Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

Smurfit Westrock plc

SWNYSE
Wall Street Score · overall investment29/100
$42.54USD+$0.30 (+0.71%)
Company website www.smurfitwestrock.com
HeadquartersBeech Hill, Dublin, DU, D04 N2R2, IE
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 22, 2026

SW · Price history

Price at last available close

$42.54

−$2.53 (-5.61%) 1M

2026-10-27

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Company & revenue

About Smurfit Westrock plc

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

Smurfit Westrock Plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, distributes, and sells containerboard, corrugated containers, and other paper-based packaging products in North America, South America, Europe, Asia, Africa, Australia, and internationally. The company produces containerboard and paperboard; packaging of corrugated containers; consumer packaging; and offers solid board, kraft paper, and graphic board, as well as other packaging products, such as solidboard packaging, paper sacks and bag-in-box. It produces linerboard and corrugated medium and paperboard; and other paper-based packaging, such as folding cartons, inserts, labels and displays.

How they make money

Smurfit Westrock generates revenue by manufacturing and selling paper-based packaging solutions, including containerboard and corrugated containers. The company operates a vertically integrated business model, managing the entire value chain from the production of paperboard to the conversion into finished packaging products for a diverse range of consumer and industrial sectors.

Products & services

The company produces containerboard, corrugated containers, consumer packaging, solid board, kraft paper, bag-in-box solutions, and graphic board for shelf-ready and point-of-sale displays.

Brands & revenue mix

No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.

Product / operating segments

No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

  • Fast-moving consumer goods sectorSource

Customer concentration

No individual customer accounted for more than 10% of net sales in 2025.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Recycled fiber suppliers — The company sources significant quantities of recovered paper and recycled fiber for its mill operations; specific supplier names are unnamed.Source

Competitors

  • International Paper Company — Competes in the global production of containerboard and corrugated packaging products.Source
  • Packaging Corporation of America — Competes in the North American corrugated packaging and containerboard market.Source

Strengths

  • Vertically integrated global supply chainSource
  • Extensive geographic footprint across 40 countriesSource

Risks

  • Integration risks related to the combination of Smurfit Kappa and WestRockSource
  • Exposure to highly competitive industry segments and pricing volatilitySource

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

29

Poor

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

40

Weak

Financial Strength

37

Business Quality / Moat

55

Management

20

Growth Quality

37

Risk / Durability

59

Weak Company · Expensive Stock

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

33

Avoid

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

43/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 43/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.

The model outlook is currently cautious.

What we like
  • •Asset quality scores strongly
What to watch
  • •Material dilution — approximately 35.2% share-count growth
  • •M&A headline · Sep 23, 2026
  • •M&A headline · Aug 21, 2026
  • •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for SW

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •What is driving SW's revenue decline, and does the latest company filing suggest the weakness is temporary or structural?
  • •Is SW's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Is SW's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
  • •What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify SW's current valuation?
⚠ 3 warningsView warning details
Material dilution — approximately 35.2% share-count growthM&A headline · Sep 23, 2026M&A headline · Aug 21, 2026
Business analysis: 15 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

29

0–100 · Poor

Opportunity Score

33

0–100 · Poor

Market Cap

$22.31B

P/E Ratio

43.6

EPS

$0.95

52-Week High

$52.65

52-Week Low

$32.73

Beta

0.91

Intrinsic Value

$36.57

Analyst Target

$56.00

Shares Outstanding

526.0M

Total Revenue

$30.31B

Total Debt

$14.16B

Reported Dividend Yield

4.14%

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$34.33

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
48/ 100
+23 pts / 5d

Neutral / mixed momentum

5D +3.3% · 20D -4.1% · RSI 62 · Price vs 20D avg +1.7%
Volatility
11/ 100
+0 pts / 5d

Low movement

20D realized vol 19.9% · 60D 30.6% · Acceleration 0.65x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for SW

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Material dilution — approximately 35.2% share-count growth

Diluted shares outstanding grew ~35.2% year-over-year. Substantial dilution reduces per-share value and can signal financing stress. Wall Street Score is capped.

Dividend history reported

The provider reports a dividend yield. Confirm the latest declaration before treating it as a current payment.

M&A headline · Sep 23, 2026

Smurfit Westrock Announces Agreement to Acquire CMPC's Chilean Containerboard and Corrugated Business — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.

Business Wire

M&A headline · Aug 21, 2026

Advisors Preferred LLC Acquires Shares of 75,037 Smurfit Westrock PLC $SW — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.

