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Intuitive Machines, Inc.
LUNRNASDAQ
Wall Street ScoreUnder review
$11.22USD$-0.34 (-2.90%)
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Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.
Who they are
Intuitive Machines, Inc. specializes in the development and provision of aerospace products and services. The company's core mission is to facilitate ongoing robotic and human missions aimed at exploring the Moon, Mars, and other distant celestial bodies. Its comprehensive offerings are delivered through several distinct divisions: Lunar Access Services, Orbital Services, Lunar Data Services, and Space Products and Infrastructure.
How they make money
Intuitive Machines generates revenue primarily through government and commercial contracts for space infrastructure and services. The company provides lunar cargo delivery, data transmission services, and infrastructure-as-a-service, operating under long-term contracts with agencies like NASA and various international commercial and government entities.
Products & services
Lunar landers, lunar data network services, geostationary satellite manufacturing, and space infrastructure support services.
Brands & revenue mix
No separate brand or brand-level revenue disclosure was confirmed in the reviewed sources. This does not mean the company has no brands.
Calculated from reported segment revenue. Check the source period and revenue basis before comparing shares. Categories can overlap and may not add to 100%.
Geographic revenue
No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.
The company's revenue is highly concentrated, with a significant portion derived from a limited number of government contracts, primarily with NASA, as of the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.
Suppliers, materials & equipment
Aerospace component and material suppliers — The company relies on various third-party suppliers for raw materials and specialized components required for manufacturing and operations; specific supplier names are not disclosed.Source
Strengths
Established track record of successful lunar surface operationsSource
Strategic positioning in the cislunar economySource
Risks
Dependence on government contracts and fundingSource
Operational risks associated with space missions and hardware developmentSource
Supply chain and material procurement constraintsSource
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
•Can LUNR maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
•How long can LUNR fund negative free cash flow using its current cash position before it may need more debt or new shares?
•Does LUNR's balance between cash and debt leave enough flexibility if business conditions weaken?
•What specifically needs to improve for LUNR to reach sustainable profitability?
•What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify LUNR's current valuation?
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
Volatility = How violently is it moving?
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for LUNR
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.
Historical repurchase activity
Reported cash flows or share-count measures indicate past repurchase activity. This does not verify an active buyback authorization or future purchases.
Severe debt stress
Negative shareholder equity • Total debt is at least one year of revenue • Interest coverage is below 2x • Free cash flow is negative
Community Sentiment
0 active · 0 total calls
0% Bullish (0) 0% Bearish (0)
No personal call yet on LUNR.
Potential upside factors
+Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
+Established track record of successful lunar surface operations.
+Strategic positioning in the cislunar economy.
Potential downside factors
−Debt risk (severe): Negative shareholder equity.
−Total debt is at least one year of revenue.
−Interest coverage is below 2x.
−Free cash flow is negative.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
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Scores
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Debt
—
Debt Cost1.1%
Debt Reduction YoY-895.6%
Debt / Equity-0.50x
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Revenue
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Revenue YoY133.3%
Revenue CAGR62.5%
Net Margin-26.7%
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Asset
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Asset Growth YoY113.0%
Liquidation/Share-$2.37
Net Assets/MCap0.64x
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Capital
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Earnings Yield-5.7%
Buyback Yield0.2%
Debt Cost1.1%
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Management
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ROIC39.4%
ROE46.1%
ROA-6.9%
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Moat
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EPS Growth—
FCF/Share Growth—
Rev/Share Growth-29.1%
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Valuation
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Intrinsic Value—
Value Reference—
MOS—
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Buffett
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Revenue—
Moat—
Valuation—
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MOS
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MOS %—
Value Reference—
Deep Discount Reference—
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Financial
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Interest Coverage-20.9x
ROIC39.4%
FCF Yield-2.5%
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Master
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Financial—
Valuation—
Debt—
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Resilience
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Survival Years10.4 yrs
Current Ratio4.96x
FCF Margin-26.7%
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Score Changes
Score changes will appear once more historical records are available.
Price vs. Value
Valuation unavailable
Current Price
$11.22
Model Intrinsic Value
—
Difference
—
Margin of Safety
—
Value Reference: —
Deep Discount Reference: —
Intrinsic value is not currently available for this stock, so valuation can't be calculated.
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.
Income StatementBalance SheetCash Flow
AnnualQuarterlyTTM + Annual
All rows
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
Line Item
TTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Revenue
$490.1M
$210.1M
$228.0M
$79.5M
····
····
····
Cost of Revenue
$356.5M
$177.2M
$190.4M
$100.5M
····
····
····
Gross Profit
$133.6M
$32.8M
$37.6M
-$21.0M
····
····
····
Research & Development
$13.3M
$0.00
$0.00
$0.00
····
····
····
SG&A Expenses
$171.5M
$92.6M
$53.3M
$32.9M
····
····
····
Operating Expenses
$268.5M
$120.0M
$95.0M
$35.3M
····
····
····
EBITDA
-$77.0M
-$95.1M
-$50.5M
$48.5M
····
····
····
Operating Income
-$134.9M
-$87.2M
-$57.4M
-$56.2M
····
····
····
Interest Expense
$13.4M
$4.2M
$0.00
$823K
····
····
····
Income Before Tax
-$181.0M
-$102.9M
-$346.9M
$15.1M
····
····
····
Income Tax Expense
$4.0M
$4.0M
$37K
$40K
····
····
····
Net Income
-$130.9M
-$83.3M
-$283.4M
$62.8M
····
····
····
Basic EPS
$-0.94
$-0.70
$-4.63
$3.43
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····
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Basic Shares
162M
119M
61.41M
17.65M
····
····
····
Diluted Shares
162M
119M
61.41M
25.56M
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····
····
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Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.
Financial Changes Since Prior Period
What Improved
Margins expanded
Cash position grew
What Weakened
Debt increased
Potential Score Impact
Positive indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth, cash levels, net income margin. Pressure indicators included debt levels. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.
Stored Earnings Analysis
Revenue increased 309.8%. EPS increased 20.8%. Cash increased 6.5%. Total debt increased 1050.9%. Net income margin improved by 54.2 percentage points.
Earnings-Call Transcript
Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.
These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.
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Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.
Dividend HistoryShare
Dividend History
Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.
Predictions & Historical PerformanceShare
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
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5 Years
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10 Years
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Conservative Projection Rate
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Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.
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