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Origin Agritech Limited
Severe listing-compliance risk
The share price is below $1 and the stored reverse-split/listing-risk level is HIGH. No verified reverse-split authorization or announced reverse split is currently recorded. This is a risk signal, not confirmation that Nasdaq has issued a deficiency notice.
SEED · Price history
Price at last available close
$0.75
−$0.04 (-5.64%) 1M
2026-10-30
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Company & revenue
About Origin Agritech Limited
Primary reporting period: 2025-09-30 · Research updated Oct 13, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.
Who they are
Established in 1997 and headquartered in Beijing, China, Origin Agritech Limited is a Chinese firm operating in two primary areas: agricultural biotechnology and an e-commerce platform. Its biotechnology segment focuses on the genetic enhancement and breeding of crop seeds, encompassing the development, production, and distribution of hybrid crop varieties and associated seed technologies. The firm also manages an e-commerce platform that caters to farmers across China, offering a diverse array of goods via online and mobile channels.
How they make money
Origin Agritech generates revenue primarily through the research, development, production, and sale of hybrid corn seeds. The company utilizes its proprietary biotechnology platforms to develop high-yield and stress-resistant seed varieties, which are then processed and distributed to farmers through a network of regional distributors across China.
Products & services
The company provides hybrid corn seeds, including transgenic varieties with traits such as glyphosate tolerance and pest resistance, as well as conventional corn seed products.
Brands & revenue mix
A primary corn seed brand series developed and marketed by the company.
Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source
Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.
Product / operating segments
No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.
Geographic revenue
No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.
Customer concentration
The company relies on a broad network of distributors rather than a single major customer, as disclosed in the fiscal year 2025 reporting period.
Suppliers, materials & equipment
- Seed production and processing facility operators — The company relies on various third-party facilities and its own restored Xinjiang facility for seed processing and production services.Source
Strengths
Sources
Financial risk observations and what to check
These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-03-31.
Quarterly revenue fell 80.6% versus the same quarter last year.
Check comparable business scope and currency, then separate volume, pricing and divestitures. One weaker quarter does not establish that the same decline will continue.
Wall Street Score
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
21
Poor
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
31
Poor
Financial Strength
15
Business Quality / Moat
45
Management
67
Growth Quality
0
Risk / Durability
20
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Opportunity
Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?
24
Avoid
Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.
View score details →
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
26/100
Building Historical Record
Model Score 26/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.
Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.
Click for full breakdown →
Reverse-split / listing-compliance risk: HIGH
This is a risk signal, not a prediction. It is separate from Wall Street Score and does not change the company score. It looks for listing-pressure signals such as prolonged Nasdaq trading below $1, very low share price, micro-cap size, negative free cash flow, and verified recent reverse splits.
Risk indicator: 70/100
WSS View
The quick read
The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.
At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.
The model outlook is currently cautious.
- •Insider activity signal is favorable
- •Elevated debt risk
- •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
- •Revenue fundamentals are weak
- •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention
- •Asset quality is a weaker factor
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for SEED
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
- •What is driving SEED's revenue decline, and does the latest company filing suggest the weakness is temporary or structural?
- •How long can SEED fund negative free cash flow using its current cash position before it may need more debt or new shares?
- •Is SEED's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
- •What specifically needs to improve for SEED to reach sustainable profitability?
- •What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify SEED's current valuation?
Essential Investment Snapshot
Wall Street Score
21
Opportunity Score
24
Market Cap
$10.6M
P/E Ratio
-1.0
EPS
$-0.92
52-Week High
$2.20
52-Week Low
$0.66
Beta
1.56
Shares Outstanding
7.5M
Total Revenue
$6.5M
Total Debt
$4.4M
Dividend
No current dividend
Liquidation Value / Share
$-1.51
Momentum & Volatility Signals
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
Strong downward momentum
Extreme movement
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for SEED
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.Elevated debt risk
Negative shareholder equity • Interest coverage is below 2x • Free cash flow is negative
Community Sentiment
0 active · 0 total callsNo personal call yet on SEED.
Potential upside factors
- +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
- +Extensive corn germplasm resources exceeding 200,000 samples.
- +Proprietary biotechnology and gene editing capabilities.
Potential downside factors
- −Debt risk (elevated): Negative shareholder equity.
- −Interest coverage is below 2x.
- −Free cash flow is negative.
- −Dependence on regulatory approvals for transgenic seed products.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
Create a free account to make a call.
