Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.
Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.
Who they are
Two Harbors Investment Corp. (TWO) operates as a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) with a strategic focus on the U. S. mortgage market.
How they make money
Two Harbors Investment Corp. is a mortgage real estate investment trust (REIT) that generates income primarily through the acquisition and management of mortgage servicing rights (MSRs) and residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS). The company utilizes its operational platform, RoundPoint Mortgage Servicing LLC, to service mortgage loans, earning fee income while managing interest rate risk and credit exposure through hedging strategies and financing arrangements.
Products & services
The company focuses on MSR-related investments and residential mortgage-backed securities, providing mortgage servicing operations through its subsidiary, RoundPoint Mortgage Servicing LLC.
Brands & revenue mix
RoundPoint Mortgage Servicing LLC
A wholly-owned subsidiary providing mortgage servicing operations.
Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source
Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.
Product / operating segments
No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.
Geographic revenue
No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.
No quantified customer-concentration disclosure is available in the current saved research.
Suppliers, materials & equipment
Financial institutions and counterparties — Various financial institutions provide repurchase agreements and other financing facilities necessary for the company's investment activities.Source
Strengths
Specialized expertise in MSR and RMBS investment managementSource
Integrated operational platform through RoundPoint Mortgage Servicing LLCSource
Risks
Interest rate volatility affecting MSR and RMBS valuationsSource
Counterparty credit risk in financing and hedging transactionsSource
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
23
Poor
PoorElite
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
28
Poor
Financial Strength
30
Business Quality / Moat
8
Management
18
Growth Quality
73
Risk / Durability
22
Weak Company · Expensive Stock
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Opportunity
Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?
39
Avoid
Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.
View score details →
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
46/100
Building Historical Record
Model Score 46/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.
Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.
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WSS View
The quick read
The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.
At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.
The model outlook is currently cautious.
What we like
No strong positive signal is being highlighted from the currently available summary data.
What to watch
•High debt risk
•Distress / listing headline · Sep 14, 2026
•M&A headline · Aug 25, 2026
•M&A headline · Aug 21, 2026
•Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for TWO
Research inputs 100% complete
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
•Can TWO maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
•How long can TWO fund negative free cash flow using its current cash position before it may need more debt or new shares?
•Is TWO's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
•What specifically needs to improve for TWO to reach sustainable profitability?
•What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify TWO's current valuation?
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
0–100 market signals
Not enough recent price history to calculate these signals.
Notices for TWO
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.
Dividend history reported
Dividend payments are recorded. Review the dates and regular/special classification below; past payments do not guarantee future dividends.
High debt risk
Total debt is at least one year of revenue • Interest coverage is below 2x • Free cash flow is negative • Cash covers less than 20% of total debt
Distress / listing headline · Sep 14, 2026
TWO Announces Intention to Voluntarily Delist and Deregister 9.375% Senior Notes due 2030 from the New York Stock Exchange — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.
TWO Completes Merger with CrossCountry Mortgage — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.
TWO Announces Receipt of Final Regulatory Approval for Merger with CrossCountry Mortgage — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.
+Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
+Specialized expertise in MSR and RMBS investment management.
+Integrated operational platform through RoundPoint Mortgage Servicing LLC.
Potential downside factors
−Debt risk (high): Total debt is at least one year of revenue.
−Interest coverage is below 2x.
−Free cash flow is negative.
−Cash covers less than 20% of total debt.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
Create a free account to make a call.
