Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

Provident Financial Holdings, Inc.

PROVNASDAQ
Wall Street Score · overall investment33/100
$18.20USD+$0.00 (+0.00%)
Company website www.myprovident.com
Headquarters3756 Central Avenue, Riverside, CA, 92506, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Financial Services · Banks - Regional
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 27, 2026

PROV · Price history

Price at last available close

$18.20

−$0.07 (-0.38%) 1M

2026-10-28

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Company & revenue

About Provident Financial Holdings, Inc.

Primary reporting period: 2026-06-30 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Provident Savings Bank, F. S. B.

How they make money

Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. operates as a savings and loan holding company for Provident Savings Bank, F.S.B. The company generates revenue primarily through net interest income earned on loans, such as residential and commercial real estate mortgages, and through non-interest income derived from service charges, fees, and trustee services provided to consumers and small to mid-sized businesses.

Products & services

Community banking services including deposit accounts, single-family and multi-family residential mortgage lending, commercial real estate lending, and trustee services.

Brands & revenue mix

Provident Savings Bank, F.S.B.

The primary operating subsidiary through which the company conducts its banking business.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.

Product / operating segments

No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

Customer concentration

The company does not disclose any single customer or group of customers that accounts for a significant portion of its total revenue as of the fiscal year ended June 30, 2026.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Information Technology and Core Banking Service Providers — The company relies on third-party vendors for core banking software, data processing, and network infrastructure services. Specific supplier names are not disclosed.Source

Strengths

  • Established presence in the Inland Empire region of Southern CaliforniaSource
  • Stable deposit base and conservative lending practicesSource

Risks

  • Interest rate fluctuations affecting net interest marginSource
  • Credit risk associated with real estate loan portfolioSource
  • Economic conditions in the Southern California marketSource

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

33

Poor

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

37

Poor

Financial Strength

49

Business Quality / Moat

33

Management

19

Growth Quality

24

Risk / Durability

64

Weak Company · Expensive Stock

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

55

Avoid

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

52/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 52/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as moderate rather than unusually attractive.

The model outlook is currently moderate.

What we like
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •Debt service risk
  • •Repurchase headline · Oct 22, 2026
  • •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for PROV

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can PROV maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •Is PROV's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Is PROV's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
⚠ 2 warningsView warning details
Debt service riskRepurchase headline · Oct 22, 2026
Business analysis: 16 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

33

0–100 · Poor

Opportunity Score

55

0–100 · Fair

Market Cap

$113.5M

P/E Ratio

17.6

EPS

$1.03

52-Week High

$18.99

52-Week Low

$14.95

Beta

0.31

Intrinsic Value

$21.10

Analyst Target

$18.00

Shares Outstanding

6.4M

Total Revenue

$59.6M

Total Debt

$157.0M

Dividend Yield (TTM)

3.08%

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$19.58

Estimated net asset value per share

Dividend / Share (TTM)

$0.56

Trailing 12 months by ex-date; not a forecast

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
46/ 100
-4 pts / 5d

Neutral / mixed momentum

5D +0.0% · 20D +1.0% · RSI 31 · Price vs 20D avg -0.1%
Volatility
6/ 100
-6 pts / 5d

Low movement

20D realized vol 8.5% · 60D 8.8% · Acceleration 0.97x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for PROV

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Dividend history reported

Dividend payments are recorded. Review the dates and regular/special classification below; past payments do not guarantee future dividends.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

Debt service risk

Interest coverage is low (~0.5x). Earnings may be strained to cover interest expense.

Repurchase headline · Oct 22, 2026

Provident Financial Holdings Announces New Stock Repurchase Plan — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.