Scores
Click any score for full breakdownWas this stock page easy to understand?
One click helps us improve the research experience. This is not tied to an investment decision.
Score Changes
3 historical score records availablePrevious Score
22
Oct 1, 2026
Change
-1.3
points
Current Score
21
Oct 19, 2026
Category Changes
SEED decreased 1.3 points because Revenue declined by 6.7 points, Asset declined by 6.9 points, Buffett declined by 2.4 points.
Negative Contributors
- − Revenue declined by 6.7 points
- − Asset declined by 6.9 points
- − Buffett declined by 2.4 points
Projected Score
Projected Score
16
Projected Change
-5.0 points
Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 5.0 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.
Price vs. Value
Valuation unavailableCurrent Price
$0.75
Model Intrinsic Value
—
Difference
—
Margin of Safety
—
Intrinsic value is not currently available for this stock, so valuation can't be calculated.
Financial Charts
Revenue
Additional Metrics
Operating Cash Flow
Total Debt
Total Assets
Net Margin %
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
| Line Item | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $6.5M | $13.6M | $16.9M | $13.9M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Cost of Revenue | $6.2M | $12.7M | $14.5M | $11.4M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Gross Profit | $366K | $955K | $2.4M | $2.6M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Research & Development | $1.3M | $1.9M | $1.5M | $1.1M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| SG&A Expenses | $3.8M | $7.0M | $6.3M | $3.4M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Operating Expenses | $4.7M | $9.0M | $7.9M | $4.8M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| EBITDA | -$3.8M | -$7.8M | $3.4M | $10.1M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Operating Income | -$5.6M | -$8.0M | -$5.5M | -$2.2M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Interest Expense | $496K | $410K | $226K | $147K | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Income Before Tax | -$6.4M | -$8.7M | $2.8M | $9.4M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Income Tax Expense | -$46K | -$44K | $9K | $24K | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Net Income | -$4.0M | -$8.0M | $3.1M | $8.3M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Basic EPS | $-0.92 | $-1.05 | $0.48 | $1.26 | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Basic Shares | 7.49M | 7.49M | 6.47M | 6.56M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Diluted Shares | 7.49M | 7.49M | 6.47M | 6.56M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
Earnings Summary
Revenue
$1.0M
Estimate unavailable.
Revenue Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
EPS
-$0.04
Estimate unavailable.
EPS Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
Debt Change
+34.0%
Cash Change
+457.1%
Margin Change
+6.2 pp
Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.
Financial Changes Since Prior Period
What Improved
- Margins expanded
- Cash position grew
What Weakened
- Debt increased
Potential Score Impact
Positive indicators included cash levels, net income margin. Pressure indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth, debt levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.
Stored Earnings Analysis
Revenue declined 80.6%. EPS declined 84.8%. Cash increased 457.1%. Total debt increased 34.0%. Net income margin improved by 6.2 percentage points.
Earnings-Call Transcript
Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.
These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.
Insider Activity
Guru / Smart Money
Guru Score
Smart Money
Number of Gurus
Total Guru Value
Avg Portfolio Weight
Largest Holder
Largest Holder %
New Positions
Increased Positions
Reduced Positions
Exited Positions
Net Guru Sentiment
Short Interest
Dividend History
Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
$———.——
5 Years
$———.——
10 Years
$———.——
Conservative Projection Rate
——%
Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.
Start 7-Day Free TrialHistorical Outperformance Record
Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.
Start 7-Day Free TrialHistorical Trends
3 historical recordsHistorical Score Chart
3 of 3 records shownWall Street Score
Debt Score
Revenue Score
Asset Score
Capital Score
Management Score
Moat Score
Valuation Score
Buffett Score
Intrinsic Value
Value Reference
Margin of Safety %
Related Companies
Agricultural InputsNews
A Letter to Shareholders from Weibin Yan, Chief Executive Officer of Origin Agritech
Origin Agritech Announces Strategic Provincial Distribution Agreement for Corn Seeds in Shandong Province and Receives RMB 2.9 Million in Initial Payments
Origin Launches Stress-Tolerant Corn Breeding for Southwest China Markets, with Supports from Guizhou State Entities
Origin Agritech Receives Full US$2.8 Million from Previously Announced Private Placement at US$1.40 Per Share
Rumor Mill · SEED
Corporate developments & opportunities
No reviewed developments match this filter.
The reliability percentage measures the strength of the supporting evidence—not the probability that the event will occur or that the stock will rise. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.
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