Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

Orange County Bancorp, Inc.

OBTNASDAQ
Wall Street Score · overall investment65/100
$38.45USD+$0.03 (+0.08%)
Company website www.orangebanktrust.com
Headquarters212 Dolson Avenue, Middletown, NY, 10940, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Financial Services · Banks - Regional
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 8, 2026

OBT · Price history

Price at last available close

$38.45

+$0.77 (+2.04%) 1M

2026-10-27

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Company & revenue

About Orange County Bancorp, Inc.

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

Orange County Bancorp, Inc., a bank holding company, through its subsidiaries, provides commercial and consumer banking products and services. The company operates in Business Banking, Private Banking, and Trust & Wealth Management segments. It accepts various deposits, including interest-bearing and noninterest-bearing demand accounts, money market deposit accounts, savings accounts, and certificates of deposit.

How they make money

Orange County Bancorp, Inc. operates as a bank holding company that generates revenue primarily through net interest income earned on loans and investment securities, as well as non-interest income from trust and wealth management services provided by its subsidiary, Orange Investment Advisors, Inc. The company funds its lending activities through a diverse deposit base, leveraging its position in the New York metropolitan area to serve small businesses and individuals.

Products & services

The company provides full-service commercial and consumer banking products, including various deposit accounts, commercial and residential real estate loans, and commercial business loans, alongside trust and wealth management services.

Brands & revenue mix

No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.

Product / operating segments

No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

Customer concentration

No quantified customer-concentration disclosure is available in the current saved research.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

No supplier relationships were confirmed in the sources reviewed. This does not mean the company has no suppliers.

Strengths

  • Strong market presence in the New York metropolitan areaSource
  • Integrated model combining banking with trust and wealth management servicesSource

Risks

  • Interest rate fluctuations affecting net interest marginSource
  • Credit risk associated with the loan portfolioSource

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

65

Fair

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

58

Fair

Financial Strength

33

Business Quality / Moat

85

Management

87

Growth Quality

22

Risk / Durability

66

Cheap for a Reason · Review the Risks

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

82

Attractive

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

76/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 76/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is mixed across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. Review the category scores to identify what is helping or hurting the result.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as relatively attractive.

The model outlook is currently positive.

What we like
  • •Valuation scores attractively
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •Debt service risk
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak
  • •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for OBT

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •What is driving OBT's revenue decline, and does the latest company filing suggest the weakness is temporary or structural?
  • •Is OBT's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •How is OBT likely to use its cash advantage: reinvestment, acquisitions, debt reduction, dividends or buybacks?
  • •Is OBT's valuation discount tied to a temporary concern or to a longer-term business risk?
Debt service risk
Business analysis: 15 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

65

0–100 · Fair

Opportunity Score

82

0–100 · Excellent

Market Cap

$515.5M

P/E Ratio

10.4

EPS

$3.55

52-Week High

$40.10

52-Week Low

$23.25

Beta

0.43

Intrinsic Value

$136.68

Analyst Target

$44.00

Shares Outstanding

12.5M

Total Revenue

$150.7M

Total Debt

$34.6M

Dividend Yield (TTM)

1.87%

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$24.51

Estimated net asset value per share

Dividend / Share (TTM)

$0.72

Trailing 12 months by ex-date; not a forecast

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
59/ 100
+8 pts / 5d

Neutral / mixed momentum

5D +2.4% · 20D +3.1% · RSI 63 · Price vs 20D avg +2.8%
Volatility
16/ 100
+3 pts / 5d

Low movement

20D realized vol 18.4% · 60D 17.2% · Acceleration 1.07x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for OBT

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Dividend history reported

Dividend payments are recorded. Review the dates and regular/special classification below; past payments do not guarantee future dividends.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

Debt service risk

Interest coverage is low (~1.7x). Earnings may be strained to cover interest expense.

