Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

RKLBNASDAQ
Wall Street Score · overall investment33/100
$58.60USD+$0.29 (+0.50%)
Company website rocketlabcorp.com
Headquarters3881 McGowen Street, Long Beach, CA, 90808, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 15, 2026

RKLB · Price history

Price at last available close

$58.60

−$11.10 (-15.93%) 1M

2026-10-28

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Company & revenue

About Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

Headquartered in Long Beach, California, Rocket Lab USA, Inc. is a prominent aerospace firm established in 2006. This company delivers a comprehensive suite of space-related services and hardware, primarily catering to the space and defense industries. Their operations encompass orbital launch capabilities, advanced spacecraft engineering and construction, production of various spacecraft components, and sophisticated on-orbit management services, including full constellation management.

How they make money

Rocket Lab operates an end-to-end space business model, generating revenue through the provision of launch services using its Electron and HASTE rockets, as well as the design, manufacture, and sale of spacecraft, satellite components, and on-orbit mission management services for commercial and government clients.

Products & services

Launch services, spacecraft design and manufacturing, satellite components (including solar power, reaction wheels, and radios), and on-orbit constellation management.

Brands & revenue mix

Electron

Small orbital launch vehicle.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

HASTE

Hypersonic test launch vehicle.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Neutron

Medium-lift launch vehicle in development.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.

Product / operating segments

No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

  • Government agenciesSource
  • Commercial spacecraft operatorsSource

Disclosed major customers

Customer concentration

The company discloses that it serves government and commercial customers, but does not explicitly quantify a specific percentage of revenue concentration by customer in the 2025 10-K.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Aerospace component and raw material suppliers — The company relies on various third-party suppliers for raw materials and specialized components used in the manufacturing of launch vehicles and spacecraft; specific supplier names are not disclosed.Source

Strengths

  • Vertically integrated end-to-end space systems capabilitiesSource
  • Established track record of mission success with the Electron launch vehicleSource

Risks

  • Dependence on a limited number of launch sites and regulatory approvalsSource
  • Risks associated with the development and testing of the Neutron launch vehicleSource

Financial risk observations and what to check

These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-06-30.

Diluted weighted-average shares increased 22.2% year over year.

Compare per-share results with total earnings and inspect the equity footnote. A change in weighted-average shares does not by itself establish the cause, the number of shares issued today, or the economic effect of a split.

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

33

Poor

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

59

Fair

Financial Strength

31

Business Quality / Moat

100

Management

40

Growth Quality

96

Risk / Durability

23

Weak Company · Expensive Stock

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

42

Avoid

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

58/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 58/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.

The model outlook is currently moderate.

What we like

No strong positive signal is being highlighted from the currently available summary data.

What to watch
  • •Debt service risk
  • •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak
  • •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for RKLB

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can RKLB maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •How long can RKLB fund negative free cash flow using its current cash position before it may need more debt or new shares?
  • •How is RKLB likely to use its cash advantage: reinvestment, acquisitions, debt reduction, dividends or buybacks?
  • •What specifically needs to improve for RKLB to reach sustainable profitability?
  • •What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify RKLB's current valuation?
Debt service risk
Business analysis: 16 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

33

0–100 · Poor

Opportunity Score

42

0–100 · Weak

Market Cap

$35.07B

P/E Ratio

-213.7

EPS

$-0.28

52-Week High

$151.00

52-Week Low

$37.57

Beta

2.61

Analyst Target

$107.00

Shares Outstanding

530.7M

Total Revenue

$769.1M

Total Debt

$133.7M

Dividend

No current dividend

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$6.58

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
31/ 100
+22 pts / 5d

Weakening momentum

5D +9.2% · 20D -15.9% · RSI 34 · Price vs 20D avg -4.5%
Volatility
67/ 100
+10 pts / 5d

Elevated movement

20D realized vol 72.2% · 60D 59.9% · Acceleration 1.21x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for RKLB

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Debt service risk

Interest coverage is low (~-8.6x). Earnings may be strained to cover interest expense.

