Educational research only—not investment advice or a recommendation. Scores and estimates may use delayed, incomplete, restated, or corrected market and filing data. Independently verify information before making an investment decision.
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Primary reporting period: 2025-12-31 · Research updated Oct 12, 2026. A research update is not a new financial filing.
Who they are
Operating at the intersection of technology and the automotive industry, Lucid Group, Inc. specializes in the development of electric vehicle (EV) technologies. The company is responsible for the complete cycle of designing, engineering, and manufacturing electric vehicles, including their vital powertrain and battery systems. By the end of 2021, Lucid had expanded its physical presence to twenty retail studios across the United States.
How they make money
Lucid generates revenue primarily through the direct-to-consumer sale of electric vehicles, including the Lucid Air and Lucid Gravity. The company also provides vehicle services, software-defined vehicle features, and proprietary EV powertrain and battery technology, while utilizing a direct sales model through its own retail studios and online channels.
Products & services
Lucid designs, engineers, and manufactures luxury electric vehicles, including the Lucid Air sedan and Lucid Gravity SUV, alongside proprietary EV powertrain systems, battery technology, and over-the-air software-defined vehicle platforms.
Brands & revenue mix
Lucid Air
Luxury electric sedan.
Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source
Lucid Gravity
Luxury electric SUV.
Separate brand revenue is not available in this research.Source
Revenue share is not unit sales or a best-seller ranking. Parent brands and included sub-brands can overlap; do not add overlapping rows.
Product / operating segments
No reconciled product or operating-segment revenue breakdown is available for the current research period. Company-wide revenue remains separate from segment disclosure.
Geographic revenue
No reconciled geographic revenue breakdown was confirmed for the current research period.
The company is significantly dependent on a limited number of vehicle models and expects to rely on sales from the Lucid Air and Lucid Gravity for capital requirements as of December 31, 2025.
Suppliers, materials & equipment
Automotive component and raw material suppliers — The company relies on various third-party suppliers for raw materials and vehicle components; specific supplier names are not disclosed.Source
Business relationships & partnerships
NVIDIA Corporation — A commercial collaboration to utilize the NVIDIA DRIVE AV platform for the company's ADAS and autonomous driving roadmap.Source
Competitors
Tesla, Inc. — Competes in the electric vehicle market.Source
Strengths
Proprietary high-voltage electrical architecture and in-house powertrain technologySource
Risks
Significant dependence on a limited number of vehicle modelsSource
These are saved observations about business performance, not predictions. Review the company filings alongside the interpretation below. Latest stored financial period end: 2026-06-30.
Diluted weighted-average shares increased 25.0% year over year.
Compare per-share results with total earnings and inspect the equity footnote. A change in weighted-average shares does not by itself establish the cause, the number of shares issued today, or the economic effect of a split.
Wall Street Score
Overall investment score · Quality, value, risk and opportunity
26
Poor
PoorElite
View category scores →
Company Quality
How good is the actual business—regardless of today’s stock price?
36
Poor
Financial Strength
53
Business Quality / Moat
44
Management
0
Growth Quality
45
Risk / Durability
24
Weak Company · Expensive Stock
Uses financial strength, moat, management, growth quality and durability. It excludes share price, P/E, market cap, intrinsic value and margin of safety.
Opportunity
Opportunity Score · How does the current price compare with estimated value?
39
Avoid
Based on current valuation, company quality, recent trends, and available market signals.
View score details →
Model Outlook
12-month model · What does the model think happens next?
53/100
Building Historical Record
Model Score 53/100 — estimates relative performance potential, distinct from the overall Wall Street Score and the separate Company Quality score.
Probability unavailable — the model has not produced a calibrated probability yet.
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WSS View
The quick read
The overall Wall Street Score is low across its combined quality, valuation and risk inputs. This can reflect an expensive share price, business weaknesses, or both; check Company Quality and the category breakdown before drawing a conclusion.
At today’s price, the WSS valuation framework currently reads as less attractive based on the available valuation and market data.
The model outlook is currently moderate.
What we like
•Balance-sheet / debt profile scores strongly
What to watch
•Debt service risk
•Distress / listing headline · Oct 3, 2026
•Valuation is a weaker part of the current profile
•Revenue fundamentals are weak
Company-specific research
Questions worth answering for LCID
Research inputs 100% complete
These questions are generated from this company's current financial and score data so the page adds context instead of treating the headline score as a stand-alone conclusion.
