Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

Ocular Therapeutix, Inc.

OCULNASDAQ
Wall Street Score · overall investment27/100
$7.29USD+$0.57 (+8.48%)
Company website www.ocutx.com
Headquarters24 Crosby Drive, Bedford, MA, 01730, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Healthcare · Biotechnology
Price from Oct 29, 2026Financials updated Oct 12, 2026

OCUL · Price history

Price at last available close

$7.29

−$0.58 (-7.37%) 1M

2026-10-28

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Company & revenue

About Ocular Therapeutix, Inc.

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

Ocular Therapeutix, Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company specializing in the creation, advancement, and commercialization of ophthalmic treatments. Their innovative approach leverages a proprietary bioresorbable hydrogel technology to address a range of eye diseases and conditions. The company currently offers two key products: ReSure Sealant, an ophthalmic device designed to prevent fluid leakage from corneal incisions after cataract surgery, and DEXTENZA, a dexamethasone-based ophthalmic insert used to manage post-surgical inflammation and pain in the eye, as well as to treat allergic conjunctivitis.

How they make money

Ocular Therapeutix is a biopharmaceutical company that generates revenue primarily through the commercial sale of its proprietary ophthalmic product, DEXTENZA, and through collaboration agreements. The company focuses on developing and commercializing hydrogel-based drug delivery technologies for the treatment of eye diseases, incurring significant costs related to research, development, and clinical trials for its pipeline candidates.

Products & services

The company's primary commercial product is DEXTENZA, an FDA-approved corticosteroid intracanalicular insert for the treatment of ocular inflammation and pain following ophthalmic surgery and for the treatment of ocular itching associated with allergic conjunctivitis.

Brands & revenue mix

DEXTENZA

Corticosteroid intracanalicular insert for ocular inflammation and pain.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.

Product / operating segments

ProductUSD 51.82M100.0%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

Collaboration revenueUSD 128,0000.3%

Period ended 2025-12-31Source

Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

Customer concentration

The company does not disclose specific customer concentration figures in its 2025 annual report.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Contract manufacturing organizations — The company relies on third-party contract manufacturing organizations for the production of its product candidates and commercial products; specific supplier names are unnamed.Source

Strengths

  • Proprietary hydrogel-based drug delivery technology platformSource

Risks

  • History of operating losses and accumulated deficitSource
  • Dependence on third-party manufacturersSource
  • Uncertainty of clinical trial success and regulatory approvalSource

Financial risk observations and what to check

These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-06-30.

Diluted weighted-average shares increased 30.3% year over year.

Compare per-share results with total earnings and inspect the equity footnote. A change in weighted-average shares does not by itself establish the cause, the number of shares issued today, or the economic effect of a split.

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

27

Poor

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

43

Weak

Financial Strength

35

Business Quality / Moat

60

Management

40

Growth Quality

46

Risk / Durability

22

Weak Company · Expensive Stock

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

22

Avoid

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

31/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 31/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.

The model outlook is currently cautious.

What we like
  • •Asset quality scores strongly
What to watch
  • •Elevated debt risk
  • •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for OCUL

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can OCUL maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •How long can OCUL fund negative free cash flow using its current cash position before it may need more debt or new shares?
  • •How is OCUL likely to use its cash advantage: reinvestment, acquisitions, debt reduction, dividends or buybacks?
  • •What specifically needs to improve for OCUL to reach sustainable profitability?
  • •What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify OCUL's current valuation?
Elevated debt risk
Business analysis: 16 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

27

0–100 · Poor

Opportunity Score

22

0–100 · Poor

Market Cap

$1.60B

P/E Ratio

-5.3

EPS

$-1.42

52-Week High

$16.44

52-Week Low

$6.23

Beta

0.99

Analyst Target

$25.00

Shares Outstanding

187.2M

Total Revenue

$52.1M

Total Debt

$79.4M

Dividend

No current dividend

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$2.78

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
48/ 100
+44 pts / 5d

Neutral / mixed momentum

5D +12.5% · 20D -5.0% · RSI 47 · Price vs 20D avg +3.9%
Volatility
59/ 100
-30 pts / 5d

Elevated movement

20D realized vol 69.2% · 60D 76.4% · Acceleration 0.91x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for OCUL

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Elevated debt risk

Total debt is at least one year of revenue • Interest coverage is below 2x • Free cash flow is negative

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on OCUL.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Proprietary hydrogel-based drug delivery technology platform.

