Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

National Grid plc

NGGNYSE
Wall Street Score · overall investment35/100
$84.20USD+$1.98 (+2.41%)
Company website www.nationalgrid.com
Headquarters1-3 Strand, London, GL, WC2N 5EH, GB
Financial statement currencyGBP · converted to USD at 1.321794
Utilities · Regulated Electric
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 8, 2026

NGG · Price history

Price at last available close

$84.20

+$8.38 (+11.05%) 1M

2026-10-29

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Company & revenue

About National Grid plc

Primary reporting period: 2026-03-31 · Research updated Oct 10, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

National Grid plc engages in the transmission and distribution of electricity and gas. It operates through UK Electricity Transmission, UK Electricity Distribution, New England, New York, National Grid Ventures, and Other segments. The UK Electricity Transmission segment provides electricity transmission networks in England and Wales.

How they make money

National Grid plc operates as a regulated utility company that generates revenue primarily through the transmission and distribution of electricity and gas. It charges generators, distributors, and end-users for the use of its infrastructure, with prices and returns largely determined by regulatory frameworks in the United Kingdom and the United States.

Products & services

Electricity transmission and distribution networks, gas distribution networks, and energy interconnectors.

Brands & revenue mix

No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.

Product / operating segments

No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.

Geographic revenue

UNITED STATESGBP 12.21B68.0%

Period ended 2026-03-31Source

Country of domicileGBP 5.47B30.4%

Period ended 2026-03-31Source

Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.

Customer types

  • Residential energy consumersSource
  • Commercial and industrial businessesSource
  • Electricity generatorsSource

Customer concentration

The company serves millions of residential and commercial customers across the UK and US; no single customer accounts for a material portion of total revenue as of the fiscal year ended March 31, 2026.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Energy infrastructure equipment providers — Various unnamed suppliers of high-voltage equipment, transformers, and grid infrastructure components.Source

Strengths

  • Regulated asset base providing stable, predictable cash flowsSource
  • Critical infrastructure position in key UK and US marketsSource

Risks

  • Regulatory and political changes affecting allowed returnsSource
  • Operational risks associated with aging infrastructure and climate changeSource

Financial risk observations and what to check

These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-03-31.

Diluted weighted-average shares increased 23.0% year over year.

Compare per-share results with total earnings and inspect the equity footnote. A change in weighted-average shares does not by itself establish the cause, the number of shares issued today, or the economic effect of a split.

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

35

Poor

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

55

Fair

Financial Strength

54

Business Quality / Moat

32

Management

63

Growth Quality

82

Risk / Durability

62

Weak Company · Expensive Stock

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

39

Avoid

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

45/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 45/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.

The model outlook is currently cautious.

What we like

No strong positive signal is being highlighted from the currently available summary data.

What to watch
  • •Elevated debt risk
  • •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for NGG

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •Can NGG maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
  • •How long can NGG fund negative free cash flow using its current cash position before it may need more debt or new shares?
  • •Is NGG's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
  • •What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify NGG's current valuation?
  • •What does the current fundamental change risk warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of NGG's score?
Elevated debt risk
Business analysis: 19 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

35

0–100 · Weak

Opportunity Score

39

0–100 · Weak

Market Cap

$84.86B

P/E Ratio

9.3

EPS

$8.25

52-Week High

$94.64

52-Week Low

$73.24

Beta

0.59

Intrinsic Value

$70.11

Analyst Target

$79.25

Shares Outstanding

994.2M

Total Revenue

$47.16B

Total Debt

$61.80B

Dividend

No current dividend

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$52.29

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
72/ 100
+1 pts / 5d

Building upward momentum

5D +1.9% · 20D +11.8% · RSI 77 · Price vs 20D avg +6.0%
Volatility
21/ 100
+1 pts / 5d

Low movement

20D realized vol 21.8% · 60D 18.7% · Acceleration 1.17x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for NGG

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Elevated debt risk

Total debt is at least one year of revenue • Free cash flow is negative • Cash covers less than 20% of total debt

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on NGG.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Regulated asset base providing stable, predictable cash flows.
  • +Critical infrastructure position in key UK and US markets.

