Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

TH International Limited

THCHNASDAQ
Wall Street Score · overall investment14/100
$1.21USD+$0.08 (+7.08%)
Company website www.timschina.com
Headquarters2501 Central Plaza, Shanghai, SH, 200003, CN
Financial statement currencyCNY · converted to USD at 0.149493
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 22, 2026

THCH · Price history

Price at last available close

$1.21

−$0.05 (-3.97%) 1M

2026-10-27

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Company & revenue

About TH International Limited

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 13, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

TH International Limited manages Tim Hortons coffee establishments across mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macau. By September 28, 2022, the company had expanded its network to include roughly 460 coffee shops throughout the People's Republic of China. This enterprise was founded in 2018, with its corporate headquarters located in Shanghai, People's Republic of China, operating as a division of Tim Hortons Inc.

How they make money

TH International Limited operates as the exclusive master franchisee of the Tim Hortons coffee shop brand in China. The company generates revenue primarily through the direct operation of coffee shops, sales of food and beverage products, and franchise fees collected from sub-franchisees.

Products & services

The company operates a chain of coffee shops offering coffee, tea, baked goods, and sandwiches under the Tim Hortons brand, alongside other proprietary food and beverage offerings.

Brands & revenue mix

Tim Hortons

Licensed brand for coffee shop operations in China.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.

Product / operating segments

No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

  • Individual retail consumersSource

Customer concentration

The company's business is retail-focused with no single customer accounting for a significant portion of total revenue as of the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Food and beverage ingredient suppliers — Various third-party suppliers of coffee beans, dairy, and bakery ingredients; specific supplier names are unnamed.Source

Business relationships & partnerships

  • Tim Hortons — Exclusive master franchise agreement to develop and operate the Tim Hortons brand in China.Source

Competitors

  • Starbucks — Direct competitor in the coffee and beverage retail market in China.Source
  • Luckin Coffee — Direct competitor in the coffee and beverage retail market in China.Source

Strengths

  • Exclusive master franchise rights for Tim Hortons in ChinaSource

Risks

  • Dependence on the Tim Hortons brand and master franchise agreementSource
  • Intense competition in the Chinese coffee marketSource

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

14

Poor

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

21

Poor

Financial Strength

13

Business Quality / Moat

33

Management

33

Growth Quality

5

Risk / Durability

16

Weak Company · Expensive Stock

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

Outperformance analysis is not currently available.

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.

A current Opportunity Score is not available.

The 12-month model outlook is not currently available.

What we like

No strong positive signal is being highlighted from the currently available summary data.

What to watch
  • •Severe debt stress
  • •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak
  • •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention
  • •Asset quality is a weaker factor

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for THCH

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •What is driving THCH's revenue decline, and does the latest company filing suggest the weakness is temporary or structural?
  • •How long can THCH fund negative free cash flow using its current cash position before it may need more debt or new shares?
  • •Is THCH's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
  • •What specifically needs to improve for THCH to reach sustainable profitability?
  • •What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify THCH's current valuation?
Severe debt stress
Business analysis: 15 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

14

0–100 · Poor

Market Cap

$38.8M

P/E Ratio

-0.5

EPS

$-2.32

52-Week High

$3.25

52-Week Low

$1.00

Beta

0.52

Shares Outstanding

32.5M

Total Revenue

$177.9M

Total Debt

$295.7M

Dividend

No current dividend

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$-6.47

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
50/ 100
+49 pts / 5d

Neutral / mixed momentum

5D +21.0% · 20D -6.9% · RSI 54 · Price vs 20D avg +9.0%
Volatility
87/ 100
-4 pts / 5d

Extreme movement

20D realized vol 105.0% · 60D 99.7% · Acceleration 1.05x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for THCH

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Severe debt stress

Negative shareholder equity • Total debt is at least one year of revenue • Interest coverage is below 2x • Free cash flow is negative • Cash covers less than 20% of total debt

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on THCH.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Exclusive master franchise rights for Tim Hortons in China.