GlobeNewsWire

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on PROV.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Established presence in the Inland Empire region of Southern California.
  • +Stable deposit base and conservative lending practices.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Banks - Regional industry.
  • −Interest rate fluctuations affecting net interest margin.
  • −Credit risk associated with real estate loan portfolio.
  • −Economic conditions in the Southern California market.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak33/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Poor

33

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

50

Debt Cost12.5%
Debt Reduction YoY26.3%
Debt / Equity1.24x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

16

Revenue YoY0.0%
Revenue CAGR0.8%
Net Margin11.2%

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Fair

55

Asset Growth YoY-3.0%
Liquidation/Share$19.58
Net Assets/MCap9.28x

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

51

Earnings Yield5.9%
Buyback Yield3.9%
Debt Cost12.5%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

19

ROIC2.9%
ROE5.3%
ROA0.6%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

33

EPS Growth3.5%
FCF/Share Growth-9.9%
Rev/Share Growth5.8%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

47

Intrinsic Value$21.10
Value Reference$12.66
MOS13.9%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

36

Revenue16
Moat33
Valuation47

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

35

MOS %13.9%
Value Reference$12.66
Deep Discount Reference$8.44

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

21

Interest Coverage0.5x
ROIC2.9%
FCF Yield7.5%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

31

Financial21
Valuation47
Debt50

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

33

Survival Years1.7 yrs
Current Ratio0.48x
FCF Margin14.3%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

4 historical score records available

Previous Score

33

Oct 15, 2026

Change

Unchanged

Current Score

33

Oct 27, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue0
Debt0
Assets0
Capital0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation-0.1
Buffett0

PROV score was unchanged.

Projected Score

Projected Score

41

Projected Change

+8.4 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 8.4 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Undervalued

Current Price

$18.20

Model Intrinsic Value

$21.10

Difference

−$2.90

-13.7% vs IV

Margin of Safety

13.7%

UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Value Reference: $12.66
Deep Discount Reference: $8.44

Financial Charts

Revenue

201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026$0$25M$50M$75M$100M

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201620182020202220242026-$110M-$55M$0$55M$110M

Total Debt

201620182020202220242026$0$60M$120M$180M$240M

Total Assets

201620182020202220242026$0$350M$700M$1.1B$1.4B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2026202520242023202220212020201920182017
Revenue$59.6M$59.6M$60.2M$58.7M····························
Cost of Revenue$19.0M$19.0M$20.5M$19.7M····························
Gross Profit$40.6M$40.6M$39.7M$38.9M····························
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
SG&A Expenses$22.5M$24.6M$20.5M$19.1M····························
Operating Expenses$31.0M$31.0M$30.8M$28.5M····························
EBITDA$12.6M$9.6M$12.4M$13.5M····························
Operating Income$9.6M$9.6M$8.9M$10.4M····························
Interest Expense$19.6M$19.6M$21.2M$19.8M····························
Income Before Tax$9.6M$9.6M$8.9M$10.4M····························
Income Tax Expense$3.0M$3.0M$2.6M$3.0M····························
Net Income$6.7M$6.7M$6.3M$7.4M····························
Basic EPS$1.03$1.04$0.93$1.06····························
Basic Shares6.37M6.37M6.72M6.94M····························
Diluted Shares6.45M6.45M6.76M6.96M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:A future estimated earnings date is not currently available.
Jun 30, 2026Q4FY2026

Revenue

$15.2M

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$0.34

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

-26.3%

Cash Change

-7.3%

Margin Change

+3.5 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Margins expanded
  • Debt reduced

What Weakened

  • Cash position declined

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth, debt levels, net income margin. Pressure indicators included cash levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 1.6%. EPS increased 41.7%. Cash declined 7.3%. Total debt declined 26.3%. Net income margin improved by 3.5 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 120 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

Smart Money

Number of Gurus

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Loading data...

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Log in to view dividend history.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

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Historical Trends

4 historical records
Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 4 records shown
3 historical score records are shown. Start your seven-day free trial to unlock 1 more record and the complete score history.Start Free Trial

Wall Street Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Debt Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Asset Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Capital Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Management Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Moat Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 26Oct 27, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 26Oct 27, 26$19.00$20.00$21.00$22.00$23.00

Value Reference

Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 26Oct 27, 26$10.00$11.00$12.00$13.00$14.00

Margin of Safety %

Oct 1, 26Oct 15, 26Oct 27, 260.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%

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News

Rumor Mill · PROV

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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