Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

United Parcel Service, Inc.

UPSNYSE
Wall Street Score · overall investment35/100
$106.14USD+$5.82 (+5.80%)
Company website www.ups.com
Headquarters55 Glenlake Parkway, N.E., Atlanta, GA, 30328, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 27, 2026

UPS · Price history

Price at last available close

$106.09

+$11.84 (+12.56%) 1M

2026-10-27

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Company & revenue

About United Parcel Service, Inc.

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 10, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

United Parcel Service, Inc., a package delivery and logistics provider, offers transportation and delivery services. It operates through two segments, U. S.

How they make money

UPS is a global package delivery and logistics provider that generates revenue primarily through the transportation of letters, packages, and air cargo. The company operates through two main segments, U.S. Domestic Package and International Package, while also providing supply chain, logistics, and freight services through its Supply Chain Solutions business.

Products & services

UPS provides domestic and international package delivery, air cargo transportation, supply chain management, logistics, and freight forwarding services.

Brands & revenue mix

UPS

The primary brand under which the company provides its global logistics and delivery services.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.

Product / operating segments

No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

Disclosed major customers

Customer concentration

For the year ended December 31, 2025, Amazon.com, Inc. and its affiliates represented approximately 10.6% of consolidated revenues.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

No supplier relationships were confirmed in the sources reviewed. This does not mean the company has no suppliers.

Competitors

  • FedEx Corporation — A global provider of transportation, e-commerce, and business services.Source
  • United States Postal Service — The independent agency of the executive branch of the U.S. federal government responsible for providing postal service in the U.S.Source

Strengths

  • Global integrated logistics networkSource
  • Advanced technology and data-driven delivery capabilitiesSource

Risks

  • Dependence on a limited number of large customersSource
  • Economic conditions and global trade volatilitySource

Financial risk observations and what to check

These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-06-30.

Quarterly EPS fell 53.0% versus the same quarter last year.

Review net income and weighted-average shares together. Per-share earnings can change because of operating performance, nonrecurring items or the share denominator.

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

35

Poor

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

53

Fair

Financial Strength

61

Business Quality / Moat

23

Management

80

Growth Quality

32

Risk / Durability

79

Weak Company · Expensive Stock

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

20

Avoid

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

27/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 27/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.

The model outlook is currently cautious.

What we like
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak
  • •Asset quality is a weaker factor

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for UPS

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can UPS maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •Is UPS's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Is UPS's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
  • •What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify UPS's current valuation?
  • •What does the current fundamental change risk warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of UPS's score?
Business analysis: 17 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

35

0–100 · Weak

Opportunity Score

20

0–100 · Poor

Market Cap

$79.54B

P/E Ratio

19.6

EPS

$5.39

52-Week High

$122.41

52-Week Low

$90.84

Beta

1.05

Intrinsic Value

$45.81

Analyst Target

$118.50

Shares Outstanding

850.0M

Total Revenue

$89.93B

Total Debt

$28.67B

Reported Dividend Yield

6.83%

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$17.76

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
78/ 100
+18 pts / 5d

Building upward momentum

5D +7.7% · 20D +12.9% · RSI 88 · Price vs 20D avg +9.7%
Volatility
17/ 100
+3 pts / 5d

Low movement

20D realized vol 24.1% · 60D 26.7% · Acceleration 0.90x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for UPS

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Dividend history reported

The provider reports a dividend yield. Confirm the latest declaration before treating it as a current payment.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on UPS.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Global integrated logistics network.
  • +Advanced technology and data-driven delivery capabilities.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry.
  • −Dependence on a limited number of large customers.
  • −Economic conditions and global trade volatility.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak35/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Poor

35

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

62

Debt Cost3.5%
Debt Reduction YoY-11.5%
Debt / Equity1.76x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

21

Revenue YoY1.4%
Revenue CAGR-1.2%
Net Margin5.1%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

37

Asset Growth YoY4.3%
Liquidation/Share$17.76
Net Assets/MCap0.54x

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

49

Earnings Yield5.8%
Buyback Yield2.3%
Debt Cost3.5%

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

80

ROIC15.7%
ROE30.3%
ROA6.4%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

23

EPS Growth2.8%
FCF/Share Growth-9.3%
Rev/Share Growth1.0%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