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on RKLB.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Vertically integrated end-to-end space systems capabilities.
  • +Established track record of mission success with the Electron launch vehicle.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Aerospace & Defense industry.
  • −Dependence on a limited number of launch sites and regulatory approvals.
  • −Risks associated with the development and testing of the Neutron launch vehicle.
  • −Diluted weighted-average shares increased 22.2% year over year.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak33/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Poor

33

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

47

Debt Cost10.4%
Debt Reduction YoY45.8%
Debt / Equity0.15x

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

40

Revenue YoY27.8%
Revenue CAGR56.9%
Net Margin-21.5%

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Fair

64

Asset Growth YoY96.3%
Liquidation/Share$6.58
Net Assets/MCap0.11x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

Earnings Yield-0.5%
Buyback Yield0.0%
Debt Cost10.4%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

40

ROIC-15.3%
ROE-4.7%
ROA-4.0%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

EPS Growth—
FCF/Share Growth—
Rev/Share Growth45.1%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

Intrinsic Value—
Value Reference—
MOS—

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

50

Revenue40
Moat100
Valuation0

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

MOS %—
Value Reference—
Deep Discount Reference—

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

25

Interest Coverage-8.6x
ROIC-15.3%
FCF Yield-0.9%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

36

Financial25
Valuation0
Debt47

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

30

Survival Years3.2 yrs
Current Ratio4.08x
FCF Margin-53.5%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

3 historical score records available

Previous Score

33

Oct 1, 2026

Change

Unchanged

Current Score

33

Oct 15, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue0
Debt0
Assets+0.4
Capital0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett0

RKLB score was unchanged.

Projected Score

Projected Score

38

Projected Change

+4.8 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 4.8 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Valuation unavailable

Current Price

$58.60

Model Intrinsic Value

—

Difference

—

Margin of Safety

—

Value Reference: —
Deep Discount Reference: —

Intrinsic value is not currently available for this stock, so valuation can't be calculated.

Financial Charts

Revenue

2019202020212022202320242025$0$200M$400M$600M$800M

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

2019202020212022202320242025-$180M-$135M-$90M-$45M$0

Total Debt

2019202020212022202320242025$0$150M$300M$450M$600M

Total Assets

2019202020212022202320242025$0$600M$1.2B$1.8B$2.4B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019
Revenue$769.1M$601.8M$436.2M$244.6M················
Cost of Revenue$482.5M$394.6M$320.1M$193.2M················
Gross Profit$286.6M$207.2M$116.1M$51.4M················
Research & Development$312.4M$270.7M$174.4M$119.1M················
SG&A Expenses$197.7M$165.3M$131.6M$110.3M················
Operating Expenses$510.1M$436.0M$305.9M$229.3M················
EBITDA-$122.0M-$155.5M-$151.8M-$144.9M················
Operating Income-$223.5M-$228.8M-$189.8M-$177.9M················
Interest Expense$7.5M$26.5M$4.0M$4.2M················
Income Before Tax-$191.7M-$225.9M-$189.4M-$178.9M················
Income Tax Expense-$26.3M-$27.7M$764K$3.6M················
Net Income-$165.5M-$198.2M-$190.2M-$182.6M················
Basic EPS$-0.28$-0.37$-0.38$-0.38················
Basic Shares630M531M496M482M················
Diluted Shares630M531M496M482M················
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Nov 9, 2026
Estimated EPS: -$0.02Estimated revenue: $257.2M
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$234.1M

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

-$0.08

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

-73.2%

Cash Change

+277.5%

Margin Change

+24.9 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Margins expanded
  • Cash position grew
  • Debt reduced

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, cash levels, debt levels, net income margin. Pressure indicators included EPS growth. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 62.0%. EPS declined 38.5%. Cash increased 277.5%. Total debt declined 73.2%. Net income margin improved by 24.9 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 121 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

Smart Money

Number of Gurus

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Loading data...

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

Start 7-Day Free Trial

Historical Trends

3 historical records
Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 3 records shown

Wall Street Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 260255075100

Debt Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 260255075100

Asset Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 260255075100

Capital Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 260255075100

Management Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 260255075100

Moat Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

No data

Value Reference

No data

Margin of Safety %

No data

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News

Rumor Mill · RKLB

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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