Defense World

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on SW.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Vertically integrated global supply chain.
  • +Extensive geographic footprint across 40 countries.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Packaging & Containers industry.
  • −Integration risks related to the combination of Smurfit Kappa and WestRock.
  • −Exposure to highly competitive industry segments and pricing volatility.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak29/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Poor

29

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

37

Debt Cost5.2%
Debt Reduction YoY-19.0%
Debt / Equity0.75x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

37

Revenue YoY-2.8%
Revenue CAGR68.7%
Net Margin1.6%

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Elite

92

Asset Growth YoY21.2%
Liquidation/Share$34.33
Net Assets/MCap1.43x

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Poor

10

Earnings Yield2.2%
Buyback Yield0.2%
Debt Cost5.2%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

20

ROIC5.1%
ROE2.7%
ROA1.1%

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Fair

55

EPS Growth5.6%
FCF/Share Growth1024.2%
Rev/Share Growth8.8%

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Poor

4

Intrinsic Value$36.57
Value Reference$21.95
MOS-13.4%

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Weak

42

Revenue37
Moat55
Valuation4

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

MOS %-13.4%
Value Reference$21.95
Deep Discount Reference$14.63

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Poor

17

Interest Coverage2.6x
ROIC5.1%
FCF Yield5.5%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

21

Financial17
Valuation4
Debt37

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Poor

36

Survival Years0.4 yrs
Current Ratio1.48x
FCF Margin3.8%

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Score Changes

3 historical score records available

Previous Score

28

Oct 1, 2026

Change

+0.2

points

Current Score

29

Oct 22, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue+0.7
Debt0
Assets+1.1
Capital0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett+0.3

SW increased 0.2 points because overall fundamentals improved.

Projected Score

Projected Score

25

Projected Change

-3.2 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 3.2 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Overvalued

Current Price

$42.54

Model Intrinsic Value

$36.57

Difference

+$5.97

+16.3% vs IV

Margin of Safety

-16.3%

UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Value Reference: $21.95
Deep Discount Reference: $14.63

Financial Charts

Revenue

201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025$0$8.0B$16.0B$24.0B$32.0B

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201520172019202120232025$0$850M$1.7B$2.5B$3.4B

Total Debt

201520172019202120232025$0$4.5B$9.0B$13.5B$18.0B

Total Assets

201520172019202120232025$0$15.0B$30.0B$45.0B$60.0B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Large reported revenue change: +53.0%

Revenue changed sharply from 2024 to 2025. This can reflect a real business change, acquisition, divestiture, discontinued operations, restatement, or reporting-basis change. Compare the underlying filing before treating it as normal growth or decline.

TTM may combine quarters from before and after the event, so its trend can also be distorted.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$30.31B$31.18B$20.38B$10.95B····························
Cost of Revenue$24.86B$25.14B$16.33B$8.19B····························
Gross Profit$5.45B$6.04B$4.05B$2.77B····························
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
SG&A Expenses$3.69B$3.82B$2.72B$1.50B····························
Operating Expenses$3.81B$3.82B$3.08B$1.52B····························
EBITDA$4.27B$4.35B$2.79B$1.80B····························
Operating Income$1.64B$2.22B$972.1M$1.24B····························
Interest Expense$814.0M$840.0M$507.0M$154.5M····························
Income Before Tax$712.0M$959.0M$540.6M$1.03B····························
Income Tax Expense$226.2M$260.0M$232.6M$282.6M····························
Net Income$487.5M$699.0M$307.9M$747.3M····························
Basic EPS$0.94$1.34$0.80$2.90····························
Basic Shares524M522M386M258M····························
Diluted Shares524M526M389M260M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Nov 4, 2026
Estimated EPS: $0.60Estimated revenue: $8.29B
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$8.03B

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$0.17

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

-1.4%

Cash Change

-13.0%

Margin Change

+1.4 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Margins expanded
  • Debt reduced

What Weakened

  • Cash position declined

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, debt levels, net income margin. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, cash levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 1.1%. EPS declined 417.2%. Cash declined 13.0%. Total debt declined 1.4%. Net income margin improved by 1.4 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 120 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

Smart Money

Number of Gurus

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Loading data...

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

A dividend is reported, but detailed payment history is temporarily unavailable or awaiting refresh.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

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Historical Trends

3 historical records
Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 3 records shown

Wall Street Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Debt Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Asset Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Capital Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Management Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Moat Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 26$36.00$40.00$44.00$48.00$52.00

Value Reference

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 26$21.00$24.00$27.00$30.00$33.00

Margin of Safety %

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 22, 26-0.2%-0.1%0.0%0.1%0.2%

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News

Rumor Mill · SW

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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