Potential downside factors

  • −Debt risk (elevated): Total debt is at least one year of revenue.
  • −Free cash flow is negative.
  • −Cash covers less than 20% of total debt.
  • −Regulatory and political changes affecting allowed returns.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak35/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Poor

35

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

50

Debt Cost2.8%
Debt Reduction YoY1.6%
Debt / Equity1.19x

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

44

Revenue YoY98.5%
Revenue CAGR-4.8%
Net Margin17.1%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

53

Asset Growth YoY1.4%
Liquidation/Share$52.29
Net Assets/MCap1.06x

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

65

Earnings Yield10.5%
Buyback Yield0.0%
Debt Cost2.8%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

63

ROIC5.3%
ROE15.6%
ROA5.6%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

32

EPS Growth-2.1%
FCF/Share Growth—
Rev/Share Growth-5.2%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

29

Intrinsic Value$70.11
Value Reference$42.06
MOS-17.3%

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

46

Revenue44
Moat32
Valuation29

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

MOS %-17.3%
Value Reference$42.06
Deep Discount Reference$28.04

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

12

Interest Coverage4.5x
ROIC5.3%
FCF Yield-6.6%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

32

Financial12
Valuation29
Debt50

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

29

Survival Years0.7 yrs
Current Ratio0.76x
FCF Margin-21.2%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

3 historical score records available

Previous Score

35

Oct 1, 2026

Change

-0.1

points

Current Score

35

Oct 8, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue-0.4
Debt0
Assets-0.4
Capital-1.0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett-0.1

NGG decreased 0.1 points because some fundamentals weakened.

Projected Score

Projected Score

41

Projected Change

+6.0 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 6.0 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Overvalued

Current Price

$84.20

Model Intrinsic Value

$70.11

Difference

+$14.09

+20.1% vs IV

Margin of Safety

-20.1%

UndervaluedFair ValueOvervalued
Value Reference: $42.06
Deep Discount Reference: $28.04

Financial Charts

Revenue

201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026$0$7.5B$15.0B$22.5B$30.0B

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201620182020202220242026$0$2.5B$5.0B$7.5B$10.0B

Total Debt

201620182020202220242026$0$20.0B$40.0B$60.0B$80.0B

Total Assets

201620182020202220242026$0$40.0B$80.0B$120.0B$160.0B

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2026202520242023202220212020201920182017
Revenue$47.16B$23.76B$24.29B$26.24B····························
Cost of Revenue$33.32B$16.00B$5.49B$6.97B····························
Gross Profit$13.84B$7.76B$18.81B$19.27B····························
Research & Development$0.00$0.00$56.0M$42.3M····························
SG&A Expenses$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
Operating Expenses$0.00$0.00$12.28B$13.35B····························
EBITDA$19.44B$10.33B$10.11B$9.03B····························
Operating Income$13.84B$7.76B$6.52B$5.92B····························
Interest Expense$3.50B$1.74B$1.82B$1.78B····························
Income Before Tax$10.31B$5.62B$4.82B$4.03B····························
Income Tax Expense$2.32B$1.26B$1.09B$1.10B····························
Net Income$8.08B$4.35B$3.84B$3.03B····························
Basic EPS$8.25$4.43$4.02$3.77····························
Basic Shares995M989M941M803M····························
Diluted Shares995M994M946M807M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Nov 5, 2026
Estimated EPS: $2.46Estimated revenue: $10.15B
Mar 31, 2026Q4FY2026

Revenue

$14.25B

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

$3.57

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

-1.6%

Cash Change

-68.2%

Margin Change

+3.1 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Improved

  • Margins expanded
  • Debt reduced

What Weakened

  • Cash position declined

Potential Score Impact

Positive indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth, debt levels, net income margin. Pressure indicators included cash levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue increased 5.4%. EPS increased 19.5%. Cash declined 68.2%. Total debt declined 1.6%. Net income margin improved by 3.1 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Earnings data: 213 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

8

Smart Money

8

Number of Gurus

1

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Loading data...

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

Start 7-Day Free Trial

Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

Start 7-Day Free Trial

Historical Trends

3 historical records
Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 3 records shown

Wall Street Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Debt Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Asset Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Capital Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Management Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Moat Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 26$36.00$45.00$54.00$63.00$72.00

Value Reference

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 26$21.00$28.00$35.00$42.00$49.00

Margin of Safety %

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 8, 26-1.0%-0.8%-0.5%-0.3%0.0%

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News

Rumor Mill · NGG

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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