22

Intrinsic Value$45.81
Value Reference$27.49
MOS-130.3%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

43

Revenue21
Moat23
Valuation22

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

MOS %-130.3%
Value Reference$27.49
Deep Discount Reference$18.33

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

36

Interest Coverage7.8x
ROIC15.7%
FCF Yield6.0%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

37

Financial36
Valuation22
Debt62

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

51

Survival Years1.0 yrs
Current Ratio1.22x
FCF Margin5.4%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

4 historical score records available

Previous Score

36

Oct 26, 2026

Change

-0.4

points

Current Score

35

Oct 27, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue-0.8
Debt0
Assets-0.8
Capital-3.0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett-0.3

UPS decreased 0.4 points because Capital declined by 3 points.

Negative Contributors

  • − Capital declined by 3 points

Projected Score

Projected Score

28

Projected Change

-7.6 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 7.6 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Overvalued

Current Price

$106.14

Model Intrinsic Value

$45.81

Difference

+$60.33

+131.7% vs IV

Margin of Safety

-131.7%

UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Value Reference: $27.49
Deep Discount Reference: $18.33

Financial Charts

Revenue

201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025$0$30.0B$60.0B$90.0B$120.0B

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201520172019202120232025$0$4.0B$8.0B$12.0B$16.0B

Total Debt

201520172019202120232025$0$7.5B$15.0B$22.5B$30.0B

Total Assets

201520172019202120232025$0$20.0B$40.0B$60.0B$80.0B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$89.93B$88.66B$90.89B$90.75B····························
Cost of Revenue$74.97B$72.63B$73.84B$73.04B····························
Gross Profit$14.96B$16.03B$17.06B$17.71B····························
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
SG&A Expenses$0.00$0.00$8.68B$8.34B····························
Operating Expenses$8.38B$8.16B$8.37B$8.34B····························
EBITDA$10.60B$11.93B$11.91B$12.71B····························
Operating Income$6.58B$7.87B$8.69B$9.37B····························
Interest Expense$1.63B$1.01B$861.0M$775.0M····························
Income Before Tax$5.86B$7.16B$7.44B$8.57B····························
Income Tax Expense$1.29B$1.59B$1.66B$1.86B····························
Net Income$4.57B$5.57B$5.78B$6.71B····························
Basic EPS$5.39$6.56$6.76$7.81····························
Basic Shares850M849M855M859M····························
Diluted Shares851M850M856M860M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:A future estimated earnings date is not currently available.
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$22.83B

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$0.71

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

-0.8%

Cash Change

-24.9%

Margin Change

-3.4 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Debt reduced

What Weakened

  • Margins contracted
  • Cash position declined

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, debt levels. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, cash levels, net income margin. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 7.6%. EPS declined 53.0%. Cash declined 24.9%. Total debt declined 0.8%. Net income margin declined by 3.4 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 120 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

47

Smart Money

47

Number of Gurus

2

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Loading data...

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

A dividend is reported, but detailed payment history is temporarily unavailable or awaiting refresh.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

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Historical Trends

4 historical records
Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 26, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 4 records shown
3 historical score records are shown. Start your seven-day free trial to unlock 1 more record and the complete score history.Start Free Trial

Wall Street Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 26, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Debt Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 26, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 26, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Asset Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 26, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Capital Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 26, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Management Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 26, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Moat Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 26, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 26, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 26, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Oct 1, 26Oct 26, 26Oct 27, 26$43.00$44.00$45.00$46.00$47.00

Value Reference

Oct 1, 26Oct 26, 26Oct 27, 26$25.00$26.00$27.00$28.00$29.00

Margin of Safety %

Oct 1, 26Oct 26, 26Oct 27, 26-3.0%-2.0%-1.0%0.0%1.0%

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News

Rumor Mill · UPS

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

Related Stock Research

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Highest Wall Street Score stocksHow Wall Street Score worksHow to analyze a stockUnderstanding financial healthIntrinsic value guide

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