Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

Rio Tinto Group

RIONYSE
Wall Street Score · overall investment62/100
$85.93USD+$0.19 (+0.22%)
Company website www.riotinto.com
Headquarters6 St James's Square, London, GL, SW1Y 4AD, GB
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Basic Materials · Industrial Materials
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 15, 2026

RIO · Price history

Price at last available close

$85.93

−$8.23 (-8.74%) 1M

2026-10-28

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Company & revenue

About Rio Tinto Group

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 5, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

Rio Tinto Group engages in exploring, mining, and processing mineral resources worldwide. The company operates through Iron Ore; Aluminium and lithium; and Copper segments. The Iron Ore segment engages in the iron ore mining, and salt and gypsum production in Western Australia.

How they make money

Rio Tinto is a global mining and metals company that finds, mines, and processes mineral resources. It generates revenue primarily through the extraction and sale of commodities including iron ore, aluminium, copper, and lithium to industrial customers worldwide.

Products & services

The company produces iron ore, aluminium (including bauxite and alumina), copper, lithium, and other minerals such as borates and titanium dioxide.

Brands & revenue mix

Rio Tinto Iron Ore

Primary iron ore business unit.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.

Product / operating segments

Iron oreUSD 28.53B49.4%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

Aluminium, alumina and bauxiteUSD 15.24B26.4%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

CopperUSD 6.30B10.9%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

Industrial mineralsUSD 2.37B4.1%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

Other products and freight servicesUSD 1.96B3.4%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

GoldUSD 1.88B3.3%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

LithiumUSD 944.00M1.6%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

Other revenueUSD 398.00M0.7%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

Customer concentration

The company discloses revenue by destination, with Greater China representing the largest geographic market, but does not name specific major customers in its 2025 annual report.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Energy and logistics service providers — The company relies on various unnamed third-party providers for freight, energy, and infrastructure services to support mining operations.Source

Business relationships & partnerships

  • China Baowu Steel Group Co. Ltd — Joint venture partner for the Western Range iron ore project in Western Australia.Source
  • Government of Mongolia — Joint venture partner in the Oyu Tolgoi copper mine project.Source
  • Australian Literacy and Numeracy Foundation (ALNF) — A three-year partnership to support First Nations communities.Source

Competitors

  • BHP Group — Global diversified mining company competing in iron ore, copper, and other mineral markets.Source
  • Vale S.A. — Major global producer of iron ore and nickel.Source
  • Anglo American — Diversified mining company with operations in copper, iron ore, and other commodities.Source

Strengths

  • High-quality, long-life asset portfolioSource
  • Strong balance sheet and cash flow generationSource

Risks

  • Commodity price volatilitySource
  • Geopolitical and regulatory risks in operating jurisdictionsSource
  • Operational risks including safety and environmental incidentsSource

Financial risk observations and what to check

These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-06-30.

Total debt increased 59.8% versus the same quarter last year.

Compare the added borrowing with available cash, cash generation and maturities. A percentage increase from a small starting balance can look large without measuring the full debt burden.

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

62

Fair

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

60

Fair

Financial Strength

53

Business Quality / Moat

33

Management

95

Growth Quality

47

Risk / Durability

98

Cheap for a Reason · Review the Risks

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

76

Fair

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

70/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 70/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is mixed across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. Review the category scores to identify what is helping or hurting the result.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as relatively attractive.

The model outlook is currently moderate.

What we like
  • •Valuation scores attractively
What to watch
  • •M&A headline · Sep 8, 2026
  • •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for RIO

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can RIO maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •Is RIO's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Is RIO's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
  • •Is RIO's valuation discount tied to a temporary concern or to a longer-term business risk?
  • •What does the current fundamental change risk warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of RIO's score?
M&A headline · Sep 8, 2026
Business analysis: 24 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

62

0–100 · Fair

Opportunity Score

76

0–100 · Strong

Market Cap

$139.76B

P/E Ratio

6.6

EPS

$13.78

52-Week High

$112.58

52-Week Low

$67.39

Beta

0.66

Intrinsic Value

$153.34

Analyst Target

$101.50

Shares Outstanding

1.64B

Total Revenue

$115.63B

Total Debt

$22.85B

Reported Dividend Yield

4.15%

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$43.77

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
26/ 100
+2 pts / 5d

Strong downward momentum

5D -1.1% · 20D -8.8% · RSI 26 · Price vs 20D avg -4.9%
Volatility
18/ 100
+8 pts / 5d

Low movement

20D realized vol 23.7% · 60D 25.5% · Acceleration 0.93x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for RIO

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Dividend history reported

The provider reports a dividend yield. Confirm the latest declaration before treating it as a current payment.