•Can LCID maintain its current revenue growth rate and improve the amount of that revenue that turns into earnings and cash?
•How long can LCID fund negative free cash flow using its current cash position before it may need more debt or new shares?
•Is LCID's debt load manageable relative to cash generation, interest costs and upcoming maturities?
•What specifically needs to improve for LCID to reach sustainable profitability?
•What future growth or profitability would be needed to justify LCID's current valuation?
Two different market-behavior signals. Momentum measures direction and trend strength. Volatility measures how large and unstable the price moves are, regardless of direction.
A high momentum score means price has been trending upward with confirming short- and medium-term strength. A low score means downward or weakening momentum.
Volatility = How violently is it moving?
A high volatility score means larger, less stable price swings. It can happen while a stock is rising or falling, so high volatility is not automatically bullish or bearish.
Important: the volatility score above is based on realized price volatility. Implied volatility (IV) comes from options prices and represents the market's expected future movement. Wall Street Score will keep IV separate and will only display it when a verified options-chain feed is available.
Notices for LCID
Detected from reported data — verify before acting.
Debt service risk
Interest coverage is low (~-36.8x). Earnings may be strained to cover interest expense.
Distress / listing headline · Oct 3, 2026
4 Developments That Will Determine the Fate of Lucid and Potential Bankruptcy — This is a provider-linked headline, not an independently confirmed event. Check the article and company filings for the subject, proposed/completed status, and subsequent updates.
+Growth opportunities may come from revenue expansion, margin improvement, new products, market-share gains, and stronger cash flow.
+Proprietary high-voltage electrical architecture and in-house powertrain technology.
Potential downside factors
−Key risks may include competition, margin pressure, debt levels, valuation risk, and changes in demand within the Auto - Manufacturers industry.
−Significant dependence on a limited number of vehicle models.
−Diluted weighted-average shares increased 25.0% year over year.
−Negative free cash flow may increase the need for outside financing and dilution.
These research factors come from saved company research and financial data, not community votes. They are starting points to verify against filings, not buy or sell recommendations.
Create a free account to make a call.
Scores
Click any score for full breakdown
Wall Street Score
Weak26/ 100
Weak (0–50)Fair (51–71)Strong (72+)
Debt
Strong
75
Debt Cost11.1%
Debt Reduction YoY65.3%
Debt / Equity1.20x
Tap for breakdown →
Revenue
Weak
46
Revenue YoY14.3%
Revenue CAGR50.8%
Net Margin-263.7%
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Asset
Fair
55
Asset Growth YoY-13.1%
Liquidation/Share$5.93
Net Assets/MCap3.26x
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Capital
Poor
27
Earnings Yield-306.2%
Buyback Yield4.1%
Debt Cost11.1%
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Management
Poor
0
ROIC-78.2%
ROE-220.7%
ROA-53.0%
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Moat
Weak
44
EPS Growth—
FCF/Share Growth—
Rev/Share Growth20.0%
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Valuation
Poor
0
Intrinsic Value—
Value Reference—
MOS—
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Buffett
Weak
43
Revenue46
Moat44
Valuation0
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MOS
Poor
0
MOS %—
Value Reference—
Deep Discount Reference—
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Financial
Poor
9
Interest Coverage-36.8x
ROIC-78.2%
FCF Yield-287.3%
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Master
Poor
16
Financial9
Valuation0
Debt75
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Resilience
Poor
21
Survival Years0.3 yrs
Current Ratio1.25x
FCF Margin-282.8%
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Score Changes
2 historical score records available
Previous Score
24
Jul 24, 2026
Change
+2.3
points
Current Score
26
Oct 1, 2026
Category Changes
Revenue+15.6
Debt0
Assets0
Capital+9.0
Management0
Moat0
Valuation0
Buffett+3.2
LCID increased 2.3 points because Revenue improved by 15.6 points, Capital improved by 9 points, Buffett improved by 3.2 points.
Positive Contributors
+ Revenue improved by 15.6 points
+ Capital improved by 9 points
+ Buffett improved by 3.2 points
Projected Score
Projected Score
29
Projected Change
+3.2 points
Preliminary comparable-period financial changes suggest improvement of approximately 3.2 points. This is a projected estimate, not the official WallStreetScore.
