Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

Origin Bancorp, Inc.

OBKNYSE
Wall Street Score · overall investment46/100
$51.83USD+$0.30 (+0.58%)
Company website www.origin.bank
Headquarters500 South Service Road East, Ruston, LA, 71270, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Financial Services · Banks - Regional
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 8, 2026

OBK · Price history

Price at last available close

$52.12

−$0.89 (-1.68%) 1M

2026-10-26

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Company & revenue

About Origin Bancorp, Inc.

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

Origin Bancorp, Inc. acts as the parent organization for Origin Bank, delivering a comprehensive range of banking and financial services. Its diverse clientele includes small to mid-sized businesses, municipal entities, and individual consumers across its operating regions of Texas, Louisiana, and Mississippi. The bank's offerings encompass various deposit accounts, such as interest-bearing and non-interest-bearing checking accounts, savings deposits, money market accounts, and time deposits.

How they make money

Origin Bancorp, Inc. operates as a financial holding company that generates revenue primarily through net interest income, which is the difference between interest earned on loans and investment securities and interest paid on deposits and other borrowings. Additionally, the company earns noninterest income through service charges on deposit accounts, mortgage banking activities, and insurance agency commissions provided by its subsidiary, Forth Insurance, LLC.

Products & services

The company provides commercial, residential mortgage, construction, and consumer loans, as well as deposit products for individuals and businesses, and insurance agency services.

Brands & revenue mix

Origin Bank

The primary banking brand of the company.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Forth Insurance, LLC

The insurance agency subsidiary of the company.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.

Product / operating segments

No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

Customer concentration

No quantified customer-concentration disclosure is available in the current saved research.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Technology and core banking service providers — The company relies on third-party vendors for core banking software, data processing, and information technology infrastructure services.Source

Strengths

  • Optimize Origin initiative driving earnings improvementSource

Risks

  • Interest rate riskSource
  • Credit risk associated with loan portfolioSource
  • Liquidity riskSource

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

46

Weak

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

48

Weak

Financial Strength

28

Business Quality / Moat

58

Management

71

Growth Quality

30

Risk / Durability

63

Cheap for a Reason · Review the Risks

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

81

Attractive

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

71/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 71/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as relatively attractive.

The model outlook is currently positive.

What we like
  • •Valuation scores attractively
  • •Insider activity signal is favorable
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •Debt service risk
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak
  • •Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for OBK

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can OBK maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •Is OBK's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •Does OBK's balance between cash and debt leave enough flexibility if business conditions weaken?
  • •Is OBK's valuation discount tied to a temporary concern or to a longer-term business risk?
Debt service risk
Business analysis: 15 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

46

0–100 · Weak

Opportunity Score

81

0–100 · Excellent

Market Cap

$1.60B

P/E Ratio

16.2

EPS

$3.23

52-Week High

$55.57

52-Week Low

$32.13

Beta

0.74

Intrinsic Value

$124.36

Analyst Target

$56.00

Shares Outstanding

31.1M

Total Revenue

$611.3M

Total Debt

$136.9M

Dividend Yield (TTM)

1.54%

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$41.23

Estimated net asset value per share

Dividend / Share (TTM)

$0.80

Trailing 12 months by ex-date; not a forecast

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
47/ 100
+10 pts / 5d

Neutral / mixed momentum

5D +2.0% · 20D -1.7% · RSI 45 · Price vs 20D avg -0.1%
Volatility
20/ 100
+6 pts / 5d

Low movement

20D realized vol 19.4% · 60D 16.1% · Acceleration 1.21x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for OBK

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Dividend history reported

Dividend payments are recorded. Review the dates and regular/special classification below; past payments do not guarantee future dividends.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

Debt service risk

Interest coverage is low (~0.5x). Earnings may be strained to cover interest expense.

