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Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.
Who they are
Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund functions as a business development company (BDC) specializing in finance, primarily providing capital to mid-sized enterprises. Its investment strategy focuses on directly originating and funding senior secured term loans, encompassing both first-lien and second-lien security interests. This entity commenced operations on May 30, 2019, and maintains its principal headquarters in New York City.
How they make money
Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund is a business development company that generates income primarily by originating and investing in senior secured loans, including first-lien, unitranche, and second-lien debt, to middle-market companies. The company earns interest income on these debt investments and capital gains from equity-related investments, while being externally managed by MS Capital Partners Adviser Inc.
Products & services
The company provides direct lending solutions, primarily focusing on senior secured debt investments to middle-market companies to support their financing needs, acquisitions, and growth.
Brands & revenue mix
No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.
Product / operating segments
No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.
Geographic revenue
No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.
These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-06-30.
Quarterly EPS fell 78.0% versus the same quarter last year.
Review net income and weighted-average shares together. Per-share earnings can change because of operating performance, nonrecurring items or the share denominator.
Wall Street Score
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
49
Weak
PoorElite
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
43
Weak
Financial Strength
43
Business Quality / Moat
71
Management
28
Growth Quality
8
Risk / Durability
58
Cheap for a Reason · Review the Risks
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Opportunity
Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?
73
Fair
Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.
View score details →
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
65/100
Building Historical Record
Model Score 65/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.
Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.
Click for full breakdown →
WSS View
The quick read
The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.
At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as relatively attractive.
The model outlook is currently moderate.
What we like
•Valuation scores attractively
•Insider activity signal is favorable
•Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
•Elevated debt risk
•Dividend-change headline · Aug 16, 2026
•Revenue fundamentals are weak
•Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for MSDL
Research inputs 100% complete
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
•What is driving MSDL's revenue decline, and does the latest company filing suggest the weakness is temporary or structural?
•Is MSDL's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
•Is MSDL's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
•Is MSDL's valuation discount tied to a temporary concern or to a longer-term business risk?
•What does the current fundamental change risk warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of MSDL's score?
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
Volatility = How violently is it moving?
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for MSDL
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.
Dividend history reported
Dividend payments are recorded. Review the dates and regular/special classification below; past payments do not guarantee future dividends.
Historical repurchase activity
Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.
Elevated debt risk
Total debt is at least one year of revenue • Interest coverage is below 2x • Cash covers less than 20% of total debt
Dividend-change headline · Aug 16, 2026
2 BDCs To Sell Before The Dividend Cuts Land — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.
+Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
+Affiliation with Morgan Stanley's private credit platform.
+Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.
Potential downside factors
−Debt risk (elevated): Total debt is at least one year of revenue.
−Interest coverage is below 2x.
−Cash covers less than 20% of total debt.
−Market and credit risk associated with middle-market debt investments.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
Create a free account to make a call.
Scores
Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak49/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)
Debt
Poor
30
Debt Cost6.5%
Debt Reduction YoY-5.7%
Debt / Equity1.19x
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Revenue
Poor
23
Revenue YoY-20.1%
Revenue CAGR8.6%
Net Margin19.3%
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Asset
Fair
62
Asset Growth YoY0.2%
Liquidation/Share$18.88
Net Assets/MCap1.50x
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Capital
Poor
30
Earnings Yield5.2%
Buyback Yield1.3%
Debt Cost6.5%
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Management
Poor
28
ROIC7.2%
ROE3.6%
ROA1.6%
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Moat
Strong
71
EPS Growth13.4%
FCF/Share Growth16.5%
Rev/Share Growth50.7%
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Valuation
Elite
93
Intrinsic Value$26.46
Value Reference$15.88
MOS47.9%
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Buffett
Weak
45
Revenue23
Moat71
Valuation93
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MOS
Elite
100
MOS %47.9%
Value Reference$15.88
Deep Discount Reference$10.59
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Financial
Weak
41
Interest Coverage1.9x
ROIC7.2%
FCF Yield13.1%
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Master
Fair
51
Financial41
Valuation93
Debt30
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Resilience
Fair
58
Survival Years2.8 yrs
Current Ratio1.33x
FCF Margin39.0%
Tap for breakdown →
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Score Changes
3 historical score records available
Previous Score
49
Oct 1, 2026
Change
Unchanged
Current Score
49
Oct 5, 2026
Category Changes
Revenue0
Debt0
Assets+0.1
Capital0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett0
MSDL score was unchanged.
Projected Score
Projected Score
46
Projected Change
-3.0 points
Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 3.0 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.
Income StatementBalance SheetCash Flow
AnnualQuarterlyTTM + Annual
All rows
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
Line Item
TTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Revenue
$309.3M
$387.0M
$332.5M
$328.1M
····
····
····
····
Cost of Revenue
$98.1M
$73.4M
$122.9M
$112.9M
····
····
····
····
Gross Profit
$211.1M
$313.6M
$209.6M
$215.2M
····
····
····
····
Research & Development
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
····
····
····
····
SG&A Expenses
$7.1M
$8.3M
$7.6M
$5.6M
····
····
····
····
Operating Expenses
$46.4M
$55.5M
-$8.4M
-$17.3M
····
····
····
····
EBITDA
$157.0M
$258.2M
$218.0M
$232.5M
····
····
····
····
Operating Income
$164.7M
$258.1M
$218.0M
$232.5M
····
····
····
····
Interest Expense
$129.9M
$136.1M
$122.9M
$112.9M
····
····
····
····
Income Before Tax
$60.9M
$122.1M
$218.0M
$232.5M
····
····
····
····
Income Tax Expense
$1.2M
$0.00
$2.4M
$1.5M
····
····
····
····
Net Income
$59.7M
$122.1M
$215.6M
$231.0M
····
····
····
····
Basic EPS
$0.69
$1.40
$2.43
$2.62
····
····
····
····
Basic Shares
84.75M
87.27M
89.26M
88.28M
····
····
····
····
Diluted Shares
84.75M
87.27M
89.26M
88.28M
····
····
····
····
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.
Financial Changes Since Prior Period
What Improved
Debt reduced
What Weakened
Margins contracted
Cash position declined
Potential Score Impact
Positive indicators included revenue growth, debt levels. Pressure indicators included EPS growth, cash levels, net income margin. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.
Stored Earnings Analysis
Revenue increased 13.1%. EPS declined 78.0%. Cash declined 13.2%. Total debt declined 3.3%. Net income margin declined by 39.8 percentage points.
Earnings-Call Transcript
Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.
These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.
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Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.
Dividend HistoryShare
Dividend History
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Predictions & Historical PerformanceShare
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
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5 Years
$———.——
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10 Years
$———.——
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Conservative Projection Rate
——%
Premium
Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.
Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.