M&A headline · Sep 8, 2026

Rio Tinto to acquire Aurukun bauxite project from Glencore, Mitsubishi Development — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.

Reuters

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on RIO.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +High-quality, long-life asset portfolio.
  • +Strong balance sheet and cash flow generation.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Industrial Materials industry.
  • −Commodity price volatility.
  • −Geopolitical and regulatory risks in operating jurisdictions.
  • −Operational risks including safety and environmental incidents.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Fair62/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Fair

62

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

39

Debt Cost4.5%
Debt Reduction YoY-69.7%
Debt / Equity0.38x

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

53

Revenue YoY100.1%
Revenue CAGR3.4%
Net Margin19.3%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

68

Asset Growth YoY24.6%
Liquidation/Share$43.77
Net Assets/MCap0.75x

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

67

Earnings Yield15.0%
Buyback Yield0.0%
Debt Cost4.5%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

95

ROIC13.2%
ROE34.1%
ROA16.7%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

33

EPS Growth-6.0%
FCF/Share Growth-10.9%
Rev/Share Growth5.2%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

Intrinsic Value$153.34
Value Reference$92.00
MOS45.6%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

60

Revenue53
Moat33
Valuation100

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

MOS %45.6%
Value Reference$92.00
Deep Discount Reference$61.34

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

62

Interest Coverage14.0x
ROIC13.2%
FCF Yield3.2%

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

79

Financial62
Valuation100
Debt39

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

79

Survival Years9.3 yrs
Current Ratio1.44x
FCF Margin8.3%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

3 historical score records available

Previous Score

62

Oct 1, 2026

Change

Unchanged

Current Score

62

Oct 15, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue+0.1
Debt0
Assets+0.2
Capital0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation+0
Buffett0

RIO score was unchanged.

Projected Score

Projected Score

69

Projected Change

+7.2 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 7.2 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Undervalued

Current Price

$85.93

Model Intrinsic Value

$153.34

Difference

−$67.41

-44.0% vs IV

Margin of Safety

44.0%

UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Value Reference: $92.00
Deep Discount Reference: $61.34

Financial Charts

Revenue

201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025$0$20.0B$40.0B$60.0B$80.0B

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201520172019202120232025$0$6.5B$13.0B$19.5B$26.0B

Total Debt

201520172019202120232025$0$6.5B$13.0B$19.5B$26.0B

Total Assets

201520172019202120232025$0$35.0B$70.0B$105.0B$140.0B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$115.63B$57.77B$53.66B$54.04B····························
Cost of Revenue$84.92B$41.43B$23.38B$36.74B····························
Gross Profit$30.71B$16.21B$30.28B$17.30B····························
Research & Development$922.0M$0.00$398.0M$245.0M····························
SG&A Expenses$1.29B$2.75B$2.94B$8.08B····························
Operating Expenses$1.35B$1.27B$14.63B$2.48B····························
EBITDA$44.32B$20.33B$19.91B$19.42B····························
Operating Income$30.63B$14.94B$15.65B$14.82B····························
Interest Expense$1.87B$1.06B$1.63B$1.96B····························
Income Before Tax$31.33B$14.60B$15.62B$13.79B····························
Income Tax Expense$8.25B$4.33B$4.04B$3.83B····························
Net Income$22.33B$9.99B$11.55B$10.06B····························
Basic EPS$13.78$6.15$7.12$6.20····························
Basic Shares1.63B1.62B1.62B1.62B····························
Diluted Shares1.64B1.64B1.63B1.63B····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
Upgrade to Premium

Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Feb 24, 2027
Estimated EPS: $3.80Estimated revenue: $31.97B
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$31.02B

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$4.06

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

-3.3%

Cash Change

-1.1%

Margin Change

+4.6 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Margins expanded
  • Debt reduced

What Weakened

  • Cash position declined

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth, debt levels, net income margin. Pressure indicators included cash levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 14.5%. EPS increased 45.5%. Cash declined 1.1%. Total debt declined 3.3%. Net income margin improved by 4.6 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 121 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

41

Smart Money

41

Number of Gurus

1

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

A dividend is reported, but detailed payment history is temporarily unavailable or awaiting refresh.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

Start 7-Day Free Trial

Historical Trends

3 historical records
Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 3 records shown

Wall Street Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 260255075100

Debt Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 260255075100

Asset Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 260255075100

Capital Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 260255075100

Management Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 260255075100

Moat Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 26$60.00$90.00$120.00$150.00$180.00

Value Reference

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 26$40.00$60.00$80.00$100.00$120.00

Margin of Safety %

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 26-0.5%-0.3%0.0%0.3%0.5%

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News

Rumor Mill · RIO

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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