Price vs. Value
Valuation unavailable
Current Price
$3.21
Model Intrinsic Value
—
Difference
—
Margin of Safety
—
Value Reference: —
Deep Discount Reference: —
Intrinsic value is not currently available for this stock, so valuation can't be calculated.
Monetary values in USD. Share counts in raw units.
Large reported revenue change: +67.6%
Revenue changed sharply from 2024 to 2025. This can reflect a real business change, acquisition, divestiture, discontinued operations, restatement, or reporting-basis change. Compare the underlying filing before treating it as normal growth or decline.
TTM may combine quarters from before and after the event, so its trend can also be distorted.
Income StatementBalance SheetCash Flow
AnnualQuarterlyTTM + Annual
All rows
Free includes 3 annual periods plus available TTM; Premium includes up to 10 annual periods. History depends on available company filings. Swipe the table horizontally to see older periods. A dash means unavailable, not zero.
Line Item
TTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Revenue
$1.55B
$1.35B
$807.8M
$595.3M
····
····
····
····
Cost of Revenue
$3.04B
$2.61B
$1.73B
$1.94B
····
····
····
····
Gross Profit
-$1.49B
-$1.26B
-$923.1M
-$1.34B
····
····
····
····
Research & Development
$1.34B
$1.21B
$1.18B
$937.0M
····
····
····
····
SG&A Expenses
$1.17B
$1.03B
$901.0M
$797.2M
····
····
····
····
Operating Expenses
$2.55B
$2.25B
$2.10B
$1.76B
····
····
····
····
EBITDA
-$3.41B
-$2.15B
-$2.38B
-$2.57B
····
····
····
····
Operating Income
-$4.04B
-$3.50B
-$3.02B
-$3.10B
····
····
····
····
Interest Expense
$148.4M
$95.1M
$32.9M
$24.9M
····
····
····
····
Income Before Tax
-$3.85B
-$2.70B
-$2.71B
-$2.83B
····
····
····
····
Income Tax Expense
$2.6M
-$2.3M
$1.2M
$1.0M
····
····
····
····
Net Income
-$4.08B
-$2.70B
-$2.71B
-$2.83B
····
····
····
····
Basic EPS
$-13.74
$-11.81
$-12.52
$-13.59
····
····
····
····
Basic Shares
382M
312M
245M
208M
····
····
····
····
Diluted Shares
382M
312M
245M
208M
····
····
····
····
Upgrade to Premium for up to 10 annual periods, where available.
Debt and cash show percentage changes versus the comparison period; margin shows the change in percentage points (pp). These are company-wide changes, not per-share amounts.
Financial Changes Since Prior Period
What Weakened
Margins contracted
Cash position declined
Debt increased
Potential Score Impact
Positive indicators included revenue growth, EPS growth. Pressure indicators included cash levels, debt levels, net income margin. These factors may support or pressure the Revenue, Management, Financial, and Debt categories; this summary does not claim that the stored scores changed.
Stored Earnings Analysis
Revenue increased 56.2%. EPS increased 17.9%. Cash declined 59.2%. Total debt increased 22.6%. Net income margin declined by 102.7 percentage points.
Earnings-Call Transcript
Earnings-call transcript analysis is not currently available.
These results may influence future scores when the next evaluation is completed.
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Government disclosed trading activity is available on the Smart Money directory. Filings may be delayed and may not represent complete current holdings.
Dividend HistoryShare
Dividend History
Dividend data is not available yet. Missing data does not mean this company pays no dividend.
Predictions & Historical PerformanceShare
Conservative Projected Values
3 Years
$———.——
Premium
5 Years
$———.——
Premium
10 Years
$———.——
Premium
Conservative Projection Rate
——%
Premium
Conservative Projected Values — price projections derived from actual 10-year adjusted historical returns, conservatively adjusted and capped at 8% annually. These are distinct from the Outperformance Model Score and WallStreetScore.
Conservative Projected Values
Premium unlocks the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year conservative projected values with full calculation breakdowns based on actual historical returns.
Premium includes stored forecasts and any available evaluated results. Completed results, win rates and calibrated probabilities are shown only when supported records exist; access does not create historical outcomes.