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on OBT.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Strong market presence in the New York metropolitan area.
  • +Integrated model combining banking with trust and wealth management services.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Banks - Regional industry.
  • −Interest rate fluctuations affecting net interest margin.
  • −Credit risk associated with the loan portfolio.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Fair65/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Fair

65

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

10

Debt Cost89.5%
Debt Reduction YoY75.9%
Debt / Equity0.12x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

33

Revenue YoY-4.7%
Revenue CAGR9.8%
Net Margin31.5%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

63

Asset Growth YoY6.0%
Liquidation/Share$24.51
Net Assets/MCap5.59x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

34

Earnings Yield9.6%
Buyback Yield0.1%
Debt Cost89.5%

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

87

ROIC659.7%
ROE15.5%
ROA1.7%

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

85

EPS Growth22.7%
FCF/Share Growth13.5%
Rev/Share Growth8.2%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

97

Intrinsic Value$136.68
Value Reference$82.00
MOS72.7%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

54

Revenue33
Moat85
Valuation97

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

MOS %72.7%
Value Reference$82.00
Deep Discount Reference$54.67

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

58

Interest Coverage1.7x
ROIC659.7%
FCF Yield8.4%

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

70

Financial58
Valuation97
Debt10

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

71

Survival Years5.6 yrs
Current Ratio0.16x
FCF Margin26.1%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

3 historical score records available

Previous Score

65

Oct 1, 2026

Change

-0.3

points

Current Score

65

Oct 8, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue-0.2
Debt0
Assets0
Capital0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett-0.1

OBT decreased 0.3 points because some fundamentals weakened.

Projected Score

Projected Score

68

Projected Change

+3.6 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 3.6 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Review model assumptions

This model estimate is more than three times the share price.

This is a formula-based estimate, not a verified fair value or price target. Check the earnings and growth assumptions.

Stored EPS: $3.55 · Growth assumption: 9.8% · Earnings multiplier: 28.2×.

Current Price

$38.45

Model Intrinsic Value

$136.68

Difference

−$98.23

-71.9% vs IV

Margin of Safety

71.9%

Value Reference: $82.00
Deep Discount Reference: $54.67

Financial Charts

Revenue

201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025$0$40M$80M$120M$160M

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201520172019202120232025$0$15M$30M$45M$60M

Total Debt

201520172019202120232025$0$65M$130M$195M$260M

Total Assets

201520172019202120232025$0$700M$1.4B$2.1B$2.8B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$150.7M$158.1M$143.1M$131.1M····························
Cost of Revenue$31.6M$38.7M$43.2M$37.2M····························
Gross Profit$119.1M$119.5M$99.9M$93.8M····························
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
SG&A Expenses$55.0M$43.1M$40.3M$36.7M····························
Operating Expenses$67.8M$67.9M$65.1M$56.7M····························
EBITDA$52.6M$53.4M$36.8M$39.1M····························
Operating Income$51.3M$51.6M$34.8M$37.1M····························
Interest Expense$27.2M$30.9M$35.5M$29.4M····························
Income Before Tax$52.8M$51.6M$34.8M$37.1M····························
Income Tax Expense$5.4M$9.9M$6.9M$7.7M····························
Net Income$47.4M$41.6M$27.9M$29.5M····························
Basic EPS$3.55$3.33$2.47$2.62····························
Basic Shares13.37M12.51M11.30M11.26M····························
Diluted Shares13.37M12.51M11.30M11.26M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Nov 4, 2026
Estimated EPS: $0.82Estimated revenue: $33.5M
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$35.0M

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$1.02

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

-31.6%

Cash Change

+90.7%

Margin Change

+13.3 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Margins expanded
  • Cash position grew
  • Debt reduced

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included EPS growth, cash levels, debt levels, net income margin. Pressure indicators included revenue growth. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue declined 13.7%. EPS increased 17.2%. Cash increased 90.7%. Total debt declined 31.6%. Net income margin improved by 13.3 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 120 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

Smart Money

Number of Gurus

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Log in to view dividend history.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

Start 7-Day Free Trial

Historical Trends

3 historical records
Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 3 records shown

Wall Street Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Debt Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Asset Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Capital Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Management Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Moat Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 26$126.00$129.00$132.00$135.00$138.00

Value Reference

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 26$76.00$78.00$80.00$82.00$84.00

Margin of Safety %

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%

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News

Rumor Mill · OBT

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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