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Semtech Corporation

SMTCNASDAQ
Wall Street Score · overall investment34/100
$122.57USD$-18.28 (-12.98%)
Company website www.semtech.com
Headquarters200 Flynn Road, Camarillo, CA, 93012-8790, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Technology · Semiconductors
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 19, 2026

SMTC · Price history

Price at last available close

$122.52

−$55.83 (-31.31%) 1M

2026-10-30

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Company & revenue

About Semtech Corporation

Primary reporting period: 2026-01-25 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

Semtech Corporation is a technology firm specializing in the creation, production, and global distribution of advanced analog and mixed-signal semiconductor components, complemented by sophisticated algorithms. The company's extensive product portfolio begins with signal integrity solutions. These encompass crucial optical data communication and video transport products utilized in various infrastructure and industrial environments.

How they make money

Semtech Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, and markets a wide range of high-performance analog and mixed-signal semiconductor products and advanced algorithms. The company generates revenue primarily through the sale of these products to original equipment manufacturers and distributors, leveraging a global sales force and independent representative firms to reach diverse end markets.

Products & services

High-performance semiconductors and advanced algorithms for data center networking, Internet of Things (IoT) connectivity, and cellular infrastructure.

Brands & revenue mix

No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.

Product / operating segments

Analog Mixed Signal and WirelessUSD 373.44M35.6%

Period ended 2026-01-25Source

IoT Systems And ConnectivityUSD 353.92M33.7%

Period ended 2026-01-25Source

Signal IntegrityUSD 322.61M30.7%

Period ended 2026-01-25Source

Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.

Geographic revenue

Asia PacificUSD 697.60M66.4%

Period ended 2026-01-25Source

North AmericaUSD 231.88M22.1%

Period ended 2026-01-25Source

EuropeUSD 120.50M11.5%

Period ended 2026-01-25Source

Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.

Customer types

Customer concentration

The company discloses that it relies on a limited number of customers for a significant portion of its net sales, which creates a risk that the loss of any major customer could materially impact financial results for the fiscal year ended January 25, 2026.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Contract Manufacturers — The company utilizes third-party contract manufacturers for the assembly and testing of its semiconductor products.Source

Strengths

  • Global sales and distribution networkSource
  • Diverse portfolio of high-performance semiconductor productsSource

Risks

  • Customer concentration and reliance on key customersSource
  • Supply chain disruptions and reliance on third-party manufacturersSource

Financial risk observations and what to check

These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-07-26.

Diluted weighted-average shares increased 16.3% year over year.

Compare per-share results with total earnings and inspect the equity footnote. A change in weighted-average shares does not by itself establish the cause, the number of shares issued today, or the economic effect of a split.

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

34

Poor

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

60

Fair

Financial Strength

78

Business Quality / Moat

32

Management

100

Growth Quality

47

Risk / Durability

19

Weak Company · Expensive Stock

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

34

Avoid

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

43/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 43/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.

The model outlook is currently cautious.

What we like
  • •Balance-sheet / debt profile scores strongly
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak
  • •Asset quality is a weaker factor

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for SMTC

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can SMTC maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •Is SMTC's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Is SMTC's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
  • •What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify SMTC's current valuation?
  • •What does the current fundamental change risk warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of SMTC's score?
Business analysis: 18 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

34

0–100 · Poor

Opportunity Score

34

0–100 · Poor

Market Cap

$11.44B

P/E Ratio

87.5

EPS

$1.66

52-Week High

$201.99

52-Week Low

$60.28

Beta

2.42

Intrinsic Value

$52.36

Analyst Target

$210.00

Shares Outstanding

88.4M

Total Revenue

$1.17B

Total Debt

$525.0M

Dividend

No current dividend

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$8.47

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
13/ 100
-13 pts / 5d

Strong downward momentum

5D -7.2% · 20D -37.1% · RSI 31 · Price vs 20D avg -21.2%
Volatility
86/ 100
+9 pts / 5d

Extreme movement

20D realized vol 97.7% · 60D 95.8% · Acceleration 1.02x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for SMTC

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on SMTC.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Global sales and distribution network.
  • +Diverse portfolio of high-performance semiconductor products.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Semiconductors industry.
  • −Customer concentration and reliance on key customers.
  • −Supply chain disruptions and reliance on third-party manufacturers.
  • −Diluted weighted-average shares increased 16.3% year over year.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak34/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Poor

34

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

84

Debt Cost8.0%
Debt Reduction YoY10.8%
Debt / Equity0.90x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

