Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.

Medifast, Inc.

MEDNYSE
Wall Street Score · overall investment30/100
$12.26USD$-0.02 (-0.16%)
Company website medifastinc.com
Headquarters1501 S. Clinton Street, Baltimore, MD, 21224, US
Financial statement currencyUSD · no FX conversion applied
Consumer Cyclical · Personal Products & Services
Price updated todayFinancials updated Oct 5, 2026

MED · Price history

Price at last available close

$12.26

+$0.65 (+5.60%) 1M

2026-10-29

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Company & revenue

About Medifast, Inc.

Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.

Who they are

Medifast, Inc., through its various divisions, develops and provides a range of consumable health and nutritional items tailored for weight loss, weight management, and general wellness. These products are distributed across the United States and the Asia-Pacific region. Their extensive portfolio encompasses snack bars, savory bites, cereals, drinks, substantial meal choices, oatmeal, pancakes, puddings, soft serves, shakes, smoothies, baked goods, and soups.

How they make money

Medifast operates a health and wellness business model centered on its OPTAVIA brand, which utilizes a coach-guided lifestyle system. The company generates revenue primarily through point-of-sale transactions executed over its e-commerce platform for weight loss, weight management, and healthy living products.

Products & services

The company provides a range of weight loss, weight management, and healthy living products, including meal replacements and nutritional supplements, marketed under the OPTAVIA brand.

Brands & revenue mix

OPTAVIA

The primary brand through which the company markets its health and wellness products and coach-guided system.

Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source

Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.

Product / operating segments

No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.

Geographic revenue

No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.

Customer types

  • Individual consumers seeking weight loss and healthy living solutionsSource

Customer concentration

The company states that no single customer accounted for 10% or more of its total revenue for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

Suppliers, materials & equipment

  • Contract Manufacturers — The company utilizes various third-party contract manufacturers to produce its nutritional products; specific supplier names are not disclosed.Source

Strengths

  • Coach-guided lifestyle systemSource
  • E-commerce distribution platformSource

Risks

  • Dependence on independent coaches for product sales and client retentionSource
  • Reliance on third-party contract manufacturersSource

Financial risk observations and what to check

These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-06-30.

Quarterly revenue fell 27.6% versus the same quarter last year.

Check comparable business scope and currency, then separate volume, pricing and divestitures. One weaker quarter does not establish that the same decline will continue.

Quarterly EPS turned negative at -0.28 versus 0.22 a year earlier.

Separate recurring operating losses from noncash or one-time charges, and check cash flow rather than interpreting negative EPS as a cash-outflow amount.

Quarterly net income turned from a profit to a loss versus the same quarter last year.

Identify the causes in the interim report and distinguish operating cash use from accounting charges. Prior profitability is not a guarantee of recovery.

Total debt increased 111.3% versus the same quarter last year.

Compare the added borrowing with available cash, cash generation and maturities. A percentage increase from a small starting balance can look large without measuring the full debt burden.

Wall Street Score

Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity

30

Poor

PoorElite

View category scores →

Company Quality

How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?

30

Poor

Financial Strength

52

Business Quality / Moat

9

Management

40

Growth Quality

0

Risk / Durability

45

Weak Company · Expensive Stock

Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.

Opportunity

Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?

32

Avoid

Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.

View score details →

Model Outlook

12-month model · What does the model think happens next?

40/100

Building Historical Record

Model Score 40/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.

Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.

Click for full breakdown →

WSS View

The quick read

The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.

At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.

The model outlook is currently cautious.

What we like
  • •Balance-sheet / debt profile scores strongly
  • •Insider activity signal is favorable
  • •Recent buyback activity is present
What to watch
  • •Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
  • •Revenue fundamentals are weak

Company-specific research

Questions worth answering for MED

Research inputs 100% complete

These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.

  • •What is driving MED's revenue decline, and does the latest company filing suggest the weakness is temporary or structural?
  • •Is MED's positive free cash flow repeatable, or is the current level being helped by temporary working-capital or spending changes?
  • •How is MED likely to use its cash advantage: reinvestment, acquisitions, debt reduction, dividends or buybacks?
  • •What specifically needs to improve for MED to reach sustainable profitability?
  • •What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify MED's current valuation?
Business analysis: 17 days ago · Fresh

Essential Investment Snapshot

Wall Street Score

30

0–100 · Poor

Opportunity Score

32

0–100 · Poor

Market Cap

$137.1M

P/E Ratio

-5.0

EPS

$-2.33

52-Week High

$14.15

52-Week Low

$9.22

Beta

0.73

Analyst Target

$17.00

Shares Outstanding

11.0M

Total Revenue

$316.9M

Total Debt

$27.6M

Dividend

No current dividend

View dividend history

Liquidation Value / Share

$17.88

Estimated net asset value per share

Momentum & Volatility Signals

Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.

0–100 market signals
Momentum
62/ 100
-2 pts / 5d

Neutral / mixed momentum

5D +0.7% · 20D +7.3% · RSI 66 · Price vs 20D avg +3.1%
Volatility
15/ 100
-6 pts / 5d

Low movement

20D realized vol 23.6% · 60D 29.0% · Acceleration 0.81x
Momentum = Where is it going?

A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.

Volatility = How violently is it moving?

A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.

Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.

Notices for MED

Detected from reported data — verify before acting.

Historical repurchase activity

Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.

Community Sentiment

0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)

No personal call yet on MED.

Potential upside factors

  • +Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
  • +Coach-guided lifestyle system.
  • +E-commerce distribution platform.
  • +Positive free cash flow may provide capacity to invest in growth.

