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RXO, Inc.
RXO · Price history
Price at last available close
$27.66
+$7.20 (+35.19%) 1M
2026-10-30
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Company & revenue
About RXO, Inc.
Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.
Who they are
RXO, Inc., headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina, functions as a freight broker specializing in full truckload transportation services across the United States. The company utilizes its unique digital marketplace to link clients with available truckload space. Beyond this core offering, RXO also provides a suite of related brokered services, including comprehensive managed logistics, local last-mile delivery, and international freight forwarding.
How they make money
RXO operates a brokered transportation platform using an asset-light business model. The company generates revenue by connecting shippers with independent carriers to move freight, pricing these services on either a contract or spot basis, and leveraging proprietary technology to optimize capacity and efficiency.
Products & services
Truck brokerage, managed transportation, and last mile delivery services for heavy goods.
Brands & revenue mix
Proprietary digital brokerage platform.
Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source
Application for carriers to access freight.
Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source
Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.
Product / operating segments
No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.
Geographic revenue
No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.
Customer types
Customer concentration
In 2025, the top 20 customers accounted for approximately 37% of revenue, and the top five customers accounted for approximately 23% of revenue.
Suppliers, materials & equipment
- Independent carriers — Independent third-party trucking companies that provide the physical capacity to transport freight for RXO's customers.Source
Strengths
Sources
Wall Street Score
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
21
Poor
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
26
Poor
Financial Strength
40
Business Quality / Moat
27
Management
0
Growth Quality
34
Risk / Durability
20
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Opportunity
Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?
27
Avoid
Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.
View score details →
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
34/100
Building Historical Record
Model Score 34/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.
Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.
Click for full breakdown →
WSS View
The quick read
The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.
At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.
The model outlook is currently cautious.
- •Recent buyback activity is present
- •Material dilution — approximately 26.3% share-count growth
- •Elevated debt risk
- •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
- •Revenue fundamentals are weak
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for RXO
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
- •Can RXO maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
- •How long can RXO fund negative free cash flow using its current cash position before it may need more debt or new shares?
- •Is RXO's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
- •What specifically needs to improve for RXO to reach sustainable profitability?
- •What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify RXO's current valuation?
Essential Investment Snapshot
Wall Street Score
21
Opportunity Score
27
Market Cap
$4.57B
P/E Ratio
-46.8
EPS
$-0.61
52-Week High
$29.90
52-Week Low
$10.43
Beta
1.99
Analyst Target
$30.00
Shares Outstanding
168.5M
Total Revenue
$6.09B
Total Debt
$728.0M
Dividend
No current dividend
Liquidation Value / Share
$8.94
Momentum & Volatility Signals
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
Building upward momentum
Elevated movement
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for RXO
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.Material dilution — approximately 26.3% share-count growth
Diluted shares outstanding grew ~26.3% year-over-year. Substantial dilution reduces per-share value and can signal financing stress. Wall Street Score is capped.
Historical repurchase activity
Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.
Elevated debt risk
Interest coverage is below 2x • Free cash flow is negative • Cash covers less than 20% of total debt
Community Sentiment
0 active · 0 total callsNo personal call yet on RXO.
Potential upside factors
- +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
- +Proprietary digital brokerage technology platform.
- +Asset-light business model with high return on invested capital.
Potential downside factors
- −Debt risk (elevated): Interest coverage is below 2x.
- −Free cash flow is negative.
- −Cash covers less than 20% of total debt.
- −Dependence on independent carriers for freight capacity.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
Create a free account to make a call.
Scores
Click any score for full breakdownWas this stock page easy to understand?
One click helps us improve the research experience. This is not tied to an investment decision.
Score Changes
3 historical score records availablePrevious Score
23
Oct 1, 2026
Change
-1.1
points
Current Score
21
Oct 19, 2026
Category Changes
RXO decreased 1.1 points because Revenue declined by 4.6 points, Asset declined by 6.7 points, Buffett declined by 2 points.
Negative Contributors
- − Revenue declined by 4.6 points
- − Asset declined by 6.7 points
- − Buffett declined by 2 points
Projected Score
Projected Score
19
Projected Change
-2.8 points
Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 2.8 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.
Price vs. Value
Valuation unavailableCurrent Price
$27.68
Model Intrinsic Value
—
Difference
—
Margin of Safety
—
Intrinsic value is not currently available for this stock, so valuation can't be calculated.
Financial Charts
Revenue
Additional Metrics
Operating Cash Flow
Total Debt
Total Assets
Net Margin %
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
| Line Item | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $6.09B | $5.74B | $4.55B | $3.93B | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Cost of Revenue | $5.26B | $4.92B | $3.85B | $3.27B | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Gross Profit | $828.0M | $825.0M | $696.0M | $658.0M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Research & Development | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| SG&A Expenses | $816.0M | $832.0M | $666.0M | $591.0M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Operating Expenses | $853.0M | $832.0M | $666.0M | $591.0M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| EBITDA | $19.0M | $36.0M | -$187.0M | $103.0M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Operating Income | -$25.0M | -$7.0M | $30.0M | $67.0M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Interest Expense | $36.0M | $35.0M | $30.0M | $32.0M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Income Before Tax | -$123.0M | -$115.0M | -$304.0M | $4.0M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Income Tax Expense | -$18.0M | -$15.0M | -$14.0M | $0.00 | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Net Income | -$105.0M | -$100.0M | -$290.0M | $4.0M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Basic EPS | $-0.61 | $-0.59 | $-2.17 | $0.03 | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Basic Shares | 170M | 168M | 133M | 117M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
| Diluted Shares | 170M | 168M | 133M | 119M | ···· | ···· | ···· | ···· |
Earnings Summary
Revenue
$1.77B
Estimate unavailable.
Revenue Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
EPS
-$0.05
Estimate unavailable.
EPS Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
Debt Change
+7.2%
Cash Change
-16.7%
Margin Change
+0.1 pp
Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.
Financial Changes Since Prior Period
What Improved
- Margins expanded
What Weakened
- Cash position declined
- Debt increased
Potential Score Impact
Positive indicators included revenue growth, net income margin. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, cash levels, debt levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.
Stored Earnings Analysis
Revenue increased 25.0%. EPS declined 6.4%. Cash declined 16.7%. Total debt increased 7.2%. Net income margin improved by 0.1 percentage points.
Earnings-Call Transcript
Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.
These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.
Insider Activity
Guru / Smart Money
Guru Score
37
Smart Money
37
Number of Gurus
3
Total Guru Value
Avg Portfolio Weight
Largest Holder
Largest Holder %
New Positions
Increased Positions
Reduced Positions
Exited Positions
Net Guru Sentiment
Short Interest
Dividend History
Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
$———.——
5 Years
$———.——
10 Years
$———.——
Conservative Projection Rate
——%
Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.
Start 7-Day Free TrialHistorical Outperformance Record
Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.
Start 7-Day Free TrialHistorical Trends
3 historical recordsHistorical Score Chart
3 of 3 records shownWall Street Score
Debt Score
Revenue Score
Asset Score
Capital Score
Management Score
Moat Score
Valuation Score
Buffett Score
Intrinsic Value
Value Reference
Margin of Safety %
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Rumor Mill · RXO
Corporate developments & opportunities
No reviewed developments match this filter.
The reliability percentage measures the strength of the supporting evidence—not the probability that the event will occur or that the stock will rise. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.
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