27

Revenue YoY11.8%
Revenue CAGR9.9%
Net Margin13.1%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

19

Asset Growth YoY-0.6%
Liquidation/Share$8.47
Net Assets/MCap0.08x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

8

Earnings Yield1.1%
Buyback Yield0.5%
Debt Cost8.0%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

ROIC12.5%
ROE20.6%
ROA9.3%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

32

EPS Growth—
FCF/Share Growth41.3%
Rev/Share Growth1.6%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

Intrinsic Value$52.36
Value Reference$31.42
MOS-174.7%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

49

Revenue27
Moat32
Valuation0

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

MOS %-174.7%
Value Reference$31.42
Deep Discount Reference$20.94

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

33

Interest Coverage3.3x
ROIC12.5%
FCF Yield1.2%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

31

Financial33
Valuation0
Debt84

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

55

Survival Years0.7 yrs
Current Ratio2.37x
FCF Margin15.2%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

3 historical score records available

Previous Score

33

Oct 1, 2026

Change

+0.3

points

Current Score

34

Oct 19, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue+0.4
Debt0
Assets+0.6
Capital+2.0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett+0.1

SMTC increased 0.3 points because Capital improved by 2 points.

Positive Contributors

  • + Capital improved by 2 points

Projected Score

Projected Score

37

Projected Change

+3.4 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 3.4 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Overvalued

Current Price

$122.57

Model Intrinsic Value

$52.36

Difference

+$70.21

+134.1% vs IV

Margin of Safety

-134.1%

UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Value Reference: $31.42
Deep Discount Reference: $20.94

Financial Charts

Revenue

201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026$0$300M$600M$900M$1.2B

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201620182020202220242026-$95M$0$95M$190M$285M

Total Debt

201620182020202220242026$0$350M$700M$1.1B$1.4B

Total Assets

201620182020202220242026$0$650M$1.3B$1.9B$2.6B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2026202520242023202220212020201920182017
Revenue$1.17B$1.05B$909.3M$868.8M····························
Cost of Revenue$563.1M$508.4M$453.6M$494.8M····························
Gross Profit$611.1M$541.6M$455.6M$374.0M····························
Research & Development$218.6M$196.3M$170.9M$186.4M····························
SG&A Expenses$243.2M$211.7M$223.1M$221.7M····························
Operating Expenses$461.9M$408.0M$394.0M$408.1M····························
EBITDA$132.2M$65.7M-$44.9M-$851.1M····························
Operating Income$149.2M$133.6M$61.7M-$34.1M····························
Interest Expense$31.9M$40.0M$89.6M$106.0M····························
Income Before Tax$55.1M-$20.6M-$183.9M-$1.04B····························
Income Tax Expense-$94.8M$19.8M-$22.0M$50.5M····························
Net Income$153.9M-$40.4M-$161.9M-$1.09B····························
Basic EPS$1.66$-0.46$-2.26$-17.03····························
Basic Shares93.30M88.40M71.61M64.12M····························
Diluted Shares101M88.40M71.61M64.13M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
Upgrade to Premium

Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Nov 23, 2026
Estimated EPS: $1.11Estimated revenue: $416.7M
Jul 26, 2026Q2FY2027

Revenue

$341.9M

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$1.59

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

+1.2%

Cash Change

+21.1%

Margin Change

+57.3 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Margins expanded
  • Cash position grew

What Weakened

  • Debt increased

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, cash levels, net income margin. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, debt levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 32.7%. EPS declined 612.9%. Cash increased 21.1%. Total debt increased 1.2%. Net income margin improved by 57.3 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 96 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

40

Smart Money

40

Number of Gurus

1

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

Start 7-Day Free Trial

Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

Start 7-Day Free Trial

Historical Trends

3 historical records
Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 19, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 3 records shown

Wall Street Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 19, 260255075100

Debt Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 19, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 19, 260255075100

Asset Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 19, 260255075100

Capital Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 19, 260255075100

Management Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 19, 260255075100

Moat Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 19, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 19, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 19, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 19, 26$50.00$51.00$52.00$53.00$54.00

Value Reference

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 19, 26$29.00$30.00$31.00$32.00$33.00

Margin of Safety %

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 19, 26-3.0%-2.0%-1.0%0.0%1.0%

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News

Rumor Mill · SMTC

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

The reliability percentage measures the strength of the supporting evidence—not the probability that the event will occur or that the stock will rise. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

Related Stock Research

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