Potential downside factors

  • −Debt risk (severe): Negative shareholder equity.
  • −Total debt is at least one year of revenue.
  • −Interest coverage is below 2x.
  • −Free cash flow is negative.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

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Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Very Weak14/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Poor

14

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

20

Debt Cost0.8%
Debt Reduction YoY-4.8%
Debt / Equity-1.58x

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Poor

20

Revenue YoY-7.1%
Revenue CAGR-9.4%
Net Margin-42.4%

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Poor

0

Asset Growth YoY-24.7%
Liquidation/Share-$6.47
Net Assets/MCap-4.16x

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Poor

0

Earnings Yield-221.0%
Buyback Yield0.0%
Debt Cost0.8%

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Poor

33

ROIC-55.8%
ROE35.7%
ROA-49.1%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

33

EPS Growth—
FCF/Share Growth—
Rev/Share Growth7.8%

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Poor

0

Intrinsic Value—
Value Reference—
MOS—

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Poor

19

Revenue20
Moat33
Valuation0

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Poor

0

MOS %—
Value Reference—
Deep Discount Reference—

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Poor

12

Interest Coverage-15.2x
ROIC-55.8%
FCF Yield-34.3%

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Poor

17

Financial12
Valuation0
Debt20

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

28

Survival Years1.7 yrs
Current Ratio0.33x
FCF Margin-6.1%

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Score Changes

3 historical score records available

Previous Score

14

Oct 1, 2026

Change

Unchanged

Current Score

14

Oct 22, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue0
Debt0
Assets0
Capital0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett0

THCH score was unchanged.

Projected Score

Projected Score

9

Projected Change

-5.2 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 5.2 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Valuation unavailable

Current Price

$1.21

Model Intrinsic Value

—

Difference

—

Margin of Safety

—

Value Reference: —
Deep Discount Reference: —

Intrinsic value is not currently available for this stock, so valuation can't be calculated.

Financial Charts

Revenue

2019202020212022202320242025$0$60M$120M$180M$240M

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

2019202020212022202320242025-$60M-$45M-$30M-$15M$0

Total Debt

2019202020212022202320242025$0$75M$150M$225M$300M

Total Assets

2019202020212022202320242025$0$100M$200M$300M$400M

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019
Revenue$177.9M$191.4M$208.0M$233.2M················
Cost of Revenue$164.0M$179.8M$176.0M$209.8M················
Gross Profit$13.9M$11.6M$31.9M$23.4M················
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00················
SG&A Expenses$34.5M$48.1M$41.1M$63.1M················
Operating Expenses$53.1M$48.5M$75.1M$104.1M················
EBITDA-$51.4M-$38.9M-$39.8M-$98.1M················
Operating Income-$39.2M-$36.9M-$43.2M-$80.7M················
Interest Expense$2.5M$2.4M$3.4M$3.1M················
Income Before Tax-$75.3M-$63.3M-$68.5M-$125.5M················
Income Tax Expense$0.00$70K$316K$15K················
Net Income-$75.4M-$63.2M-$61.6M-$131.0M················
Basic EPS$-2.32$-1.94$-1.90$-4.25················
Basic Shares32.52M32.52M32.45M30.84M················
Diluted Shares32.52M32.52M32.45M30.84M················
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Nov 18, 2026
Estimated EPS: -$0.24Estimated revenue: $46.4M
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$40.8M

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

-$0.45

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

+7.5%

Cash Change

-22.0%

Margin Change

-14.0 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Weakened

  • Margins contracted
  • Cash position declined
  • Debt increased

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included EPS growth. Pressure indicators included revenue growth, cash levels, debt levels, net income margin. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue declined 21.9%. EPS increased 28.9%. Cash declined 22.0%. Total debt increased 7.5%. Net income margin declined by 14.0 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 120 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

Smart Money

Number of Gurus

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Loading data...

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

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Historical Trends

3 historical records
Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 3 records shown

Wall Street Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Debt Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Asset Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Capital Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Management Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Moat Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

No data

Value Reference

No data

Margin of Safety %

No data

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News

Rumor Mill · THCH

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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