Potential downside factors

  • −Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Personal Products & Services industry.
  • −Dependence on independent coaches for product sales and client retention.
  • −Reliance on third-party contract manufacturers.

These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.

Create a free account to make a call.

Scores

Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak30/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)

Poor

30

Tap for breakdown →

Strong

78

Debt Cost—
Debt Reduction YoY-4.1%
Debt / Equity0.08x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

20

Revenue YoY-17.8%
Revenue CAGR-40.0%
Net Margin-8.1%

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

55

Asset Growth YoY-9.6%
Liquidation/Share$17.88
Net Assets/MCap1.79x

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

33

Earnings Yield-19.6%
Buyback Yield26.1%
Debt Cost—

Tap for breakdown →

Weak

40

ROIC-9.3%
ROE-13.0%
ROA-9.8%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

9

EPS Growth—
FCF/Share Growth-60.1%
Rev/Share Growth-17.2%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

Intrinsic Value—
Value Reference—
MOS—

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

39

Revenue20
Moat9
Valuation0

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

0

MOS %—
Value Reference—
Deep Discount Reference—

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

24

Interest Coverage—
ROIC-9.3%
FCF Yield1.0%

Tap for breakdown →

Poor

22

Financial24
Valuation0
Debt78

Tap for breakdown →

Fair

66

Survival Years0.6 yrs
Current Ratio4.69x
FCF Margin0.3%

Tap for breakdown →

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Score Changes

3 historical score records available

Previous Score

30

Oct 1, 2026

Change

Unchanged

Current Score

30

Oct 5, 2026

Category Changes

Revenue0
Debt0
Assets0
Capital0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett0

MED score was unchanged.

Projected Score

Projected Score

19

Projected Change

-10.5 points

Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest decline of approximately 10.5 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.

Price vs. Value

Valuation unavailable

Current Price

$12.26

Model Intrinsic Value

—

Difference

—

Margin of Safety

—

Value Reference: —
Deep Discount Reference: —

Intrinsic value is not currently available for this stock, so valuation can't be calculated.

Financial Charts

Revenue

201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025$0$400M$800M$1.2B$1.6B

Additional Metrics

Operating Cash Flow

201520172019202120232025$0$50M$100M$150M$200M

Total Debt

201520172019202120232025$0$9M$17M$26M$34M

Total Assets

201520172019202120232025$0$100M$200M$300M$400M

Net Margin %

No data
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.

Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.

Line ItemTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$316.9M$385.8M$602.5M$1.07B····························
Cost of Revenue$97.5M$110.6M$157.8M$296.2M····························
Gross Profit$219.5M$275.2M$444.6M$775.9M····························
Research & Development$1.1M$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
SG&A Expenses$239.0M$289.4M$441.7M$649.4M····························
Operating Expenses$236.8M$289.4M$441.7M$649.4M····························
EBITDA-$3.6M$4.9M$16.5M$141.9M····························
Operating Income-$17.3M-$14.2M$2.9M$126.4M····························
Interest Expense$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00····························
Income Before Tax-$14.0M-$5.6M$3.8M$128.8M····························
Income Tax Expense$11.6M$13.0M$1.7M$29.4M····························
Net Income-$25.6M-$18.7M$2.1M$99.4M····························
Basic EPS$-2.33$-1.70$0.19$9.10····························
Basic Shares11.13M10.98M10.93M10.88M····························
Diluted Shares11.13M10.98M10.96M10.92M····························
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
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Earnings Summary

Estimated earnings date:Nov 9, 2026
Estimated EPS: -$0.35Estimated revenue: $71.3M
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026

Revenue

$76.4M

Estimate unavailable.

Revenue Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

EPS

-$0.28

Estimate unavailable.

EPS Beat/Miss

Not available (no estimate stored)

Debt Change

+111.3%

Cash Change

-29.3%

Margin Change

-6.4 pp

Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.

Financial Changes Since Prior Period

What Weakened

  • Margins contracted
  • Cash position declined
  • Debt increased

Potential Score Impact

Pressure indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth, cash levels, debt levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.

Stored Earnings Analysis

Revenue declined 27.6%. EPS declined 227.3%. Cash declined 29.3%. Total debt increased 111.3%. Net income margin declined by 6.4 percentage points.

Earnings-Call Transcript

Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.

These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Earnings data: 121 days ago · Stale

Insider Activity

Guru / Smart Money

Guru Score

Smart Money

Number of Gurus

Total Guru Value

Avg Portfolio Weight

Largest Holder

Largest Holder %

New Positions

Increased Positions

Reduced Positions

Exited Positions

Net Guru Sentiment

Loading data...

Short Interest

Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.

Dividend History

Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.

Conservative Projected Values

3 Years

$———.——

Premium

5 Years

$———.——

Premium

10 Years

$———.——

Premium

Conservative Projection Rate

——%

Premium

Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.

Conservative Projected Values

Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.

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Historical Outperformance Record

Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.

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Historical Trends

3 historical records
Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 5, 260255075100

Historical Score Chart

3 of 3 records shown

Wall Street Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 5, 260255075100

Debt Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 5, 260255075100

Revenue Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 5, 260255075100

Asset Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 5, 260255075100

Capital Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 5, 260255075100

Management Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 5, 260255075100

Moat Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 5, 260255075100

Valuation Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 5, 260255075100

Buffett Score

Jul 24, 26Oct 1, 26Oct 5, 260255075100

Intrinsic Value

No data

Value Reference

No data

Margin of Safety %

No data

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News

Rumor Mill · MED

Corporate developments & opportunities

Explore market →

No reviewed developments match this filter.

Evidence credibility is not a forecast of stock performance. Rumor Mill is separate from the WSS score.

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