Potential downside factors

  • −Debt risk (elevated): Total debt is at least one year of revenue.
  • −Interest coverage is below 2x.
  • −Free cash flow is negative.
  • −History of operating losses and accumulated deficit.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak27/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Poor

27

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

50

Debt Cost14.8%
Debt Reduction YoY-5.3%
Debt / Equity0.12x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

1

Revenue YoY0.4%
Revenue CAGR-5.8%
Net Margin-579.1%

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

71

Asset Growth YoY76.5%
Liquidation/Share$2.78
Net Assets/MCap0.36x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

Earnings Yield-18.2%
Buyback Yield0.0%
Debt Cost14.8%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

40

ROIC-34484.9%
ROE-58.0%
ROA-44.9%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

60

EPS Growth—
FCF/Share Growth—
Rev/Share Growth-3.0%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

Intrinsic Value—
Value Reference—
MOS—

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

38

Revenue1
Moat60
Valuation0

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

MOS %—
Value Reference—
Deep Discount Reference—

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

25

Interest Coverage-22.8x
ROIC-34484.9%
FCF Yield-13.1%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

31

Financial25
Valuation0
Debt50

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

30

Survival Years3.4 yrs
Current Ratio15.39x
FCF Margin-418.5%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

3 historical score records available

Previous Score

27

Oct 1, 2026

Change

Unchanged

Current Score

27

Oct 12, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue0
Debt0
Assets-0.1
Capital0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett0

OCUL score was unchanged.

Projected Score

Projected Score

25

Projected Change

-1.8 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 1.8 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Valuation unavailable

Current Price

$7.29

Model Intrinsic Value

—

Difference

—

Margin of Safety

—

Value Reference: —
Deep Discount Reference: —

Intrinsic value is not currently available for this stock, so valuation can't be calculated.

Financial Charts

Revenue

201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025$0$20M$40M$60M$80M

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201520172019202120232025-$220M-$165M-$110M-$55M$0

Total Debt

201520172019202120232025$0$25M$50M$75M$100M

Total Assets

201520172019202120232025$0$250M$500M$750M$1.0B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$52.1M$51.8M$63.7M$58.4M····························
Cost of Revenue$6.7M$6.6M$5.6M$5.3M····························
Gross Profit$45.3M$45.2M$58.1M$53.2M····························
Research & Development$223.5M$197.1M$127.6M$61.1M····························
SG&A Expenses$135.7M$118.3M$102.2M$74.5M····························
Operating Expenses$359.3M$315.4M$229.9M$135.5M····························
EBITDA-$284.6M-$249.8M-$176.1M-$66.4M····························
Operating Income-$313.9M-$270.0M-$171.8M-$82.4M····························
Interest Expense$11.4M$11.8M$13.6M$11.3M····························
Income Before Tax-$301.4M-$265.9M-$193.5M-$80.7M····························
Income Tax Expense$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
Net Income-$301.4M-$265.9M-$193.5M-$80.7M····························
Basic EPS$-1.42$-1.42$-1.22$-1.09····························
Basic Shares225M187M158M79.83M····························
Diluted Shares225M187M158M85.60M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Nov 3, 2026
Estimated EPS: -$0.36Estimated revenue: $14.3M
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$13.5M

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

-$0.35

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

+3.2%

Cash Change

+53.1%

Margin Change

-80.7 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Cash position grew

What Weakened

  • Margins contracted
  • Debt increased

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, cash levels. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, debt levels, net income margin. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 0.1%. EPS declined 10.3%. Cash increased 53.1%. Total debt increased 3.2%. Net income margin declined by 80.7 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 120 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

Smart Money

Number of Gurus

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Loading data...

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

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Historical Trends

3 historical records
Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 12, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 3 records shown

Wall Street Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 12, 260255075100

Debt Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 12, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 12, 260255075100

Asset Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 12, 260255075100

Capital Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 12, 260255075100

Management Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 12, 260255075100

Moat Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 12, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 12, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 12, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

No data

Value Reference

No data

Margin of Safety %

No data

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News

Rumor Mill · OCUL

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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