Scores
Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Very Weak23/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)
Debt
Poor
30
Debt Cost5.7%
Debt Reduction YoY5.8%
Debt / Equity4.79x
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Revenue
Poor
27
Revenue YoY41.7%
Revenue CAGR-2.8%
Net Margin-2.5%
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Asset
Fair
55
Asset Growth YoY-11.0%
Liquidation/Share$16.75
Net Assets/MCap1.73x
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Capital
Poor
11
Earnings Yield-1.7%
Buyback Yield1.6%
Debt Cost5.7%
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Management
Poor
18
ROIC5.4%
ROE-1.2%
ROA-0.2%
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Moat
Poor
8
EPS Growth—
FCF/Share Growth—
Rev/Share Growth52.6%
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Valuation
Poor
0
Intrinsic Value—
Value Reference—
MOS—
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Buffett
Poor
25
Revenue27
Moat8
Valuation0
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MOS
Poor
0
MOS %—
Value Reference—
Deep Discount Reference—
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Financial
Weak
45
Interest Coverage0.8x
ROIC5.4%
FCF Yield-1.2%
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Master
Weak
41
Financial45
Valuation0
Debt30
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Resilience
Poor
36
Survival Years55.9 yrs
Current Ratio0.13x
FCF Margin-2.5%
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Score Changes
2 historical score records available
Previous Score
23
Jul 24, 2026
Change
+0.1
points
Current Score
23
Oct 1, 2026
Category Changes
Revenue+1.9
Debt0
Assets0
Capital0
Management+3.5
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett+0.9
TWO increased 0.1 points because Management improved by 3.5 points.
Positive Contributors
+ Management improved by 3.5 points
Projected Score
Projected Score
27
Projected Change
+4.4 points
Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 4.4 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.
Price vs. Value
Valuation unavailable
Current Price
$12.18
Model Intrinsic Value
—
Difference
—
Margin of Safety
—
Value Reference: —
Deep Discount Reference: —
Intrinsic value is not currently available for this stock, so valuation can't be calculated.
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.
Income StatementBalance SheetCash Flow
AnnualQuarterlyTTM + Annual
All rows
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
Line Item
TTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Revenue
$858.3M
$605.6M
$845.8M
$640.5M
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····
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····
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Cost of Revenue
$188.8M
$12.7M
-$38.5M
$74.1M
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····
····
····
····
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Gross Profit
$669.5M
$592.9M
$884.3M
$566.4M
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····
····
····
····
····
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Research & Development
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
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SG&A Expenses
$118.0M
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
····
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····
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Operating Expenses
$242.2M
$177.1M
-$66.8M
$6.5M
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····
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EBITDA
$318.2M
$45.5M
$952.6M
$559.8M
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····
····
····
····
····
····
Operating Income
$427.4M
$415.8M
$951.1M
$559.8M
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····
····
····
····
····
····
Interest Expense
$407.2M
$490.9M
$607.8M
$643.2M
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····
····
····
····
····
····
Income Before Tax
-$4.9M
-$445.4M
$344.8M
-$83.4M
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····
····
····
····
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Income Tax Expense
$16.8M
$8.9M
$46.6M
$23.0M
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····
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Net Income
-$21.7M
-$454.3M
$298.2M
-$106.4M
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Basic EPS
$-0.73
$-4.36
$2.41
$-1.60
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Basic Shares
105M
104M
104M
95.67M
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····
····
····
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Diluted Shares
107M
104M
113M
95.67M
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····
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Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
Estimated earnings date:A future estimated earnings date is not currently available.
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026
Revenue
$212.6M
Estimate unavailable.
Revenue Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
EPS
$0.46
Estimate unavailable.
EPS Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
Debt Change
-35.0%
Cash Change
-2.3%
Margin Change
+246.3 pp
Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.
Financial Changes Since Prior Period
What Improved
Margins expanded
Debt reduced
What Weakened
Cash position declined
Potential Score Impact
Positive indicators included revenue growth, debt levels, net income margin. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, cash levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.
Stored Earnings Analysis
Revenue increased 78.1%. EPS declined 117.6%. Cash declined 2.3%. Total debt declined 35.0%. Net income margin improved by 246.3 percentage points.
Earnings-Call Transcript
Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.
These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.
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Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.
Dividend HistoryShare
Dividend History
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Predictions & Historical PerformanceShare
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
$———.——
Premium
5 Years
$———.——
Premium
10 Years
$———.——
Premium
Conservative Projection Rate
——%
Premium
Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.
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