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Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.
Who they are
Operating on a global scale via its various subsidiaries, The Mosaic Company specializes in the creation and distribution of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. Its business is structured into three distinct segments: Phosphates, Potash, and Mosaic Fertilizantes. The company maintains and operates its own mining facilities to extract raw materials, which are then processed into a diverse array of phosphate-based products.
How they make money
The Mosaic Company generates revenue by mining, producing, and marketing concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. It operates through an integrated business model that includes extraction of raw materials, processing into finished fertilizer products and animal feed ingredients, and global distribution to agricultural retailers, cooperatives, and growers.
Products & services
Concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients, and phosphate-based animal feed ingredients.
Brands & revenue mix
No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.
Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.
Geographic revenue
No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.
No quantified customer-concentration disclosure is available in the current saved research.
Suppliers, materials & equipment
Energy and raw material providers — The company relies on various third-party suppliers for energy, sulfur, ammonia, and other raw materials necessary for mining and production operations; specific supplier names are not disclosed.Source
Business relationships & partnerships
Ma’aden — The Mosaic Company holds an investment in equity securities of the Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma’aden).Source
Strengths
Leading global producer of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrientsSource
Integrated mining and production operations in key agricultural regionsSource
These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-06-30.
Quarterly EPS turned negative at -0.86 versus 1.29 a year earlier.
Separate recurring operating losses from noncash or one-time charges, and check cash flow rather than interpreting negative EPS as a cash-outflow amount.
Quarterly net income turned from a profit to a loss versus the same quarter last year.
Identify the causes in the interim report and distinguish operating cash use from accounting charges. Prior profitability is not a guarantee of recovery.
Wall Street Score
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
23
Poor
PoorElite
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
32
Poor
Financial Strength
39
Business Quality / Moat
33
Management
13
Growth Quality
28
Risk / Durability
55
Weak Company · Expensive Stock
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Opportunity
Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?
12
Avoid
Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.
View score details →
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
21/100
Building Historical Record
Model Score 21/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.
Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.
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WSS View
The quick read
The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.
At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.
The model outlook is currently cautious.
What we like
No strong positive signal is being highlighted from the currently available summary data.
What to watch
•Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
•Revenue fundamentals are weak
•Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for MOS
Research inputs 100% complete
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
•What is driving MOS's revenue decline, and does the latest company filing suggest the weakness is temporary or structural?
•How long can MOS fund negative free cash flow using its current cash position before it may need more debt or new shares?
•Is MOS's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
•What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify MOS's current valuation?
•What does the current fundamental change risk warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of MOS's score?
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
Volatility = How violently is it moving?
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for MOS
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.
Dividend history reported
The provider reports a dividend yield. Confirm the latest declaration before treating it as a current payment.
Community Sentiment
0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)
No personal call yet on MOS.
Potential upside factors
+Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
+Leading global producer of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients.
+Integrated mining and production operations in key agricultural regions.
Potential downside factors
−Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Agricultural Inputs industry.
−Exposure to commodity price volatility.
−Operational risks associated with mining and production facilities.
−Negative free cash flow may increase the need for outside financing and dilution.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
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Scores
Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Very Weak23/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)
Debt
Weak
42
Debt Cost4.1%
Debt Reduction YoY-18.6%
Debt / Equity0.44x
Tap for breakdown →
Revenue
Poor
18
Revenue YoY-1.5%
Revenue CAGR-6.2%
Net Margin0.4%
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Asset
Fair
63
Asset Growth YoY6.8%
Liquidation/Share$36.48
Net Assets/MCap2.77x
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Capital
Poor
36
Earnings Yield0.6%
Buyback Yield9.8%
Debt Cost4.1%
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Management
Poor
13
ROIC4.3%
ROE0.4%
ROA0.2%
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Moat
Poor
33
EPS Growth32.7%
FCF/Share Growth—
Rev/Share Growth3.8%
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Valuation
Poor
0
Intrinsic Value$1.70
Value Reference$1.02
MOS-978.2%
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Buffett
Poor
31
Revenue18
Moat33
Valuation0
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MOS
Poor
0
MOS %-978.2%
Value Reference$1.02
Deep Discount Reference$0.68
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Financial
Poor
15
Interest Coverage4.8x
ROIC4.3%
FCF Yield-7.9%
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Master
Poor
15
Financial15
Valuation0
Debt42
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Resilience
Poor
35
Survival Years0.5 yrs
Current Ratio1.32x
FCF Margin-4.4%
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Score Changes
3 historical score records available
Previous Score
23
Oct 1, 2026
Change
Unchanged
Current Score
23
Oct 5, 2026
Category Changes
Revenue-0.3
Debt0
Assets0
Capital0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett0
MOS score was unchanged.
Projected Score
Projected Score
13
Projected Change
-9.8 points
Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 9.8 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.
Income StatementBalance SheetCash Flow
AnnualQuarterlyTTM + Annual
All rows
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
Line Item
TTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Revenue
$11.88B
$12.05B
$11.12B
$13.70B
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Cost of Revenue
$10.51B
$10.24B
$9.61B
$11.49B
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····
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Gross Profit
$1.37B
$1.82B
$1.51B
$2.21B
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Research & Development
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
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SG&A Expenses
$498.6M
$520.9M
$496.9M
$500.5M
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Operating Expenses
$1.20B
$767.2M
$890.4M
$872.5M
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EBITDA
$1.71B
$2.61B
$1.57B
$2.48B
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Operating Income
$167.0M
$1.05B
$621.5M
$1.34B
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Interest Expense
$227.5M
$217.7M
$230.0M
$189.0M
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Income Before Tax
$235.7M
$1.22B
$388.7M
$1.39B
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Income Tax Expense
$170.2M
$639.8M
$186.7M
$177.0M
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Net Income
$43.2M
$540.7M
$174.9M
$1.16B
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Basic EPS
$0.20
$1.70
$0.55
$3.52
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Basic Shares
318M
317M
320M
331M
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Diluted Shares
318M
319M
321M
333M
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Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.
Financial Changes Since Prior Period
What Improved
Cash position grew
What Weakened
Margins contracted
Debt increased
Potential Score Impact
Positive indicators included cash levels. Pressure indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth, debt levels, net income margin. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.
Stored Earnings Analysis
Revenue declined 6.0%. EPS declined 166.7%. Cash increased 2.7%. Total debt increased 26.6%. Net income margin declined by 23.3 percentage points.
Earnings-Call Transcript
Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.
These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.
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Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.
Dividend HistoryShare
Dividend History
A dividend is reported, but detailed payment history is temporarily unavailable or awaiting refresh.
Predictions & Historical PerformanceShare
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
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5 Years
$———.——
Premium
10 Years
$———.——
Premium
Conservative Projection Rate
——%
Premium
Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.
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