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Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 22, 2026
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THCH · Price history
Price at last available close
$1.21
−$0.05 (-3.97%) 1M
2026-10-27
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Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 13, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.
Who they are
TH International Limited manages Tim Hortons coffee establishments across mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macau. By September 28, 2022, the company had expanded its network to include roughly 460 coffee shops throughout the People's Republic of China. This enterprise was founded in 2018, with its corporate headquarters located in Shanghai, People's Republic of China, operating as a division of Tim Hortons Inc.
How they make money
TH International Limited operates as the exclusive master franchisee of the Tim Hortons coffee shop brand in China. The company generates revenue primarily through the direct operation of coffee shops, sales of food and beverage products, and franchise fees collected from sub-franchisees.
Products & services
The company operates a chain of coffee shops offering coffee, tea, baked goods, and sandwiches under the Tim Hortons brand, alongside other proprietary food and beverage offerings.
Brands & revenue mix
Tim Hortons
Licensed brand for coffee shop operations in China.
Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source
Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.
Product / operating segments
No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.
Geographic revenue
No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.
The company's business is retail-focused with no single customer accounting for a significant portion of total revenue as of the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.
Suppliers, materials & equipment
Food and beverage ingredient suppliers — Various third-party suppliers of coffee beans, dairy, and bakery ingredients; specific supplier names are unnamed.Source
Business relationships & partnerships
Tim Hortons — Exclusive master franchise agreement to develop and operate the Tim Hortons brand in China.Source
Competitors
Starbucks — Direct competitor in the coffee and beverage retail market in China.Source
Luckin Coffee — Direct competitor in the coffee and beverage retail market in China.Source
Strengths
Exclusive master franchise rights for Tim Hortons in ChinaSource
Risks
Dependence on the Tim Hortons brand and master franchise agreementSource
Intense competition in the Chinese coffee marketSource
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
14
Poor
PoorElite
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
21
Poor
Financial Strength
13
Business Quality / Moat
33
Management
33
Growth Quality
5
Risk / Durability
16
Weak Company · Expensive Stock
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
Outperformance analysis is not currently available.
WSS View
The quick read
The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.
A current Opportunity Score is not available.
The 12-month model outlook is not currently available.
What we like
No strong positive signal is being highlighted from the currently available summary data.
What to watch
•Severe debt stress
•Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
•Revenue fundamentals are weak
•Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention
•Asset quality is a weaker factor
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for THCH
Research inputs 100% complete
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
•What is driving THCH's revenue decline, and does the latest company filing suggest the weakness is temporary or structural?
•How long can THCH fund negative free cash flow using its current cash position before it may need more debt or new shares?
•Is THCH's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
•What specifically needs to improve for THCH to reach sustainable profitability?
•What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify THCH's current valuation?
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
Volatility = How violently is it moving?
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for THCH
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.
Severe debt stress
Negative shareholder equity • Total debt is at least one year of revenue • Interest coverage is below 2x • Free cash flow is negative • Cash covers less than 20% of total debt
Community Sentiment
0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)
No personal call yet on THCH.
Potential upside factors
+Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
+Exclusive master franchise rights for Tim Hortons in China.
Potential downside factors
−Debt risk (severe): Negative shareholder equity.
−Total debt is at least one year of revenue.
−Interest coverage is below 2x.
−Free cash flow is negative.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
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Scores
Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Very Weak14/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)
Debt
Poor
20
Debt Cost0.8%
Debt Reduction YoY-4.8%
Debt / Equity-1.58x
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Revenue
Poor
20
Revenue YoY-7.1%
Revenue CAGR-9.4%
Net Margin-42.4%
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Asset
Poor
0
Asset Growth YoY-24.7%
Liquidation/Share-$6.47
Net Assets/MCap-4.16x
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Capital
Poor
0
Earnings Yield-221.0%
Buyback Yield0.0%
Debt Cost0.8%
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Management
Poor
33
ROIC-55.8%
ROE35.7%
ROA-49.1%
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Moat
Poor
33
EPS Growth—
FCF/Share Growth—
Rev/Share Growth7.8%
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Valuation
Poor
0
Intrinsic Value—
Value Reference—
MOS—
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Buffett
Poor
19
Revenue20
Moat33
Valuation0
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MOS
Poor
0
MOS %—
Value Reference—
Deep Discount Reference—
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Financial
Poor
12
Interest Coverage-15.2x
ROIC-55.8%
FCF Yield-34.3%
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Master
Poor
17
Financial12
Valuation0
Debt20
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Resilience
Poor
28
Survival Years1.7 yrs
Current Ratio0.33x
FCF Margin-6.1%
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Score Changes
3 historical score records available
Previous Score
14
Oct 1, 2026
Change
Unchanged
Current Score
14
Oct 22, 2026
Category Changes
Revenue0
Debt0
Assets0
Capital0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett0
THCH score was unchanged.
Projected Score
Projected Score
9
Projected Change
-5.2 points
Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 5.2 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.
Price vs. Value
Valuation unavailable
Current Price
$1.21
Model Intrinsic Value
—
Difference
—
Margin of Safety
—
Value Reference: —
Deep Discount Reference: —
Intrinsic value is not currently available for this stock, so valuation can't be calculated.
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.
Income StatementBalance SheetCash Flow
AnnualQuarterlyTTM + Annual
All rows
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
Line Item
TTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Revenue
$177.9M
$191.4M
$208.0M
$233.2M
····
····
····
····
Cost of Revenue
$164.0M
$179.8M
$176.0M
$209.8M
····
····
····
····
Gross Profit
$13.9M
$11.6M
$31.9M
$23.4M
····
····
····
····
Research & Development
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
····
····
····
····
SG&A Expenses
$34.5M
$48.1M
$41.1M
$63.1M
····
····
····
····
Operating Expenses
$53.1M
$48.5M
$75.1M
$104.1M
····
····
····
····
EBITDA
-$51.4M
-$38.9M
-$39.8M
-$98.1M
····
····
····
····
Operating Income
-$39.2M
-$36.9M
-$43.2M
-$80.7M
····
····
····
····
Interest Expense
$2.5M
$2.4M
$3.4M
$3.1M
····
····
····
····
Income Before Tax
-$75.3M
-$63.3M
-$68.5M
-$125.5M
····
····
····
····
Income Tax Expense
$0.00
$70K
$316K
$15K
····
····
····
····
Net Income
-$75.4M
-$63.2M
-$61.6M
-$131.0M
····
····
····
····
Basic EPS
$-2.32
$-1.94
$-1.90
$-4.25
····
····
····
····
Basic Shares
32.52M
32.52M
32.45M
30.84M
····
····
····
····
Diluted Shares
32.52M
32.52M
32.45M
30.84M
····
····
····
····
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.
Financial Changes Since Prior Period
What Weakened
Margins contracted
Cash position declined
Debt increased
Potential Score Impact
Positive indicators included EPS growth. Pressure indicators included revenue growth, cash levels, debt levels, net income margin. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.
Stored Earnings Analysis
Revenue declined 21.9%. EPS increased 28.9%. Cash declined 22.0%. Total debt increased 7.5%. Net income margin declined by 14.0 percentage points.
Earnings-Call Transcript
Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.
These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.
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Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.
Dividend HistoryShare
Dividend History
Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.
Predictions & Historical PerformanceShare
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
$———.——
Premium
5 Years
$———.——
Premium
10 Years
$———.——
Premium
Conservative Projection Rate
——%
Premium
Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.
Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.