Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.
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Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.
Who they are
Merchants Bancorp operates as a diversified financial services holding company across the United States. Its operations are organized into three primary divisions: Multi-family Mortgage Banking, Mortgage Warehousing, and Banking. The Multi-family Mortgage Banking division focuses on originating and servicing government-sponsored mortgages for multi-family dwellings and healthcare institutions.
How they make money
Merchants Bancorp is a diversified bank holding company that generates revenue primarily through net interest income earned on its loan portfolios and mortgage warehousing activities. It also earns non-interest income through mortgage banking operations, service fees, and other financial services provided to its commercial and consumer clients.
Products & services
The company provides multi-family housing and senior living financing, residential mortgage banking, mortgage warehousing, and traditional commercial and consumer banking services.
Brands & revenue mix
No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.
Product / operating segments
No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.
Geographic revenue
No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
57
Fair
PoorElite
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
46
Weak
Financial Strength
39
Business Quality / Moat
67
Management
40
Growth Quality
21
Risk / Durability
61
Cheap for a Reason · Review the Risks
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Opportunity
Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?
66
Fully Valued
Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.
View score details →
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
63/100
Building Historical Record
Model Score 63/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.
Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.
Click for full breakdown →
WSS View
The quick read
The overall Wall Street Score is mixed across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. Review the category scores to identify what is helping or hurting the result.
At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as moderate rather than unusually attractive.
The model outlook is currently moderate.
What we like
•Valuation scores attractively
What to watch
•High debt risk
•Revenue fundamentals are weak
•Debt / balance-sheet profile needs attention
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for MBIN
Research inputs 100% complete
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
•What is driving MBIN's revenue decline, and does the latest company filing suggest the weakness is temporary or structural?
•How long can MBIN fund negative free cash flow using its current cash position before it may need more debt or new shares?
•Is MBIN's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
•Is MBIN's valuation discount tied to a temporary concern or to a longer-term business risk?
•What does the current high debt stress warning mean for the reliability or interpretation of MBIN's score?
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
Volatility = How violently is it moving?
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for MBIN
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.
Dividend history reported
Dividend payments are recorded. Review the dates and regular/special classification below; past payments do not guarantee future dividends.
High debt risk
Total debt is at least one year of revenue • Interest coverage is below 2x • Free cash flow is negative • Cash covers less than 20% of total debt
Community Sentiment
0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)
No personal call yet on MBIN.
Potential upside factors
+Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
+Specialized expertise in multi-family and senior living financing.
Potential downside factors
−Debt risk (high): Total debt is at least one year of revenue.
−Interest coverage is below 2x.
−Free cash flow is negative.
−Cash covers less than 20% of total debt.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
Create a free account to make a call.
Scores
Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Fair57/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)
Debt
Poor
27
Debt Cost17.8%
Debt Reduction YoY11.4%
Debt / Equity1.68x
Tap for breakdown →
Revenue
Poor
31
Revenue YoY-4.1%
Revenue CAGR7.2%
Net Margin20.5%
Tap for breakdown →
Asset
Fair
64
Asset Growth YoY3.4%
Liquidation/Share$52.10
Net Assets/MCap7.36x
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Capital
Poor
34
Earnings Yield11.7%
Buyback Yield0.0%
Debt Cost17.8%
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Management
Weak
40
ROIC3.3%
ROE11.2%
ROA1.3%
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Moat
Fair
67
EPS Growth-3.1%
FCF/Share Growth—
Rev/Share Growth21.4%
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Valuation
Elite
97
Intrinsic Value$191.73
Value Reference$115.04
MOS74.3%
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Buffett
Weak
48
Revenue31
Moat67
Valuation97
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MOS
Elite
100
MOS %74.3%
Value Reference$115.04
Deep Discount Reference$76.69
Tap for breakdown →
Financial
Poor
39
Interest Coverage0.4x
ROIC3.3%
FCF Yield-7.4%
Tap for breakdown →
Master
Fair
61
Financial39
Valuation97
Debt27
Tap for breakdown →
Resilience
Fair
50
Survival Years5.2 yrs
Current Ratio3.17x
FCF Margin-12.5%
Tap for breakdown →
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Score Changes
3 historical score records available
Previous Score
58
Oct 1, 2026
Change
-0.7
points
Current Score
57
Oct 5, 2026
Category Changes
Revenue-0.4
Debt0
Assets0
Capital0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation-2.9
Buffett-0.3
MBIN decreased 0.7 points because Valuation declined by 2.9 points.
Negative Contributors
− Valuation declined by 2.9 points
Projected Score
Projected Score
57
Projected Change
+0.2 points
Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 0.2 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.
Price vs. Value
Review model assumptions
This model estimate is more than three times the share price.
This is a formula-based estimate, not a verified fair value or price target. Check the earnings and growth assumptions.
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.
Income StatementBalance SheetCash Flow
AnnualQuarterlyTTM + Annual
All rows
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
Line Item
TTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Revenue
$1.31B
$1.37B
$1.45B
$1.19B
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Cost of Revenue
$714.8M
$801.5M
$804.4M
$670.0M
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····
····
····
····
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Gross Profit
$594.6M
$563.7M
$642.7M
$519.1M
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····
····
····
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Research & Development
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
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····
····
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SG&A Expenses
$175.3M
$177.2M
$156.9M
$121.8M
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····
····
····
····
····
····
Operating Expenses
$317.7M
$299.9M
$220.0M
$171.2M
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····
····
····
····
····
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EBITDA
$325.9M
$267.3M
$425.7M
$350.8M
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····
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Operating Income
$276.9M
$263.8M
$422.6M
$347.9M
····
····
····
····
····
····
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Interest Expense
$642.5M
$683.8M
$780.1M
$629.7M
····
····
····
····
····
····
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Income Before Tax
$322.6M
$263.8M
$422.6M
$347.9M
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····
····
····
····
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Income Tax Expense
$54.0M
$45.0M
$102.3M
$68.7M
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Net Income
$268.6M
$218.8M
$320.4M
$279.2M
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Basic EPS
$4.98
$3.78
$6.32
$5.66
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Basic Shares
45.94M
45.87M
44.85M
43.22M
····
····
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····
····
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Diluted Shares
46.01M
45.94M
45.01M
43.35M
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Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
Estimated earnings date:A future estimated earnings date is not currently available.
Jun 30, 2026Q2FY2026
Revenue
$294.1M
Estimate unavailable.
Revenue Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
EPS
$1.48
Estimate unavailable.
EPS Beat/Miss
Not available (no estimate stored)
Debt Change
+11.7%
Cash Change
-97.2%
Margin Change
+15.9 pp
Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.
Financial Changes Since Prior Period
What Improved
Margins expanded
What Weakened
Cash position declined
Debt increased
Potential Score Impact
Positive indicators included EPS growth, net income margin. Pressure indicators included revenue growth, cash levels, debt levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.
Stored Earnings Analysis
Revenue declined 16.9%. EPS increased 146.7%. Cash declined 97.2%. Total debt increased 11.7%. Net income margin improved by 15.9 percentage points.
Earnings-Call Transcript
Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.
These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all earnings history.View plans
Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.
Dividend HistoryShare
Dividend History
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Predictions & Historical PerformanceShare
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
$———.——
Premium
5 Years
$———.——
Premium
10 Years
$———.——
Premium
Conservative Projection Rate
——%
Premium
Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.
Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.