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The Simply Good Foods Company

SMPLNASDAQ
Wall Street Score · overall investment38/100
$10.50USD$-0.34 (-3.16%)
Company website www.thesimplygoodfoodscompany.com
Headquarters1225 17th Street, Denver, CO, 80202, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 27, 2026

SMPL · Price history

Price at last available close

$10.49

+$0.88 (+9.16%) 1M

2026-10-29

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Company & revenue

About The Simply Good Foods Company

Primary reporting period: 2025-08-30 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

The Simply Good Foods Company operates as a global purveyor of consumer packaged food and beverage items, with a significant presence across North America and in international markets. Its core business revolves around the creation, promotion, and sale of a diverse portfolio of snacks and meal replacement solutions. The company's extensive product line encompasses protein bars, convenient ready-to-drink shakes, various sweet and savory snack options, cookies, pizzas, protein-enriched chips, culinary recipes, and confectionery.

How they make money

The Simply Good Foods Company operates as a consumer-packaged food and beverage company that develops, markets, and sells nutritious snacking products. It generates revenue primarily through the sale of protein-rich, low-carbohydrate, and low-sugar snacks and meal replacements to retail customers across North America, including grocery, club, mass merchandise, and e-commerce channels.

Products & services

The company's product portfolio includes protein bars, ready-to-drink (RTD) protein shakes, sweet and salty protein snacks, confectionery products, and protein powders marketed under the Quest, Atkins, and OWYN brands.

Brands & revenue mix

Quest

Focuses on protein-rich foods and beverages for consumers limiting sugars and simple carbohydrates.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Atkins

Targets consumers following low-carbohydrate lifestyles or managing weight and blood sugar levels.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

OWYN

Offers plant-based, allergen-tested protein beverages.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.

Product / operating segments

No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.

Geographic revenue

North AmericaUSD 1.42B98.0%

Period ended 2025-08-30Source

InternationalUSD 29.50M2.0%

Period ended 2025-08-30Source

Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.

Customer types

Disclosed major customers

Customer concentration

For the fiscal year ended August 30, 2025, the company reported that sales to one customer, Walmart Inc., accounted for approximately 24% of its total net sales.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Contract Manufacturers — The company utilizes third-party contract manufacturers to produce a significant portion of its product portfolio; specific supplier names are not disclosed.Source

Competitors

  • General Mills, Inc. — Competes in the broader snacking and nutrition bar categories.Source
  • Kellogg Company (Kellanova) — Competes in the snacking and nutrition bar categories.Source
  • Mondelez International, Inc. — Competes in the snacking and confectionery categories.Source
  • Nestlé S.A. — Competes in the nutrition and health-focused food categories.Source
  • PepsiCo, Inc. — Competes in the snacking and beverage categories.Source

Strengths

  • Strong brand portfolio with high consumer recognition in the nutritious snacking category.Source
  • Diversified distribution across major retail and e-commerce channels.Source

Risks

  • Significant reliance on a limited number of contract manufacturers for product production.Source
  • High customer concentration with a significant portion of sales derived from a single retailer.Source
  • Intense competition in the food and beverage industry.Source

Financial risk observations and what to check

These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-05-30.

Quarterly EPS turned negative at -0.58 versus 0.40 a year earlier.

Separate recurring operating losses from noncash or one-time charges, and check cash flow rather than interpreting negative EPS as a cash-outflow amount.

Quarterly net income turned from a profit to a loss versus the same quarter last year.

Identify the causes in the interim report and distinguish operating cash use from accounting charges. Prior profitability is not a guarantee of recovery.

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

38

Poor

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

57

Fair

Financial Strength

64

Business Quality / Moat

65

Management

50

Growth Quality

16

Risk / Durability

89

Weak Company · Expensive Stock

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

32

Avoid

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

43/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 43/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.

The model outlook is currently cautious.

What we like
  • •Balance-sheet / debt profile scores strongly
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for SMPL

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •What is driving SMPL's revenue decline, and does the latest company filing suggest the weakness is temporary or structural?
  • •Is SMPL's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Is SMPL's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
  • •What specifically needs to improve for SMPL to reach sustainable profitability?
  • •What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify SMPL's current valuation?
Business analysis: 17 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

38

0–100 · Weak

Opportunity Score

32

0–100 · Poor

Market Cap

$928.6M

P/E Ratio

-4.6

EPS

$-2.17

52-Week High

$22.00

52-Week Low

$9.38

Beta

0.15

Analyst Target

$14.00

Shares Outstanding

101.5M

Total Revenue

$1.39B

Total Debt

$397.0M

Dividend

No current dividend

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$13.97

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
49/ 100
-25 pts / 5d

Neutral / mixed momentum

5D -5.3% · 20D +6.2% · RSI 53 · Price vs 20D avg +0.3%
Volatility
51/ 100
+30 pts / 5d