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on OBK.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Optimize Origin initiative driving earnings improvement.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Banks - Regional industry.
  • −Interest rate risk.
  • −Credit risk associated with loan portfolio.
  • −Liquidity risk.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak46/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Weak

46

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

10

Debt Cost581.5%
Debt Reduction YoY79.4%
Debt / Equity0.03x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

20

Revenue YoY2.1%
Revenue CAGR1.9%
Net Margin16.3%

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Fair

55

Asset Growth YoY0.5%
Liquidation/Share$41.23
Net Assets/MCap6.28x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

27

Earnings Yield6.2%
Buyback Yield0.2%
Debt Cost581.5%

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

71

ROIC5.8%
ROE7.8%
ROA1.0%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

58

EPS Growth-0.0%
FCF/Share Growth26.5%
Rev/Share Growth6.9%

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

93

Intrinsic Value$124.36
Value Reference$74.61
MOS58.3%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

43

Revenue20
Moat58
Valuation93

Tap for breakdown →

Elite

100

MOS %58.3%
Value Reference$74.61
Deep Discount Reference$49.74

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

31

Interest Coverage0.5x
ROIC5.8%
FCF Yield9.4%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

46

Financial31
Valuation93
Debt10

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

40

Survival Years0.7 yrs
Current Ratio0.05x
FCF Margin25.2%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

3 historical score records available

Previous Score

46

Oct 1, 2026

Change

-0.1

points

Current Score

46

Oct 8, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue-0.2
Debt0
Assets0
Capital-1.0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett0

OBK decreased 0.1 points because some fundamentals weakened.

Projected Score

Projected Score

55

Projected Change

+9.2 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 9.2 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Undervalued

Current Price

$51.83

Model Intrinsic Value

$124.36

Difference

−$72.53

-58.3% vs IV

Margin of Safety

58.3%

UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Value Reference: $74.61
Deep Discount Reference: $49.74

Financial Charts

Revenue

2016201720182019202020212022202320242025$0$200M$400M$600M$800M

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201620172019202120232025$0$45M$90M$135M$180M

Total Debt

201620172019202120232025$0$300M$600M$900M$1.2B

Total Assets

201620172019202120232025$0$2.5B$5.0B$7.5B$10.0B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$611.3M$598.6M$616.8M$576.7M····························
Cost of Revenue$229.8M$250.1M$271.7M$240.6M····························
Gross Profit$381.5M$348.5M$345.1M$336.1M····························
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
SG&A Expenses$171.1M$156.4M$155.0M$144.8M····························
Operating Expenses$251.5M$249.7M$247.9M$230.2M····························
EBITDA$145.1M$115.6M$114.1M$123.6M····························
Operating Income$130.0M$98.8M$97.3M$105.9M····························
Interest Expense$188.0M$207.0M$264.2M$223.8M····························
Income Before Tax$126.8M$95.6M$97.3M$105.9M····························
Income Tax Expense$27.1M$20.4M$20.8M$22.1M····························
Net Income$99.7M$75.2M$76.5M$83.8M····························
Basic EPS$3.23$2.43$2.46$2.72····························
Basic Shares30.85M30.75M31.13M30.82M····························
Diluted Shares31.16M31.07M31.20M30.93M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:A future estimated earnings date is not currently available.
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$151.1M

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$1.09

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

-37.1%

Cash Change

-73.9%

Margin Change

+11.7 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Margins expanded
  • Debt reduced

What Weakened

  • Cash position declined

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth, debt levels, net income margin. Pressure indicators included cash levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 10.1%. EPS increased 131.9%. Cash declined 73.9%. Total debt declined 37.1%. Net income margin improved by 11.7 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Earnings data: 120 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

Smart Money

Number of Gurus

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Loading data...

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Log in to view dividend history.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

Start 7-Day Free Trial

Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

Start 7-Day Free Trial

Historical Trends

3 historical records
Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 3 records shown

Wall Street Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Debt Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Asset Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Capital Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Management Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Moat Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 26$90.00$99.00$108.00$117.00$126.00

Value Reference

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 26$55.00$60.00$65.00$70.00$75.00

Margin of Safety %

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260.4%0.5%0.5%0.6%0.6%

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News

Rumor Mill · OBK

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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