Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp.

TFPMNYSE
Wall Street Score · overall investment55/100
$29.66USD+$0.62 (+2.13%)
Company website www.tripleflagpm.com
HeadquartersTD Canada Trust Tower, Toronto, ON, M5J 2S1, CA
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 22, 2026

TFPM · Price history

Price at last available close

$29.66

−$1.17 (-3.80%) 1M

2026-10-27

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Company & revenue

About Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp.

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp., a precious metals streaming and royalty company, engages in acquiring and managing precious metals, streams, royalties, and other mineral interests in Australia, Canada, Colombia, Cote d’Ivoire, Mexico, Mongolia, Peru, South Africa, and the United States. The company has a portfolio of streams and royalties providing exposure to copper, gold, silver, nickel, lead, lithium, and zinc. The company was founded in 2016 and is based in Toronto, Canada.

How they make money

Triple Flag operates as a precious metals streaming and royalty company. It provides upfront capital to mining companies in exchange for contractual rights to purchase a percentage of future metal production at predetermined prices, generating revenue through the sale of these acquired metals to third-party dealers.

Products & services

Precious metals streaming and royalty financing, primarily focused on gold and silver production from mining assets.

Brands & revenue mix

No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.

Product / operating segments

No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.

Geographic revenue

AUSTRALIAUSD 146.03M36.9%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

PERUUSD 93.18M23.6%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

Other Latin AmericaUSD 53.41M13.5%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

Africa And AsiaUSD 49.84M12.6%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

UNITED STATESUSD 29.95M7.6%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

CANADAUSD 16.29M4.1%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.

Customer types

  • Mining companiesSource
  • Financial institutions specializing in precious metals dealingSource

Customer concentration

No quantified customer-concentration disclosure is available in the current saved research.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Financial institutions and third-party metal dealers — Unnamed financial institutions and brokers that facilitate the sale of precious metals credits acquired by the company.Source

Business relationships & partnerships

  • Evolution Mining Limited — Strategic partner and operator of the Northparkes mine, involving a streaming agreement and investment in the E44 gold open pit development.Source
  • Sierra Precious Metals S.A.C. — Operator of the Arcata and Azuca mines, subject to the Sierra Sun silver and gold streaming agreements.Source

Strengths

  • Diversified portfolio of streams and royalties across multiple jurisdictions and operatorsSource
  • Limited exposure to operating and capital costs of underlying mining assetsSource

Risks

  • Dependence on mine operators for production and contractual performanceSource
  • Limited access to underlying properties and operational informationSource

Financial risk observations and what to check

These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-06-30.

Total debt increased 14550.9% versus the same quarter last year.

Compare the added borrowing with available cash, cash generation and maturities. A percentage increase from a small starting balance can look large without measuring the full debt burden.

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

55

Fair

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

69

Fair

Financial Strength

34

Business Quality / Moat

80

Management

97

Growth Quality

84

Risk / Durability

64

Cheap for a Reason · Review the Risks

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

85

Attractive

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

80/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 80/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is mixed across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. Review the category scores to identify what is helping or hurting the result.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as relatively attractive.

The model outlook is currently positive.

What we like
  • •Valuation scores attractively
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention
  • •Asset quality is a weaker factor

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for TFPM

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can TFPM maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •Is TFPM's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Is TFPM's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
  • •Is TFPM's valuation discount tied to a temporary concern or to a longer-term business risk?
  • •What does the current fundamental change risk warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of TFPM's score?
Business analysis: 15 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

55

0–100 · Fair

Opportunity Score

85

0–100 · Excellent

Market Cap

$6.11B

P/E Ratio

14.9

EPS

$2.00

52-Week High

$41.70

52-Week Low

$26.61

Beta

0.31

Intrinsic Value

$77.00

Analyst Target

$39.50

Shares Outstanding

204.1M

Total Revenue

$488.4M

Total Debt

$235.0M

Reported Dividend Yield

0.76%

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$11.18

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
36/ 100
-4 pts / 5d

Weakening momentum

5D -3.4% · 20D -4.5% · RSI 46 · Price vs 20D avg -2.2%
Volatility
20/ 100
-1 pts / 5d

Low movement

20D realized vol 29.4% · 60D 36.5% · Acceleration 0.80x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for TFPM