Normal movement

20D realized vol 56.3% · 60D 48.0% · Acceleration 1.17x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for SMPL

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on SMPL.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Strong brand portfolio with high consumer recognition in the nutritious snacking category.
  • +Diversified distribution across major retail and e-commerce channels.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Packaged Foods industry.
  • −Significant reliance on a limited number of contract manufacturers for product production.
  • −High customer concentration with a significant portion of sales derived from a single retailer.
  • −Intense competition in the food and beverage industry.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak38/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Poor

38

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

84

Debt Cost7.6%
Debt Reduction YoY30.4%
Debt / Equity0.17x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

22

Revenue YoY-4.0%
Revenue CAGR8.1%
Net Margin-14.3%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

60

Asset Growth YoY-3.5%
Liquidation/Share$13.97
Net Assets/MCap1.87x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

24

Earnings Yield-22.3%
Buyback Yield3.6%
Debt Cost7.6%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

50

ROIC9.9%
ROE-14.0%
ROA-9.6%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

65

EPS Growth1.2%
FCF/Share Growth4.0%
Rev/Share Growth6.3%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

Intrinsic Value—
Value Reference—
MOS—

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Fair

52

Revenue22
Moat65
Valuation0

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

MOS %—
Value Reference—
Deep Discount Reference—

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

35

Interest Coverage9.4x
ROIC9.9%
FCF Yield17.7%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

26

Financial35
Valuation0
Debt84

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

73

Survival Years0.6 yrs
Current Ratio3.64x
FCF Margin10.9%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

6 historical score records available

Previous Score

38

Oct 23, 2026

Change

+0.1

points

Current Score

38

Oct 27, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue+0.4
Debt0
Assets0
Capital+1.0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett+0.1

SMPL increased 0.1 points because overall fundamentals improved.

Projected Score

Projected Score

28

Projected Change

-9.6 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 9.6 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Valuation unavailable

Current Price

$10.50

Model Intrinsic Value

—

Difference

—

Margin of Safety

—

Value Reference: —
Deep Discount Reference: —

Intrinsic value is not currently available for this stock, so valuation can't be calculated.

Financial Charts

Revenue

201520162016201720182019202020212022202320242025$0$400M$800M$1.2B$1.6B

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201520172019202120232025-$75M$0$75M$150M$225M

Total Debt

201620172019202120232025$0$200M$400M$600M$800M

Total Assets

201620172019202120232025$0$650M$1.3B$1.9B$2.6B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$1.39B$1.45B$1.33B$1.24B····························
Cost of Revenue$945.3M$942.1M$836.7M$806.7M····························
Gross Profit$446.9M$508.8M$494.6M$436.0M····························
Research & Development$0.00$5.5M$5.4M$4.3M····························
SG&A Expenses$283.4M$290.2M$268.2M$226.8M····························
Operating Expenses$365.1M$290.2M$273.6M$231.1M····························
EBITDA-$211.1M$182.9M$240.1M$232.7M····························
Operating Income$81.8M$218.6M$221.0M$204.9M····························
Interest Expense$20.0M$23.2M$26.0M$30.1M····························
Income Before Tax-$254.6M$135.9M$186.1M$175.7M····························
Income Tax Expense-$55.9M$32.3M$46.7M$42.1M····························
Net Income-$198.8M$103.6M$139.3M$133.6M····························
Basic EPS$-2.17$1.03$1.39$1.34····························
Basic Shares89.94M101M99.93M99.44M····························
Diluted Shares89.94M102M101M101M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
Upgrade to Premium

Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:A future estimated earnings date is not currently available.
May 30, 2026Q3FY2026

Revenue

$357.0M

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

-$0.58

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

+30.3%

Cash Change

+26.4%

Margin Change

-25.3 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Cash position grew

What Weakened

  • Margins contracted
  • Debt increased

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included cash levels. Pressure indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth, debt levels, net income margin. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue declined 6.3%. EPS declined 245.0%. Cash increased 26.4%. Total debt increased 30.3%. Net income margin declined by 25.3 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Earnings data: 152 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

42

Smart Money

42

Number of Gurus

1

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

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Historical Trends

6 historical records
Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 19, 26Oct 22, 26Oct 23, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 6 records shown
3 historical score records are shown. Start your seven-day free trial to unlock 3 more records and the complete score history.Start Free Trial

Wall Street Score

Oct 22, 26Oct 23, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Debt Score

Oct 22, 26Oct 23, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Oct 22, 26Oct 23, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Asset Score

Oct 22, 26Oct 23, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Capital Score

Oct 22, 26Oct 23, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Management Score

Oct 22, 26Oct 23, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Moat Score

Oct 22, 26Oct 23, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Oct 22, 26Oct 23, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Oct 22, 26Oct 23, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

No data

Value Reference

No data

Margin of Safety %

No data

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News

Rumor Mill · SMPL

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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