · Expensive Stock

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

45

Avoid

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

51/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 51/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.

The model outlook is currently moderate.

What we like
  • •Balance-sheet / debt profile scores strongly
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •M&A headline · Oct 24, 2026
  • •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak
  • •Asset quality is a weaker factor

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for VLO

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can VLO maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •Is VLO's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Is VLO's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
  • •What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify VLO's current valuation?
  • •What does the current fundamental change risk warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of VLO's score?
M&A headline · Oct 24, 2026
Business analysis: 20 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

47

0–100 · Weak

Opportunity Score

45

0–100 · Weak

Market Cap

$109.80B

P/E Ratio

9.6

EPS

$44.48

52-Week High

$461.52

52-Week Low

$159.90

Beta

0.59

Intrinsic Value

$378.08

Analyst Target

$443.00

Shares Outstanding

309.0M

Total Revenue

$146.86B

Total Debt

$35.42B

Reported Dividend Yield

1.14%

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$-38.93

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
38/ 100
-39 pts / 5d

Weakening momentum

5D -12.1% · 20D -1.0% · RSI 28 · Price vs 20D avg -10.1%
Volatility
51/ 100
+19 pts / 5d

Normal movement

20D realized vol 53.1% · 60D 40.5% · Acceleration 1.31x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for VLO

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Dividend history reported

The provider reports a dividend yield. Confirm the latest declaration before treating it as a current payment.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

M&A headline · Oct 24, 2026

Valero Energy Corporation $VLO Shares Newly Acquired by Atlatl Advisers LLC — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.

Defense World

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on VLO.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Highly complex and integrated refining system.
  • +Geographic diversity of refining assets.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing industry.
  • −Volatility in commodity prices and refining margins.
  • −Regulatory and environmental compliance costs.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak47/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Weak

47

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

86

Debt Cost4.8%
Debt Reduction YoY-1.4%
Debt / Equity0.49x

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

43

Revenue YoY19.7%
Revenue CAGR-7.9%
Net Margin8.8%

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Poor

13

Asset Growth YoY-3.6%
Liquidation/Share-$38.93
Net Assets/MCap-0.15x

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

78

Earnings Yield10.5%
Buyback Yield3.1%
Debt Cost4.8%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

91

ROIC5.7%
ROE41.6%
ROA74.2%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

40

EPS Growth-12.0%
FCF/Share Growth-0.2%
Rev/Share Growth5.7%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

29

Intrinsic Value$378.08
Value Reference$226.85
MOS-12.8%

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Fair

55

Revenue43
Moat40
Valuation29

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

MOS %-12.8%
Value Reference$226.85
Deep Discount Reference$151.23

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Fair

50

Interest Coverage7.8x
ROIC5.7%
FCF Yield4.1%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

56

Financial50
Valuation29
Debt86

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

74

Survival Years6.8 yrs
Current Ratio1.65x
FCF Margin4.1%

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Score Changes

4 historical score records available

Previous Score

47

Oct 22, 2026

Change

-0.1

points

Current Score

47

Oct 26, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue-0.2
Debt0
Assets0
Capital-1.0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett0

VLO decreased 0.1 points because some fundamentals weakened.

Projected Score

Projected Score

57

Projected Change

+10.1 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 10.1 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Near Fair Value

Current Price

$381.36

Model Intrinsic Value

$378.08

Difference

+$3.28

+0.9% vs IV

Margin of Safety

-0.9%

UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Value Reference: $226.85
Deep Discount Reference: $151.23

Financial Charts

Revenue

201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025$0$45.0B$90.0B$135.0B$180.0B

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201520172019202120232025$0$3.5B$7.0B$10.5B$14.0B

Total Debt

201520172019202120232025$0$4.0B$8.0B$12.0B$16.0B

Total Assets

201520172019202120232025$0$20.0B$40.0B$60.0B$80.0B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$146.86B$122.69B$129.88B$144.77B····························
Cost of Revenue$124.16B$117.32B$125.12B$131.88B····························
Gross Profit$22.70B$5.37B$4.76B$12.89B····························
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
SG&A Expenses$1.14B$1.04B$961.0M$998.0M····························
Operating Expenses$5.12B$1.06B$1.00B$1.03B····························
EBITDA$20.87B$6.72B$7.03B$14.66B····························
Operating Income$17.57B$4.31B$3.75B$11.86B····························
Interest Expense$563.0M$556.0M$556.0M$592.0M····························
Income Before Tax$17.47B$3.00B$3.70B$11.77B····························
Income Tax Expense$3.92B$759.0M$692.0M$2.62B····························
Net Income$12.95B$2.35B$2.77B$8.84B····························
Basic EPS$44.48$7.57$8.58$24.95····························
Basic Shares285M309M322M353M····························
Diluted Shares285M309M322M353M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Feb 4, 2027
Estimated EPS: $19.41Estimated revenue: $41.60B
Sep 30, 2026Q3FY2026

Revenue

$46.10B

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$23.89

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

+234.8%

Cash Change

+106.5%

Margin Change

+11.4 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Margins expanded
  • Cash position grew

What Weakened

  • Debt increased

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth, cash levels, net income margin. Pressure indicators included debt levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 43.3%. EPS increased 576.8%. Cash increased 106.5%. Total debt increased 234.8%. Net income margin improved by 11.4 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 28 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

37

Smart Money

37

Number of Gurus

2

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Loading data...

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

A dividend is reported, but detailed payment history is temporarily unavailable or awaiting refresh.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

Start 7-Day Free Trial

Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

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Historical Trends

4 historical records
Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 26Oct 26, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 4 records shown
3 historical score records are shown. Start your seven-day free trial to unlock 1 more record and the complete score history.Start Free Trial

Wall Street Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 26Oct 26, 260255075100

Debt Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 26Oct 26, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 26Oct 26, 260255075100

Asset Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 26Oct 26, 260255075100

Capital Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 26Oct 26, 260255075100

Management Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 26Oct 26, 260255075100

Moat Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 26Oct 26, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 26Oct 26, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 26Oct 26, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 26Oct 26, 26$200.00$250.00$300.00$350.00$400.00

Value Reference

Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 26Oct 26, 26$120.00$150.00$180.00$210.00$240.00

Margin of Safety %

Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 26Oct 26, 26-1.0%-0.8%-0.5%-0.3%0.0%

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News

Rumor Mill · VLO

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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