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Dividend history reported

The provider reports a dividend yield. Confirm the latest declaration before treating it as a current payment.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on TFPM.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Diversified portfolio of streams and royalties across multiple jurisdictions and operators.
  • +Limited exposure to operating and capital costs of underlying mining assets.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Other Precious Metals industry.
  • −Dependence on mine operators for production and contractual performance.
  • −Limited access to underlying properties and operational information.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Fair55/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Fair

55

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

10

Debt Cost168.8%
Debt Reduction YoY-50.3%
Debt / Equity0.00x

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

65

Revenue YoY23.5%
Revenue CAGR39.2%
Net Margin84.3%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

47

Asset Growth YoY19.2%
Liquidation/Share$11.18
Net Assets/MCap0.38x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

29

Earnings Yield6.7%
Buyback Yield0.2%
Debt Cost168.8%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

97

ROIC8.4%
ROE18.0%
ROA16.0%

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

80

EPS Growth39.0%
FCF/Share Growth-19.5%
Rev/Share Growth31.1%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

97

Intrinsic Value$77.00
Value Reference$46.20
MOS61.5%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

59

Revenue65
Moat80
Valuation97

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

MOS %61.5%
Value Reference$46.20
Deep Discount Reference$30.80

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

66

Interest Coverage54.7x
ROIC8.4%
FCF Yield1.5%

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

77

Financial66
Valuation97
Debt10

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

Survival Years5.2 yrs
Current Ratio3.92x
FCF Margin23.5%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

4 historical score records available

Previous Score

55

Oct 1, 2026

Change

Unchanged

Current Score

55

Oct 22, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue+0.2
Debt0
Assets+0.3
Capital+1.0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation+4.4
Buffett+0.6

TFPM score was unchanged.

Positive Contributors

  • + Valuation improved by 4.4 points

Projected Score

Projected Score

57

Projected Change

+2.1 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 2.1 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Undervalued

Current Price

$29.66

Model Intrinsic Value

$77.00

Difference

−$47.34

-61.5% vs IV

Margin of Safety

61.5%

UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Value Reference: $46.20
Deep Discount Reference: $30.80

Financial Charts

Revenue

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025$0$100M$200M$300M$400M

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201620172019202120232025-$110M$0$110M$220M$330M

Total Debt

201620172019202120232025$0$150M$300M$450M$600M

Total Assets

201620172019202120232025$0$550M$1.1B$1.6B$2.2B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$488.4M$395.5M$269.0M$204.0M····························
Cost of Revenue$125.2M$128.3M$38.2M$101.9M····························
Gross Profit$363.1M$267.2M$230.8M$102.1M····························
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$3.4M$4.2M····························
SG&A Expenses$31.8M$32.6M$25.2M$20.1M····························
Operating Expenses$48.7M$32.6M$248.7M$61.1M····························
EBITDA$503.2M$359.3M$94.4M$110.4M····························
Operating Income$314.4M$234.6M-$18.0M$40.9M····························
Interest Expense$2.2M$4.3M$5.6M$7.3M····························
Income Before Tax$446.8M$274.1M-$12.8M$36.4M····························
Income Tax Expense$35.2M$29.9M$10.3M$107K····························
Net Income$411.5M$244.2M-$23.1M$36.3M····························
Basic EPS$2.00$1.20$-0.11$0.18····························
Basic Shares206M204M201M199M····························
Diluted Shares207M204M201M200M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Nov 3, 2026
Estimated EPS: $0.23Estimated revenue: $108.7M
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$129.2M

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$0.76

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

+14550.9%

Cash Change

-81.4%

Margin Change

+61.7 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Margins expanded

What Weakened

  • Cash position declined
  • Debt increased

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth, net income margin. Pressure indicators included cash levels, debt levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 37.3%. EPS increased 171.4%. Cash declined 81.4%. Total debt increased 14550.9%. Net income margin improved by 61.7 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 120 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

Smart Money

Number of Gurus

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Loading data...

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

A dividend is reported, but detailed payment history is temporarily unavailable or awaiting refresh.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

Start 7-Day Free Trial

Historical Trends

4 historical records
Jul 21, 26Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 4 records shown
3 historical score records are shown. Start your seven-day free trial to unlock 1 more record and the complete score history.Start Free Trial

Wall Street Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Debt Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Asset Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Capital Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Management Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Moat Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 26$45.00$54.00$63.00$72.00$81.00

Value Reference

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 26$24.00$30.00$36.00$42.00$48.00

Margin of Safety %

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260.3%0.4%0.5%0.6%0.6%

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MUX

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VOXR

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SBSW

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HL

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News

Rumor Mill · TFPM

Corporate developments & opportunities

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No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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